Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

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Mr. Racewar1488 said:
With the Hormuz closed Dubai will run out of food.
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It's not closed in the way you suggest or for the reason one would suspect.

The insurance collectives that insure shipping are required to collectively have enough cash to cover a once-in-two-hundred years loss. The increased risk due to Iranian threats changes the amount one could expect to lose once every two hundred years, increasing it dramatically.

Getting the necessary cash or restructuring the risk can't be done immediately, so that's why insurers stopped insuring vessels transiting the strait. Vessels without insurance can't operate legally and that's why they largely stopped, not the direct risk of Iranian military action.

This also explains why Trump is planning to offer insurance. It solves the immediate shipping problem.

The insurance collectives are in the process of getting cash and restructuring risk, and when they're done in a few days, shipping will go back to more or less normal even if the conflict has not yet ended.
 
Nihil Jung said:
The siege thing is interesting. Because of the topography and population of Iran, I had assumed they're reliant on tons of imported food, but that's not the case, importing between 10-15%, which significantly less than other Gulf States.
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Also the mindset, radical Shias fetishize suffering and martyrdom beyond what’s imaginable to most westerners, even if the US achieves total victory in the cities and the submission of the army and ruling class, there’s going to be some zealots in the mountains making the Japanese holdouts from WWII look like pussies for the next century.
 
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Milles d'Allemagne said:
And Israel informs that Total Hezbollah Death will be a permanent Item on the McDonalds menu
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The Lebanese assume this means a medium/long term occupation of Southern Lebanon, as Israeli armed forces are gathered at the border without an evacuation of northern Israeli villages (meaning the close range threats from the other side of the border will be tackled)
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following up on this Hezbollah pulls a uno reverse, using a hebrew language broadcast to call on israelis to evacuate 5km away from the border
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according to Macron, this means Hezbollah is winning:
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Also apparently Macron has the novel suggestion that Hezbollah surrenders, Lebanon disarms them (they promised to do this in 2024 already) and Israel leaves.



Lebanese media, who are famously ill-informed on reality in general and Israel in particular, report Israel will navel invade the Beirut suburb of Dahieh (the evacuation zone from yesterday). Beirut and surroundings house some 2.5 million of Lebanons 5 million population. The actual Israeli approach seems to be centered on immediate action in the Shia south and pressuring the Lebanese government to act in shia suburbs of Beirut; they don't seem opposed to "peace" talks with the Lebanese government either, the hard sell being that someone has got to do the removal work
 
Mr. Racewar1488 said:
Russia is providing Iran with targeting information to attack American forces in the Middle East, the first indication that another major U.S. adversary is participating — even indirectly — in the war, according to three officials familiar with the intelligence.
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Assuming those "officials familiar with the intelligence" even exist, this just proves how shit Russia's intel capabilities are compared to ours, seeing Iran's continued failure at killing one soldier past the first day or taking down one plane other than some debunked Twitter rumors.
HOMO FOR LIFE RETURNS said:
View attachment 8662020
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YES, TRUMP. GO FULL POST-NUKE JAPAN ON THEM. THERE WILL BE NO NEGOTIATIONS. SURRENDER OR DIE.
Source | Archive
 
I know we are told to focus on the news buuuut...

that better not be a "special operation" for years...
 
moocow said:
Anybody remember when it was just foreign outlets and propagandists (like Baghdad Bob) who broadcast blatant lies in the face of overwhelming evidence to the contrary and not American journalists celebrating alleged failures of American foreign policy?

Yeah me either.
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If you want to hear propaganda that would make even the IRGC blush, just turn on NPR.
Yesterday they were claiming that the US was a liability for its allies in the Middle East (because they blame the Iranian attacks on the US) and that Americans allies should reconsider the relationship.
 

US/Israeli airstrikes flattened a police headquarters and destroyed intelligence infrastructure in Urmia, northwestern Iran.

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Several US/Israeli airstrikes reported in the city of Ahvaz, western Iran.





Scenes from Beirut's southern suburbs as Israel continues to strike the area.



The Israeli Air Force released detailed footage showing the underground bunker beneath Iran’s leadership complex in Tehran, which it says was built for Ali Khamenei to command wartime operations.



US/Israeli airstrikes struck Poldokhtar, western Iran, earlier today.



US/Israeli airstrikes on Tehran, Iran.



Massive U.S./Israeli airstrikes in Ilam, western Iran.
 

USAF/IAF conducted SEAD (Suppression of Enemy Air Defense) bombing sorties against the 92nd Armored Division of Ahvaz, Khuzestan Province

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USAF/IAF airstrikes on Dezful, Khuzestan Province

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USAF/IAF airstrikes on IRIAF Airbases in Isfahan

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Israeli sources reports that the Senior Iranian Commander is actually Seyyed Asghar Hijazi, the Deputy Chief of Staff of the Supreme Leader of Iran

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In the most recent drone attack against Israel an Iranian drone got stuck in a tree.



Scenes from Dezful, southwestern Iran.

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Brent crude is now over $90/barrel.
 
这次我发誓死不发帖 said:
If you want to hear propaganda that would make even the IRGC blush, just turn on NPR.
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I was so disappointed when their promise of their imminent demise because of Trump and Congress both defunding them turned out to be total bullshit.

When that defunding happened, they (and everybody else) screeched endlessly about "censorship this" and "independent journalism that," and NPR doomed and gloomed that they were all but dead in the water without that delicious taxpayer money.

And yet they're still broadcasting bullshit, still publishing bullshit, business as usual. Fucking liars. I was promised a comical self-immolation.
 
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The UK arrested four men for spying for Iran. One was Iranian, the other three were Iranian-British nationals.



Israel's Deputy Foreign Minister expects Australia to join in on the Iran War: "My message to Australia is to wake up!"

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Israeli jouranlists claim the IDF eliminated Ali Atzar Mir Hejazi, acting deputy head of the office of the Supreme Leader of Iran.



Salar Velayatmadar, a member of the National Security and Foreign Policy Commission of Iran’s Islamic Consultative Assembly vouches to kill Iranian youth if they dare to rise up against the regime:
"Whoever is on Iranian soil right now, if they even whisper about supporting the enemy, [...] their 'shoot at will' order has been issued. No one has told you this, this clearly."
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