UN US Midterm Elections 2018 Megathread - Blue Wave or Red Tsunami? Because you know we need one.

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November 6th, 2018.
You have less than one month to sperg about the midterm elections.

Hot Takes :
Tis the end of Drumpf!
It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.
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http://archive.is/1rEYe
Could the US midterm elections break Trump's presidency?

President Donald Trump. Source: AAP


Voting in the US midterm elections is now underway.

UpdatedUpdated 27 September
By Rashida Yosufzai, Nick Baker
In this article...
Americans have started to cast their ballots in a vote that could shape the rest of Donald Trump's presidency.

Although the US midterm elections are technically held on 6 November, early voting has already started in a handful of states.

Minnesota was the first state to allow early in-person voting on 21 September, with a handful of key states following, including New Jersey, California and Arizona.


Thirty-five states and the District of Columbia offer some form of early voting, meaning every day until 6 November counts for Democrats and Republicans.

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

80 per cent chance of winning back the chamber.

Republicans have a 1 in 5 chance of keeping control of the House, while Democrats have about a 4 in 5 chance of winning control of the House. https://t.co/lyNh30TEIw pic.twitter.com/O38qtMPpIz

— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 25, 2018
The Senate though is likely to be retained by the Republicans.

According to CNN, the Democrats are defending some two dozen seats, including 10 in states where Mr Trump secured victory in 2016, and five of those where he won resoundingly.

FiveThirtyEight gives the Democrats just a 30 per cent chance of taking the Senate.

Trump's election one year on: What do Americans think of him now?[/paste:font]


The Democrats could also use their numbers to set up House select committees targeting the president.

"They will have an opportunity to set up special panels and committees to essentially smear President Trump," United States Studies Centre research fellow Dougal Robinson told SBS News in April.

Mr Robinson pointed to the Benghazi committee set up by the Republicans against Hillary Clinton in 2014 to further investigate the fatal 2012 terrorist attack on two US government facilities in Libya.

Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

Once seen as cruising to an easy vote - fulfilling Mr Trump's key promise to stack the Supreme Court with conservative justices - a string of sexual assault allegations has turned the Kavanaugh decision into all-out political war.

According to CNN's national political reporter Eric Bradner, the scandal and lukewarm response from some Republicans to Mr Kavanaugh's accusers could "drive suburban women away in midterms".

I have no doubt that, if the attack on Dr. Ford was as bad as she says, charges would have been immediately filed with local Law Enforcement Authorities by either her or her loving parents. I ask that she bring those filings forward so that we can learn date, time, and place!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 21, 2018
Analysts also point to Robert Mueller's investigation as an ongoing potential source of political curveballs.

Mr Mueller has already indicted more than 30 people in connection with his probe into whether members of Mr Trump's campaign colluded with Russia to help get the real estate tycoon elected.

And speculation has swirled in recent days that Mr Trump may fire embattled deputy attorney general Rod Rosenstein - who oversees the Russia collusion probe.

Doubts over how long Mr Rosenstein can keep the job have swirled since shock media reports that he once suggested secretly recording Mr Trump to collect evidence for ousting him under a constitutional amendment for presidents unfit to remain in office.

Mr Rosenstein's firing - and Mr Trump possibly putting someone more pliable in his place - would set off alarm bells over the future independence of a probe, which has the potential to rock both the midterms and the entire Trump presidency.

US wants ‘partnership, not domination’ in Australia and region[/paste:font]


A report co-authored by Mr Robinson predicted after the midterms, Congress would be highly unlikely to support a US re-entry to the Trans-Pacific Partnership - a trade deal between 11 Pacific nations including Australia and New Zealand which Mr Trump pulled the US out of last year.

Another issue that may affect Australia is that if the Democrats retake the House, it is likely to lead to lower defence spending.

Additional reporting: AAP, AFP

This article was originally published in April 2018 and updated in September 2018.
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How will Trump keep his voter base energized? "More Winning."
http://archive.fo/VkaHH

TRUMP HAS A TWO WORD RESPONSE WHEN REPORTER ASKS HIM HOW HE WILL KEEP GOP BASE ENERGIZED
5:52 PM 10/10/2018
Benny Johnson | Reporter At Large

President Donald Trump made portions of the White House press corps chuckle with his response on how he intends to keep Republican voters fired up after the ultimately successful confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

“How do you keep your base energized now that you have this Kavanaugh victory?” one reporter asked. Tuesday was the first day that Kavanaugh sat on the court after a contentious battle over his nomination.

“More winning,” Trump said.

Trump was leaving the White House on his way to a campaign rally Tuesday night when he took questions from reporters in the White House driveway.

