UN US Midterm Elections 2018 Megathread - Blue Wave or Red Tsunami? Because you know we need one.

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November 6th, 2018.
You have less than one month to sperg about the midterm elections.

Hot Takes :
Tis the end of Drumpf!
It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.
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http://archive.is/1rEYe
Could the US midterm elections break Trump's presidency?

President Donald Trump. Source: AAP


Voting in the US midterm elections is now underway.

UpdatedUpdated 27 September
By Rashida Yosufzai, Nick Baker
In this article...
Americans have started to cast their ballots in a vote that could shape the rest of Donald Trump's presidency.

Although the US midterm elections are technically held on 6 November, early voting has already started in a handful of states.

Minnesota was the first state to allow early in-person voting on 21 September, with a handful of key states following, including New Jersey, California and Arizona.


Thirty-five states and the District of Columbia offer some form of early voting, meaning every day until 6 November counts for Democrats and Republicans.

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

80 per cent chance of winning back the chamber.

Republicans have a 1 in 5 chance of keeping control of the House, while Democrats have about a 4 in 5 chance of winning control of the House. https://t.co/lyNh30TEIw pic.twitter.com/O38qtMPpIz

— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 25, 2018
The Senate though is likely to be retained by the Republicans.

According to CNN, the Democrats are defending some two dozen seats, including 10 in states where Mr Trump secured victory in 2016, and five of those where he won resoundingly.

FiveThirtyEight gives the Democrats just a 30 per cent chance of taking the Senate.

Trump's election one year on: What do Americans think of him now?[/paste:font]


The Democrats could also use their numbers to set up House select committees targeting the president.

"They will have an opportunity to set up special panels and committees to essentially smear President Trump," United States Studies Centre research fellow Dougal Robinson told SBS News in April.

Mr Robinson pointed to the Benghazi committee set up by the Republicans against Hillary Clinton in 2014 to further investigate the fatal 2012 terrorist attack on two US government facilities in Libya.

Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

Once seen as cruising to an easy vote - fulfilling Mr Trump's key promise to stack the Supreme Court with conservative justices - a string of sexual assault allegations has turned the Kavanaugh decision into all-out political war.

According to CNN's national political reporter Eric Bradner, the scandal and lukewarm response from some Republicans to Mr Kavanaugh's accusers could "drive suburban women away in midterms".

I have no doubt that, if the attack on Dr. Ford was as bad as she says, charges would have been immediately filed with local Law Enforcement Authorities by either her or her loving parents. I ask that she bring those filings forward so that we can learn date, time, and place!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 21, 2018
Analysts also point to Robert Mueller's investigation as an ongoing potential source of political curveballs.

Mr Mueller has already indicted more than 30 people in connection with his probe into whether members of Mr Trump's campaign colluded with Russia to help get the real estate tycoon elected.

And speculation has swirled in recent days that Mr Trump may fire embattled deputy attorney general Rod Rosenstein - who oversees the Russia collusion probe.

Doubts over how long Mr Rosenstein can keep the job have swirled since shock media reports that he once suggested secretly recording Mr Trump to collect evidence for ousting him under a constitutional amendment for presidents unfit to remain in office.

Mr Rosenstein's firing - and Mr Trump possibly putting someone more pliable in his place - would set off alarm bells over the future independence of a probe, which has the potential to rock both the midterms and the entire Trump presidency.

US wants ‘partnership, not domination’ in Australia and region[/paste:font]


A report co-authored by Mr Robinson predicted after the midterms, Congress would be highly unlikely to support a US re-entry to the Trans-Pacific Partnership - a trade deal between 11 Pacific nations including Australia and New Zealand which Mr Trump pulled the US out of last year.

Another issue that may affect Australia is that if the Democrats retake the House, it is likely to lead to lower defence spending.

