With Maduro gone, now what?

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ShahOfIran1979

ShahOfIran1979

Shah of Iran from 1941-1979
kiwifarms.net
Joined
Aug 21, 2024
Maduro has been ousted, but does that even mean anything? Venezuela is still functioning under the same Government (but under the VP) with no indication of regime change. What are the chances of the US even being able to overthrow the Government without a military invasion?
 
their vp who is now the pres is going to be in place until free and fair* elections can be held to finally get rid of what remains of the regime. if she's stupid enough to keep towing the chavisto line after her boss just got fucking yoinked overnight there's zero reason we aren't just gonna go back and do it again. if we were to just bomb the fuck outta everything and put our guy in overnight that would look really really bad and foment a lot of hatred among the remaining chavistos/gangbangers.
so we've basically slapped our nuts on the table and said "this is the deal, we'll pretend you're still in charge but you're really not, play by the rules for the next few months and you'll be OK and you and your followers can leave peacefully and live a mediocre life. try to fuck around and we'll just keep doing this shit".

*free and fair meaning our guys win
 
Angry Alt Right Nerd said:
I fear for their economy. By "their" I mean runescape.
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I'm actually curious if Runescape player counts were impacted or not by the recent events. For anyone not aware, Runescape gold farming is allegedly a big part of Venuzula's economy.

Been trying to load this website but I can't get the actual graph to work. I do see a decrease near the end but it could be people either waning off the Sailing honeymoon or wanting to do other things with their new year.

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I take it that America would keep a closer eye during their transitionary period. I predict that Trump would impose a de facto leader in place.
 
This was a show of force with a double purpose, removing the dictator from the equation and putting huge pressure on the rest of the gov to change the regime as a whole and implement policies the US wants.

The implication is that otherwise they will just take out the entire chain of command, install a puppet interrim government with elections following a stabilizing period.
They might not even need to do that though, the police or military may just coup at this point to prevent a full scale invasion.
 
Most likely outcome is that the US watches them have "open and fair" elections, with the expectation being that whatever happens their oil and gas reserves are de-nationalized and privatized primarily for US consumption (of course).

Outlier, but possible, outcome is that the former VP now president tries to take power (or someone within the military/police tries to) or meddles in the elections. Then is yeeted like Maduro by US special forces again. Repeat until someone is smart enough to just let the "open and fair" elections happen.

Least likely outcome is that Trump just gets sick of dealing with Venezuela and we bomb them back to the stone age. There is almost no chance of this happening for obvious reasons, but I can see a .01% chance future that it might happen.
 
Chilson said:
Most likely outcome is that the US watches them have "open and fair" elections, with the expectation being that whatever happens their oil and gas reserves are de-nationalized and privatized primarily for US consumption (of course).

Outlier, but possible, outcome is that the former VP now president tries to take power (or someone within the military/police tries to) or meddles in the elections. Then is yeeted like Maduro by US special forces again. Repeat until someone is smart enough to just let the "open and fair" elections happen.

Least likely outcome is that Trump just gets sick of dealing with Venezuela and we bomb them back to the stone age. There is almost no chance of this happening for obvious reasons, but I can see a .01% chance future that it might happen.
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It would be really funny to see the actions of the third guy in line if a second president gets abducted
 
My best is the VP takes over and it's business as usual. Either that or a political rival stages a hard or soft coup and THEN it's business as usual. Regime will call the U.S.'s bluff, knowing they don't have the stomach to invade. MAYBE give a few concessions related to oil rights. That is my prediction.
Tsukasa Kadoya said:
That or a WEF friendly leader will mysteriously pop and be installed.
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I believe the opposition party leader was that candidate, but Trump did not seem to keen on helping her, which I was surprised by. She seems to be the biggest voice there supporting Greatest Ally (tm)
 
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