Wuhan Coronavirus: Megathread - Got too big

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The article outright states "The vast majority of the victims had been older than 60, and almost all of them had existing health conditions." One young person died.

Why does anyone believe these numbers? Now that there are cases outside of China we will get a better picture of how deadly this virus is. However, from what I have read it does end up hospitalizing people in high numbers.


Swine flu, for example, infected anywhere between 11 to 21% of the global population. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_flu_pandemic). If 25% of those contracting this virus end up requiring intensive medical care and or hospitalization this will overwhelm medical infrastructure to deal with the outbreak. This virus doesn't need to be as deadly as the medieval version of the plague, it just needs to soak up enough resources that when you get sick there isn't anyone to help you and that alone will kill you.
 
Sports fans, shit just keeps getting more and more real. Sorry, but have had to condense. Much more at link.


Healthy young man dies of coronavirus in China; new cases in Japan and South Korea
BEIJING — A young, healthy man from Wuhan and a person living 1,500 miles from the epicenter of the coronavirus are among the latest victims of the outbreak, which has incited fear and anger across China as the important Spring Festival gets underway.

Reports of eight new deaths from the pneumonia-like virus, taking the total to 26, came as authorities enforced a lockdown across large parts of the province of Hubei, population 59 million. But they also came as the medical system clearly struggled to cope with the outbreak, with reports of crowded hospitals, stressed doctors and dwindling supplies.

Adding to the stress, Friday marked the official start of the Spring Festival, when China celebrates the arrival of the new lunar year. Authorities around the country, including in the capital, Beijing, have canceled the temple fairs and festivals that accompany the holiday to avoid having large public gatherings where the airborne virus could spread.
“The public should not gather during the Spring Festival and try stay at home as much as possible to protect themselves,” Gao Fu, a member of the expert group of the National Health and Health Commission and director of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, said Friday.

He encouraged everyone to wear masks, and photos from train stations and airports across the country showed people with their mouths and noses covered.

The Beijing Capital International Airport was unusually empty on Friday, with almost all passengers wearing masks. The Beijing city government and Shanghai local authorities have also urged residents returning to areas affected by the virus, or who have been in contact with suspected cases, to stay at home or in a centralized quarantine area for 14 days to contain the spread.

All ride-hailing services in Wuhan were cut off from midday Friday in attempt to stop transmission of the virus, and only half of taxis are allowed on the road every day, alternating between tags ending in odd and even numbers

China Southern, the country’s biggest airline, had already canceled all flights in and out of Wuhan airport on Thursday. The other two main carriers, Air China and China Eastern, said they would cancel all Wuhan flights from Friday to at least Feb. 8.

Authorities are taking extreme measures to stop the large public gatherings that are a hallmark of the Spring Festival, which is often the only time of year that families can come together, much like Thanksgiving in the United States.

New year festivals and temple fairs around the country have been canceled, and the Forbidden City in Beijing, which can admit 80,000 people a day and was already entirely sold out for the holiday, has been closed until further notice.

Production companies have postponed the release of seven blockbuster films that were to be released over the holiday, prompting Chinese cinema companies to close the country’s 70,000 movie theaters.

Schools in Hubei province, due to begin the spring semester after the holiday, will not open their doors as planned but will wait for further guidance from health authorities. And the Education Ministry instructed universities around China to delay their opening dates if necessary.
 
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Sports fans, shit just keeps getting more and more real. Sorry, but have had to condense. Much more at link.

But the latest announcement said that a 36-year-old man from Wuhan, identified only by his family name, Li, died on Thursday. He had no chronic diseases or other existing health conditions, and had been treated with anti-virus medication and antibiotics since being admitted to a hospital on Jan. 9.

A healthy guy

In a hospital

Given 2 weeks of constant treatment

Still fucking died

And this is just the one we've heard about. No telling what kind of Chinese neet corpses that families have hidden away, or carved parts off of to eat to make themselves immune or whatever witchdoctor bullshit they believe in, or have been tossed in that mass grave that the commie sympathizers on twitter are pretending is a hospital.
 
Don't mean to double-post, but after all the trouble I had editing my previous post am posting this by itself.

I'd say the shit is hitting the fan in China. Glad I'm not there. You can be sure the Chinese leadership's collective anus is starting to clench.


Shanghai Disney Resort Shuts Down as Coronavirus Spreads
10:33 PM PST 1/23/2020 by Patrick Brzeski
enchantedstorybookcastle.jpg

The Walt Disney Company
Shanghai Disneyland at sunset


The park had been expecting a banner holiday season as China prepared to celebrate the new Year of the Rat (or the Mouse). But after authorities confirmed that the virus had been found in every province in China except two, Disney joined other public facilities nationwide in closing its doors.

The Walt Disney Co. is preparing to close its Shanghai Disney Resort in response to the growing outbreak of coronavirus currently sweeping China.