Additional reporting: AAP, AFP

This article was originally published in April 2018 and updated in September 2018.
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How will Trump keep his voter base energized? "More Winning."
http://archive.fo/VkaHH

TRUMP HAS A TWO WORD RESPONSE WHEN REPORTER ASKS HIM HOW HE WILL KEEP GOP BASE ENERGIZED
5:52 PM 10/10/2018
Benny Johnson | Reporter At Large

President Donald Trump made portions of the White House press corps chuckle with his response on how he intends to keep Republican voters fired up after the ultimately successful confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

“How do you keep your base energized now that you have this Kavanaugh victory?” one reporter asked. Tuesday was the first day that Kavanaugh sat on the court after a contentious battle over his nomination.

“More winning,” Trump said.

Trump was leaving the White House on his way to a campaign rally Tuesday night when he took questions from reporters in the White House driveway.

The president was also asked about the mobs of paid progressive protesters that took over Capitol Hill during the contentious debate over Kavanaugh’s confirmation. Trump was specifically asked about the intense “energy” of the protesters.

“A lot of those were paid protesters. You saw that they are all unhappy because they haven’t been paid yet,” Trump alleged about the protesters. (RELATED: Trump Has A Theory Why The Anti-Kavanaugh Protesters Are So Mad)


Trump brought up his new trade deal with Canada and Mexico as a major policy win. “Our deal with Mexico and Canada was fantastic,” Trump said. “China wants to make a deal so badly. We will see where it goes. But I don’t think they are ready.”
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Trump Will Lose 60 Seats in the house... Unless... Please Visit My Site
http://archive.fo/zHe4o

MATT DRUDGE WARNS OF MIDTERM BLOODBATH: TRUMP TO LOSE ’60 SEATS IN THE HOUSE LIKE OBAMA DID’
2:41 PM 09/14/2018
Peter Hasson | Reporter

Conservative news giant Matt Drudge on Friday made a somber prediction about Republicans’ chances in the November midterm elections, predicting President Donald Trump will see his party lose 60 seats in the House of Representatives.

Drudge, who runs the influential Drudge Report, compared the upcoming midterms to the electoral bloodbath Democrats suffered in the 2010 midterm elections under former President Barack Obama.

Matt-Drudge-Tweet-620x298.jpg

Screenshot/Twitter

“Trump and Obama both have 47% approval at this time of presidency, according to Rasmussen. Trump will also lose 60 seats in the House like Obama did during first midterm!” Drudge wrote on Twitter. (RELATED: Democrats Should Immediately Abolish ICE After Retaking Congress)

He added cryptically: “Unless…”

Democrats have to gain 23 House seats in November in order to flip the lower chamber. Democrats have an 83 percent chance of retaking the House, according to FiveThirty Eight.

Follow Hasson on Twitter @PeterJHasson

Content created by The Daily Caller News Foundation is available without charge to any eligible news publisher that can provide a large audience. For licensing opportunities of our original content, please contact licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.
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The Weird :
Mark Taylor "Red Tsunami Prophecy"
http://archive.fo/KJjj2

Mark Taylor (The Trump Prophecies): Most Important Midterm Elections In All Of US History
July 30, 2018 29 3159


Mark Taylor says the upcoming 2018 elections are the most important mid-term elections in all of America’s history. Here’s why…

Mark Taylor interviewed by Greg Hunter on USA Watchdog

Mark Taylor, author of the popular book “The Trump Prophecies,” contends, “If you are part of the army of God, you need to be ready also because there are going to be politicians that are going to resign. We have had the biggest number of resignations probably in history. This midterm election is going to be huge. This is going to be a red tsunami. They keep talking about the blue wave. I think it’s going to be a blue drip, a leaky faucet, and that is all they are going to get. You have had more resignations than we have ever seen. Now is the time to go in and capture this ground and hold it for the Kingdom of God. . . . It’s not a left or right thing. God is moving us towards a place of righteousness. That’s what’s happening right now. So, he’s going to be replacing these people. If you are called to be a judge, senator, congressman or a council person, I don’t care what level local, state or federal, take your place and get ready. If you are in the Army of God and you don’t vote, you need to get off your behind and register to vote. These are going to be the most important midterm elections in America’s history—period.”

