Canada is a failed state

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Purple Francis said:
I don't know why I keep up with the election and politics. Cons or libs, it's not going to fundamentally change day to day life.

The tariffs are nuking cross border trade. Our company has lost a lot of the transient business and reliable contracts are ordering less. Some of our US customers have already gone out of business or sold to some giant conglomerate. Regardless of what people want or what Trump says, the end result will be a further consolidation of economic power to the few.
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Supply chain BTFO.
 
biggacracka said:
Normally it's called by midnight to 2 am at the end of election day
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When Doug Ford in Ontario called his retarded "tariff" snap election in February, all of the major networks officially declared a PC majority victory around 9:15 pm EST after the polls closed when not a single official counted vote had yet been posted publicly.
 
Four days out, these are my predictions, last until election day.

-. Voter turnout will be above 70% at the very least

-. Both of the major parties will be just at the borderline of 40% support

-. I believe that at this point it will be a minority government for either the liberals or the conservatives

-. No matter who wins, Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre will stay on as the leader of their respective party for at least one extra term.

-. The NDP Finally kicks out Jagmeet Singh after 2 mediocre elections and one awful one, losing his own seat will cushion the blow. I still believe that they reach 12 seats as their best case scenario

-. The BQ loses seats, but due to Blanchet's personal approval ratings he can choose whether or not to stay on.

-. The green party will lose both of their seats and the PPC will once again fail to win anything.

-. Irregardless of who wins, there will be civil unrest due to how polarized this election is.
 
Brutality said:
-. Voter turnout will be above 70% at the very least

-. Both of the major parties will be just at the borderline of 40% support

-. I believe that at this point it will be a minority government for either the liberals or the conservatives
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I think a high GOTV turnout could bode quite well for the Conservatives. The geriatrics already show up every vote so the increase is going to be made up of younger more infrequent voters. Could also potentially see an inverse of the voter 'efficiency' issue that the Libs have cashed in on the last few elections, running up the TDS vote in the Toronto and Montreal cesspits while losing more rural areas by slimmer margins.

It also seems like there might be some interesting signals being given off in BC, both Pierre and Carney are rushing to Vancouver Island for campaigning.
 
Hokuriku said:
It also seems like there might be some interesting signals being given off in BC, both Pierre and Carney are rushing to Vancouver Island for campaigning.
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BC becoming important due to NDP Collapse might actually decide things this time, i expect a similar scenario of what happened in the 2024 election where the Conservatives and NDP basically divided up the ridings equally while the greens had one or two to play spoiler
 
Brutality said:
Four days out, these are my predictions, last until election day.

-. Voter turnout will be above 70% at the very least

-. Both of the major parties will be just at the borderline of 40% support

-. I believe that at this point it will be a minority government for either the liberals or the conservatives

-. No matter who wins, Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre will stay on as the leader of their respective party for at least one extra term.

-. The NDP Finally kicks out Jagmeet Singh after 2 mediocre elections and one awful one, losing his own seat will cushion the blow. I still believe that they reach 12 seats as their best case scenario

-. The BQ loses seats, but due to Blanchet's personal approval ratings he can choose whether or not to stay on.

-. The green party will lose both of their seats and the PPC will once again fail to win anything.

-. Irregardless of who wins, there will be civil unrest due to how polarized this election is.
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A division of 10000 soldiers can cripple this government. There is no military. There is no police. One single retard held up the entire parliament building for hours. INSIDE the building.

It could be sandnigger criminals, it could be leftist x sandnigger coalition, it could be kalistanis. I find it hard believe it's the right that will start the rebellion.
 
Brutality said:
BC becoming important due to NDP Collapse might actually decide things this time, i expect a similar scenario of what happened in the 2024 election where the Conservatives and NDP basically divided up the ridings equally while the greens had one or two to play spoiler
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Or in 2011 when both the Liberals under Michael Ignatieff and the Bloc under Gilles Duceppe simultaneously collapsed in Quebec, allowing the NDP to incredulously win 59/75 Quebec seats.

Installing candidates like Ruth-Ellen Brousseau as MPs, a waitress from Ottawa who spent a good chunk of the campaign vacationing in Vegas.

A paper candidate, an Anglophone waitress who was elected despite not living in the Francophone riding she ended up winning (or being able to speak French). She didn't even live in the same province IIRC.
 
Hokuriku said:
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I think a high GOTV turnout could bode quite well for the Conservatives. The geriatrics already show up every vote so the increase is going to be made up of younger more infrequent voters. Could also potentially see an inverse of the voter 'efficiency' issue that the Libs have cashed in on the last few elections, running up the TDS vote in the Toronto and Montreal cesspits while losing more rural areas by slimmer margins.

It also seems like there might be some interesting signals being given off in BC, both Pierre and Carney are rushing to Vancouver Island for campaigning.
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I would guess that most of the early voters are people who work, as trying to go after work would be a gong show with everyone else so only retirees, unemployed, or idiots or procrastinators will be voting on election day. When do early voters get counted? Will they get posted as soon as the polls close so we get a massive blue wave, or will it be a 3am ballot dump or something?
 
Betonhaus said:
I would guess that most of the early voters are people who work, as trying to go after work would be a gong show with everyone else so only retirees, unemployed, or idiots or procrastinators will be voting on election day. When do early voters get counted? Will they get posted as soon as the polls close so we get a massive blue wave, or will it be a 3am ballot dump or something?
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Canadian elections are finished in like two hours because they get counted rather quickly.

It's the absentee votes or close elections that take....weeks.
 
Betonhaus said:
I would guess that most of the early voters are people who work, as trying to go after work would be a gong show with everyone else so only retirees, unemployed, or idiots or procrastinators will be voting on election day. When do early voters get counted? Will they get posted as soon as the polls close so we get a massive blue wave, or will it be a 3am ballot dump or something?
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Early voting was a gong show anyway.

Even if this vote's total turnout matches 2021's limp covid-deflated numbers, the early voting tallies would account for something like 40% of the total. Most people still stick with election day.

Purple Francis said:
I don't know why I keep up with the election and politics. Cons or libs, it's not going to fundamentally change day to day life.

The tariffs are nuking cross border trade. Our company has lost a lot of the transient business and reliable contracts are ordering less. Some of our US customers have already gone out of business or sold to some giant conglomerate. Regardless of what people want or what Trump says, the end result will be a further consolidation of economic power to the few.
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If you want forceful constitutional-crisis accelerarionist disruption, your best bet would be to root for a CPC minority. I'd expect the same outcome as that one Harper minority - the left parties attempt to form a coalition and the Tories respond with another prorogation and non-confidence vote. The difference would be that the left is so much more ideologically unhinged this time around, they would probably call their bluff and set off yet another election. Third parties would game the system even worse than they already are by dissolving entirely or by strategically withdrawing candidates. Partisan/secessionist divisions are already irreconcilably bad, immediately provoking another election would likely start escalating them into physical violence. All while the US and China continue to jab us with sticks.
 
Betonhaus said:
When do early voters get counted?
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It's get counted at the same time as the election day votes. They use the same ballot box and they are sealed from the time the early votes start to the end of election day.
They get counted on site by the people there, by around 3 people from 3 different parties. Then the votes get send to the election director for double check
 
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