UN US Midterm Elections 2018 Megathread - Blue Wave or Red Tsunami? Because you know we need one.

November 6th, 2018.
You have less than one month to sperg about the midterm elections.

Hot Takes :
Tis the end of Drumpf!

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

http://archive.is/1rEYe

Could the US midterm elections break Trump's presidency?

President Donald Trump. Source: AAP


Voting in the US midterm elections is now underway.

UpdatedUpdated 27 September
By Rashida Yosufzai, Nick Baker
In this article...

• What are the midterms?
• What do the polls predict?
• Why do these elections matter?
• How could recent developments affect things?
• Could Trump be impeached?
• Will the youth vote make a difference?
• What does it mean for Australia?

Americans have started to cast their ballots in a vote that could shape the rest of Donald Trump's presidency.

Although the US midterm elections are technically held on 6 November, early voting has already started in a handful of states.

Minnesota was the first state to allow early in-person voting on 21 September, with a handful of key states following, including New Jersey, California and Arizona.


Thirty-five states and the District of Columbia offer some form of early voting, meaning every day until 6 November counts for Democrats and Republicans.

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

80 per cent chance of winning back the chamber.

Republicans have a 1 in 5 chance of keeping control of the House, while Democrats have about a 4 in 5 chance of winning control of the House. https://t.co/lyNh30TEIw pic.twitter.com/O38qtMPpIz

— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 25, 2018
The Senate though is likely to be retained by the Republicans.

According to CNN, the Democrats are defending some two dozen seats, including 10 in states where Mr Trump secured victory in 2016, and five of those where he won resoundingly.

FiveThirtyEight gives the Democrats just a 30 per cent chance of taking the Senate.

Trump's election one year on: What do Americans think of him now?[/paste:font]


The Democrats could also use their numbers to set up House select committees targeting the president.

"They will have an opportunity to set up special panels and committees to essentially smear President Trump," United States Studies Centre research fellow Dougal Robinson told SBS News in April.

Mr Robinson pointed to the Benghazi committee set up by the Republicans against Hillary Clinton in 2014 to further investigate the fatal 2012 terrorist attack on two US government facilities in Libya.

Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

Once seen as cruising to an easy vote - fulfilling Mr Trump's key promise to stack the Supreme Court with conservative justices - a string of sexual assault allegations has turned the Kavanaugh decision into all-out political war.

According to CNN's national political reporter Eric Bradner, the scandal and lukewarm response from some Republicans to Mr Kavanaugh's accusers could "drive suburban women away in midterms".

I have no doubt that, if the attack on Dr. Ford was as bad as she says, charges would have been immediately filed with local Law Enforcement Authorities by either her or her loving parents. I ask that she bring those filings forward so that we can learn date, time, and place!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 21, 2018
Analysts also point to Robert Mueller's investigation as an ongoing potential source of political curveballs.

Mr Mueller has already indicted more than 30 people in connection with his probe into whether members of Mr Trump's campaign colluded with Russia to help get the real estate tycoon elected.

And speculation has swirled in recent days that Mr Trump may fire embattled deputy attorney general Rod Rosenstein - who oversees the Russia collusion probe.

Doubts over how long Mr Rosenstein can keep the job have swirled since shock media reports that he once suggested secretly recording Mr Trump to collect evidence for ousting him under a constitutional amendment for presidents unfit to remain in office.

Mr Rosenstein's firing - and Mr Trump possibly putting someone more pliable in his place - would set off alarm bells over the future independence of a probe, which has the potential to rock both the midterms and the entire Trump presidency.

US wants ‘partnership, not domination’ in Australia and region[/paste:font]


A report co-authored by Mr Robinson predicted after the midterms, Congress would be highly unlikely to support a US re-entry to the Trans-Pacific Partnership - a trade deal between 11 Pacific nations including Australia and New Zealand which Mr Trump pulled the US out of last year.

Another issue that may affect Australia is that if the Democrats retake the House, it is likely to lead to lower defence spending.

Additional reporting: AAP, AFP

This article was originally published in April 2018 and updated in September 2018.