In closing, Taylor says, “I don’t think there is going to be another Democrat in the White House for a long time, if ever again. I believe you are seeing the death of the Democrat party right now.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Mark Taylor, co-author of “The Trump Prophecies,” which has been made into a movie that is releasing in early October.

Donations: https://usawatchdog.com/donations/
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So, in 2012 Cruz won his senate race by 16 points.

This time, Cruz is set to win it by about 3.

How much of this is Texas genuinely leaning purple to blue, and how much is this a fluke of circumstances and variables?

I mean Texas is where I was born and raised, and is a home I'd like to return to in the next few years if I can make the right career movements.

I can kinda see it both ways. For the gap to collapse that quickly over the course of a single election cycle is a big deal, we have more and more Bay Area-ites coming into D/FW, Austin, and Houston mistakenly bringing their politics with them, etc.

That said, Cruz is coming off of a pretty big loss to Trump, and he has to carry that albatross around his neck for this election, and Beto has been the golden boy for the DNC now for quite awhile and is genuinely looking to position himself as the best presidential candidate the DNC has (This says more about the DNC than it does Beto.) And Beto raised a massive fuck off war chest of money.

Aside from all that, I do think it's funny that media and the Twitter Blue Checks are genuinely setting him up for a presidential run. If Cruz had to carry a loss to Trump as an albatross on his neck, how much more does the "The guy who lost to the guy who lost to Trump" one weigh for 2020?
 
Big Bad Fish said:
California has that many seats because it has that many people.
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And yet Texas, which isn't far behind them, has a higher pop per house seat (Meaning they need more people for another house seat)

LastOfTheMohicans said:
So, in 2012 Cruz won his senate race by 16 points.

This time, Cruz is set to win it by about 3.

How much of this is Texas genuinely leaning purple to blue, and how much is this a fluke of circumstances and variables?

I mean Texas is where I was born and raised, and is a home I'd like to return to in the next few years if I can make the right career movements.

I can kinda see it both ways. For the gap to collapse that quickly over the course of a single election cycle is a big deal, we have more and more Bay Area-ites coming into D/FW, Austin, and Houston mistakenly bringing their politics with them, etc.

That said, Cruz is coming off of a pretty big loss to Trump, and he has to carry that albatross around his neck for this election, and Beto has been the golden boy for the DNC now for quite awhile and is genuinely looking to position himself as the best presidential candidate the DNC has (This says more about the DNC than it does Beto.) And Beto raised a massive fuck off war chest of money.

Aside from all that, I do think it's funny that media and the Twitter Blue Checks are genuinely setting him up for a presidential run. If Cruz had to carry a loss to Trump as an albatross on his neck, how much more does the "The guy who lost to the guy who lost to Trump" one weigh for 2020?
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And how much of it is Democrats busing in people from other states, or giving fake IDs to illegals, or casting the votes of dead people?
 
Holy shit. My mom came into my room to bring me a plate of chicken nuggets and I literally screamed at her and hit the plate of chicken nuggets out of her hand. She started yelling and swearing at me and I slammed the door on her. I'm so distressed right now I don't know what to do. I didn't mean to do that to my mom but I'm literally in shock from the results tonight. I feel like I'm going to explode. Why the fucking fuck is he losing? This can't be happening. I'm having a fucking breakdown. I don't want to believe the world is so corrupt. I want a strong military and limited government. I want John James to be Senator and fix this broken country. I cannot fucking deal with this right now. It wasn't supposed to be like this, I thought he was polling well in Michigan???? This is so fucked.
 
LastOfTheMohicans said:
So, in 2012 Cruz won his senate race by 16 points.

This time, Cruz is set to win it by about 3.

How much of this is Texas genuinely leaning purple to blue, and how much is this a fluke of circumstances and variables?

I mean Texas is where I was born and raised, and is a home I'd like to return to in the next few years if I can make the right career movements.

I can kinda see it both ways. For the gap to collapse that quickly over the course of a single election cycle is a big deal, we have more and more Bay Area-ites coming into D/FW, Austin, and Houston mistakenly bringing their politics with them, etc.

