Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

[Suburban Bastard]

Worth mentioning, Israel was planning for another Hezbollah conflict for months prior to the Iran crisis re-flaring. They already have a plan they’re undoubtedly eager to employ.

 

[Jose Beaner Luna]

The age of middle eastern army hype videos is over.

View attachment 8639849

Thank god, now is the age of America Halo hype edits:

 

[Schwarzwald]

Take this for what it's worth, but one of my best friends is a Persian. I asked him what he thought about this global seismic shift that's going on in his nation of origin.

He told me: "Meow."

Take it for what it's worth, but it brought a tear to my eye. Absolutely poetic.

 

[Gorton Colu]

All I know for certain is that the only thing keeping Netanyahu out of jail right now is an ongoing military conflict and my quality of life was not impacted one way or another when Khomeini was alive. Paying $10/gal for gas a week from now is going to change that calcuclus for a lot of people. Luckily Vance is reportedly on-record as one of the only two no votes on the final go/no-go checklist before this started.

fyi, you are convincing exactly zero people here. You'd probably be better off on Bluesky.

 

[Lone MacReady II]

Just imagine all the new rapefugees being created by BiBi's cumslut... and all of them will be imported to live in Europe and your neighborhood.

"bomb bomb, bomb bomb Iran" as tumor brain McCain once said.

 

[mindlessobserver]

Worth mentioning, Israel was planning for another Hezbollah conflict for months prior to the Iran crisis re-flaring. They already have a plan they’re undoubtedly eager to employ.

Steve is saying Israeli news is reporting the IDF has begun a massive wave of attacks across the Lebanese border.

 

[SaidNoOneEver]

A confirmed Iranian impact in Bahrain against the 'ASRY' company, which provides repair and logistics services to the U.S. Navy.

Can't be! Somebody told us it was all turned off!

 

[Kakkerum420]

possible scenarios for the end of the Ayatollah regime:

Scenario 1: Reformist factions gain control, gradually sidelining hardliners. The Islamic Republic is reshaped from within through internal political reform.

Scenario 2: The regime remains in power and responds with even harsher repression. It accelerates its nuclear program and expands support for proxy forces across the region.

Scenario 3: The country fractures along ethnic lines, as non-Persian protest movements pursue different political goals. This division leads to a prolonged civil war and a major refugee crisis lasting decades.

Scenario 4: Reza Pahlavi comes to power, strengthens Iran’s regional influence, addresses the water crisis through large-scale desalination projects (potentially using Israeli technology), and promotes a revival of pre-Islamic Persian cultural heritage.

you can guess which Scenario is more likely

Scenario 5: They go back to basics and declare the Zoroastrian Pahlavid empire and conquer Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Afghanistan and Pakistan and fulfill my map painting game autist fantasies.

 

[Scale Smerch]

We're hitting police HQs now. This should help the anti-regime protestors.

You know you're in the endgame and have run out of targets when

 

[draggs]

Scenario 5: They go back to basics and declare the Zoroastrian Pahlavid empire and conquer Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Pakistan and fulfill my map painting game autist fantasies.

Scenario 6: they go west instead. Ctesiphon is rebuilt, the Sassanid hordes rape Syria and Asia Minor again. There is no Heraclius this time. Then they go south and turn Mecca and Medina to rubble in revenge for 633-651. Trump kneels to their superior basedness

 

[Mr. Racewar1488]

Tehran is covered in smoke everywhere as United States Air Force and Israeli Air Force rain drop bombs on military targets at Iranian capital.

District 22, Tehran.


Northwest Tehran.


LNG prices could double if the Hormuz is closed.

An Iranian drone struck the UK’s RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus, causing minor damage but no casualties. CCTV footage from the city of Limassol shows what appears to be an interceptor or aircraft taking off shortly after reports of the drone attack.

 

[Ghostse]

Turkey is a NATO member. If its territory gets attacked, it can invoke article 5 (doubtful, but possible). I don't expect this to happen.

There is a reason why when Iran fucked all its neighbors Turkey wasn't on the hit list.

My best guess is they aren't there yet. or at least weren't there when the attack was ordered.

