US 2022 Mid-Term Election

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So real talk. I been fallowing the polls on and off and in June I was 100 percent sure the gop would win a blow out now in August I am not so sure. I feel the gop would win the house dems may senite but not the blow out I hope for. Do voters really care more about woke, niggers, fags and troons then having a functional society and economy? People say the economy sucks but are also getting cold feet about voting republicans?
They've done really well with the tribalism, so a lot of voters can just say "well troons and BLM are a little bad, but SURELY not all Democrats want that and of course they aren't as bad as those MEAN OL' REPUBLICANS who hate democracy like the nice man on the TV tells me!"

Based on that and other factors like gas prices having dropped by $1.50 in just a few months (at least where I am, that's the biggest drop in my lifetime), it's looking a lot better for the Democrats than a few months ago. Afghanistan is so far behind it's a "literally-what?" moment now, the perception is that Democrats got the gas prices under control (and it wasn't THAT bad since it helped us beat PUTLERMORT after all, right?) and they'll soon fix the economy. Anyone expecting a Red Wave will be as disappointed as the bluechecks who believed the MSM that 2018 would be a Blue Wave. Republicans will win, but not as big as people here say.
 
They've done really well with the tribalism, so a lot of voters can just say "well troons and BLM are a little bad, but SURELY not all Democrats want that and of course they aren't as bad as those MEAN OL' REPUBLICANS who hate democracy like the nice man on the TV tells me!"

Based on that and other factors like gas prices having dropped by $1.50 in just a few months (at least where I am, that's the biggest drop in my lifetime), it's looking a lot better for the Democrats than a few months ago. Afghanistan is so far behind it's a "literally-what?" moment now, the perception is that Democrats got the gas prices under control (and it wasn't THAT bad since it helped us beat PUTLERMORT after all, right?) and they'll soon fix the economy. Anyone expecting a Red Wave will be as disappointed as the bluechecks who believed the MSM that 2018 would be a Blue Wave. Republicans will win, but not as big as people here say.
Gas is down here about 80 cents off of top price, but that's not enough to make people forget that it's still up. Your conclusion is probably right though. People are overly optimistic on the midterms because it's useful for propaganda.
 
Gas is down here about 80 cents off of top price, but that's not enough to make people forget that it's still up. Your conclusion is probably right though. People are overly optimistic on the midterms because it's useful for propaganda.
Inflation is also shrinking (i think it's down to low 8 % which surprised some analysts) but there is just one little catch: the midterms are in November. god knows what can happen within the next 3 months. Just for example in Germany some politicans are already warning about violent protests when power might get cut out due to low gas reserves. Now the Us isn't Germany but can you imagine how people might react if days before the election shortages / power outages happen? Well unless they "fortified" the election again and their useful idiots have already voted by mail. If the GOP wants to win they must blare all the failures of the current Admin whivch shouldn't be hard: Afghanistan 2021, gas prices skyrocket, crime rates go up across the country because of Soros DA's who are all Democrats.... There is so much ammunition imho. And most importantly: mimic the Democrats in terms of going house to house to "harvest" as many votes as possible
 
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Inflation is also shrinking (i think it's down to low 8 % which surprised some analysts) but there is just one little catch: the midterms are in November. god knows what can happen within the next 3 months. Just for example in Germany some politicans are already warning about violent protests when power might get cut out due to low gas reserves. Now the Us isn't Germany but can you imagine how people might react if days before the election shortages / power outages happen? Well unless they "fortified" the election again and their useful idiots have already voted by mail. If the GOP wants to win they must blare all the failures of the current Admin whivch shouldn't be hard: Afghanistan 2021, gas prices skyrocket, crime rates go up across the country because of Soros DA's who are all Democrats.... There is so much ammunition imho. And most importantly: mimic the Democrats in terms of going house to house to "harvest" as many votes as possible

New York City might get a taste of things to come with the climate alarmism from what I read on that article.

