💬 Off-Topic New year, 2024 troon deadpool - Place your bets on who will troon out, join the 41% during 2024

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Kero the Wolf is likely to troon out to gain some relevance after people called him out for fucking his dog.
BlueFolf (Caden Wayne Scholek) will %41 because he has managed to lose the perks of the tranny, even braindead tranny furfags hate his guts after he was exposed as a scamming, grooming, scat fetishist.
Dylan Mulvaney will detransition, drop the act of womanhood, and start identifying as he/they, which is like glitching in a game, it gives you the advantages of being a tranny whilst you don't get to act the opposite sex.
 
41% - Keffals, probably by accident while off his moobs on drugs.

Out - Dylan Mulvaney. He’s been astroturfed to hell and this year, that’s been backfiring. Aside from FFS that didn’t work, he’s made minimal efforts to transition. I reckon he’ll quietly start calling himself a drag queen.

Ellen Page. She’s clearly got psychological issues, she’s tanked her career, her memoir flopped, she left her wife and she’s aged about twenty years in one. I reckon she’ll go enby.
 
Surfin Terf said:
Someone mentioned Neil Cicierega. To be honest, I was more surprised that he hadn't trooned (or even enbied) out yet. While there is something about him that makes me worry that he's on the verge of trooning out, the fact that he's resisted this far gives me hope that my boy will stay strong and just continue to be a boring ol' white cis het man who happens to be kind of goofy-looking and makes nerdy music, an unfortunately dying breed.
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Rate me autistic but I'm kind of a Neil Cicierega superfan, so it's been somewhat troubling watching him give in to the faux-progressive brainrot as of late. I don't see him going the whole nine yards and trooning out though - he seems to be doing well for himself and still has a loyal fanbase so the motivation isn't really there. Then again, I wouldn't have pegged him as the type of guy to put pronouns in his Twitter bio and start making cheap dunks on le rightoids either so who knows. If he does it'll be a sad day indeed.

I don't keep up with Internet """content creators""" so can't speak for most of the other predictions here, but I'm surprised nobody's mentioned Quinton Reviews yet as a potential recruit. All the pieces are there: retarded politics, dumpy nerd physique, odd fixation on old Nickelodeon shows for tween girls, et cetera. His shtick has to be getting tired by now, so it wouldn't surprise me if he did something drastic to recapture that attention. Would sooner guess him than Hbomberguy or Idubbbz, anywho.

Ellen Page is a good guess for the 41% club, with a smaller possibility she just detranses instead. Zach "Zinnia" Jones is my dark horse pick - he's been on a real downwards spiral since the Kayak Incident and I could see him finally calling it quits if the recent wave of anti-trans legislation continues. (But that's a big maybe.) Doubtful we'll have any major players revoke their transhood entirely yet except for possibly Dylan Mulvaney, whom I'm not convinced isn't already planning to quietly drop the act the instant his grift dries up.

So Quinton for recruits, Ellen + Zach for 41%, and Dylan for OOTC.
 
HRT: Not sure which ones, but look for some tired old movie stars, pop/rock stars, TV sitcom actors (etc) to troon out looking to become valid again. Its hard to name the people since we have already forgotten about them; the fact that they are forgotten will be the catalyst.
Hillary Swank played a troon, has 2 Oscars, is almost 50 and nobody knows who she is even now--she would be a great candidate, the type I am talking about. Somebody from the collective Star Trek universe (past and present) seems due to troon out too.

41%: Keffals.. and he will leave some crybaby note blaming the farms.

Tempted to say Zinnia Jones, who whines and whines and whines that life sucks constantly, but I think he enjoys bitching too much to check out totally? He might make a suicidal gesture, the way he fell out of a kayak and still rants and raves about almost-dying. It seems he will need to re-create this stunt (or one like it) just to have something to talk about.

As someone else said, on a somber note... Jazz Jennings. If that happened, would totally flip the convo on child transitioning, he would be to "child-trans" as Rose Kennedy was to lobotomies. People will feel violated (like they did with the Duggars) and angry they were "fooled" into believing Jazz was happy.
It would be a huge PR disaster, and I imagine they watch poor Jazz like a hawk, in shifts or something.

Detrans: My hope is that after Jazz leaves Harvard, takes control of their own life at last and one day says "call me Frankie" or something and quietly de-queens himself. Maybe not all the way, but stops presenting as a child-tart and tries to find some middle ground. I feel so sorry for that kid, imagine being hypnotized by a loony Jewish mother with muchausens from the time you were 3 yrs old.

The kids who transition at the downturn of the fad will be ignored and prob detransition.
I have 2 older boomer half-brothers who joke that the first boomer nearly broke up the family with his boomer-hippie antics, while the 2nd son was ignored and didn't seem as extreme, even when he was. They had gotten used to hippies by then, they were everywhere and they shrugged it off.
Same thing will happen here... the nerdy kids who jump on the bandwagon late will be ignored or considered trendies who arrived late to the party. THESE kids will hang around awhile but see no reason or incentive to continue, and will detransition in droves.
Their medical stories should be fascinating.

excellent thread!
 
