UN US Midterm Elections 2018 Megathread - Blue Wave or Red Tsunami? Because you know we need one.

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November 6th, 2018.
You have less than one month to sperg about the midterm elections.

Hot Takes :
Tis the end of Drumpf!
It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.
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http://archive.is/1rEYe
Could the US midterm elections break Trump's presidency?

President Donald Trump. Source: AAP


Voting in the US midterm elections is now underway.

UpdatedUpdated 27 September
By Rashida Yosufzai, Nick Baker
In this article...
Americans have started to cast their ballots in a vote that could shape the rest of Donald Trump's presidency.

Although the US midterm elections are technically held on 6 November, early voting has already started in a handful of states.

Minnesota was the first state to allow early in-person voting on 21 September, with a handful of key states following, including New Jersey, California and Arizona.


Thirty-five states and the District of Columbia offer some form of early voting, meaning every day until 6 November counts for Democrats and Republicans.

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

80 per cent chance of winning back the chamber.

Republicans have a 1 in 5 chance of keeping control of the House, while Democrats have about a 4 in 5 chance of winning control of the House. https://t.co/lyNh30TEIw pic.twitter.com/O38qtMPpIz

— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 25, 2018
The Senate though is likely to be retained by the Republicans.

According to CNN, the Democrats are defending some two dozen seats, including 10 in states where Mr Trump secured victory in 2016, and five of those where he won resoundingly.

FiveThirtyEight gives the Democrats just a 30 per cent chance of taking the Senate.

Trump's election one year on: What do Americans think of him now?[/paste:font]


The Democrats could also use their numbers to set up House select committees targeting the president.

"They will have an opportunity to set up special panels and committees to essentially smear President Trump," United States Studies Centre research fellow Dougal Robinson told SBS News in April.

Mr Robinson pointed to the Benghazi committee set up by the Republicans against Hillary Clinton in 2014 to further investigate the fatal 2012 terrorist attack on two US government facilities in Libya.

Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

Once seen as cruising to an easy vote - fulfilling Mr Trump's key promise to stack the Supreme Court with conservative justices - a string of sexual assault allegations has turned the Kavanaugh decision into all-out political war.

According to CNN's national political reporter Eric Bradner, the scandal and lukewarm response from some Republicans to Mr Kavanaugh's accusers could "drive suburban women away in midterms".

I have no doubt that, if the attack on Dr. Ford was as bad as she says, charges would have been immediately filed with local Law Enforcement Authorities by either her or her loving parents. I ask that she bring those filings forward so that we can learn date, time, and place!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 21, 2018
Analysts also point to Robert Mueller's investigation as an ongoing potential source of political curveballs.

Mr Mueller has already indicted more than 30 people in connection with his probe into whether members of Mr Trump's campaign colluded with Russia to help get the real estate tycoon elected.

And speculation has swirled in recent days that Mr Trump may fire embattled deputy attorney general Rod Rosenstein - who oversees the Russia collusion probe.

Doubts over how long Mr Rosenstein can keep the job have swirled since shock media reports that he once suggested secretly recording Mr Trump to collect evidence for ousting him under a constitutional amendment for presidents unfit to remain in office.

Mr Rosenstein's firing - and Mr Trump possibly putting someone more pliable in his place - would set off alarm bells over the future independence of a probe, which has the potential to rock both the midterms and the entire Trump presidency.

US wants ‘partnership, not domination’ in Australia and region[/paste:font]


A report co-authored by Mr Robinson predicted after the midterms, Congress would be highly unlikely to support a US re-entry to the Trans-Pacific Partnership - a trade deal between 11 Pacific nations including Australia and New Zealand which Mr Trump pulled the US out of last year.

Another issue that may affect Australia is that if the Democrats retake the House, it is likely to lead to lower defence spending.

Additional reporting: AAP, AFP

This article was originally published in April 2018 and updated in September 2018.
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How will Trump keep his voter base energized? "More Winning."
http://archive.fo/VkaHH

TRUMP HAS A TWO WORD RESPONSE WHEN REPORTER ASKS HIM HOW HE WILL KEEP GOP BASE ENERGIZED
5:52 PM 10/10/2018
Benny Johnson | Reporter At Large

President Donald Trump made portions of the White House press corps chuckle with his response on how he intends to keep Republican voters fired up after the ultimately successful confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

“How do you keep your base energized now that you have this Kavanaugh victory?” one reporter asked. Tuesday was the first day that Kavanaugh sat on the court after a contentious battle over his nomination.

“More winning,” Trump said.

Trump was leaving the White House on his way to a campaign rally Tuesday night when he took questions from reporters in the White House driveway.