August 11, 2022

Climate Alarmism Descending upon the Lower Levels of Government​

By Irene Heron


Everyone knows about the disastrous Green New Deal that is being foisted upon us by our federal rulers in D.C. However, few New Yorkers realize that our state is way ahead of the game when it comes to destroying modern life as part of the climate change hoax. We have our own version of the GND known as the Climate Leadership and Communities Protection Act (CLCPA).
Since the Dems have held the legislature and governor’s seat, some of the most destructive programs and regulations have been imposed to stop the use of fossil fuels in our homes, cars and every facet of our lives without regard for the consequences.
In 2019, New York lawmakers approved one of the most aggressive climate policies in the world, requiring net zero emissions for all sectors of the state’s economy by mid-century. The CLCPA requires New York to acquire all of its electricity from carbon-free energy sources by 2040 and then reach net zero emissions by 2050. In fact, we are one of the few states in the U.S. (if not the only one) with legally binding emissions reduction targets that meet goals set by the Paris climate agreement.
As the Empire Center think tank explained, New York can increase its use of renewable energy and reduce greenhouse gas emissions, but it cannot do so cheaply while maintaining grid reliability.
Meanwhile, just as with the national GND debacle, no one will admit that we are nowhere near being able to go without the reliable energy sources (nuclear, oil, gas, coal and hydroelectric) that have served us so well since the beginning of the industrial revolution. Nor do we have sufficient storage capacity (batteries) for the energy that's generated by unreliable wind and solar sources.
Business leaders are worried that our renewable energy infrastructure is not up to the job and that the misguided rush to lower carbon emissions is creating a concerning power deficit.
One of the worst decisions that was made by former governor Cuomo and his cronies, was to shutter the Indian Point nuclear power plant in Westchester that had been an essential part of New York’s energy supply since the 1960s. In April of 2021, the last nuclear reactor was shut down resulting in an immediate loss of 25% of New York City's electrical power.
 
So real talk. I been fallowing the polls on and off and in June I was 100 percent sure the gop would win a blow out now in August I am not so sure. I feel the gop would win the house dems may senite but not the blow out I hope for. Do voters really care more about woke, niggers, fags and troons then having a functional society and economy? People say the economy sucks but are also getting cold feet about voting republicans?
No, the polls are hilariously out of touch with reality. Republicans intentionally lie to pollsters on the rare occasion that they respond to polls at all. The polls are intended to shape public opinion, not measure it.
Inflation is also shrinking (i think it's down to low 8 % which surprised some analysts)
8% inflation is still the highest it's been in 40 years. Interest rates are skyrocketing and pricing people out of being able to afford mortgages on already inflated home prices. Inflation is coming down because we are in a recession.
but there is just one little catch: the midterms are in November. god knows what can happen within the next 3 months. Just for example in Germany some politicans are already warning about violent protests when power might get cut out due to low gas reserves. Now the Us isn't Germany but can you imagine how people might react if days before the election shortages / power outages happen? Well unless they "fortified" the election again and their useful idiots have already voted by mail. If the GOP wants to win they must blare all the failures of the current Admin whivch shouldn't be hard: Afghanistan 2021, gas prices skyrocket, crime rates go up across the country because of Soros DA's who are all Democrats.... There is so much ammunition imho. And most importantly: mimic the Democrats in terms of going house to house to "harvest" as many votes as possible
Not to mention at least one of Biden's afghan refugees is a serial killer.
 
No, the polls are hilariously out of touch with reality. Republicans intentionally lie to pollsters on the rare occasion that they respond to polls at all. The polls are intended to shape public opinion, not measure it.

8% inflation is still the highest it's been in 40 years. Interest rates are skyrocketing and pricing people out of being able to afford mortgages on already inflated home prices. Inflation is coming down because we are in a recession.
Yeah but you know how the media will react "See it's turning around. Gas prices are going down, inflation decreases, unemployment sinks. Let's go Brandon!" while conveniewntly ignoring the fact that a lot of people can't afford groceries, rent, gas.
 