As of Friday afternoon, local time, China’s National Health Commission had confirmed 875 cases of coronavirus infection nationwide, with 26 deaths. Most troubling, all but two of the country’s 31 provinces and municipalities had reported cases of the virus, suggesting that Beijing's belated but now aggressive measures to contain the infection were falling short.

Disney said Friday that it would be joining public facilities across China, including the nation's 70,000 cinemas and the Forbidden City in Beijing, in closing its gates. Public health officials have urged citizens to avoid congregating in crowded public spaces. Disney said it would close the theme park and facilities surrounding it on Saturday.
"We will continue to carefully monitor the situation and be in close contact with the local government," Disney said in a statement on its website and posted across social media. "We will announce the reopening date upon confirmation," it added.

The public health crisis in China has already dealt a hammer blow to the Beijing film industry, forcing studios to cancel the release of their biggest movies during the most popular moviegoing week of the year. The Disney closure arguably marks the first moment when the virus has had a significant impact on a U.S. entertainment firm. The Chinese New Year, also called Spring Festival, is China's busiest travel and vacation period, and the holiday has delivered big attendance numbers to Disney's Shanghai park in years past.

Shanghai Disneyland had planned several special attractions to draw in guests to celebrate the traditional family holiday with some Western entertainment. Mickey, Minnie and the other Disney characters were outfitted in special Spring Festival costumes crafted by Chinese designer Guo Pei, while special red and gold lanterns were hung to line the roads and alleys of Mickey Avenue. The park also created an extra-impressive fireworks display to explode over the compound every night of Spring Festival. The show will to be accompanied by an underscore of traditional Chinese music narrated by Mickey himself.

Read Disney's full statement below:

In response to the prevention and control of the disease outbreak and in order to ensure the health and safety of our guests and Cast, Shanghai Disney Resort is temporarily closing Shanghai Disneyland, Disneytown including Walt Disney Grand Theatre and Wishing Star Park, starting January 25, 2020. We will continue to carefully monitor the situation and be in close contact with the local government, and we will announce the reopening date upon confirmation.

Shanghai Disney Resort will assist in the refund for guests who have purchased tickets for admission to Shanghai Disneyland, have booked a resort hotel, or have booked tickets for Beauty and the Beast Mandarin Production through the original ticket purchase channel, and we will introduce the detailed procedure and guidelines via the resort’s official platforms as soon as possible.

We wish our guests a healthy and happy Spring Festival! (JS - HOPE YOU DON'T DIE!)
 
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Hmm...maybe forcibly substituting basic critical reasoning with mindless loyalty to the state wasnt such a hot idea


0W8kff1.jpg

- SON OF A CYKA DAFUQ DID MAO TEACH THESE FUCKING RETARDS?! -
 
the virus had been found in every province in China except two

wow.

Hmm...maybe forcibly substituting basic critical reasoning with mindless loyalty to the state wasnt such a hot idea
NmsvNZ4uweBSpYFJ.mp4

View attachment 1112883
- SON OF A CYKA DAFUQ DID MAO TEACH THESE FUCKING RETARDS?! -

What do you wanna bet the Chinese just ignore the instructions not to gather for these celebrations and do it anyway?
 
the virus had been found in every province in China except two

wow.



What do you wanna bet the Chinese just ignore the instructions not to gather for these celebrations and do it anyway?
They will just have extra servings of bat broth to perk up their immune systems and probably invent a brand new ancient chinese tradition of everyone spitting in a giant bowl and then drinking out of it as a sacred bonding ritual or some shit
 
This really feels like a happening. What a way to greet the year of the Skaven Rat.

Happy Lunar New Year!
 
Pour one out for me, my niggas.View attachment 1112893
>be me a coronavirus viron
>dumb chink bitch bribed her way on to a plane out the country to chigago
>mytimehascome.chink
>spray out her nose when she sneezes all over the first niggweillo she sees, everybody knows these savages dont bathe themselves
>infiltrate his system through his giant nostrils, nows my chance to spread the plague to this new hemisphere
>suddenly hear banjo boss music
>out of nowhere a group of giant white blood cells wearing MAGA hats appear from behind a fuzzy nose hair folicle
>they have bats they have bleach and they have a noose
>"this is MAGA country boy!" they shout as they devour me whole
 
Why does anyone believe these numbers? Now that there are cases outside of China we will get a better picture of how deadly this virus is. However, from what I have read it does end up hospitalizing people in high numbers.


Swine flu, for example, infected anywhere between 11 to 21% of the global population. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_flu_pandemic). If 25% of those contracting this virus end up requiring intensive medical care and or hospitalization this will overwhelm medical infrastructure to deal with the outbreak. This virus doesn't need to be as deadly as the medieval version of the plague, it just needs to soak up enough resources that when you get sick there isn't anyone to help you and that alone will kill you.
I'm not necessarily disagreeing - I know the Chinese government numbers are fabricated. That said, there's so much media panic revenune-driven reporting right now that one reported case of a young person dying is being made out like it's a global pandemic that will wipe out the human race. There's no point in panicking right now until we know more. For that to happen, we need other non-shit countries to accurately report cases.
 