The president was also asked about the mobs of paid progressive protesters that took over Capitol Hill during the contentious debate over Kavanaugh’s confirmation. Trump was specifically asked about the intense “energy” of the protesters.

“A lot of those were paid protesters. You saw that they are all unhappy because they haven’t been paid yet,” Trump alleged about the protesters. (RELATED: Trump Has A Theory Why The Anti-Kavanaugh Protesters Are So Mad)


Trump brought up his new trade deal with Canada and Mexico as a major policy win. “Our deal with Mexico and Canada was fantastic,” Trump said. “China wants to make a deal so badly. We will see where it goes. But I don’t think they are ready.”
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Trump Will Lose 60 Seats in the house... Unless... Please Visit My Site
http://archive.fo/zHe4o

MATT DRUDGE WARNS OF MIDTERM BLOODBATH: TRUMP TO LOSE ’60 SEATS IN THE HOUSE LIKE OBAMA DID’
2:41 PM 09/14/2018
Peter Hasson | Reporter

Conservative news giant Matt Drudge on Friday made a somber prediction about Republicans’ chances in the November midterm elections, predicting President Donald Trump will see his party lose 60 seats in the House of Representatives.

Drudge, who runs the influential Drudge Report, compared the upcoming midterms to the electoral bloodbath Democrats suffered in the 2010 midterm elections under former President Barack Obama.

Matt-Drudge-Tweet-620x298.jpg

Screenshot/Twitter

“Trump and Obama both have 47% approval at this time of presidency, according to Rasmussen. Trump will also lose 60 seats in the House like Obama did during first midterm!” Drudge wrote on Twitter. (RELATED: Democrats Should Immediately Abolish ICE After Retaking Congress)

He added cryptically: “Unless…”

Democrats have to gain 23 House seats in November in order to flip the lower chamber. Democrats have an 83 percent chance of retaking the House, according to FiveThirty Eight.

Follow Hasson on Twitter @PeterJHasson

Content created by The Daily Caller News Foundation is available without charge to any eligible news publisher that can provide a large audience. For licensing opportunities of our original content, please contact licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.
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The Weird :
Mark Taylor "Red Tsunami Prophecy"
http://archive.fo/KJjj2

Mark Taylor (The Trump Prophecies): Most Important Midterm Elections In All Of US History
July 30, 2018 29 3159


Mark Taylor says the upcoming 2018 elections are the most important mid-term elections in all of America’s history. Here’s why…

Mark Taylor interviewed by Greg Hunter on USA Watchdog

Mark Taylor, author of the popular book “The Trump Prophecies,” contends, “If you are part of the army of God, you need to be ready also because there are going to be politicians that are going to resign. We have had the biggest number of resignations probably in history. This midterm election is going to be huge. This is going to be a red tsunami. They keep talking about the blue wave. I think it’s going to be a blue drip, a leaky faucet, and that is all they are going to get. You have had more resignations than we have ever seen. Now is the time to go in and capture this ground and hold it for the Kingdom of God. . . . It’s not a left or right thing. God is moving us towards a place of righteousness. That’s what’s happening right now. So, he’s going to be replacing these people. If you are called to be a judge, senator, congressman or a council person, I don’t care what level local, state or federal, take your place and get ready. If you are in the Army of God and you don’t vote, you need to get off your behind and register to vote. These are going to be the most important midterm elections in America’s history—period.”

In closing, Taylor says, “I don’t think there is going to be another Democrat in the White House for a long time, if ever again. I believe you are seeing the death of the Democrat party right now.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Mark Taylor, co-author of “The Trump Prophecies,” which has been made into a movie that is releasing in early October.

Donations: https://usawatchdog.com/donations/
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Dogs can't look up said:
Reducing corporate taxes doesn't grow anything. We're still a largely free market, which means supply and demand and all ancillary factors drive growth, not tax cuts. Corporations that receive tax cuts just bank them or pass them onto investors. They buy back stock. They don't invest in workers. Wages are still stagnant, because why wouldn't they be? This is freshman year economics.
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When you fail to understand Keynesian economic theory in such an obvious way, you probably shouldn't be so condescending as you do so. According to Keynes' theory, which is taught to many freshmen in economics, expansionary fiscal policy consists of increasing public spending and reducing taxation.

Before you proceed to misunderstand what I just wrote, I'll mention some things:
  • Keynes' theories are not universally agreed upon. They are taught in basic economics classes, though.
  • Expansionary fiscal policy is only appropriate, according to Keynes, when the economy is shrinking. When it is expanding, public spending is supposed to go down, taxation up.
Neither of those points negates my argument, which is that "freshman year economics" contradicts your statement.