No, the polls are hilariously out of touch with reality. Republicans intentionally lie to pollsters on the rare occasion that they respond to polls at all. The polls are intended to shape public opinion, not measure it.

8% inflation is still the highest it's been in 40 years. Interest rates are skyrocketing and pricing people out of being able to afford mortgages on already inflated home prices. Inflation is coming down because we are in a recession.

It's conventional wisdom that the American voter doesn't remember anything that has happened 2 weeks before an election but I disagree. Personally, I think that everyone is going to the grocery store and when they see their receipt they think, "what the fuck, Joe!?"

And I doubt anyone is going to be fooled that gas is cheaper when it went up like 100% then decreased 8%. And Biden doesn't even have any accomplishments that would make this easier to swallow, either.

I think there are a lot of parents who are furious that their kids' educations were interrupted by lockdown Democrats and they will show up in the midterms to make their opinions known. Who does Biden / the Democrats even appeal to anymore? He shit all over the progressives, handled Covid by basically ceasing testing + ignoring it (how come the media stopped updating Covid deaths after it got to 1 million?), continued building the wall, and his administration is synonymous with inflation and tedious difficulty.
 
Without keeping up with the freakshow that is American politics lately, I imagine these midterm elections are at least as crazy as 2020, especially with abortion thing?
 
Without keeping up with the freakshow that is American politics lately, I imagine these midterm elections are at least as crazy as 2020, especially with abortion thing?
Depends what you mean. Violence and riots? No... That's bad for the president's party. Vote shenanigans? They'll try, but they might be tapped out from the big steal in 2020. Further, the house is much harder to do that with since it's more local. PA as the example, Philly can't just print ballots for all of the Representatives running. Senate is same as presidency though... population centers COULD control it.
 
Yeah but you know how the media will react "See it's turning around. Gas prices are going down, inflation decreases, unemployment sinks. Let's go Brandon!" while conveniewntly ignoring the fact that a lot of people can't afford groceries, rent, gas.
For gas prices and to a degree unemployment, there's also the psychological element. People are seeing it in real time by paying less than they were a few months ago and hearing how their friends/family are getting jobs. It really would seem like things like looking up even if in reality things are still worse than they were in January 2020.
It's conventional wisdom that the American voter doesn't remember anything that has happened 2 weeks before an election but I disagree. Personally, I think that everyone is going to the grocery store and when they see their receipt they think, "what the fuck, Joe!?"

And I doubt anyone is going to be fooled that gas is cheaper when it went up like 100% then decreased 8%. And Biden doesn't even have any accomplishments that would make this easier to swallow, either.
All of that's inflation which is the big issue Biden and the Democrats can be hammered on. Adjusted for inflation, where I live gas is only 50-90 cents over what it was on average during the Trump years (outside of March-December 2020 when prices cratered from low demand). However, it's the grocery store that really hit hard, and of course most people's wages aren't keeping pace with inflation.
I think there are a lot of parents who are furious that their kids' educations were interrupted by lockdown Democrats and they will show up in the midterms to make their opinions known. Who does Biden / the Democrats even appeal to anymore? He shit all over the progressives, handled Covid by basically ceasing testing + ignoring it (how come the media stopped updating Covid deaths after it got to 1 million?), continued building the wall, and his administration is synonymous with inflation and tedious difficulty.
Who did Biden appeal to anyway? His entire presidential campaign was "I'm not Trump." The MSM does everything they can to tie the Republicans to that damn dirty Orange Man because they know that's their only chance of coming even remotely close to winning (i.e. close enough to cheat). There's enough low-info people out there like my grandmother who trust the man in the nice suit on TV telling them how bad the Republicans are.
 