The president was also asked about the mobs of paid progressive protesters that took over Capitol Hill during the contentious debate over Kavanaugh’s confirmation. Trump was specifically asked about the intense “energy” of the protesters.

“A lot of those were paid protesters. You saw that they are all unhappy because they haven’t been paid yet,” Trump alleged about the protesters. (RELATED: Trump Has A Theory Why The Anti-Kavanaugh Protesters Are So Mad)


Trump brought up his new trade deal with Canada and Mexico as a major policy win. “Our deal with Mexico and Canada was fantastic,” Trump said. “China wants to make a deal so badly. We will see where it goes. But I don’t think they are ready.”
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Trump Will Lose 60 Seats in the house... Unless... Please Visit My Site
http://archive.fo/zHe4o

MATT DRUDGE WARNS OF MIDTERM BLOODBATH: TRUMP TO LOSE ’60 SEATS IN THE HOUSE LIKE OBAMA DID’
2:41 PM 09/14/2018
Peter Hasson | Reporter

Conservative news giant Matt Drudge on Friday made a somber prediction about Republicans’ chances in the November midterm elections, predicting President Donald Trump will see his party lose 60 seats in the House of Representatives.

Drudge, who runs the influential Drudge Report, compared the upcoming midterms to the electoral bloodbath Democrats suffered in the 2010 midterm elections under former President Barack Obama.

Matt-Drudge-Tweet-620x298.jpg

Screenshot/Twitter

“Trump and Obama both have 47% approval at this time of presidency, according to Rasmussen. Trump will also lose 60 seats in the House like Obama did during first midterm!” Drudge wrote on Twitter. (RELATED: Democrats Should Immediately Abolish ICE After Retaking Congress)

He added cryptically: “Unless…”

Democrats have to gain 23 House seats in November in order to flip the lower chamber. Democrats have an 83 percent chance of retaking the House, according to FiveThirty Eight.

Follow Hasson on Twitter @PeterJHasson

Content created by The Daily Caller News Foundation is available without charge to any eligible news publisher that can provide a large audience. For licensing opportunities of our original content, please contact licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.
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The Weird :
Mark Taylor "Red Tsunami Prophecy"
http://archive.fo/KJjj2

Mark Taylor (The Trump Prophecies): Most Important Midterm Elections In All Of US History
July 30, 2018 29 3159


Mark Taylor says the upcoming 2018 elections are the most important mid-term elections in all of America’s history. Here’s why…

Mark Taylor interviewed by Greg Hunter on USA Watchdog

Mark Taylor, author of the popular book “The Trump Prophecies,” contends, “If you are part of the army of God, you need to be ready also because there are going to be politicians that are going to resign. We have had the biggest number of resignations probably in history. This midterm election is going to be huge. This is going to be a red tsunami. They keep talking about the blue wave. I think it’s going to be a blue drip, a leaky faucet, and that is all they are going to get. You have had more resignations than we have ever seen. Now is the time to go in and capture this ground and hold it for the Kingdom of God. . . . It’s not a left or right thing. God is moving us towards a place of righteousness. That’s what’s happening right now. So, he’s going to be replacing these people. If you are called to be a judge, senator, congressman or a council person, I don’t care what level local, state or federal, take your place and get ready. If you are in the Army of God and you don’t vote, you need to get off your behind and register to vote. These are going to be the most important midterm elections in America’s history—period.”

In closing, Taylor says, “I don’t think there is going to be another Democrat in the White House for a long time, if ever again. I believe you are seeing the death of the Democrat party right now.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Mark Taylor, co-author of “The Trump Prophecies,” which has been made into a movie that is releasing in early October.

Donations: https://usawatchdog.com/donations/
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KillThemCrackasBabies said:
I was reading le Redit's r/politics megathreads when Gillum lost and they were getting nasty 2016 flashbacks. I should have screencapped some gems but the entire thing seems to be gold.
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They're currently in hardcore denial mode about the Blue Wave shit failing badly but saying that Democrats got the House, like okay just 10 more people compared to the Republicans, big whoop de do.
 
In other news, Suozzi and Cuomo won, mostly thanks to the usual spots in NY.

...Getting really fucking sick of political dynasties.
 
Plissken said:
Republicans just flipped a Minnesota seat. Does anyone know which party controls the Nevada seats? Was it a blue, red, or purple state?
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District 2's an incumbent Republican.
Screen shot 2018-11-06 at 11.03.44 PM.png

And District 4 was Democrat. I don't know about District 3.
 
This is a loss for the Republicans, but not a defeat they can not recover from. As I suspected, blue house, red senate. Reeing about Orange man bad does work for most.

