Business Powell: Job creation is near zero - Fed sees unemployment holding at 4.4% amid low labor force growth driven by immigration declines and lower participation rates.

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Job creation in the US has slowed to essentially zero, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday as the Fed released its latest economic projections, which included slightly higher economic growth than previously projected and little change to the unemployment rate. Altogether, Powell said, central bankers see "a degree of stability" in the labor market.

"But the thing that I think a good number of people on the committee are concerned about is just the very, very low level of job creation," Powell said in a press conference following the Fed's decision to hold interest rates steady. "Effectively, there's zero net job creation in the private sector," after accounting for revisions over the past six months, Powell said. "But actually, that looks like that's about what the economy needs, in terms of dealing with very, very low — nonexistent, really — growth in the labor force, which of course we've never had in our history."

Indeed, the country may not need as many jobs as it once did amid lower labor force participation rates and immigration declines. But Powell also noted that "labor demand has clearly softened as well." The job market hasn't shifted dramatically since Powell's last press conference in late January. But whatever brief glimmers of optimism existed are now in doubt. The unemployment rate, now at 4.4%, ticked back up in February as the economy shed 92,000 jobs, while December and January's job gains were revised lower by 69,000, meaning there's been barely any job growth in three months.

In their new policy statement, Fed officials removed language that noted the "unemployment rate has shown some signs of stabilization," saying instead that "job gains have remained low, and the unemployment rate has been little changed in recent months."

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It’s these immigration raid. If more people are given citizenship then jobs and gdp will grow and we will become more prosperous
 
But actually, that looks like that's about what the economy needs, in terms of dealing with very, very low — nonexistent, really — growth in the labor force,
I got an idea, hear me out.... What if we took the millions of illegals that Trump recently said are "good people" and push them somewhere else?
 
Since January 2025, the US has created a net 150,000 jobs and lost over 200,000 manufacturing jobs. It's really terrible and getting worse.

The only thing that has kept the unemployment rate down since 2000 is people dropping out of the labor force. What they are doing instead, I don't know, but U-3 would be more like 9-10% if we had the same labor force participation rate as we did in 2000.

Likely even higher, I'm just taking the net decrease and adding it to the unemployment rate.
 
"We are reporting all kinds of bad things in the economy including low job growth, but we must keep interest rates unchanged because reasons."
 
"We are reporting all kinds of bad things in the economy including low job growth, but we must keep interest rates unchanged because reasons."
Real interest rates are already very low, cutting rates further would just make inflation worse with zero economic benefit for anyone other than the extremely wealthy. And what trickles down from them sure as hell isn't money.

At best it'll prop up asset prices but will do nothing for jobs, capital investment or household income. Artificially low interest rates also encourage malinvestment.
 
Real interest rates are already very low, cutting rates further would just make inflation worse with zero economic benefit for anyone other than the extremely wealthy.

At best it'll prop up asset prices but will do nothing for jobs, capital investment or household income. Artificially low interest rates also encourage malinvestment.
Thats not correct. Some business uses low interest for hiring. It also drives all kinds of purchases. Cars, services, home purchases, vacations, you name it.

The difference between 5 percent loans vs 10 percent loans are vast in driving spending behavior.
 
It’s these immigration raid. If more people are given citizenship then jobs and gdp will grow and we will become more prosperous
Every government employee fired and every illegal/jeet deported is a job lost. They only become net job losses when the employer doesn't try to rehire for the position because they realized that they were unneeded (extremely common with government workers and jeets, less so with illegals). If they do rehire, it's a net zero change for the country but a massive net positive for Americans.
 
You convinced a whole generation that they will never, ever be anywhere near the level of wealth or comfort that their parents had, then you let in innumerable niggers and half-niggers from shithole countries and gave them all the entry-level jobs, and now you're crying about the unemployment rate and blaming it on the Big Bad Orange Man.

Same bullshit, different day. No wonder nobody trusts the media anymore.
 
Thats not correct. Some business uses low interest for hiring. It also drives all kinds of purchases. Cars, services, home purchases, vacations, you name it.
We had effective ZIRP from 2008-2022 and none of that happened. Job creation was anemic, incomes were stagnant and the US has lost 1.2 million manufacturing jobs with no end to the decline in sight.

If the US economy can't create jobs at historically low interest rates, it's not going to create them if they're a couple percent lower.

The difference between 5 percent loans vs 10 percent loans are vast in driving spending behavior.
Agreed, but there's no room to cut like that anymore. Especially not with high and persistent inflation and an enormous amount of money injected into the economy. $7 trillion dollars were created during COVID to prop up asset prices and it did nothing but accomplish the largest upward transfer of wealth in history.

The other tradeoff is those low interest rates make asset prices inflate. It doesn't matter if a mortgage is at 3% or 6% if you can't afford the principal to begin with.
 
Since January 2025, the US has created a net 150,000 jobs and lost over 200,000 manufacturing jobs. It's really terrible and getting worse.

The only thing that has kept the unemployment rate down since 2000 is people dropping out of the labor force. What they are doing instead, I don't know, but U-3 would be more like 9-10% if we had the same labor force participation rate as we did in 2000.

Likely even higher, I'm just taking the net decrease and adding it to the unemployment rate.
Gig work has also helped keep a lid on official unemployment numbers.

If AI/automation actually replaces millions of white collar workers look out below.

Great time to learn to weld or dig ditches!
 
Every government employee fired and every illegal/jeet deported is a job lost. They only become net job losses when the employer doesn't try to rehire for the position because they realized that they were unneeded (extremely common with government workers and jeets, less so with illegals). If they do rehire, it's a net zero change for the country but a massive net positive for Americans.
Net job loss is actually a good thing. You lost, trannies.
 
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