UN US Midterm Elections 2018 Megathread - Blue Wave or Red Tsunami? Because you know we need one.

November 6th, 2018.
You have less than one month to sperg about the midterm elections.

Hot Takes :
Tis the end of Drumpf!

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

http://archive.is/1rEYe

Could the US midterm elections break Trump's presidency?

President Donald Trump. Source: AAP


Voting in the US midterm elections is now underway.

UpdatedUpdated 27 September
By Rashida Yosufzai, Nick Baker
In this article...

• What are the midterms?
• What do the polls predict?
• Why do these elections matter?
• How could recent developments affect things?
• Could Trump be impeached?
• Will the youth vote make a difference?
• What does it mean for Australia?

Americans have started to cast their ballots in a vote that could shape the rest of Donald Trump's presidency.

Although the US midterm elections are technically held on 6 November, early voting has already started in a handful of states.

Minnesota was the first state to allow early in-person voting on 21 September, with a handful of key states following, including New Jersey, California and Arizona.


Thirty-five states and the District of Columbia offer some form of early voting, meaning every day until 6 November counts for Democrats and Republicans.

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

80 per cent chance of winning back the chamber.

Republicans have a 1 in 5 chance of keeping control of the House, while Democrats have about a 4 in 5 chance of winning control of the House. https://t.co/lyNh30TEIw pic.twitter.com/O38qtMPpIz

— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 25, 2018
The Senate though is likely to be retained by the Republicans.

According to CNN, the Democrats are defending some two dozen seats, including 10 in states where Mr Trump secured victory in 2016, and five of those where he won resoundingly.

FiveThirtyEight gives the Democrats just a 30 per cent chance of taking the Senate.

Trump's election one year on: What do Americans think of him now?[/paste:font]


The Democrats could also use their numbers to set up House select committees targeting the president.

"They will have an opportunity to set up special panels and committees to essentially smear President Trump," United States Studies Centre research fellow Dougal Robinson told SBS News in April.

Mr Robinson pointed to the Benghazi committee set up by the Republicans against Hillary Clinton in 2014 to further investigate the fatal 2012 terrorist attack on two US government facilities in Libya.

Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

Once seen as cruising to an easy vote - fulfilling Mr Trump's key promise to stack the Supreme Court with conservative justices - a string of sexual assault allegations has turned the Kavanaugh decision into all-out political war.

According to CNN's national political reporter Eric Bradner, the scandal and lukewarm response from some Republicans to Mr Kavanaugh's accusers could "drive suburban women away in midterms".

I have no doubt that, if the attack on Dr. Ford was as bad as she says, charges would have been immediately filed with local Law Enforcement Authorities by either her or her loving parents. I ask that she bring those filings forward so that we can learn date, time, and place!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 21, 2018
Analysts also point to Robert Mueller's investigation as an ongoing potential source of political curveballs.

Mr Mueller has already indicted more than 30 people in connection with his probe into whether members of Mr Trump's campaign colluded with Russia to help get the real estate tycoon elected.

And speculation has swirled in recent days that Mr Trump may fire embattled deputy attorney general Rod Rosenstein - who oversees the Russia collusion probe.

Doubts over how long Mr Rosenstein can keep the job have swirled since shock media reports that he once suggested secretly recording Mr Trump to collect evidence for ousting him under a constitutional amendment for presidents unfit to remain in office.

Mr Rosenstein's firing - and Mr Trump possibly putting someone more pliable in his place - would set off alarm bells over the future independence of a probe, which has the potential to rock both the midterms and the entire Trump presidency.

US wants ‘partnership, not domination’ in Australia and region[/paste:font]


A report co-authored by Mr Robinson predicted after the midterms, Congress would be highly unlikely to support a US re-entry to the Trans-Pacific Partnership - a trade deal between 11 Pacific nations including Australia and New Zealand which Mr Trump pulled the US out of last year.

Another issue that may affect Australia is that if the Democrats retake the House, it is likely to lead to lower defence spending.