That said, Cruz is coming off of a pretty big loss to Trump, and he has to carry that albatross around his neck for this election, and Beto has been the golden boy for the DNC now for quite awhile and is genuinely looking to position himself as the best presidential candidate the DNC has (This says more about the DNC than it does Beto.) And Beto raised a massive fuck off war chest of money.

Aside from all that, I do think it's funny that media and the Twitter Blue Checks are genuinely setting him up for a presidential run. If Cruz had to carry a loss to Trump as an albatross on his neck, how much more does the "The guy who lost to the guy who lost to Trump" one weigh for 2020?
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The democrats spent more money than has ever been spent on a senate race on this one. You're thinking into it too much.
 
LastOfTheMohicans said:
How much of this is Texas genuinely leaning purple to blue, and how much is this a fluke of circumstances and variables?
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The major cities in Texas, primarily Austin and DFW, are leaning purple/blue and will continue to do so for a long time as more tech companies come in. The dangerhair infestation will continue to grow, as people move from California/Seattle to go work there, and the influx of spics from the south (who all vote blue because they don't want to be deported) shows no signs of stopping.

For proof of this, look no further than the senate results for Travis County, the county that Austin is in. Beto won that with 75%. El Paso County also went Beto for about 75%. Honorable mentions to Dallas County where Beto got 66%, Bexar County (San Antonio area) where he won 59%-39%, and Harris County (Houston area) where he won 57%-42%.
 
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LastOfTheMohicans said:
How much of this is Texas genuinely leaning purple to blue, and how much is this a fluke of circumstances and variables?
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I think it's just a result of higher voter turnout on the part of the Dems this year, and while there was obviously also increased Rep turnout it wasn't by as much just because Texas is seen as such a safely red state and they probably didn't see as much point. There was also simply just that much campaigning on "Beto's" part... everything about this election in the state was about him. There's also the fact that his Mexiface probably enticed a lot of the Hispanic vote out when they wouldn't otherwise have cared, purely because they didn't realize they were voting for a white guy. (There's a reason all his electioneering signs said "Vote Beto" and not "Vote O'Rourke".)
 
Best cap yourself over it, Talcum X.

Better yet, set yourself on fire as a protest like a Tibetan monk.
 
Big Bad Fish said:
The democrats spent more money than has ever been spent on a senate race on this one. You're thinking into it too much.
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Shick said:
The major cities in Texas, primarily Austin and DFW, are leaning purple/blue and will continue to do so for a long time as more tech companies come in. The dangerhair infestation will continue to grow, as people move from California/Seattle to go work there, and the influx of spics from the south (who all vote blue because they don't want to be deported) shows no signs of stopping.

For proof of this, look no further than the senate results for Travis County, the county that Austin is in. Beto won that with 75%. El Paso County also went Beto for about 75%. Honorable mentions to Dallas County where Beto got 66%, and Bexar County (San Antonio area) where he won 59%-39%.
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Jigglyjogglers said:
I think it's just a result of higher voter turnout on the part of the Dems this year, and while there was obviously also increased Rep turnout it wasn't by as much just because Texas is seen as such a safely red state and they probably didn't see as much point. There was also simply just that much campaigning on "Beto's" part... everything about this election in the state was about him. There's also the fact that his Mexiface probably enticed a lot of the Hispanic vote out when they wouldn't otherwise have cared, purely because they didn't realize they were voting for a white guy. (There's a reason all his electioneering signs said "Vote Beto" and not "Vote O'Rourke".)
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So then, does the GOP need to find a new Senate candidate for 2024?
 
LOL, Republicans just gained another seat in the senate, it's a net gain of +3 seats for them so far.
 
And the house is utterly gone for the GOP. Annoyed a bit IMO since I don't feel like listening to the future rationalization by TDS morons and scattered smugness for the next week before they lose their shit again, but this annoyance will fade as the Dems and Strasserist-Left fuck this up and act more deranged in House and in life. It will become funny shortly, especially given Ginsberg's possible death next year or 2020.

And yeah, the GOP have 51 seats, meaning Pence doesn't have to tie-break as much, and will likely keep MS and may snag Florida. Spankety spankety on any Impeachment horseshit.
 
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