UN US Midterm Elections 2018 Megathread - Blue Wave or Red Tsunami? Because you know we need one.

November 6th, 2018.
You have less than one month to sperg about the midterm elections.

Hot Takes :
Tis the end of Drumpf!

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

http://archive.is/1rEYe

Could the US midterm elections break Trump's presidency?

President Donald Trump. Source: AAP


Voting in the US midterm elections is now underway.

UpdatedUpdated 27 September
By Rashida Yosufzai, Nick Baker
In this article...

• What are the midterms?
• What do the polls predict?
• Why do these elections matter?
• How could recent developments affect things?
• Could Trump be impeached?
• Will the youth vote make a difference?
• What does it mean for Australia?

Americans have started to cast their ballots in a vote that could shape the rest of Donald Trump's presidency.

Although the US midterm elections are technically held on 6 November, early voting has already started in a handful of states.

Minnesota was the first state to allow early in-person voting on 21 September, with a handful of key states following, including New Jersey, California and Arizona.


Thirty-five states and the District of Columbia offer some form of early voting, meaning every day until 6 November counts for Democrats and Republicans.

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

80 per cent chance of winning back the chamber.

Republicans have a 1 in 5 chance of keeping control of the House, while Democrats have about a 4 in 5 chance of winning control of the House. https://t.co/lyNh30TEIw pic.twitter.com/O38qtMPpIz

— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 25, 2018
The Senate though is likely to be retained by the Republicans.

According to CNN, the Democrats are defending some two dozen seats, including 10 in states where Mr Trump secured victory in 2016, and five of those where he won resoundingly.

FiveThirtyEight gives the Democrats just a 30 per cent chance of taking the Senate.

Trump's election one year on: What do Americans think of him now?[/paste:font]


The Democrats could also use their numbers to set up House select committees targeting the president.

"They will have an opportunity to set up special panels and committees to essentially smear President Trump," United States Studies Centre research fellow Dougal Robinson told SBS News in April.

Mr Robinson pointed to the Benghazi committee set up by the Republicans against Hillary Clinton in 2014 to further investigate the fatal 2012 terrorist attack on two US government facilities in Libya.

Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

Once seen as cruising to an easy vote - fulfilling Mr Trump's key promise to stack the Supreme Court with conservative justices - a string of sexual assault allegations has turned the Kavanaugh decision into all-out political war.

According to CNN's national political reporter Eric Bradner, the scandal and lukewarm response from some Republicans to Mr Kavanaugh's accusers could "drive suburban women away in midterms".

I have no doubt that, if the attack on Dr. Ford was as bad as she says, charges would have been immediately filed with local Law Enforcement Authorities by either her or her loving parents. I ask that she bring those filings forward so that we can learn date, time, and place!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 21, 2018
Analysts also point to Robert Mueller's investigation as an ongoing potential source of political curveballs.

Mr Mueller has already indicted more than 30 people in connection with his probe into whether members of Mr Trump's campaign colluded with Russia to help get the real estate tycoon elected.

And speculation has swirled in recent days that Mr Trump may fire embattled deputy attorney general Rod Rosenstein - who oversees the Russia collusion probe.

Doubts over how long Mr Rosenstein can keep the job have swirled since shock media reports that he once suggested secretly recording Mr Trump to collect evidence for ousting him under a constitutional amendment for presidents unfit to remain in office.

Mr Rosenstein's firing - and Mr Trump possibly putting someone more pliable in his place - would set off alarm bells over the future independence of a probe, which has the potential to rock both the midterms and the entire Trump presidency.

US wants ‘partnership, not domination’ in Australia and region[/paste:font]


A report co-authored by Mr Robinson predicted after the midterms, Congress would be highly unlikely to support a US re-entry to the Trans-Pacific Partnership - a trade deal between 11 Pacific nations including Australia and New Zealand which Mr Trump pulled the US out of last year.

Another issue that may affect Australia is that if the Democrats retake the House, it is likely to lead to lower defence spending.