Additional reporting: AAP, AFP

This article was originally published in April 2018 and updated in September 2018.

How will Trump keep his voter base energized? "More Winning."
http://archive.fo/VkaHH

TRUMP HAS A TWO WORD RESPONSE WHEN REPORTER ASKS HIM HOW HE WILL KEEP GOP BASE ENERGIZED
5:52 PM 10/10/2018
Benny Johnson | Reporter At Large

President Donald Trump made portions of the White House press corps chuckle with his response on how he intends to keep Republican voters fired up after the ultimately successful confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

“How do you keep your base energized now that you have this Kavanaugh victory?” one reporter asked. Tuesday was the first day that Kavanaugh sat on the court after a contentious battle over his nomination.

“More winning,” Trump said.

Trump was leaving the White House on his way to a campaign rally Tuesday night when he took questions from reporters in the White House driveway.

The president was also asked about the mobs of paid progressive protesters that took over Capitol Hill during the contentious debate over Kavanaugh’s confirmation. Trump was specifically asked about the intense “energy” of the protesters.

“A lot of those were paid protesters. You saw that they are all unhappy because they haven’t been paid yet,” Trump alleged about the protesters. (RELATED: Trump Has A Theory Why The Anti-Kavanaugh Protesters Are So Mad)


Trump brought up his new trade deal with Canada and Mexico as a major policy win. “Our deal with Mexico and Canada was fantastic,” Trump said. “China wants to make a deal so badly. We will see where it goes. But I don’t think they are ready.”

Trump Will Lose 60 Seats in the house... Unless... Please Visit My Site
http://archive.fo/zHe4o

MATT DRUDGE WARNS OF MIDTERM BLOODBATH: TRUMP TO LOSE ’60 SEATS IN THE HOUSE LIKE OBAMA DID’
2:41 PM 09/14/2018
Peter Hasson | Reporter

Conservative news giant Matt Drudge on Friday made a somber prediction about Republicans’ chances in the November midterm elections, predicting President Donald Trump will see his party lose 60 seats in the House of Representatives.

Drudge, who runs the influential Drudge Report, compared the upcoming midterms to the electoral bloodbath Democrats suffered in the 2010 midterm elections under former President Barack Obama.

Screenshot/Twitter

“Trump and Obama both have 47% approval at this time of presidency, according to Rasmussen. Trump will also lose 60 seats in the House like Obama did during first midterm!” Drudge wrote on Twitter. (RELATED: Democrats Should Immediately Abolish ICE After Retaking Congress)

He added cryptically: “Unless…”

Democrats have to gain 23 House seats in November in order to flip the lower chamber. Democrats have an 83 percent chance of retaking the House, according to FiveThirty Eight.

Follow Hasson on Twitter @PeterJHasson

Content created by The Daily Caller News Foundation is available without charge to any eligible news publisher that can provide a large audience. For licensing opportunities of our original content, please contact licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.

The Weird :
Mark Taylor "Red Tsunami Prophecy"
http://archive.fo/KJjj2

Mark Taylor (The Trump Prophecies): Most Important Midterm Elections In All Of US History
July 30, 2018 29 3159


Mark Taylor says the upcoming 2018 elections are the most important mid-term elections in all of America’s history. Here’s why…

Mark Taylor interviewed by Greg Hunter on USA Watchdog

Mark Taylor, author of the popular book “The Trump Prophecies,” contends, “If you are part of the army of God, you need to be ready also because there are going to be politicians that are going to resign. We have had the biggest number of resignations probably in history. This midterm election is going to be huge. This is going to be a red tsunami. They keep talking about the blue wave. I think it’s going to be a blue drip, a leaky faucet, and that is all they are going to get. You have had more resignations than we have ever seen. Now is the time to go in and capture this ground and hold it for the Kingdom of God. . . . It’s not a left or right thing. God is moving us towards a place of righteousness. That’s what’s happening right now. So, he’s going to be replacing these people. If you are called to be a judge, senator, congressman or a council person, I don’t care what level local, state or federal, take your place and get ready. If you are in the Army of God and you don’t vote, you need to get off your behind and register to vote. These are going to be the most important midterm elections in America’s history—period.”