Pour one out for me, my niggas.View attachment 1112893


10 days since she got back from china
 


10 days since she got back from china


Apparently they got her into treatment 2 days after getting back.

So she only spent 2 days walking around free infecting everyone.
 

Tanks.

Totally just a random flu. Harmless. Ignore the biological warfare division in full hazmat gear and the fucking tanks. Or else.

But hey, at least the glorious Chinese elites have deep fried turtle asshole to dine on, not like you stupid fucking poors.
"MOPP gear is this year's hit new fashion trend, citizen."
 

oh my:


We estimate the basic reproduction number of the infection (R_0) to be 3.8 (95% confidence interval, 3.6-4.0), indicating that 72-75% of transmissions must be prevented by control measures for infections to stop increasing. We estimate that only 5.1% (95%CI, 4.8-5.5) of infections in Wuhan are identified, and by 21 January a total of 11,341 people (prediction interval, 9,217-14,245) had been infected in Wuhan since the start of the year. Should the epidemic continue unabated in Wuhan, we predict the epidemic in Wuhan will be substantially larger by 4 February (191,529 infections; prediction interval, 132,751-273,649), infection will be established in other Chinese cities, and importations to other countries will be more frequent. Our model suggests that travel restrictions from and to Wuhan city are unlikely to be effective in halting transmission across China; with a 99% effective reduction in travel, the size of the epidemic outside of Wuhan may only be reduced by 24.9% on 4 February.
 

oh my:


We estimate the basic reproduction number of the infection (R_0) to be 3.8 (95% confidence interval, 3.6-4.0), indicating that 72-75% of transmissions must be prevented by control measures for infections to stop increasing. We estimate that only 5.1% (95%CI, 4.8-5.5) of infections in Wuhan are identified, and by 21 January a total of 11,341 people (prediction interval, 9,217-14,245) had been infected in Wuhan since the start of the year. Should the epidemic continue unabated in Wuhan, we predict the epidemic in Wuhan will be substantially larger by 4 February (191,529 infections; prediction interval, 132,751-273,649), infection will be established in other Chinese cities, and importations to other countries will be more frequent. Our model suggests that travel restrictions from and to Wuhan city are unlikely to be effective in halting transmission across China; with a 99% effective reduction in travel, the size of the epidemic outside of Wuhan may only be reduced by 24.9% on 4 February.

The PDF has it formatted a bit easier to read:

Key findings
  • We estimate the basic reproduction number of the infection (𝑅𝑅0) to be significantly greater than one. We estimate it to be between 3.6 and 4.0, indicating that 72-75% of transmissions must be prevented by control measures for infections to stop increasing.
  • We estimate that only 5.1% (95%CI, 4.8–5.5) of infections in Wuhan are identified, indicating a large number of infections in the community, and also reflecting the difficulty in detecting cases of this new disease. Surveillance for this novel pathogen has been launched very quickly by public health authorities in China, allowing for rapid assessment of the speed of increase of cases in Wuhan and other areas.
  • If no change in control or transmission happens, then we expect further outbreaks to occur in other Chinese cities, and that infections will continue to be exported to international destinations at an increasing rate. In 14 days’ time (4 February 2020), our model predicts the number of infected people in Wuhan to be greater than 190 thousand (prediction interval, 132,751 to 273,649). We predict the cities with the largest outbreaks elsewhere in China to be Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Chongqing and Chengdu. We also predict that by 4 Feb 2020, the countries or special administrative regions at greatest risk of importing infections through air travel are Thailand, Japan, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and South Korea.
  • Our model suggests that travel restrictions from and to Wuhan city are unlikely to be effective in halting transmission across China; with a 99% effective reduction in travel, the size of the epidemic outside of Wuhan may only be reduced by 24.9% on 4 February.
  • There are important caveats to the reliability of our model predictions, based on the assumptions underpinning the model as well as the data used to fit the model. These should be considered when interpreting our findings
TL;DR: It's way worse than China is letting on, The Wuhan quarantine won't stop it, they predict 11k infections already with ~132k to 273k infections by Feb 4th.
 
Minor powerlevel, but I talked to my brother who's a doctor about this to get his opinion, and he said that the lengths that China is going to disturbs him. Keep in mind, he's not the kind of guy who usually gets freaked out over things.

"Quarantining entire cities, shutting down major tourist destinations like the Great Wall, and Shanghai Disney, closing all movie theaters, shutting down flights, censoring, and arresting people for speaking about the virus, building a new hospital just to treat it, sending in the tanks, and hazmat suits-this is not normal. These are not the first steps you follow to contain an outbreak, especially not for something like this. These are the very last things you do. You only do this when all hell has broken loose, or it's about to."

I asked him what he meant by all that, and what he said echoes pretty much what everyone in this thread already been saying. "China's lying. For them to be going this far means that things have to much worse than what they're telling us."
 
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