Inflation is also shrinking (i think it's down to low 8 % which surprised some analysts) but there is just one little catch: the midterms are in November. god knows what can happen within the next 3 months. Just for example in Germany some politicans are already warning about violent protests when power might get cut out due to low gas reserves. Now the Us isn't Germany but can you imagine how people might react if days before the election shortages / power outages happen? Well unless they "fortified" the election again and their useful idiots have already voted by mail. If the GOP wants to win they must blare all the failures of the current Admin whivch shouldn't be hard: Afghanistan 2021, gas prices skyrocket, crime rates go up across the country because of Soros DA's who are all Democrats.... There is so much ammunition imho. And most importantly: mimic the Democrats in terms of going house to house to "harvest" as many votes as possible
Inflation shrinking??? Real inflation is when a pair of 99 cent flip flops 9 months ago now cost you $5.99 at Wally World in my region.
Gas when down BUT food continues to rise and it will rise until Nov IMHO because we are at the end of harvesting season. The cost of fuel for those vehicles are 2.5 times more than DEC 2020 and 50% more than the beginning of the year.

I do not think we will have the same food costs that we had even 1 year ago. The high cost of food is going to stay.
You can thank your Socialists for all of this.

No, my quarterlies do not lie. My overall net profits are down because of the costs of Inflation, that should have not happened in the first place.

So next year I am going to have to increase cost of the leases on the properties I invest in and make up the loss. And you know I'm not the only one that is going to do this. Every single business owner is going to do the same in one form or another.

Again those inflation numbers given out means little to the person who can not put food on the table.

It's sad really. This should have never happened in the first place but you got people in government who are waging a war against the middle class and the poor.

Segregation by Taxation. and inflation is the cruelest form of taxation.

Vote in November to stop the on going damage to your freedom that the government wants to continue to erode.
 
Gas prices dropping slightly is because Biden opened our strategic oil reserves for exactly up until November. After the elections, that goes away and we're back to Leftist's terrible green agenda that was driving the price hikes in the first place. The Left doesn't care about hurting people, they only care that we notice, and they'll just put a bandage on until we give them power again. Afterward, it's back to the anal raping.
 
Gas prices dropping slightly is because Biden opened our strategic oil reserves for exactly up until November. After the elections, that goes away and we're back to Leftist's terrible green agenda that was driving the price hikes in the first place. The Left doesn't care about hurting people, they only care that we notice, and they'll just put a bandage on until we give them power again. Afterward, it's back to the anal raping.
I think it's time to help them to desintox from "powerholism".
 
I don't think the republicans are going to retake anything this year.
There'll be a few meaningless turnovers, just to show that 'see democracy totally works and is totally going on right now.' But really how many republicans are that different from whatever democrats they'd replace. In rhetoric, maybe, in the slow march towards bullshit? Zero difference.
 
Without keeping up with the freakshow that is American politics lately, I imagine these midterm elections are at least as crazy as 2020, especially with abortion thing?
Abortion is a non-issue. Individual states control their laws, so abortions will still be available and people will adapt. Inflation, crime, etc is way more present in a voter's mind this election cycle.
Depends what you mean. Violence and riots? No... That's bad for the president's party. Vote shenanigans? They'll try, but they might be tapped out from the big steal in 2020. Further, the house is much harder to do that with since it's more local. PA as the example, Philly can't just print ballots for all of the Representatives running. Senate is same as presidency though... population centers COULD control it.
The 2020 census took a few seats from blue states, and many governments at the state level are Republican. They control redistricting which takes effect this election. I believe (but may be wrong) that a majority of the 33% of the senate up for re-election are democrats, so even if they win a bunch of races it's mostly not losing ground as opposed to gains. This is why the Senate was 50/50 in 2020, Republicans had to defend a lot of their own seats that year.
There'll be a few meaningless turnovers, just to show that 'see democracy totally works and is totally going on right now.' But really how many republicans are that different from whatever democrats they'd replace. In rhetoric, maybe, in the slow march towards bullshit? Zero difference.
10 years ago i would agree with you. Those Republicans are no longer tolerated by voters, and they are voted out at the first opportunity. The few leadership positions that haven't been purged yet are on the way out, either by retirement, being primaried, or simply dying of old age.

