UN US Midterm Elections 2018 Megathread - Blue Wave or Red Tsunami? Because you know we need one.

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November 6th, 2018.
You have less than one month to sperg about the midterm elections.

Hot Takes :
Tis the end of Drumpf!
It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

http://archive.is/1rEYe
Could the US midterm elections break Trump's presidency?

President Donald Trump. Source: AAP


Voting in the US midterm elections is now underway.

UpdatedUpdated 27 September
By Rashida Yosufzai, Nick Baker
In this article...
Americans have started to cast their ballots in a vote that could shape the rest of Donald Trump's presidency.

Although the US midterm elections are technically held on 6 November, early voting has already started in a handful of states.

Minnesota was the first state to allow early in-person voting on 21 September, with a handful of key states following, including New Jersey, California and Arizona.


Thirty-five states and the District of Columbia offer some form of early voting, meaning every day until 6 November counts for Democrats and Republicans.

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

80 per cent chance of winning back the chamber.

Republicans have a 1 in 5 chance of keeping control of the House, while Democrats have about a 4 in 5 chance of winning control of the House. https://t.co/lyNh30TEIw pic.twitter.com/O38qtMPpIz

— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 25, 2018
The Senate though is likely to be retained by the Republicans.

According to CNN, the Democrats are defending some two dozen seats, including 10 in states where Mr Trump secured victory in 2016, and five of those where he won resoundingly.

FiveThirtyEight gives the Democrats just a 30 per cent chance of taking the Senate.

Trump's election one year on: What do Americans think of him now?[/paste:font]


The Democrats could also use their numbers to set up House select committees targeting the president.

"They will have an opportunity to set up special panels and committees to essentially smear President Trump," United States Studies Centre research fellow Dougal Robinson told SBS News in April.

Mr Robinson pointed to the Benghazi committee set up by the Republicans against Hillary Clinton in 2014 to further investigate the fatal 2012 terrorist attack on two US government facilities in Libya.

Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

Once seen as cruising to an easy vote - fulfilling Mr Trump's key promise to stack the Supreme Court with conservative justices - a string of sexual assault allegations has turned the Kavanaugh decision into all-out political war.

According to CNN's national political reporter Eric Bradner, the scandal and lukewarm response from some Republicans to Mr Kavanaugh's accusers could "drive suburban women away in midterms".

I have no doubt that, if the attack on Dr. Ford was as bad as she says, charges would have been immediately filed with local Law Enforcement Authorities by either her or her loving parents. I ask that she bring those filings forward so that we can learn date, time, and place!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 21, 2018
Analysts also point to Robert Mueller's investigation as an ongoing potential source of political curveballs.

Mr Mueller has already indicted more than 30 people in connection with his probe into whether members of Mr Trump's campaign colluded with Russia to help get the real estate tycoon elected.

And speculation has swirled in recent days that Mr Trump may fire embattled deputy attorney general Rod Rosenstein - who oversees the Russia collusion probe.

Doubts over how long Mr Rosenstein can keep the job have swirled since shock media reports that he once suggested secretly recording Mr Trump to collect evidence for ousting him under a constitutional amendment for presidents unfit to remain in office.

Mr Rosenstein's firing - and Mr Trump possibly putting someone more pliable in his place - would set off alarm bells over the future independence of a probe, which has the potential to rock both the midterms and the entire Trump presidency.

US wants ‘partnership, not domination’ in Australia and region[/paste:font]


A report co-authored by Mr Robinson predicted after the midterms, Congress would be highly unlikely to support a US re-entry to the Trans-Pacific Partnership - a trade deal between 11 Pacific nations including Australia and New Zealand which Mr Trump pulled the US out of last year.

Another issue that may affect Australia is that if the Democrats retake the House, it is likely to lead to lower defence spending.

Additional reporting: AAP, AFP

This article was originally published in April 2018 and updated in September 2018.

How will Trump keep his voter base energized? "More Winning."
http://archive.fo/VkaHH

TRUMP HAS A TWO WORD RESPONSE WHEN REPORTER ASKS HIM HOW HE WILL KEEP GOP BASE ENERGIZED
5:52 PM 10/10/2018
Benny Johnson | Reporter At Large

President Donald Trump made portions of the White House press corps chuckle with his response on how he intends to keep Republican voters fired up after the ultimately successful confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

“How do you keep your base energized now that you have this Kavanaugh victory?” one reporter asked. Tuesday was the first day that Kavanaugh sat on the court after a contentious battle over his nomination.

“More winning,” Trump said.

Trump was leaving the White House on his way to a campaign rally Tuesday night when he took questions from reporters in the White House driveway.