Recruit: Fred Knudsen, Big Yellow

41%: Keffals, Jim Sterling, Jazz Jennings, Ellen Page

Out of the Cult: Dylan Mulvaney, Mallory Ortberg, Chris Chandler

Edit to add: More guesses, didn't know we could have more than one.

Fred Knudsen: He's running in all the wrong circles and eventually the validation/attention he's getting as a gay Vtuber won't be enough. This goes double if he doesn't have a day job or exit plan to get away from YT/Twitch.
Big Yellow: He's been on the slippery slope for a while and looks like ginger Buffalo Bill in his most recent video.

Keffals: He's a celebrity with fading relevancy, constant scandals, and a coke habit. He wouldn't be the first to OD in these kind of circumstances.
Jim Sterling: Deathfat on possibly bootleg HRT.
Jazz Jennings: Lifetime of depression and probably had some kind of mental breakdown if not a suicide attempt during his first attempt at Harvard.
Ellen Page: Long history of sexual abuse and mental illness, plus now all the positive press + roles she got from trooning out are drying up.

Dylan Mulvaney: The trans bit was an obvious PR ploy, sooner or later the megacorps propping him up will realize he's not useful to them anymore.
Mallory Ortberg: Already took a half a step back when she changed from FtM to non-binary, now the question is whether she has the guts/social capital to handle the fallout from detransitioning.
Chris: He trooned out as part of the Love Quest, that ended years ago, he seems even less concerned about passing now compared to pre-incest arrest.
 
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Recruit: both idubbz and Anisa. She might just end up presenting masculine but she'll have groomed/coerced him proper. (If this doesn't happen, she just might leave him.)
Vito the pedo but he might just do the non-binary thing fat fucks like Sterling do.

41%: idubbz. The man is already broken. Wrecking his body further might just be enough; that or Anisa will goad him into offing himself for internet clout.

Out of the cult: Penny from the Tranch. He'll kick Shiteater Jen and Kevin to the street and we'll never hear from him again.
 
GenderCop said:
As someone else said, on a somber note... Jazz Jennings. If that happened, would totally flip the convo on child transitioning, he would be to "child-trans" as Rose Kennedy was to lobotomies. People will feel violated (like they did with the Duggars) and angry they were "fooled" into believing Jazz was happy.
It would be a huge PR disaster, and I imagine they watch poor Jazz like a hawk, in shifts or something.
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There's reasons why Jazz's mom is so controlling and the idea of Jazz gaining any sort of independence, especially independent thought, is like poison to narcs like her. The media won't be able to contain the firestorm that would sure to erupt if Jazz took their own life and left behind a scathing suicide note blaming the mom, TLC, the trans movement, and the media for it.

While I'm here, I'm going to add one more prediction:

Detransition: Lou Gagliardi from the 'Animal Control' forum and for one or two reasons: If public opinions finally go full sour on the trans movement in 2024, he'll attempt to grift money from the detrans movement.

The second reason is Lou finally dies from uncontrolled beetus through sepsis via diabetic neuropathy thanks to another hole in his foot.
 
Pierre D'Olnique said:
41% / Detrans: Jim Sterling. It's already biting him in his fat ass after that Second Wind fiasco. Sober up, ditch the lunacy and go back to garme jurnalizm or just jump into a grinder.
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You're giving him advice, he's not gonna do it. He loves doing things his way even if it harms him, see: his entire channel decline.

41%:
Put me down for Anthony/Erin Reed and Zach Raasch/Zoooey Zephyr murder suicide becauss it sounds fun. My other guess is that Reed hires a hitman on Zac, or Reed callously leaves Zac and Zac kills himself. I think it's unlikely overall.

Narcissica possibly killing himself because no one is paying attention to him is likely. Troons die when ignored.

Detransition - I don't think he'll do it this year but Jazz Jennings is in the running here.


Can I put one down for Jail Time? I have this feeling that Keffals will do something dumb enough to get him arrested for a few days to a year to mantain a high and relevancy. He doesn't care about anything but destroying other people's things to get his jollies off.

EDIT: Naia/Matthew/On all levels except physical is going to jail for some retard stunt too likley. He reads his thread though so who knows. He keeps REEEEEEing on telegram, he might just do somthing retarded too.
 
Kiislova said:
Was that furfag already a troon or just a genderspecial NB? What we do know is he gay.
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He calls himself enby and started using the troon flag for asspats so I am figuring once those run out and he's broke he necks himself. Or he does so when some juicy accusations come out.
 
Oh I also think Plaugemoth is going to go from genital genderfluid to woman, so put that as the troon progress bet.
 
