Link (Archive)
Despite the absolute and total bullshit tone that the new writers are taking with the front page, we ABSOLUTELY can win this election. We can. We can. We can.
Condescending articles with alarmist titles are inappropriate, harmful, and childish. No real journalist titles an article “you should be terrified.” Pathetic.
We have so much reason for hope!!!
Everyone made fun of Simon Rosenberg in 2022 when he said that the polls were being pushed by the right to change the conversation and that the red wave was bullshit. Both Nates mocked him as did all the pundits.
Guess what? He was right.
And he is right now too.
Does this mean that we are going to win 100%? Of course not. No one can say that.
Sure, we can’t know what the vote will look like, but that doesn’t mean that our numbers will be the ones lower than polls. In addition to the fake red wave polling, pollsters are doing an untested weighting of votes based on how people said they voted in 2020 (to not undercount trump voters). We just don’t know if that will be an overcorrection (because people — in particular swing votes — may not remember or admit to a vote) But it does mean that we are very much in this.
Also — re: early vote, OF COURSE Rs have stronger earlier vote percentages than they did in 2020. They were being told NOT to vote early in 2020 and now they are being told TO vote early. Back in the day, they were the early voting party!
The fact that we are ahead of our percentage from 2020 in three swing states is AMAZING! No one expected that!
And we are holding strong in the others. Yes, Rs are up on 2020 BUT WE EXPECTED THAT. It is no reason to lose hope!
It is a reason to keep fighting!!
Some other reasons for hope:
We have a candidate and a team of surrogates BLANKETING the swing states with rallies (they do not). Because rallies in swing states increase margins!!
We have armies of volunteers going door to door because neighborhoods that are canvased vote 8% higher than ones that are not!
We have millions of postcards and letters going to voters because neighborhoods that get postcards to voters vote 3% higher than those that do not.
We have millions of phone calls being made to low likelihood democratic voters because people are much more likely to vote if people follow up with them to make sure they vote.
We have a great candidate. We have the resources. We have the ground game. We have the enthusiasm!
We can do this! We can win!
We may be tired and worn out and ready for a week of sleep when this is over, but WE CAN WIN!!!
As Simon Rosenberg said JUST TODAY — I would rather be us than them and we have not won yet but we are winning!
All we do know for sure is that this is close and we need all hands on deck in our joyous fight!!!
Unsure what to do?
Here are some options for action (each is a link to take you to more info).
Well now I am angry.
Despite the absolute and total bullshit tone that the new writers are taking with the front page, we ABSOLUTELY can win this election. We can. We can. We can.
Condescending articles with alarmist titles are inappropriate, harmful, and childish. No real journalist titles an article “you should be terrified.” Pathetic.
We have so much reason for hope!!!
Everyone made fun of Simon Rosenberg in 2022 when he said that the polls were being pushed by the right to change the conversation and that the red wave was bullshit. Both Nates mocked him as did all the pundits.
Guess what? He was right.
And he is right now too.
Does this mean that we are going to win 100%? Of course not. No one can say that.
Sure, we can’t know what the vote will look like, but that doesn’t mean that our numbers will be the ones lower than polls. In addition to the fake red wave polling, pollsters are doing an untested weighting of votes based on how people said they voted in 2020 (to not undercount trump voters). We just don’t know if that will be an overcorrection (because people — in particular swing votes — may not remember or admit to a vote) But it does mean that we are very much in this.
Also — re: early vote, OF COURSE Rs have stronger earlier vote percentages than they did in 2020. They were being told NOT to vote early in 2020 and now they are being told TO vote early. Back in the day, they were the early voting party!
The fact that we are ahead of our percentage from 2020 in three swing states is AMAZING! No one expected that!
And we are holding strong in the others. Yes, Rs are up on 2020 BUT WE EXPECTED THAT. It is no reason to lose hope!
It is a reason to keep fighting!!
Some other reasons for hope:
We have a candidate and a team of surrogates BLANKETING the swing states with rallies (they do not). Because rallies in swing states increase margins!!
We have armies of volunteers going door to door because neighborhoods that are canvased vote 8% higher than ones that are not!
We have millions of postcards and letters going to voters because neighborhoods that get postcards to voters vote 3% higher than those that do not.
We have millions of phone calls being made to low likelihood democratic voters because people are much more likely to vote if people follow up with them to make sure they vote.
We have a great candidate. We have the resources. We have the ground game. We have the enthusiasm!
We can do this! We can win!
We may be tired and worn out and ready for a week of sleep when this is over, but WE CAN WIN!!!
As Simon Rosenberg said JUST TODAY — I would rather be us than them and we have not won yet but we are winning!
All we do know for sure is that this is close and we need all hands on deck in our joyous fight!!!
Unsure what to do?
Here are some options for action (each is a link to take you to more info).
