Now I have to disagree with you on a lot of this. I think that you are right about Blacks and white liberals. My only disagreement with what you said about Muslims is that I'm not entirely sure if it's fair to call Islam a 'reactionary' ideology, but that is of little importance. Unfortunately, you're dead wrong when it comes down to the one group that really matters here.
I see no reason for the Hispanic community to swing right, even if the immigration issue were to magically go away tomorrow. The leftists have plenty of arguments to use on Hispanics to make them do what they want. Guns? "Whitey will use them to shoot your kids at Walmart." Free speech? "Whitey will use cyber harassment websites to recruit KKK members." Free markets? "Whitey will use that to put your family on the street". Hispanics will end up as slaves to the democrats just like how the Blacks are.
>But their religion!
1. Have you seen the Catholic church these days?
2. There are extremely religious Black communities in this country and I'm sure they vote the same way.
>But the Cubans!
The Cubans aren't all that statistically significant in the grand scheme of things and they are mostly isolated to Florida. Also many of the younger ones swing to the left, like the one bald anti-gun girl who was in the Marjory Stoneman Douglas shooting. I think it's possible that they younger ones, the ones that have never really seen Cuba have forgotten why they are here in the first place.
en.wikipedia.org
en.wikipedia.org
>The legal immigrants
Well I know that most Asian Americans somewhat to the swing left, with the exception of Filipinos (who are also Hispanic, but not really included in the chart in the first Wikipedia link for some reason) , who tend to vote 50/50. Don't know much about white or African immigrants, but all of the east slavs I've interacted with tend to be conservative (if you count them as white).
>'Demographics is destiny' is a meme
I disagree with this. If people who are different from you live in your country then they will support their own interests over yours. It's as simple as that. That's why the Uighurs, Tibets, Sikhs, and White South Africans are essentially up shit creek without a paddle.
1. The Catholic Church has a lot of problems but honestly most of that is confined to middle-class white Catholics in the United States and given all the controversies surrounding Pope Francis, there is a very good chance that the next pope will be more conservative and officially reverse a lot of the more controversial rulings made by the current pope or at least be a traditional centrist who will largely ignore or downplay and memory hole a good chunk of Francis's papal rule.
2. The Latino community is a lot less dependent on government welfare than the Black community statistically speaking and that is the linchpin that keeps inner-city blacks tied to the Democratic Party, and it's a stronger and more long-lived issue than the immigration debate.
Another key component to the Black community's continued support of the Dems is Lyndon B. Johnson, who not only implemented a lot of these welfare programs but also pushed the Civil Rights Act of 1964 into federal law. The Latino community has gone through hardships in American history, but they didn't really have anything like the Jim Crow laws (outside of local ordinances in certain border states like California and Texas)
Jim Crow/Segregation is still within living memory and a lot of Black boomers who are otherwise socially conservative as fuck will vote for the Democrats solely because of LBJ cementing the Democratic Party as the "party of the Civil Rights Movement" in their minds.
3. Asian-Americans do typically vote liberal, but socially tend to skew more centrist or center-left liberal. A lot of this is due to the fact that Asians tended to fare very well economically in the United States, and as the SJW Left becomes more contemptuous of Asians (as it is, they're practically Honorary Whites in the eyes of the Progressive Stack), it could skew a lot of Asian Zoomers towards the more moderate or libertarian wings of the Republican Party (which are growing larger as the Religious Right becomes increasingly irrelevant) or towards the more centrist or moderate liberal Democrats like Tulsi Gabbard and similar fare.
While Tulsi is fairly liberal, she isn't a hard leftist like Bernie or The Squad, nor does she go out of the way to pander to that crowd like Elizabeth Warren, Corey Booker, or Kamala Harris. In 2004, Tulsi would be a left-wing Democrat but in 2019, she's essentially a centrist thanks to the Overton Window being shifted so badly.
Also, keep in mind that a lot of inner-city Blacks hate Asians every bit as much as they hate Whites and a lot of that goes back decades before the Progressive Stack was even a thing.
Remember the LA Riots in 1992? The inner-city blacks not only attacked random whites, they also went after the Asian population very hard. The Korean community in particular decided to fight back and shoot rioters from the rooftops.
If the Left keeps digging themselves further into IdPol and the Progressive Stack SJW bullshit, a lot of that venom will only get worse and soon you'll start seeing more Asians teaming up with non-dangerhair/soyboy Whites causing a shift in demographic voter blocks.
4. In the United States, "Demographics is Destiny" is a meme. The United States has never been built on a singular ethnic identity. Uighurs, Tibetans, White South Africans, and Sikhs were always a minority in their countries and were often the victims of conquest or regime change from a larger outsider culture that was built on ethnic identity, such as the Han Chinese or black South African tribes.
In the 1800's and early 1900's, a lot of immigrant groups such as the Irish, Italians, Ulster Scots/Scots-Irish, Greeks, Poles, Hungarians, and Slavs were not considered "White" but instead were placed in the category of "ethnic" and the Latinos in America have a lot more common parallels with the old European "ethnic" communities of the 19th and early 20th Century than inner-city Blacks, the Muslim communities, or spoiled college leftists.
Nowadays, the only people in America who still think Italians, Irish, or Poles aren't White are either centenarian WASP semi-corpses or the occasional edgy shitposter on /pol/
The blacks have been in this country longer than most Latinos, Asians, or even "ethnic" White Americans, but because of slavery and Jim Crow, they're under a different set of sociopolitical circumstances than Latinos and Asians or the ethnic Whites of old. They're also less than fifteen percent of the population and are mainly the "key vote" in places like Detroit, Chicago, Baltimore, New Orleans, and Atlanta, all of whom are usually either red states, swing states, or in Illinois, a light red state held hostage by a deep blue city.
The demographic shift leftward in the United States we've seen in the past decade is largely generational, not racial.
America is not Europe, the main threat to our culture and liberty is not economic migrants from the Middle East.
Instead the threat is spoiled Millennials from the colleges and a few coastal cities. That problem will likely self-correct not only because of the increased pendulum effect in American society and culture but also because the college degree is becoming increasingly seen as a worthless investment (barring a few fields like STEM or Medicine, which are largely not affected by the postmodern Left)
The Millennials leaned left due to growing up in the shadow of the Religious Right and then entering adulthood in the wake of the Great Recession. Far-left opportunists then amplified that and made things worse since Millennials have the most college degrees of any generation since they were told that the Bachelor's Degree is the new high school diploma but weren't told that certain degrees are worth far more than others.
The neoliberal corporatists then enabled them because they made for good useful idiots and the corporatists did not want another Occupy Wall Street on their hands, and so they co-opted a lot of that angst and astroturfed the fuck out of Occupy and then it spread from there thanks to social media.
A lot of the SJW Left's origins and unique forms of insanity can be traced both to the Occupy movement as a whole and to a backlash against the Religious Right, particularly the form it took in the Bush years.
If Trump wins in 2020, the SJW Left will be at a disadvantage and will likely lose a lot of support from the big corporate elites since they will no longer be useful for the most part. If Antifa manages to score some kills, then a lot of the far left will be up shit creek without a paddle.
If Trump gets reelected AND Antifa starts getting a body count attached to their name, then the Left is truly imperially fucked.