HRT Recruit: Idubbbz (as one final step towards getting sensitive lefties and faggots on the Internet to like him)

41% Deadpool: Keffals (after he has another "racist" controversy)
 
Recruits: F1NNSTER is a tranny in denial, or at least he denies it publicly. The only people he's fooling are the sexually confused teenage boys that make up his audience.
Anisa is probably gonna "come out" as nonbinary and still keep presenting herself as she always has. She already has the permanent pixie cut and body fat. Ian will follow suit and embarrass himself as genderfluid to match Anisa.

41%: Keffals, but only on accident. Nearly every troon lolcow is a massive narcissist, and narcissists don't kill themselves. Lucas is going to keep burning bridge after bridge on the eternal bender he seems to be on, constantly chasing the same fame high he felt during DropKF until he overdoses and dies as a footnote on KF's Wikipedia page, the final sum of his life being that he was used as a pawn in Elliot Fong Jones in his eternal war to slander and defame KF in the hopes of giving himself the power to destroy parts of the internet he dislikes.

Ellen Page is also an inevitable intentional suicide. She's living the FtM version of the "YWNBAW" copypasta, every smile she's seen with is fake and forced in a desperate attempt to pretend that destroying her body might finally fix whatever looming problem is making her so miserable in life. Don't be surprised when that eventual news article drops. She's a casualty of Hollywood no doubt.

Jim Sterling doesn't even belong on any category of this list. He's a sex degenerate who's turned himself into his ideal object of fetishization and displays his grossness proudly. He knows he doesn't pass, but that's okay because he can play pretend as the only female "hole" in his all male polycule, and his former friends and co-workers are forced to act as if he's a woman otherwise they lose public favor.
 
People have A LOT of faith on the Idubbbz trooning out arc. And to a lesser extent Anisa following suit.

On the 41% camp, besides Queen Keffals, the overwhelming support for Ellen Page is surprising. Also, people seem sad to place their 41% bets on Jazz Jennings, and I agree with them on feeling that way.

Dyldo Mulvaney getting Out of the cult and going back to being a camp gay male is a solid choice.

Edit: I should figure out some sort of scoring method... Any suggestions?
 
Kiislova said:
Edit: I should figure out some sort of scoring method... Any suggestions?
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If it's for the nominees I think what you're doing is fine.

If it's for the guesses people are making I think it should be:

* Calculate scores separately for Recruit, 41%, and Leaving the Cult (I'm going to call each of these a 'category' for brevity), then add them up for a poster's overall score.

* Poster guesses right: Poster gets points equal to the total # of guesses in that category, divided by the number of guesses for the person the poster nominated.

For example if 100 people guessed in the 41% category, 50 of those people guessed Keffals, and Keffals really does join the 41%, everybody who guessed Keffals for 41% gets 100 / 50 = 2 points. This way there's more of a reward for people who make wacky, off-the-wall guesses but somehow end up being right than people who got it right on a safer guess.

* Poster guesses wrong: Poster loses points equal to number of guesses for the person s/he picked, divided by the total number of guesses in that category.

For example if 100 people guessed in the 41% category, 50 of those people guessed Keffals, and Keffals is still alive this time next year, everybody who guessed Keffals for 41% loses 50 / 100 = 0.5 points. It's the same principle as above, we should encourage and reward out-there guesses more than safe ones.

* Poster doesn't guess: 0 points.

* If a poster makes multiple guesses in a same category that's fine, just add/subtract points for each guess s/he made. There's already a penalty for wrong guesses so I don't think we need extra restrictions on people who make more than one guess.

* The reward for winning is...... no idea, maybe Null will give the winner a 🏆 sticker.
 
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HRT for thee:

I second Greta Thunberg for going NB.
Idubbz will do it, less as a sincere attempt, but rather as a half assed effort to prove something. Probably gonna go the NB route for a few months just so that he can go back to the people rightfully calling him a retard as some sort of proof of his moral superiority. Or something. The mind of a midwit is something else.

41%:

I also think Ellen Page will at least try to 41%, but most likely botch it and end up in a hospital or something.
Jim Sterling will probably do something similar.
I would guess Keffals will 41% too but he's barely functional enough to actually do it. He will continue the downward spiral, however.
I'm gonna give a 50% chance that Narcissa Wright will try to rope and another 50% that he will go OOTC. I like how we tend to give him the benefit of calling him by his tranny name. I guess the bar is so low that a barely-functional med addicted tranny deserves special respect because he managed to do a couple decent speedruns. Semper Fi, 'Cissa. Semper Fi.

Out of the Cult:

Contrapoints for OOTC. It's a long shot for sure, but I think it's an interesting possibility.
Milo Stewart for OOTC even if it's wishful thinking on my part. Hope she gets actual help.
Narcissa Wright (see above)
 
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