How will Trump keep his voter base energized? "More Winning."
http://archive.fo/VkaHH

TRUMP HAS A TWO WORD RESPONSE WHEN REPORTER ASKS HIM HOW HE WILL KEEP GOP BASE ENERGIZED
5:52 PM 10/10/2018
Benny Johnson | Reporter At Large

President Donald Trump made portions of the White House press corps chuckle with his response on how he intends to keep Republican voters fired up after the ultimately successful confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

“How do you keep your base energized now that you have this Kavanaugh victory?” one reporter asked. Tuesday was the first day that Kavanaugh sat on the court after a contentious battle over his nomination.

“More winning,” Trump said.

Trump was leaving the White House on his way to a campaign rally Tuesday night when he took questions from reporters in the White House driveway.

The president was also asked about the mobs of paid progressive protesters that took over Capitol Hill during the contentious debate over Kavanaugh’s confirmation. Trump was specifically asked about the intense “energy” of the protesters.

“A lot of those were paid protesters. You saw that they are all unhappy because they haven’t been paid yet,” Trump alleged about the protesters. (RELATED: Trump Has A Theory Why The Anti-Kavanaugh Protesters Are So Mad)


Trump brought up his new trade deal with Canada and Mexico as a major policy win. “Our deal with Mexico and Canada was fantastic,” Trump said. “China wants to make a deal so badly. We will see where it goes. But I don’t think they are ready.”

Trump Will Lose 60 Seats in the house... Unless... Please Visit My Site
http://archive.fo/zHe4o

MATT DRUDGE WARNS OF MIDTERM BLOODBATH: TRUMP TO LOSE ’60 SEATS IN THE HOUSE LIKE OBAMA DID’
2:41 PM 09/14/2018
Peter Hasson | Reporter

Conservative news giant Matt Drudge on Friday made a somber prediction about Republicans’ chances in the November midterm elections, predicting President Donald Trump will see his party lose 60 seats in the House of Representatives.

Drudge, who runs the influential Drudge Report, compared the upcoming midterms to the electoral bloodbath Democrats suffered in the 2010 midterm elections under former President Barack Obama.

Screenshot/Twitter

“Trump and Obama both have 47% approval at this time of presidency, according to Rasmussen. Trump will also lose 60 seats in the House like Obama did during first midterm!” Drudge wrote on Twitter. (RELATED: Democrats Should Immediately Abolish ICE After Retaking Congress)

He added cryptically: “Unless…”

Democrats have to gain 23 House seats in November in order to flip the lower chamber. Democrats have an 83 percent chance of retaking the House, according to FiveThirty Eight.

Follow Hasson on Twitter @PeterJHasson

Content created by The Daily Caller News Foundation is available without charge to any eligible news publisher that can provide a large audience. For licensing opportunities of our original content, please contact licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.

The Weird :
Mark Taylor "Red Tsunami Prophecy"
http://archive.fo/KJjj2

Mark Taylor (The Trump Prophecies): Most Important Midterm Elections In All Of US History
July 30, 2018 29 3159


Mark Taylor says the upcoming 2018 elections are the most important mid-term elections in all of America’s history. Here’s why…

Mark Taylor interviewed by Greg Hunter on USA Watchdog

Mark Taylor, author of the popular book “The Trump Prophecies,” contends, “If you are part of the army of God, you need to be ready also because there are going to be politicians that are going to resign. We have had the biggest number of resignations probably in history. This midterm election is going to be huge. This is going to be a red tsunami. They keep talking about the blue wave. I think it’s going to be a blue drip, a leaky faucet, and that is all they are going to get. You have had more resignations than we have ever seen. Now is the time to go in and capture this ground and hold it for the Kingdom of God. . . . It’s not a left or right thing. God is moving us towards a place of righteousness. That’s what’s happening right now. So, he’s going to be replacing these people. If you are called to be a judge, senator, congressman or a council person, I don’t care what level local, state or federal, take your place and get ready. If you are in the Army of God and you don’t vote, you need to get off your behind and register to vote. These are going to be the most important midterm elections in America’s history—period.”