The president was also asked about the mobs of paid progressive protesters that took over Capitol Hill during the contentious debate over Kavanaugh’s confirmation. Trump was specifically asked about the intense “energy” of the protesters.

“A lot of those were paid protesters. You saw that they are all unhappy because they haven’t been paid yet,” Trump alleged about the protesters. (RELATED: Trump Has A Theory Why The Anti-Kavanaugh Protesters Are So Mad)


Trump brought up his new trade deal with Canada and Mexico as a major policy win. “Our deal with Mexico and Canada was fantastic,” Trump said. “China wants to make a deal so badly. We will see where it goes. But I don’t think they are ready.”

Trump Will Lose 60 Seats in the house... Unless... Please Visit My Site
http://archive.fo/zHe4o

MATT DRUDGE WARNS OF MIDTERM BLOODBATH: TRUMP TO LOSE ’60 SEATS IN THE HOUSE LIKE OBAMA DID’
2:41 PM 09/14/2018
Peter Hasson | Reporter

Conservative news giant Matt Drudge on Friday made a somber prediction about Republicans’ chances in the November midterm elections, predicting President Donald Trump will see his party lose 60 seats in the House of Representatives.

Drudge, who runs the influential Drudge Report, compared the upcoming midterms to the electoral bloodbath Democrats suffered in the 2010 midterm elections under former President Barack Obama.

Matt-Drudge-Tweet-620x298.jpg

Screenshot/Twitter

“Trump and Obama both have 47% approval at this time of presidency, according to Rasmussen. Trump will also lose 60 seats in the House like Obama did during first midterm!” Drudge wrote on Twitter. (RELATED: Democrats Should Immediately Abolish ICE After Retaking Congress)

He added cryptically: “Unless…”

Democrats have to gain 23 House seats in November in order to flip the lower chamber. Democrats have an 83 percent chance of retaking the House, according to FiveThirty Eight.

Follow Hasson on Twitter @PeterJHasson

Content created by The Daily Caller News Foundation is available without charge to any eligible news publisher that can provide a large audience. For licensing opportunities of our original content, please contact licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.


The Weird :
Mark Taylor "Red Tsunami Prophecy"
http://archive.fo/KJjj2

Mark Taylor (The Trump Prophecies): Most Important Midterm Elections In All Of US History
July 30, 2018 29 3159


Mark Taylor says the upcoming 2018 elections are the most important mid-term elections in all of America’s history. Here’s why…

Mark Taylor interviewed by Greg Hunter on USA Watchdog

Mark Taylor, author of the popular book “The Trump Prophecies,” contends, “If you are part of the army of God, you need to be ready also because there are going to be politicians that are going to resign. We have had the biggest number of resignations probably in history. This midterm election is going to be huge. This is going to be a red tsunami. They keep talking about the blue wave. I think it’s going to be a blue drip, a leaky faucet, and that is all they are going to get. You have had more resignations than we have ever seen. Now is the time to go in and capture this ground and hold it for the Kingdom of God. . . . It’s not a left or right thing. God is moving us towards a place of righteousness. That’s what’s happening right now. So, he’s going to be replacing these people. If you are called to be a judge, senator, congressman or a council person, I don’t care what level local, state or federal, take your place and get ready. If you are in the Army of God and you don’t vote, you need to get off your behind and register to vote. These are going to be the most important midterm elections in America’s history—period.”

In closing, Taylor says, “I don’t think there is going to be another Democrat in the White House for a long time, if ever again. I believe you are seeing the death of the Democrat party right now.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Mark Taylor, co-author of “The Trump Prophecies,” which has been made into a movie that is releasing in early October.

Donations: https://usawatchdog.com/donations/
 
Some how they always seem to miss that Texas is a majority Latino Herritage State. And that most of the registered Republicans in Texas have Spanish surnames. Funny isn't that? You would almost think that "not all Latino's Vote democrat!". See, Texas is the perfect counterpoint to the Dem's erroneous assumption that "Demographics = Destiny". Texas has the largest population of US Citizens of Latino or Hispanic Heritage. But it is also the one with the broadest generational spread. Texas has more 2nd, 3rd, 4th and beyond generation "Latino's" than anywhere else. And past 2nd Generation they look, act and behave like any other Catholic American Voters. They are pretty much indistinguishable from Italian or Irish Americans, save perhaps in sobriety, where they fall between the two. They tend to become bog standard Conservative Texans.
Tejanos are based and red pilled

Case in point, the original Fascists were a marble mining union in Tuscany.
The original fascists were pretty socialist.
 