Additional reporting: AAP, AFP

This article was originally published in April 2018 and updated in September 2018.

How will Trump keep his voter base energized? "More Winning."
http://archive.fo/VkaHH

TRUMP HAS A TWO WORD RESPONSE WHEN REPORTER ASKS HIM HOW HE WILL KEEP GOP BASE ENERGIZED
5:52 PM 10/10/2018
Benny Johnson | Reporter At Large

President Donald Trump made portions of the White House press corps chuckle with his response on how he intends to keep Republican voters fired up after the ultimately successful confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

“How do you keep your base energized now that you have this Kavanaugh victory?” one reporter asked. Tuesday was the first day that Kavanaugh sat on the court after a contentious battle over his nomination.

“More winning,” Trump said.

Trump was leaving the White House on his way to a campaign rally Tuesday night when he took questions from reporters in the White House driveway.

The president was also asked about the mobs of paid progressive protesters that took over Capitol Hill during the contentious debate over Kavanaugh’s confirmation. Trump was specifically asked about the intense “energy” of the protesters.

“A lot of those were paid protesters. You saw that they are all unhappy because they haven’t been paid yet,” Trump alleged about the protesters. (RELATED: Trump Has A Theory Why The Anti-Kavanaugh Protesters Are So Mad)


Trump brought up his new trade deal with Canada and Mexico as a major policy win. “Our deal with Mexico and Canada was fantastic,” Trump said. “China wants to make a deal so badly. We will see where it goes. But I don’t think they are ready.”

Trump Will Lose 60 Seats in the house... Unless... Please Visit My Site
http://archive.fo/zHe4o

MATT DRUDGE WARNS OF MIDTERM BLOODBATH: TRUMP TO LOSE ’60 SEATS IN THE HOUSE LIKE OBAMA DID’
2:41 PM 09/14/2018
Peter Hasson | Reporter

Conservative news giant Matt Drudge on Friday made a somber prediction about Republicans’ chances in the November midterm elections, predicting President Donald Trump will see his party lose 60 seats in the House of Representatives.

Drudge, who runs the influential Drudge Report, compared the upcoming midterms to the electoral bloodbath Democrats suffered in the 2010 midterm elections under former President Barack Obama.

Screenshot/Twitter

“Trump and Obama both have 47% approval at this time of presidency, according to Rasmussen. Trump will also lose 60 seats in the House like Obama did during first midterm!” Drudge wrote on Twitter. (RELATED: Democrats Should Immediately Abolish ICE After Retaking Congress)

He added cryptically: “Unless…”

Democrats have to gain 23 House seats in November in order to flip the lower chamber. Democrats have an 83 percent chance of retaking the House, according to FiveThirty Eight.

Follow Hasson on Twitter @PeterJHasson

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The Weird :
Mark Taylor "Red Tsunami Prophecy"
http://archive.fo/KJjj2

Mark Taylor (The Trump Prophecies): Most Important Midterm Elections In All Of US History
July 30, 2018 29 3159


Mark Taylor says the upcoming 2018 elections are the most important mid-term elections in all of America’s history. Here’s why…

Mark Taylor interviewed by Greg Hunter on USA Watchdog

Mark Taylor, author of the popular book “The Trump Prophecies,” contends, “If you are part of the army of God, you need to be ready also because there are going to be politicians that are going to resign. We have had the biggest number of resignations probably in history. This midterm election is going to be huge. This is going to be a red tsunami. They keep talking about the blue wave. I think it’s going to be a blue drip, a leaky faucet, and that is all they are going to get. You have had more resignations than we have ever seen. Now is the time to go in and capture this ground and hold it for the Kingdom of God. . . . It’s not a left or right thing. God is moving us towards a place of righteousness. That’s what’s happening right now. So, he’s going to be replacing these people. If you are called to be a judge, senator, congressman or a council person, I don’t care what level local, state or federal, take your place and get ready. If you are in the Army of God and you don’t vote, you need to get off your behind and register to vote. These are going to be the most important midterm elections in America’s history—period.”