Honestly I expected it to be more blue. Trump is the ultimate underdog. The establisment, the media, the pop culture is all paid to vilify him to no end. A lot of uneducated people had years of their favourite TV show, newspaper and celebrity telling them he is the worst single person in human history. You can't win against propaganda of that magnitude.
 
Male Idiot said:
This is a loss for the Republicans, but not an defeat they can not recover from. As I suspected, blue house, red senate. Reeing about Orange man bad does work for most.

Honestly I expected it to be more blue. Trump is the ultimate underdog. The establisment, the media, the pop culture is all paid to vilify him to no end. A lot of uneducated people had years of their favourite TV show, newspaper and celebrity telling them he is the worst single person in human history. You can't win against propaganda of that magnitude.
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Yeah, you can. Had the propaganda worked beyond the hardened and moderate democrats, the loss would've been much bigger.

In the age of free information of any sort, all with the stroke of a few keys? Propaganda is easy to cut through.
 
Plissken said:
Yeah, you can. Had the propaganda worked beyond the hardened and moderate democrats, the loss would've been much bigger.

In the age of free information of any sort, all with the stroke of a few keys? Propaganda is easy to cut through.
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Until you pass legislation to censor the internet.
 
Plissken said:
Yeah, you can. Had the propaganda worked beyond the hardened and moderate democrats, the loss would've been much bigger.

In the age of free information of any sort, all with the stroke of a few keys? Propaganda is easy to cut through.
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Propaganda can be easily cut through sure, but that depends on if someone is willing to put in the effort to know more or willing to take what is being told at face value.
 
The Pokéfags have been quiet tonight, which sucks as I was looking forward to hearing from them. At least one's posted to give the results.
Screen shot 2018-11-06 at 11.13.01 PM.png
"There certainly won't be a wall."
The wall's not going anywhere.

"can no longer hide behind the Republicans when it comes to investigations"
He hasn't been hiding behind anyone because there's nothing to investigate. :story: So good luck with that, but if the House wants to waste its and everyone else's time chasing ghosts, that's all on them.

And there's that admission to the possibility of another justice vacancy within the next two years, at least. Better watch what you say around that monkey's paw.
 
I guarantee RBG dies very soon. She's looking horrible. Hell she was falling asleep while on stage during an interview. With a Republican Senate, Trump will at least pick up her replacement.
 
I'm pleasantly surprised.

That the dems would fuck up the un-fuck-uppable was a bygone conclusion, and it was only a matter of how badly they'd so so. While this isn't as hilarious as a red blowout, it does mean the usual suspects are going to be clinging to a terrifyingly narrow hope spot and that's likely only going to make things funnier in the long term.

This is great news for John McCain The Kiwi Farms, basically.
 
Kari Kamiya said:
The Pokéfags have been quiet tonight, which sucks as I was looking forward to hearing from them. At least one's posted to give the results.
View attachment 586314 "There certainly won't be a wall."
The wall's not going anywhere.

"can no longer hide behind the Republicans when it comes to investigations"
He hasn't been hiding behind anyone because there's nothing to investigate. :story: So good luck with that, but if the House wants to waste its and everyone else's time chasing ghosts, that's all on them.

And there's that admission to the possibility of another justice vacancy within the next two years, at least. Better watch what you say around that monkey's paw.
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The Senate being more red and harder red matters a lot when it comes to Trump reorienting his cabinet as well. That's something that desperately needs to happen. McMaster probably needs to go and so does his coffee runner turned Secretary of Homeland Security Kirstjen Nielsen at the very least. Removing these two or either and replacing them with pro-trump figures will allow Trump to move his agenda forward considerably via the executive
 
The "Maga Agenda" is not dead. Far from it. 2020 says hello, for starters.

And, once again, at this point in time, I think the Dems are in an uphill battle when it comes to maintaining this House majority. It's all about the map, and the seats up for election in 2020 are not nearly as favorable for the Dems as they were tonight.

The Dems should be much more scared of Trump's judicial advantage than celebratory over their minuscule legislative "victory." And it is apparent to me that there are plenty of Dems who are actually aware of their current situation. I'm surprised that I'm not seeing nearly as much delusional gloating as one would expect. Plenty of Democrats don't feel so great after tonight.
 
Jaimas said:
In other news, Suozzi and Cuomo won, mostly thanks to the usual spots in NY.

...Getting really fucking sick of political dynasties.
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I just hate NY politics in general, tbh. There’s quite a few states where it feels like your vote doesn’t matter in the presidential election because of overwhelming history one way or another, but NY is one of those special states where you feel like it doesn’t matter at the midterms or even local elections.
 
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