The original fascists were pretty socialist.
It goes all the way back to the very roots. Mussolini was raised in a socialist household and his first and middle names are all homages to historical leftist or socialist agitators
 
Some how they always seem to miss that Texas is a majority Latino Herritage State. And that most of the registered Republicans in Texas have Spanish surnames. Funny isn't that? You would almost think that "not all Latino's Vote democrat!". See, Texas is the perfect counterpoint to the Dem's erroneous assumption that "Demographics = Destiny". Texas has the largest population of US Citizens of Latino or Hispanic Heritage. But it is also the one with the broadest generational spread. Texas has more 2nd, 3rd, 4th and beyond generation "Latino's" than anywhere else. And past 2nd Generation they look, act and behave like any other Catholic American Voters. They are pretty much indistinguishable from Italian or Irish Americans, save perhaps in sobriety, where they fall between the two. They tend to become bog standard Conservative Texans.

"If you are brown your vote belongs to us senior" Dem midterm slogan.
 
There's a Twitter user named Shannon Watts who posted a tweet about Beto O'Rourke. https://twitter.com/shannonrwatts/status/1054383660294647811

I guess she'll "reeeee" if she see that article about Beto O'Rourke past. https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2018/10/the_real_beto_orourke.html

The Real Beto O'Rourke
By Ron Kolb
I recently attended an indoor Beto O'Rourke rally in Corpus Christi, Texas in the Richardson Auditorium on the Del Mar College campus. Arriving 45 minutes late (after meeting for 15 minutes with fawning press backstage), he was introduced by Congressman Joe Kennedy. O'Rourke bizarrely rolled onto the stage on a skateboard (he had done this in an earlier rally in Brownsville) and spoke for 30 minutes.

O’Rourke called for essentially open borders and free health care. He attacked Trump along with his senatorial election opponent, incumbent Texas Senator Ted Cruz, but there was no mention of his previous statement approving of disrespect for the flag,which Cruz and others had pounced on. O'Rourke appeared awkward and thin and was constantly flailing his hands and arms.

I noticed something rather unsettling. I was only sitting ten feet away from O'Rourke. The temperature outside was a near perfect 78 degrees, and the hall itself, which is kept at 72 degrees, seemed chilly. The stage lights are 20 feet above the stage. But just minutes into O'Rourke's speech, sweat began to pour down his face and spread across the front of his shirt. In his introduction, Joe Kennedy had said of O'Rourke that "he sweats a lot," and the local Caller-Times, in what was basically an advocacy article, showed pictures of O'Rourke before and after the speech both dry and drenched in perspiration.

If one googles "Beto sweat" there are several articles from websites both left and right that make reference to it. The primary causes of cold sweats are said to be anxiety and stress.

He quickly exited after his speech and took no questions from the audience, but what I had wanted to ask O'Rourke about was his arrest record and some of his inconsistent statements concerning it. In 1995, he graduated from Columbia University in New York. He then went by "Rob" and had a degree in English literature, and among other things, was known for scolding other students for smoking cigarettes while constantly using marijuana (of which he now avidly supports federal decriminalization).

Days after the commencement, on the campus of the University of El Paso (UTEP) with two other men, he was arrested for attempting to burglarize a building. The charges were dismissed the next year, but at the time of the incident, even though he had already left college and never attended UTEP, he consistently has called it a "college prank,” which had happened “during his college years.” I attempted to locate the two other “pranksters,” one of whom apparently still lives in El Paso, to no avail.
 
Tejanos are based and red pilled


The original fascists were pretty socialist.
It goes all the way back to the very roots. Mussolini was raised in a socialist household and his first and middle names are all homages to historical leftist or socialist agitators
"But gaise, the 'Socialists' part in the name 'National Socialists' means absolutely nothing and has no reason of being there none whatsoever!"
:thinking:
 
There's a Twitter user named Shannon Watts who posted a tweet about Beto O'Rourke. https://twitter.com/shannonrwatts/status/1054383660294647811

I guess she'll "reeeee" if she see that article about Beto O'Rourke past. https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2018/10/the_real_beto_orourke.html

I notice that in that picture the Beto crowd is rather astonishingly white. Whereas if you do a YouTube search for Cruz Trump Houston rally, all the footage shows a rather diverse crowd, with fairly high what looks to be Latino presence.
Just as an example
and those are all lining up the night before.

Now granted ANY President speaking attracts a larger and more diverse crowd. And it is hard to compare the still image from Beto’mania with all the video from the Cruz/Trump crowds. But it does leave one with the suspicion that reality does not in fact line up with what the media narrative tells us it’s supposed to be.
 