In closing, Taylor says, “I don’t think there is going to be another Democrat in the White House for a long time, if ever again. I believe you are seeing the death of the Democrat party right now.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Mark Taylor, co-author of “The Trump Prophecies,” which has been made into a movie that is releasing in early October.

Donations: https://usawatchdog.com/donations/

 

[Krokodil Overdose]

The takeaway from this is people become Journalists because Math is Hard and Bullshit is Easy!

Man, journalism really is the domain of people who never got over high school.

 

[Kari Kamiya]

They’re calling for a recount in Florida.

I'm expecting Sinema to demand a recount because cunts like her are always sore losers. She's also not going to leave the spotlight anytime soon, 'cause if she's that desperate to get into power, she'll try again in the next Senate race for McCain's seat.

 

[Doctor of Autism]

When will they call Georgia already?

 

[It's HK-47]

You said "Big Boss" first, so I assumed you meant that atrocious faggot from MGS2.

I'm disappointed. For a brief moment I hoped a Republican bishonen had gotten elected. Or a cyber ninja

I don't know, an ex-SEAL team member with an eyepatch isn't a bad deal in my book. That's pretty much exactly the kind of candidate I'd expect from Texas.

Edit: Oh. You meant that Raiden. Nevermind, I misunderstood. I make an active effort to try and forget that MGS2 ever happened.

Dunno who Beto is but if he lost then I hope he's set up to be the presidential candidate next year.

Don't feel bad, no one fucking knows who Beto is, that's why he creeped me the fuck out.

He had an astronomical amount of propaganda and funding and media support and publicity, but if you pressed anyone for longer than two seconds about his history or his policies they couldn't tell you the first fucking thing about him. He was just some milquetoast, weirdo nobody who no one has ever heard of who was shoved out the front door and dressed up to be Obama 2.0. All form, no substance. It was creepy.

 

[Marvin]

Well my Governor won, so I'm happy.

Hogan! Hogan! Hogan!

Did Ben Jealous win Virginia?

 

[Dr. Henry Armitage]

When will they call Georgia already?

I don't know why they haven't its pretty clear Brian Kemp won.

 

[ColtWalker1847]

I don't know, an ex-SEAL team member with an eyepatch isn't a bad deal in my book. That's pretty much exactly the kind of candidate I'd expect from Texas.

Edit: Oh. You meant that Raiden. Nevermind, I misunderstood. I make an active effort to try and forget that MGS2 ever happened.

Don't feel bad, no one fucking knows who Beto is, that's why he creeped me the fuck out.

He had an astronomical amount of propaganda and funding and media support and publicity, but if you pressed anyone for longer than two seconds about his history or his policies they couldn't tell you the first fucking thing about him. He was just some milquetoast, weirdo nobody who no one has ever heard of who was shoved out the front door and dressed up to be Obama 2.0. All form, no substance. It was creepy.

They still issue M79s?

That's badass.

 

[Marchesa of the Vast]

So ultimately it looks like it fit to what I was expecting going into yesterday which I think is also the best possible long term outcome for Trump.

The best thing for Trump and the Republicans is when the progressives among the Democrats screech and look like the coin flip side of evangelical fundamentalists. Additionally this gives Trump a scapegoat for anything that happens in the next 2 years. If the Reps had retained control of both branches then they would have complete responsibility (Regardless of if it is warranted) for anything that goes bad. It's not like the House was that favorable to Trump anyway. The incumbent who won my seat for example is a RINO whose last card to play was denouncing Trump and vowing to oppose him on immigration. So fuck the House. As it stands Trump can still get most of his agenda complete, clean out a bunch detritus, and set up 2020 which is the real crux point.

I'm very pleased with how things turned out. The salt of Reps holding onto the House as well would have been too bittersweet to me, knowing how much more it would risk 2020.