Wonk is that the have been in country, some probably since June with a big uptick since protests kicked off in earnest in late December.
Almost certainly, given what we've seen from Iranian resistance groups, they are in contact with Green Berets who are advising them and helping them operationally mature. This is why the protesters haven't been secret police'd and despite the crack downs are still communicating and coordinating with each other to turn out in force.

The US isn't really getting any oil from the middle east, this would pressure Europe first and foremost. Inflation in Europe does affect the US.

The oil market is a sponge. Wetting or drying one part affects the whole system, but different areas are (in the short term) affected more than others.
but you are correct, Europe and Japan will feel this more acutely than the US. But it will be felt less now that Venezuelan oil is back in the market - while its crappy oil only fit for turd-world nations, it means those turd-worlders can buy it instead, which frees up mid and high teir oil for other countries.

The US does get a good bit of oil from the middle east, we just refine it and ship the product to other countries.

The biggest winner is probably Russia, to be honest.

India has been buying oil directly from Russia and I don't see any sanctions going on currently.

Are your retarded?
Don't answer that, I know you are.

https://www.globaltradeandsanctionslaw.com/trump-administration-imposes-secondary-tariffs-on-india-over-russian-oil-imports/

Russia is set to lose a major ally and supplier of its war effort as well as grey market for cargo from China. Russia is definitely not winning here, except maybe in the short term from the oil price uptick.

Its only wikipedia but this is a good summary of just how fucking clueless French and British leadership was at the war's outset. No real plan, no real commitment to fighting either. These people would have been hopeless without American involvement

France was also largely combat intact when they surrended. Their losses were small and they could have regrouped and really fucked Hitlers shit, very likely pushing Germany back over the border - Germany took what would have been crippling losses to armor in opening of the invasion, France's 'hedgehogs' were rediculously effective.

the issue is that tanks are steel, crews are squishy meat. Thus it is very hard to completely destory a tank but much easier to render it combat ineffective or soup the crew. So France surrendered and Germany was able to recover all their damaged and disabled tanks and repair them.

Air defence is a skill issue. Russian systems worked fine for Ukraine (Soviet-era S-300PS/PT) against Russia and India (S-400) against Pakistan, while they failed for Venezuela (S-300VM, Buk-M2, JY-27A) against USA, and Iran (S-300PMU-2) against USA.

So it's not so much about systems or L/O, but about skills of the operators, and also about Suppresion of Enemy Air Defence (SEAD).

Ukraine's soviet systems have impressive records becasue are mogging on Soviet aircraft, well know to be utter dogshit.

Russia's S-400, their latest production model air defense, was dunked on by a Ukrainian F-16, a second-rate fighter from 1976.

SOVIET-PATTERN GEAR IS UTTER SHITE.

Relying on shape for stealth is very bad, because if the radar emitter and the receiver are in two different places, your "stealth" aircraft can become completely non-stealth if the geometry is right (it's called multistatic radar). In modern networked AD it would be a catastrophe. That's why you need to rely as much as you can on coatings+jamming.

View attachment 8639008

The F-117 did have coating, and IR dispersing systems, but it was considered obsolete by Balkan war.
This was covered earlier in the thread.
To summarize: the Serbian commader had drilled his unit to death such they pack up and move in 15 minute and deploy in 45. He also had spies watching launches. he waited for perfect conditions, knew the route the F-117 would take and by his own admission, only hit because he was lucky.

The real issues for the F-117 in this case was the F-117 only had passive IR sensor because active radar would of course ruin the stealth but mainly we hadn't figured out good passive EM sensors or pulsed & phased radar arrays. This means the F-117 could detect serbian aAD except visually and...well the F-117 didn't have pilot visibility on the top of the list.
The F-117 was supposed to compensate for this by sending A-6 attack aircraft with HARM missiles to hunt any Serbian air defense, but in bad weather like there was that night, the A-6 remained grounded; the USAF assumed that the F-117 could only be detected visually by Sebrians so when it was stormy it didn't need escourts that couldn't fly.

the other thing that is missed is that they launched two missiles. Only one of them managed a glancing hit. Any other aircraft would have been able to fly back to base but the F-117.....was a flying brick.

