Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

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I guess its worth reiterating that Trump + Israel said they'd say when to do the uprising. Given they're still doing targeted precision bombings that signal is presumably going to actually come at some point and it'll be interesting to see what happens.

Thats exactly what I mean once the rest of there launchers are down. We will finish taking out there navy and then thats when the strait will just be open and they cant do shit about it. Its honestly just a waiting game that is on probably a 3 day timer at this point.
 
The regime will remain in power until people on the ground oust them
>He believes in Bottom Up thinking
The MOSSAD agitators who were in Tehran before during the last protests were gathered up and shot, you need an organised minority to cause such an uprising, of which, the only organised minority on the ground in Iran with backing is the IRGC, they also control some 30% of the land directly.

"Iranians will rise up" is beyond fiction.
 
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lol apparently Apple is doing a fucking a laptop/product announcement while literal ww3 is going on?
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I don't get how they are schizo in this situation?
They have said for decades: if we get hit we are going to to sperg missiles all across the gulf and hit infrastructure and oil. We have built dozens of drones and rockets and missiles for precisely this purpose that we regularly show off in press conferences and we continuously state what we are going to do with them if anything ever happens to us.
They haven't. Almost all of it has been anti-israeli and anti-american sperging, the entire gulf thought that they got the neighboring schizo within their control and that they would never turn on them, oh how wrong they were.
And lets be realistic, Iran's ultimate goal is to bomb everything they deem as "American" and just shoot everything they have.
There is no grand plan of "ruining the global market" or "destabilizing the gulf" or "ruining America by making drumpf look bad"
 
Imagine not having domestic energy production.
Serious question. Do you think there's any difference between 1TWh produced by gas vs oil? If you are 50-50, could you go 100-0 in either direction if you have the capacity/resources?
I swear most people don't understand how energy production and energy markets work and this thread is giving me a headache in that regard.
 
Can we talk about how funny it is that countries with an obvious treaty stating that they should provide assistance in the event of an attack are now trying to find loopholes, which calls into question ALL treaties with those countries? Perhaps we'll soon see the downfall of NATO if things continue like this.
 
New speech by Pahlavi, this time he speaks exclusively to the western Iranian provinces. Makes an appeal to the ethnic groups living there, asserting that they will be treated more fairly under the next (implied to be his, of course, he just doesn't say it out loud) Iranian gov't while also stressing the indivisibility of Iranian territory and warning against separatist 'opportunistic forces'.

Given that targets in Western Iran were heavily targeted yesterday & today, including a lot of IRGC installations, border posts, etc. as well as the revolutionary-sounding statement by the Kurdish alliance y-day and that Trump reportedly had a chat with Iraqi Kurdish leaders just over the border, it might be the case that the first revolts are imminent in Western Iran, something like a less :optimistic: shot at the royalist Nojeh plot of 1980 (this time with actual American support, which didn't exist at the time due to the hostage crisis & Jimmy Carter being a pussy). Probably not just a broad Kurdish uprising but also the creation of a corridor/safe zone for non-Kurdish rebels to begin forming up, given Pahlavi's hardline statement on the unity of Iran. Or maybe this is all a heckin epic misdirectional maneuver and this nigga will pop up with his royalist army in Shiraz or wherever else, idk.



Pahlavi's wife also issued her own statement, it's a much more generic tug-at-your-heartstrings speech about the murdered protesters, pushing forward against the IR in honor of their memory, etc.



I bet on Balkanization.
Might not be as big of a risk as commonly thought. Kurds have already shown themselves to be paper tigers & buckbroken by the central governments in two countries recently (Iraq 2017 + Syria 2025-26), I'd bet a dime Iran will be the third if they insist on separatism. Azeris might have the ambition to gun for Southern Azerbaijan, but there doesn't seem to be any meaningful support for such a move either internationally or on the ground over there. Balochs are weak (their homeland is a remote backwater) and would have to also contend with the Pakis if they try to secede. There's no other significant secessionist movement in Iran, even the Arabs living in the southwestern provinces are mostly Shiite and would far prefer continuing to be part of Iran than making their own country or joining someone else's (Saddam bet on them joining him in the Iran-Iraq War, obviously that didn't pan out).
 