In closing, Taylor says, “I don’t think there is going to be another Democrat in the White House for a long time, if ever again. I believe you are seeing the death of the Democrat party right now.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Mark Taylor, co-author of “The Trump Prophecies,” which has been made into a movie that is releasing in early October.

Donations: https://usawatchdog.com/donations/

 

[Marvin]

'i' am not the same thing as a think tank or special interest group or union or corporation, or some other legal entity that gets to behave as though it is an individual person

yes, that's currently the law, but it's a problem

People should be able to collectively organize politically. That's essentially what's happening in those groups.

This is really hard for me to say, because I've always said I don't want to see a one-party system. One party systems that exist for more than a brief duration are a very bad thing, historically.

That said.

Fuck the current Democrat party. I hope they get drove into the ground, hard.

They deserve nothing, and have proven they aren't to be trusted with anything more dangerous than the lint harvested from their own belly buttons.

When they grow up and stop acting like exceptional baboons on meth, then they can try again.

If the Democrat party chokes and dies, it's not like the people will cease to exist. They'll regroup and try to avoid dying again. I think the most successful faction will reestablish itself by focusing on worker's rights and things like that.

 

[MembersSchoolPizza]

If the Democrat party chokes and dies, it's not like the people will cease to exist. They'll regroup and try to avoid dying again. I think the most successful faction will reestablish itself by focusing on worker's rights and things like that.

That's fine. I would consider that a win. It might be easier than trying to salvage the existing party, at this rate.

 

[bippu_as_fuck_ls400]

Not sure where else to put it, but it's good to see the Democrats receiving what they advocate for:

 

[kidatari]

Not sure where else to put it, but it's good to see the Democrats receiving what they advocate for:

https://youtube.com/watch?v=0Gqtn2zsB_4

unfortunately since the majority of the MSM/online news, late night hosts, day time talk shows, etc.. are leftist
Some will cover this and slam Trump/Republican supporters for harassing a government official.
"This is Trumps America"
But will stay quite about the two Republican officials who were currently assaulted

by the way, I loved the video

 

[Rand /pol/]

People are being to in this thread, the average Democrat voter doesn't care what stupid stuff DNC politicians get into, and they sure as hell won't vote GOP because of "SJWs".

 

[Kirito]

People are being to in this thread, the average Democrat voter doesn't care what stupid stuff DNC politicians get into, and they sure as hell won't vote GOP because of "SJWs".

They're also lazy as fuck and would rather bitch online than actually vote.
However, thats not who matters. The people in the middle are the ones who decide elections, not the delusional lefties or militant right wing types.

 

[CephalopodEnthusiast]

If the Democrat party chokes and dies, it's not like the people will cease to exist. They'll regroup and try to avoid dying again. I think the most successful faction will reestablish itself by focusing on worker's rights and things like that.

Is it even possible for the Dem party to be shut down like that? What would be formed in its place?

 

[The Great Chandler]

Self-projection man!

 

[Rand /pol/]

Is it even possible for the Dem party to be shut down like that? What would be formed in its place?

No, the democratic party isn't going to "shut down" the most it'll ever do in the foreseeable future is change it's platform.

 

[CephalopodEnthusiast]

No, the democratic party isn't going to "shut down" the most it'll ever do in the foreseeable future is change it's platform.

I see.

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Self-projection man!

Dems practically advocate for fear mongering, with how they demonize Repubs.

 

[Kirito]

Is it even possible for the Dem party to be shut down like that? What would be formed in its place?

In all likelihood if the democrat party was so thoroughly destroyed to the point of having no presence the overton window would shift right and a pro-union, pro working class party would replace it without the baggage with new leadership and some way to keep it from falling in the same way
This won't happen though. American political parties are too big to fail, they'll just continue to change over time.