 

[PoisonedBun]

At the risk of sounding like an idiot, can someone better at American politics explain how the party with 10 million more votes still lost? Is it the same rules that technically cucked Hillary Clinton out of a win? I’m not upset or anything I just want to learn.

 

[JambledUpWords]

 

[ColtWalker1847]

At the risk of sounding like an idiot, can someone better at American politics explain how the party with 10 million more votes still lost? Is it the same rules that technically cucked Hillary Clinton out of a win? I’m not upset or anything I just want to learn.

The US is a representative republic. Not a true democracy because those are dumb and scary. The votes are therefore allotted by district/state/etc for elected representatives.

 

[Marchesa of the Vast]

At the risk of sounding like an idiot, can someone better at American politics explain how the party with 10 million more votes still lost? Is it the same rules that technically cucked Hillary Clinton out of a win? I’m not upset or anything I just want to learn.

There were hundreds of races last night. Winning by 6 gorillion in a handful of them does not mean they automatically win all the others.

 

[Antipathy]

The US is a representative republic. Not a true democracy because those are dumb and scary. The votes are therefore allotted by district/state/etc for elected representatives.

The U.S is a stealth oligarchy. Not a representative republic because that's too scary for the elites.

 

[Marchesa of the Vast]

The U.S is a stealth oligarchy. Not a representative republic because that's too scary for the elites.

It's a representative republic in form but an oligarchy in practical function.

 

[Antipathy]

It's a representative republic in form but an oligarchy in practical function.

It's an oligarchy in that it doesn't function. Honestly, it's a testament to America's middle management that it's been able to stumble along for decades with both parties hating each other and getting nothing really done.

 

[ColtWalker1847]

The U.S is a stealth oligarchy. Not a representative republic because that's too scary for the elites.

Whatever. We don't select leaders because a party got 50% plus one of the votes. How they caucus on the orders of their reptilian overlords is something else entirely.

 

[Antipathy]

Whatever. We don't select leaders because a party got 50% plus one of the votes. How they caucus on the orders of their reptilian overlords is something else entirely.

It doesn't matter who votes, the people always lose.

 

[It's HK-47]

At the risk of sounding like an idiot, can someone better at American politics explain how the party with 10 million more votes still lost? Is it the same rules that technically cucked Hillary Clinton out of a win? I’m not upset or anything I just want to learn.

Think of it like this: You have one city with 1,000 people who pretty much are ruled by 5 people at the top floor, and the other 995 are just a mish-mash of random city-dwelling dipshits and PhD-holders and immigrants who collect welfare checks, and another city with 100 people who grow all the food, maintain the waterways, staff the mining/drilling/power operations, operate the shipping to-and-from the cities, and generally keep the productivity and well-being of both cities running.

1,000 votes VS 100 is never going to go in favour of the 100, but the 100 cannot be ignored because they provide too many fundamental services to the two cities. The U.S. is set up very deliberately so that coastal elites and major metropolitan centers will not be able to rule by majority. That was the entire point because that's what the Founding Fathers were trying to get the fuck away from in the first place.

If the U.S. was mob rule, the entire country would be governed by the choices of, what.. Three or four cities? Most of California isn't even all that blue most of the time, for fuck's sake, it's just forcibly shoved into the Democratic category because of a handful of major cities like Los Angeles. I forget the exact math for it, so I'm just gonna' pull these numbers straight out of my ass, but it was something to the tune of like, "America has ~4,000,000 million square miles. If it was a direct democracy, 5,000 square miles would decide the course of the entire country."

 

[Drycantelope]

Guys I don't understand Beyonce, the worlds top authority on political matters said to vote for Beto!
How could this happen, I'm literally shaking!

 

[ColtWalker1847]

It doesn't matter who votes, the people always lose.

The act of voting isn't wish-fulfillment. There are institutions and power structures that are far more established and much longer lived than any candidate or campaign.

Most people know and accept this. It is inescapable. But it's also better than the alternative which is mob-rule anarchy which will just install a new set of shitty institutions and power structures when the dust settles.