In closing, Taylor says, “I don’t think there is going to be another Democrat in the White House for a long time, if ever again. I believe you are seeing the death of the Democrat party right now.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Mark Taylor, co-author of “The Trump Prophecies,” which has been made into a movie that is releasing in early October.

Donations: https://usawatchdog.com/donations/

 

[Yandere Science]

Ironically, like communism, libertarianism's fatal flaw is far too optimistic a notion of the average human's moral character, which is why, when practiced, the worst among us usually wind up dominating that system by taking advantage of everyone else's inherent altruism.

To be precise, they believe in the "perfectly spherical human" model of behavior, and see either the state or private property as the only thing standing between them and a vacuum.

 

[mildly_miffed_69]

Of course you're allowed to reply to all of it, just use multiquote to do it one post if you want. However, based on your argumentation so far I don't have very high hopes for your rebuttal.

i don't really have the aim to convince anyone of anything, nor do i expect my thought process to be clear to anyone on here, lol

i am of the opinion that most KF users are pretty sheltered, and their collective ideology is the result of bouncing from safespace to safespace outside of the dreaded "mainstream media"

to a lot of them, i'm probably some indoctrinated NPC. and hey, they could be right.

I'm not a mod but we're in a megathread for an event that peaked a week ago and this is already veering into general political autism, so if you're not afraid of eating the inevitable downrates you're gonna get replying to everyone, go for it.

i really don't care about my imaginary KF points, but i do want to make sure i'm not being a problem for the people who are plagued with moderating this place

 

[Absolutego]

i don't really have the aim to convince anyone of anything, nor do i expect my thought process to be clear to anyone on here, lol

i am of the opinion that most KF users are pretty sheltered, and their collective ideology is the result of bouncing from safespace to safespace outside of the dreaded "mainstream media"

to a lot of them, i'm probably some indoctrinated NPC. and hey, they could be right.

For someone calling users here sheltered and bouncing from "safe spaces", you type like literally every holier-than-thou, condescending, obnoxious leftist that will occasionally stroll into A&H, take a steaming dump on the place, and then inevitably DFE or get themselves banned for generally being an annoying jackass.

I remember you back when you called yourself @Asterisk, @Techpriest, etc.

You joke about NPCs but you are exactly the same flavor of fart-huffing prick they were that I really do wonder if they make people like you in a factory somewhere.

 

[It's HK-47]

i don't really have the aim to convince anyone of anything, nor do i expect my thought process to be clear to anyone on here, lol

i am of the opinion that most KF users are pretty sheltered, and their collective ideology is the result of bouncing from safespace to safespace outside of the dreaded "mainstream media"

to a lot of them, i'm probably some indoctrinated NPC. and hey, they could be right.

Oh, I can't wait to see the full response to all of those quotes, now. Please ignore any sort of backlash and please continue, I sincerely want to see the responses you have to everyone's arguments now.

 

[Marchesa of the Vast]

i am of the opinion that most KF users are pretty sheltered, and their collective ideology is the result of bouncing from safespace to safespace outside of the dreaded "mainstream media"

Sounds like you've been arguing in good faith there. /sneed

 

[Iwasamwillbe]

i am of the opinion that most KF users are pretty sheltered, and their collective ideology is the result of bouncing from safespace to safespace outside of the dreaded "mainstream media"

This is hilarious coming from the guy who believes that Republican states/"flyover country" don't get good education and that it's not wrong from government entities to appropriate the mainstream media for their own agendas.

 

[mildly_miffed_69]

This is hilarious coming from the guy who believes that Republican states/"flyover country" don't get good education and that it's not wrong from government entities to appropriate the mainstream media for their own agendas.

i was basing this on some past data ranking all 50 states on their level of educational proficiency but alright

For someone calling users here sheltered and bouncing from "safe spaces", you type like literally every holier-than-thou, condescending, obnoxious leftist that will occasionally stroll into A&H, take a steaming dump on the place, and then inevitably DFE or get themselves banned for generally being an annoying jackass.

i can't deny that i'm being kind of a dick. sorry. i'll tone it down.

i don't know what DFE is. edit: nvm i googled it, gotcha. i don't plan to.

I remember you back when you called yourself @Asterisk, @Techpriest, etc.