There's a Twitter user named Shannon Watts who posted a tweet about Beto O'Rourke. https://twitter.com/shannonrwatts/status/1054383660294647811

I guess she'll "reeeee" if she see that article about Beto O'Rourke past. https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2018/10/the_real_beto_orourke.html
Oh, her.

Yeah, I know her. She's Bloomberg's talkwench. Prior to being his mouthpiece, she was a shill for Monsanto. Essentially a bought and paid for media/PR talking head.
 
There's a Twitter user named Shannon Watts who posted a tweet about Beto O'Rourke. https://twitter.com/shannonrwatts/status/1054383660294647811

I guess she'll "reeeee" if she see that article about Beto O'Rourke past. https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2018/10/the_real_beto_orourke.html
The media has a weird obsession with the guy. Reason has a decent editorial on the situation.

The Only Remarkable Thing About Beto O'Rourke Is How Much the Media Love Him

Despite my best efforts, I know exactly what Senate candidate Beto O'Rourke's post-punk indie band from the mid-'90s sounds like (not so bad as you'd think!). At the same time, I don't know much about Senate candidate Josh Hawley, who is 38 years old (meaning about eight years younger than "rising star" Beto) and the attorney general of Missouri.

In fact, Hawley's name recognition outside his state is practically nonexistent. When his name does come up in national political coverage, it's mostly as a tack-on in pieces assessing opponent Claire McCaskill's latest face-saving move or a panicky story about voter registration in Missouri. As with most other Americans, I don't have any idea whether Hawley likes to air-drum to The Who when he pretends to win a debate. What I do know is that Hawley is slightly leading McCaskill, a two-term Democratic senator, in the RealClearPolitics poll average in a race that could decide which party controls the Senate.

Democrat O'Rourke, who is also in a race against an incumbent, Ted Cruz, is down 7 points and falling. It wouldn't be completely surprising if Cruz ended up winning Texas by the same margin he did in 2012. Yet you might not discern this reality by merely paying attention to Betomania.

As with Hawley, I didn't know much about Arizona's GOP Senate nominee, Martha McSally, either. I'm probably not alone. She didn't get to kibitz with Stephen Colbert or Ellen DeGeneres. Maybe she'd have better luck getting attention from the national media if she used a nickname given to her as a teen. Anyway, what could one of the highest-ranking female pilots in the history of the Air Force and the first female pilot to go on a combat mission possibly have to offer Colbert's audience? Beto once skateboarded through a Whataburger parking lot.

Also, McSally has a chance to win her Senate race.

So I'm sorry, Associated Press and LeBron James, but Beto O'Rourke isn't "shaking up" the Senate race in Texas any more than Hawley and McSally are shaking up the Missouri and Arizona races. You're just far more interested.

Then again, Hawley and McSally are not inventions of the media. O'Rourke has raised $38 million thus far. It's an immense amount for any politician but an absurd one for a man who relies on fawning coverage provided to him and the advocacy that has very little to do with his political race.

It's difficult to quantify these things, but it may be true that all the money being poured into a losing O'Rourke campaign in Texas might have been better utilized in closer races in other red states—namely, North Dakota and Tennessee. Democrats seem more interested in subsidizing celebrity than winning back the Senate.

In a Bloomberg article headlined "Beto O'Rourke Matters Even If He Loses," Francis Wilkinson says: "O'Rourke's extraordinary political success is all the more poignant because it comes after a wave of public polls registering that he is on course to lose in November." This is the kind of self-perpetuating back-patting that liberal advocates in the media like to engage in.

O'Rourke's "extraordinary political success" is illusionary. His national popularity is contingent on aesthetics and mass of coverage. It is merely that Beto looks and acts like the type of guy producers at most cable news networks and talk shows think a senator should look and act like—unlike, say, Cruz (nearly two years older than Beto), who is always blathering about the Constitution and whatnot.

It's not as if O'Rourke is a special talent by any measure. His speeches and talking points are just as vacuous and predictable as those of any other middling politician. His positions on guns and abortion—and a multitude of other issues—are in lockstep with his party, not the state. O'Rourke has never offered any substantively impressive policy ideas. He has not led on any notable issues in the House. He's remarkably unremarkable.

There is talk that Beto's showing makes him a young Barack Obama. It's true that both men exhibit similar sensibilities. Then again, I remember Obama making his name opposing the Iraq War, something most of his party was scared to do. I remember him winning a Senate race.

Of course, winning a political race doesn't make you substantively right. Winning says little about the veracity of your arguments. But it does say plenty about the reality of politics. Now, maybe O'Rourke will pull it out. Polls have been wrong before. Perhaps in the new political reality, celebrity is enough. But the way the media treat a losing candidate is just another sign of its bias, advocacy, and wishful thinking.
 
