Business Powell: Job creation is near zero - Fed sees unemployment holding at 4.4% amid low labor force growth driven by immigration declines and lower participation rates.

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Job creation in the US has slowed to essentially zero, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday as the Fed released its latest economic projections, which included slightly higher economic growth than previously projected and little change to the unemployment rate. Altogether, Powell said, central bankers see "a degree of stability" in the labor market.

"But the thing that I think a good number of people on the committee are concerned about is just the very, very low level of job creation," Powell said in a press conference following the Fed's decision to hold interest rates steady. "Effectively, there's zero net job creation in the private sector," after accounting for revisions over the past six months, Powell said. "But actually, that looks like that's about what the economy needs, in terms of dealing with very, very low — nonexistent, really — growth in the labor force, which of course we've never had in our history."

Indeed, the country may not need as many jobs as it once did amid lower labor force participation rates and immigration declines. But Powell also noted that "labor demand has clearly softened as well." The job market hasn't shifted dramatically since Powell's last press conference in late January. But whatever brief glimmers of optimism existed are now in doubt. The unemployment rate, now at 4.4%, ticked back up in February as the economy shed 92,000 jobs, while December and January's job gains were revised lower by 69,000, meaning there's been barely any job growth in three months.

In their new policy statement, Fed officials removed language that noted the "unemployment rate has shown some signs of stabilization," saying instead that "job gains have remained low, and the unemployment rate has been little changed in recent months."

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Especially not with high and persistent inflation and an enormous amount of money injected into the economy. $7 trillion dollars were created during COVID to prop up asset prices and it did nothing but accomplish the largest upward transfer of wealth in history.
There's no situation where inflation isn't an upward transfer. I mean, that's what it is. That's why it's done.

(Libertarians tongue my anus.)

And they're rushing to do it more, faster. The c.2020 surge was really intense—but has it slowed? By any honest measure? No. They've just stopped giving us any of it.

What's the plan? How total can the average man's impoverishment be?

We're gonna find out.
 
Gig work has also helped keep a lid on official unemployment numbers.
And the shitty part about that is those jobs have no benefits whatsoever.

If AI/automation actually replaces millions of white collar workers look out below.

Great time to learn to weld or dig ditches!
And the scary part is that will either massively depress their wages, or there will be mass unemployment. It will get violent just like it did during the Depression.
 
Typical journoswine article: no mention of the fact that big corpos are using ai to lay people off by the bushel fucking basket.
 
Typical journoswine article: no mention of the fact that big corpos are using ai to lay people off by the bushel fucking basket.
Oh well I am sure POTUS is looking to implementing job protections to curb the encroachment of LLMs in eliminatingHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA……

Frankly though this wasn’t gonna change if the other idiot won so 🤷‍♂️
 
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The Economy is shit.
Since January 2025, the US has created a net 150,000 jobs and lost over 200,000 manufacturing jobs. It's really terrible and getting worse.

The only thing that has kept the unemployment rate down since 2000 is people dropping out of the labor force. What they are doing instead, I don't know, but U-3 would be more like 9-10% if we had the same labor force participation rate as we did in 2000.

Likely even higher, I'm just taking the net decrease and adding it to the unemployment rate.
What they're doing is sucking in whatever benefits they can get. disability welfare child support ect. They weren't getting ahead working so they just quit.
 
The Economy is shit.

What they're doing is sucking in whatever benefits they can get. disability welfare child support ect. They weren't getting ahead working so they just quit.
Can't blame them, it's not like there's any chance of upward mobility for a lot of people anymore. You'll never be able to own a home or raise a family on your own earnings, so why not just go for welfare?
 
We had effective ZIRP from 2008-2022 and none of that happened. Job creation was anemic, incomes were stagnant and the US has lost 1.2 million manufacturing jobs with no end to the decline in sight.

If the US economy can't create jobs at historically low interest rates, it's not going to create them if they're a couple percent lower.
Of course we had record high immigration both legal and illegal for most of that time period. Biden let in 25 million people alone, that's 6-7 million people a year.
 
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