You joke about NPCs but you are exactly the same flavor of fart-huffing prick they were that I really do wonder if they make people like you in a factory somewhere.

i don't know who those people are. if you want to believe i'm them, then... alright, i guess?

i thought the NPC meme was a joke /pol/-esque people were into. guess it missed.

Oh, I can't wait to see the full response to all of those quotes, now. Please ignore any sort of backlash and please continue, I sincerely want to see the responses you have to everyone's arguments now.

sure. give me a little bit, but i'll try

 

[Iwasamwillbe]

i was basing this on some past data ranking all 50 states on their level of educational proficiency but alright

Which one? The one that exists solely inside your head, maybe? You also didn't address you saying it isn't wrong for government entities to use mainstream media for their own ends.

i can't deny that i'm being kind of a dick. sorry. i'll tone it down.

I highly doubt you are, considering what's on your profile page:

Spoiler: mildly_miffed_69

>KF is my favorite echo-chamber x3
>oof, looked at the other sections of the site and realized everyone here is actually exceptional
>time to go back to reddit :-)
>big win in the house. a little less miffed.
>#bluewave

i don't know what DFE is.

Delete Fucking Everything.

i thought the NPC meme was a joke /pol/-esque people were into. guess it missed.

The NPC meme is not a joke only "/pol/-esque" people were into. Have you even been paying attention to current events?

sure. give me a little bit, but i'll try

Please do. I need a good laugh.

 

[Ineedahero]

was basing this on some past data ranking all 50 states on their level of educational proficiency but alright

Lol 'I saw a study once, so disenfranchise half the nation.'

 

[1Tonka_Truck]

i was basing this on some past data ranking all 50 states on their level of educational proficiency but alright

Again, Wyoming was ranked in the top 5 in math and SAT scores last year. They are consistently in the top 10. There is not a more fly-over state than WY. Most of the state is called the Big Empty for a reason.

 

[misterduckford]

I highly doubt you are, considering what's on your profile page:

Spoiler: mildly_miffed_69

View attachment 592312

Hahaha he's the one @darkshadowfox said that shit to?! That's a random.txt suggestion.
This is good. This is all coming together well. I am content.

 

[mildly_miffed_69]

Lol 'I saw a study once, so disenfranchise half the nation.'

i never said disenfranchise anything. what?

 

[Iwasamwillbe]

i never said disenfranchise anything. what?

https://kiwifarms.net/posts/3972419/

Just a hypothetical: if I had to choose between a 2020 authoritarian right vs 2020 authoritarian left, I'd be forced to choose the left for the sake of my own best interests. It sucks, but that's where we're at.

https://kiwifarms.net/posts/3973319/

Not gonna lie, it's very satisfying seeing these voices get de-platformed. I missed the type of dialog that wasn't dominated by Jordan Peterson incels rightfully inviting the "ism-tossing".

When comparing the extremes, I'd rather the extreme left, sorry. Again, their interests, though distant, still align better with my own than the modern right does.

You didn't directly talk about disenfranchisement, whether in the form of the right to vote or general rights of citizenship, but it seems that you are certainly in favor of it as long as those not on your side are being disenfranchised.

 

[Absolutego]

i don't know who those people are. if you want to believe i'm them, then... alright, i guess?

i thought the NPC meme was a joke /pol/-esque people were into. guess it missed.

I guess for the terminally autistic among us I will state that I don't seriously think you are the same person as @Techpriest and @Asterisk, but rather you are such a flagrant stereotype of the kind of annoying troll that condescends their way through this board before inevitably annoying a mod enough to get hit with the banhammer that you shouldn't be throwing shade at the NPC meme.

You are the NPC meme.

 

[mildly_miffed_69]

You didn't directly talk about disenfranchisement

you're right, i didn't. i'm not in favor of any kind of disenfranchisement.

my opinion is that if you're a legal US citizen 18 or over, you should be able to easily cast a vote with little issue. i'm not sure where you got the opposite impression, because i already agreed with this a few pages back...