Well after Venezuela bending the knee now it's Iran's turn to me it looks like we're attacking the weakest links of BRICS for maximum influence and profit, after all all of these third world cou trying dedollarization are just countries with weak failing economies.
Taking a key member that is always actively undermining the West and funding Terrorisim is a good way to throw your dick on the table and establish dominance especially after what we did to Venezuela.
Making Iran NATO friendly could possibly stabilize a large part of the region, the only remaining problem children would be Iraq and Afghanistan, even then they'd probably cool down as well.

People really need to stop viewing Trump as a mythical figure as a regular man and stop being turbobutt hurt over everytime he breathes or being cringe "Daddy Trump" worshippers, because his MO is simple to see.

This is what Trump did in the 2016 primaries. People have zero long term memory but they forget that for the first two months he was a joke, everyone was mocking him. But after Iowa, Trump dind't go after Jeb! or Rubio, he went after Herman Cain who was on place above him - just mogged Cain constantly, and beat him in the next primary. It was like two months before he was taking shots at Yeb and Bubbles.
You don't try to take the big dog. You start small and build momentum.

we only make about 100 tomahawks a year just fyi and we have PLANS to ramp to 1,000 but its just words on paper
View attachment 8637743
Source
Navy gets about 70 a year, airforce gets less
View attachment 8637748
Source

our lead times on these missiles is becoming a crippling issue

Raytheon slow-walks production currently due to low volume of orders. If needed they can scale those numbers very high and rather quickly.

So when is Turkey getting invaded?

Steadfast NATO allies.

 

[Quijibo69]

AI, you can’t exactly trust all the photos and videos, either.

These are all real trust me I'm on the internet! You can even say that about CNN, FOX and MSNBC, even before AI.

 

[DickMain]

I would feel sorry for the dogs in the military... but you JUST got done watching 20 years of waste in the desert for Israel...

Chill though, dawg, it's barely been more than twenty hours. Start panicking when the goal becomes an on-the-ground peacekeeping operation and manhunt for King Pisslam playing Half-Life in his hideaway compound.

 

[Mr. Racewar1488]

Police Station 104 Abbas Abad Niloufar Square was leveled to the ground by Joint USAF-IAF Airstrikes.


The Basij (Religious Militia) Base of Shohada Square Tehran hit by USAF/IAF strikes.

Interceptors seen and massive explosions heard over Kuwait.


The base of IRGC in Nabi Akbar in Eslamabad-e Gharb, Kermanshah province,was hit by USAF/IAF Strikes.

 

[DeeDee Megadoodoo]

Do you know what powers your car and/ or every fucking truck, train, and plane the US uses or needs someone to use?

...................
I'm sorry, are you under the impression that oil comes from Israel? We had deals with the Saudis before the kikes set foot in the region. If ever there was an argument for having Israel as a beachhead in the region, it's been defunk for decades. We do not need them. We get nothing from them. They take-- a lot.

No, we're in the Middle East because the Jewish lobby owns our government. When they want to sacrifice goyim for gains, our politicians are happy to oblige.

 

[Kakkerum420]

Scenario 6: they go west instead. Ctesiphon is rebuilt, the Sassanid hordes rape Syria and Asia Minor again. There is no Heraclius this time. Then they go south and turn Mecca and Medina to rubble in revenge for 633-651. Trump kneels to their superior basedness

I forgot Ctesiphon, it must be rebuilt, and Istanbul needs to become Constantinople.

 

[din365]

Scenario 2: The regime remains in power and responds with even harsher repression. It accelerates its nuclear program and expands support for proxy forces across the region

Or a "scenario 5": the regime remains in power, but eases up on the repression for a while and tries to keep things quiet while quietly working on their nuclear program in secret, then ramp up the repression once they think they are close or even have a nuke. basically try to keep the red white and blue monkey off their back until they have a stick of their own.

thats basically what they have been doing before even as the warhawks in Washington beat the war drums

 

[mindlessobserver]

The anime has been released.

 

[Mr. Racewar1488]

Morality Security Police in Yaftabad, Southwest Tehran was hit by USAF/IAF strikes.


Israel is hitting Lebanon hard. There goes the ceasefire.