The Republicans started their painful overhauling in 2008 when Obama won. The democrats are at the Peak Bush Jr. stage of their party. It's going to be some hard years, Kamala Harris is the lefty Sarah Palin.
 
I think we're in an era where a red wave or blue wave is impossible. The only people at play are the moderates. Dedicated red and blue voters will never change their mind as long as their hugbox hubs continue to exist the way they do right now.

I think there are overwhelming odds that the Republicans gain a majority in the House this cycle. Senate will probably gain too, but not overwhelmingly. I'd venture to say that every state has at least one swing district, and many of those swing districts are gonna vote Republican. Biden is too weak of a personality, even for Democrats. Gas prices and inflation are still an issue, and we're most likely going to be in an officially declared recession judging by trends in RGDP (unless NBER decides to shill for the Democrats by avoiding that classification ahead of the midterms).

The cities will remain blue, the countryside will remain red, and the suburbs will vote redder than they have before.
 
I think we're in an era where a red wave or blue wave is impossible. The only people at play are the moderates. Dedicated red and blue voters will never change their mind as long as their hugbox hubs continue to exist the way they do right now.

I think there are overwhelming odds that the Republicans gain a majority in the House this cycle. Senate will probably gain too, but not overwhelmingly. I'd venture to say that every state has at least one swing district, and many of those swing districts are gonna vote Republican. Biden is too weak of a personality, even for Democrats. Gas prices and inflation are still an issue, and we're most likely going to be in an officially declared recession judging by trends in RGDP (unless NBER decides to shill for the Democrats by avoiding that classification ahead of the midterms).

The cities will remain blue, the countryside will remain red, and the suburbs will vote redder than they have before.
We're not getting Regan presidential election maps anytime soon (unless we get some really good fortification) but the Senate, Presidency, and, more especially, the House are turnout games. The solely inner city politicians will remain fixed, the very rural will remain fixed, but much of the country is in seats that balance city and country population and a bit of enthusiasm or swing can change it.
And "only independants are in play" means "only 30%+ of the population swings". That's a lot.
Only 6 years ago PA was red.
 
We're not getting Regan presidential election maps anytime soon (unless we get some really good fortification) but the Senate, Presidency, and, more especially, the House are turnout games. The solely inner city politicians will remain fixed, the very rural will remain fixed, but much of the country is in seats that balance city and country population and a bit of enthusiasm or swing can change it.
And "only independants are in play" means "only 30%+ of the population swings". That's a lot.
Only 6 years ago PA was red.
Moderates aren't a monolith either, though. The way I see it, there's a few key layers to this issue:

1. The individual running for office in a specific district
2. The specific preference distribution of voters in a specific district
3. Political ad spending in the leadup to the election

Given the political climate, I think it is physically impossible for any party to gain a supermajority in Congress. That's the definition I go off of when I think "red/blue wave".
Democrats will outspend the Republicans this cycle. The abortion question is going to impede Republicans, since the conversation around the overturning of Roe v Wade has turned into a shitfest of absolutes. The ethical argument presented by pro-life politicians is going to be a bigger deal than the reality of the SCOTUS decision. I think many moderates, especially those who are more apolitical and pay less attention, are going to be averse to voting for Republicans because of their perception that they absolutely oppose abortion.
Congressional elections have far less individual visibility than Presidential ones. Attack ads are going to be very influential here, because in most cases there isn't a good platform for the candidate to fully express their position and it's a much better bang for the buck to just produce an attack ad.

Think about how much has changed in the popular consciousness in 6 years. I think we live in a completely new, post-COVID paradigm. Shit is more unpredictable than it was before.
 
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