I guess for the terminally autistic among us I will state that I don't seriously think you are the same person as @Techpriest and @Asterisk, but rather you are such a flagrant stereotype of the kind of annoying troll that condescends their way through this board before inevitably annoying a mod enough to get hit with the banhammer that you shouldn't be throwing shade at the NPC meme.

is it in my best interest to just avoid this board? i don't want to get hounded by the mob or anything. i only use KF for one of the other boards and stumbled on this thread because it was featured.

 

[Maxliam]

I'm not a mod but we're in a megathread for an event that peaked a week ago and this is already veering into general political autism, so if you're not afraid of eating the inevitable downrates you're gonna get replying to everyone, go for it.

If they downvote, they downvote.

Ironically, like communism, libertarianism's fatal flaw is far too optimistic a notion of the average human's moral character, which is why, when practiced, the worst among us usually wind up dominating that system by taking advantage of everyone else's inherent altruism.

That's why I think it's good for social issues like free speech and gun ownership but maybe not so much for the market. There's a reason we have regulations. Without them we get debt slavery, the company store creating said debt slavery, child labor, hours that are way too long for workers, etc.

I'm not opposed to certain ideas of socialism. Workers need time off and a decent wage. What I think is ridiculous is when either group goes full retard and thinks their system is flawless.

It's like guys who are gun or car snobs. Just annoying because all things have some sort of flaw.

 

[Absolutego]

is it in my best interest to just avoid this board? i don't want to get hounded by the mob or anything. i only use KF for one of the other boards and stumbled on this thread because it was featured.

I don't care where you post or what you post, I'm explaining why you're getting the reaction you're getting and why many people are responding to your comments with the vitriol they have. It's my hope by highlighting what particular attitudes annoy people around here that you might find a better way to express what you're getting at without coming off as insufferably full of yourself and condescending.

God knows this subforum could use articulated defenses of left-wing political platforms that aren't rooted in themes of smug self-satisfaction and overdosing on the Dunning-Kruger effect.

 

[Iwasamwillbe]

you're right, i didn't. i'm not in favor of any kind of disenfranchisement.

my opinion is that if you're a legal US citizen 18 or over, you should be able to easily cast a vote with little issue.

Okay then.

i'm not sure where you got the opposite impression, because i already agreed with this a few pages back...

I just quoted posts that gave me the opposite impression.

is it in my best interest to just avoid this board?

I don't know. You're giving dissenting opinions, and if you evidence them well enough, you'll (eventually) be accepted. It's ultimately your call, though.

i don't want to get hounded by the mob or anything.

Kiwi Farms doesn't hound people with mobs. It just doesn't happen here.

i only use KF for one of the other boards and stumbled on this thread because it was featured.

Okay, but if you're posting political opinions here ("here" being anywhere on the site), it'd be in your best interests not to be so smug about them. As @Absolutego said, we could use good arguments for left-wing political positions.

 

[Lord of Cinder]

Honestly, is anyone else getting huge laughs from the fact, the right, is acting the same as the left in 2016? Just endless screams about election fraud, but it's different kind, like the tumblrites we're acting like broken, crying snowflakes, the American right on the hand, has the biggest fucking persecution complex ever. Just more proof about both sides.

In any case, the pure salt and tears from /pol/ have been more then worth it, I say.

 

[Absolutego]

Honestly, is anyone else getting huge laughs from the fact, the right, is acting the same as the left in 2016? Just endless screams about election fraud, but it's different kind, like the tumblrites we're acting like broken, crying snowflakes, the American right on the hand, has the biggest fucking persecution complex ever. Just more proof about both sides.

In any case, the pure salt and tears from /pol/ have been more then worth it, I say.

Sinema taking the senate seat really drove /pol/-acks into overdrive. I've been lowkey watching Razorfist lose his shit over the past two days and it's been hilarious.


On the one hand, I kinda sympathize with the voting fraud sperging because the DNC has made it all too apparent they really want to just import a more compliant base than the damn middle-class white people, but, at the same time, the evidence is fucking scant at best and people are delving into pretty dumb conspiracy theories about McCain somehow nuking the whole party in Arizona from beyond the grave to excuse McSally having an almost Ocasio-Cortez-tier terrible sense of political timing.