I have no idea why you get basic facts wrong with the regularity of a printing press, but you do, yet you can't seem to avoid condescending even as you misinform. You can stop doing that now,. The Dunning-Kruger effect doesn't need more posterboys.
 
LastOfTheMohicans said:
Wasn't she one of the people putting out actual statements that flat-out stated she plans to have illegal aliens out voting in the election...you know...illegally?

This is probably actually what she's referring to. Extend voting rights to illegal aliens.
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:late: And people on the internet thought I was making shit up when I told them the Democrats use illegal voters
 
Just Some Other Guy said:
Unless I'm mistaken, didn't quite a few companies (such as Walmart) pass on some of the tax cuts as employee bonuses and wage increases? Correct me if I'm wrong about that.
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If they have more money available to them and it gives them an advantage over competitors, plenty of businesses will do that if they have less of their profits taxed away.

But nothing can convince someone who is perpetually committed to a narrative of worker exploitation... exploitation which can always be fixed, naturally, by a centralization of power and less worker choice.
 
In real terms? There's just not enough data after two quarters. Really you need a good year or so to see what's what. By my relatively layman's understanding.

Generally the bigger the gdp figure, the better for all as it means more jobs, more spending and investment. Per capital however? Well the curve is very slow and steady for the us. While many other states like the UK and Canada have been seeing it worsen.
 
Just Some Other Guy said:
Unless I'm mistaken, didn't quite a few companies (such as Walmart) pass on some of the tax cuts as employee bonuses and wage increases? Correct me if I'm wrong about that.
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Yes, and home depot, and others. Of course even if he was right and they never use it to hire more people, buy more stuff, or increase wages or benefits, I'm not sure why he thinks money paid to investors vanishes into a black hole.
 
Your Weird Fetish said:
Yes, and home depot, and others. Of course even if he was right and they never use it to hire more people, buy more stuff, or increase wages or benefits, I'm not sure why he thinks money paid to investors vanishes into a black hole.
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Because it's the sign of someone who doesn't understand how investors work on a basic level and how stocks work on a dividend level.

Shockingly if companies instead "kept the cash" and paid off investor loans early that's also a good thing as it increases a company's solvency by offloading or paying doen debt.

Most won't however because said loans are fixed in their interest and length of time.

Heck a lot of folks with a decent stock portfolio can live off of the damn dividends. This is how a lot of these people who are worth like $300m don't actually have that much cash to hand as it's all locked in investments. They get stupid money but not their net worth.
 
Dogs can't look up said:
Reducing corporate taxes doesn't grow anything. We're still a largely free market, which means supply and demand and all ancillary factors drive growth, not tax cuts. Corporations that receive tax cuts just bank them or pass them onto investors. They buy back stock. They don't invest in workers. Wages are still stagnant, because why wouldn't they be? This is freshman year economics.



The deficit ballooned a good trillion dollars thanks to the tax cuts no one needed. This is opposite of fiscal conservatism.
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When faced with the utter inability to shill that Orange Man Bad due to polls, the smug shitposter now tries and fails to pull out the old canard of BUSINESS BAD too. Hilariously, he does this during a boom period, which was brought about by companies shockingly not doing this. In fact they were more willing to spend on things rather than leave it in a bank; ranging from employees' wages to entice more people in, to new equipment or infrastructure since spending money wisely makes a business more money in the end. He then proceeds to self-own himself because even in his stale, musty, and unsupported statement of Businessman Bad; he slips in the aforementioned paying off stockholders, which hilariously helps the business and worker because it makes the business look more reliable and less reliant on loans from stock.

I'm beginning to understand why the tribalism happens in this thread, even as I don't condone it.
 
I remember a number of companies who shrugged at the tax cuts and gave them to the workers because they'd already locked into various financial agreements on paying back loans. Thanks to the current boom time they don't particularly need that extra cash to shore up their own bottom line, so it was easier to share the wealth.
 
Adamska said:
\
I'm beginning to understand why the tribalism happens in this thread, even as I don't condone it.
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Tribalism exists because no one really has time to consider everything on its individual merits. Sometimes a fast solution is better than a perfectly accurate one, as long as it's mostly accurate. It has its uses.
 
Your Weird Fetish said:
Tribalism exists because no one really has time to consider everything on its individual merits. Sometimes a fast solution is better than a perfectly accurate one, as long as it's mostly accurate. It has its uses.
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Uses for dumbdumbs.
 
I'm so fed up of the Democratic criticism of Trump. It's just usually about "oh no not the salty strippers" or "oh no he swore on campaign once" . Like there's legit criticism of Trump to be had but the democrats are never gonna get anywhere near it.
Or you know how most Dems think of themselves of diluted Republicans. Bitch, no GOP Trump lover is suddenly gonna vote for your stupid ass because you said you like rifles.
 
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