 

[CephalopodEnthusiast]

In all likelihood if the democrat party was so thoroughly destroyed to the point of having no presence the overton window would shift right and a pro-union, pro working class party would replace it without the baggage with new leadership and some way to keep it from falling in the same way
This won't happen though. American political parties are too big to fail, they'll just continue to change over time.

I suppose that's more of a worse-case-scenario thing.

If the party does change I hope it's in the positive sense- people will have learned from the '16 election. But that's me being optimistic.

 

[Spooky]

Sorry to harp on an old story, but for people who aren't following, McCaskill got PV'd and reacted about as poorly as possible with, 'We NEED a special prosecutor to take down Project Veritas!'

Highlights Include
- Gun and gun accessory bans including "semi-automatic rifles"
- Pretending not to take money from Planned Parenthood but getting it from them in roundabout ways
- Pretending to be more moderate than she actually is
Hawley was slightly up, basically in a statistical tie with her at the beginning of the month according to RCP in the polls, so I can't imagine this will help.

We also have George Lopez assaulting people who heckled him a tad with pro-trump stuff. https://www.foxnews.com/entertainme...-with-an-alleged-trump-supporter-at-a-hooters Look at how even right wing media is sympathetic or at least fair to Lopez, someone who hates them. This is one of the many reasons I think Fox is the best real news source when it comes to "print."

 

[Kirito]

I suppose that's more of a worse-case-scenario thing.

If the party does change I hope it's in the positive sense- people will have learned from the '16 election. But that's me being optimistic.

What they need to do is clean house. They need to oust the socialists and remove their leaders. Get some big union guys in charge, drop all the identity politics and welfare state bullshit, and focus on a pro-american economic policy. It's patently obvious majority of Americans are pro-borders, very pro-American business and are sick of divisive identity politics. They could rebrand as the party of workers and try to move past another dark chapter of their history.
They won't do this though, they're really banking on pandering to third worlders and crazies and doing everything to make them the majority to stay in power.

 

[Rand /pol/]

drop all the identity politics and welfare state bullshi

But they have no reason to do so, focusing on welfare, immigration, and ethnic groups gets them plenty of votes.

 

[Kirito]

But they have no reason to do so, focusing on welfare, immigration, and ethnic groups gets them plenty of votes.

It's been getting shaky for them. The midterms are gonna make or break them. If they dont gain much ground in November they're looking at a very bleak presidential election. If they pivot, it'll be after 2020 and before 2024. My bet is they lose both 2020, and 2024 and America is better for it.

 

[Rand /pol/]

It's been getting shaky for them. The midterms are gonna make or break them. If they dont gain much ground in November they're looking at a very bleak presidential election. If they pivot, it'll be after 2020 and before 2024. My bet is they lose both 2020, and 2024 and America is better for it.

It was shaky for them throughout Bush's presidency, they still won '08.

 

[Spooky]

At this rate the Dems only have to wait until America gets more brown to have there be the progressive and liberal parties. Republicans need to move to merit immigration with a strong southern border and quick otherwise changing demographics will permanently alter politics here. No group on average supports hatespeech as free speech or gun rights except whites. This might change if people are given a while to integrate, but don't expect it to happen before demographics fundamentally alter the electoral map unless Reps take some real Trump moves

 

[Kirito]

It was shaky for them throughout Bush's presidency, they still won '08.

I dont think thats comparable. They made gains over the course of Bush's administration, Bush did better for them than he did for the republicans.
Their mass immigration scheme is being stopped and they're a party of radicals now. Back then they tried, and successfully, claimed they were the moderate party and managed to blame all the issues on republicans. 8 years of Obama put them in the worst place their party has been in in nearly 100 years and they're still on a downward trajectory.
I'll also add this, the republicans made their own pivot over the course of the last few years. The democrats are just behind on the paradigm shift and they're suffering for it.

 

[bippu_as_fuck_ls400]

by the way, I loved the video

I was going to feel a little bad about the vid because Pelosi was one of the few Democrats to speak out against Maxine Waters when she advocated harrassing Trump officials. Then I thought about the whole Kavanaugh affair. Fuck that bitch.