Check out the #FLGovDebate hashtag:

https://twitter.com/hashtag/FLGovDebate?src=tren&data_id=tweet%3A1054166229810900993

Now let's play a game. Scroll from top to bottom and count the pro-Gillum (D) and pro-DeSantis (R). I bet you the Gillum tweets will outnumber the DeSantis tweets by 10:1. It's like this during EVERY debate, including the recent Ohio senator debate between Sherrod Brown (D) and Jim Renacci (R) and Ohio gov debate between Richard Cordray (D) and Mike DeWine (R).

Watch for these debates and you will see how Twitter favors the democrat over the republican every single time by giving tweets of the democratic candidate far more visibility.

Check out the #EarlyVoting hashtag:

https://twitter.com/hashtag/EarlyVoting?src=tren

It's almost nothing but them talking about voting blue.

f3dc7d4af7ed82e9fd1fc14f32910d5494b74064a4f465071db46d1311eca3ba.png
0c9af4747246a302d07134bf2c67646ff8197705be7a97ef71b1e877cf38e2eb.png
 
Check out the #FLGovDebate hashtag:

https://twitter.com/hashtag/FLGovDebate?src=tren&data_id=tweet%3A1054166229810900993

Now let's play a game. Scroll from top to bottom and count the pro-Gillum (D) and pro-DeSantis (R). I bet you the Gillum tweets will outnumber the DeSantis tweets by 10:1. It's like this during EVERY debate, including the recent Ohio senator debate between Sherrod Brown (D) and Jim Renacci (R) and Ohio gov debate between Richard Cordray (D) and Mike DeWine (R).

Watch for these debates and you will see how Twitter favors the democrat over the republican every single time by giving tweets of the democratic candidate far more visibility. Shit like this has serious power to influence elections by invigorating one side and demoralizing the other.

Check out the #EarlyVoting hashtag:

https://twitter.com/hashtag/EarlyVoting?src=tren

It's almost nothing but them talking about voting blue.
That's true and pretty messed up, but if 2016 taught us anything it's that twitter, reddit, and the MSM aren't the same thing as America
 
I remember how overwhelmingly pro-Trump the hashtag results were from the first Trump and Clinton debate, especially against moderator Lester Holt. Compare it after a year and a half of "OY VEY DA RUSHUN BAHTS!"
 
>only two more weeks of campaign ads

Light at the end of the tunnel, finally. If I see that dude in the wheelchair bitching about Medicaid in Iowa one more time, I might have to end it.
 
Lots of Negatice Nancy’s in the dem party this week all cautioning the blue wave will be a blue squirt. 538, Bernie Sanders, Tom Perez all throwing shade on a blue wave. On top of that we’re seeing high Republican turnout in early voting in key states, more than Democrats. I said this yesterday that dems are voting against candidates while Republicans are voting for candidates. This doesn’t bode well for Democrats.

It is kind of remarkable that we’re seeing a Republican surge in the face of trump tard rage but in the final hours things are falling apart for the Democrats. You have two camps, those that’s hate identity politics and those that want more of it. These two groups hate the current democrat leadership and all that’s left are moderates and those telling people to hold their nose and vote Democrat. Not good news.
 
I remember how overwhelmingly pro-Trump the hashtag results were from the first Trump and Clinton debate, especially against moderator Lester Holt. Compare it after a year and a half of "OY VEY DA RUSHUN BAHTS!"
The tech giants have made it no secret that since 2016 their #1 goal has been to kneecap popular opinions and sell the technocrat narrative as much as possible for the greater good
 
Like three weeks ago a guy was running around on my campus offering registrations for midterms. I go online to check to see if I'm registered and it said I wasn't. Either it takes almost a month for the registration to go through, the guy was incompetent and never submitted the forms he gathered, or the red tinfoil hat on my head tells me he dumpstered it because I chose to register Republican. Thanks California!
 
From what see Trump still hasn't delivered his promise on the wall and hasn't been the best on the 2nd amendment.
Will the Republicans be energized to come out to vote in mass with new pro republican voters joining in, or will they be complacent and not as riled up?
Or will the Democrat and Progressives/liberals be riled up enough to outvote them?
 
From what see Trump still hasn't delivered his promise on the wall and hasn't been the best on the 2nd amendment.
Will the Republicans be energized to come out to vote in mass with new pro republican voters joining in, or will they be complacent and not as riled up?
Or will the Democrat and Progressives/liberals be riled up enough to outvote them?
Don't worry, Kavanaugh made enough people realize where the real fight lies, and a certain supreme court justice has a foot in the grave at this point
 
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