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Quds force (which is IRGC, not quds brigades which is hamas). Israel is aiming to sever the links Hezbollah and Iran still have
Lebanese government swears their decision to ban Hezbollah from fighting is final
Hezbollah official Mahmoud Qmati has declared war on Israel (he is hiding in a bunker and random retards are getting struck by Israel)
Unannounced israeli airstrikes im Beirut means attacks on Hezbollah officials, unsure who's dead this time other than the Iranian
 
So far the only plan here seems to be to cut off the head of the Iranian government and hope that somehow, magically, the body regenerates a more amiable government, or that "the people" (lmao) will spontaneously rise up and overthrow that weakened government, instituting Freedom® in short skirts and carrying fag flags.

That's always worked, yeah. Definitely bet the bank on that one.
You're forgetting the most important part! The freedom fries!
 
and warning against separatist 'opportunistic forces'.
they should take this seriously, especially the kurds
if they try to raise a kurdistan statelet like they did in syria, the result will be turkish military intervention against them and that will be extremely ugly and uncomfortable for everyone involved
 
>He believes in Bottom Up thinking
The MOSSAD agitators who were in Tehran before during the last protests were gathered up and shot, you need an organised minority to cause such an uprising, of which, the only organised minority on the ground in Iran with backing is the IRGC, they also control some 30% of the land directly.

"Iranians will rise up" is beyond fiction.
Quite pessimistic eurofag, but i agree with u !
So far the only plan here seems to be to cut off the head of the Iranian government and hope that somehow, magically, the body regenerates a more amiable government, or that "the people" (lmao) will spontaneously rise up and overthrow that weakened government, instituting Freedom® in short skirts and carrying fag flags.

That's always worked, yeah. Definitely bet the bank on that one.
I mean it worked in venezuala somewhat, and the same methods are being explored in cuba.
 
There's also not an infinite amount of interceptors for US base defenses etc. I expect this week to be the most critical, with the US using its biggest load, so to speak, of bombs and trying to end it now before things start becoming regional and impossible to solve fast.
As long as we can defang Irans ballistic missiles at a rapid pace, the oil crisis will solve itself, same with the interceptor problem. Without their missiles to fire back, things can go relatively back to normal in terms of trade. Drones are still an issue but alas. Trump also needs this wrapped up by the midterms regardless of what he says. The admin won't permit this to last long.
 
hope that somehow, magically, the body regenerates a more amiable government
I would not rule out the possibility that the US has contact(s) with the KDPI and other seperatist groups, but it IS very telling that the son of the last Shah has delivered at least 1 speech thus far. If they're propping him up to take over... good fucking luck lol
As long as we can defang Irans ballistic missiles at a rapid pace, the oil crisis will solve itself, same with the interceptor problem. Without their missiles to fire back, things can go relatively back to normal in terms of trade. Drones are still an issue but alas.
I wouldn't discredit drones but yeah obviously that's the current goal.
Trump also needs this wrapped up by the midterms regardless of what he says. The admin won't permit this to last long.
If this drags out to even May, let alone the midterms, then the economy will be such a shitshow that a protracted military engagement will be the least of their worries.
 
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Here's the English translation of the Arabic text in the image (a religious fatwa):

"In the name of Allah, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful.Permission [to fight] has been given to those who are being fought, because they were wronged. And indeed, Allah is most capable of giving them victory. [Surah Al-Hajj: 39]To the Islamic Ummah: Facing aggression by the US and Israel, it is the duty of the Islamic nation to defend its sanctities through jihad. Avenging the blood of the martyred Leader is a religious obligation for all Muslims worldwide to eradicate the evil of these criminals from the earth."

(Note: The post attributes this to al-Haydari; reports confirm it's from Grand Ayatollah Naser Makarem Shirazi.)
 
I would not rule out the possibility that the US has contact(s) with the KDPI and other seperatist groups, but it IS very telling that the son of the last Shah has delivered at least 1 speech thus far. If they're propping him up to take over... good fucking luck lol
Didn't someone from the Administration state recently that he'd turned out to be an unviable option? I could swear there was an off the cuff remark to the effect during that air attack last year.
 
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