UN US Midterm Elections 2018 Megathread - Blue Wave or Red Tsunami? Because you know we need one.

November 6th, 2018.
You have less than one month to sperg about the midterm elections.

Hot Takes :
Tis the end of Drumpf!

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

http://archive.is/1rEYe

Could the US midterm elections break Trump's presidency?

President Donald Trump. Source: AAP


Voting in the US midterm elections is now underway.

UpdatedUpdated 27 September
By Rashida Yosufzai, Nick Baker
In this article...

• What are the midterms?
• What do the polls predict?
• Why do these elections matter?
• How could recent developments affect things?
• Could Trump be impeached?
• Will the youth vote make a difference?
• What does it mean for Australia?

Americans have started to cast their ballots in a vote that could shape the rest of Donald Trump's presidency.

Although the US midterm elections are technically held on 6 November, early voting has already started in a handful of states.

Minnesota was the first state to allow early in-person voting on 21 September, with a handful of key states following, including New Jersey, California and Arizona.


Thirty-five states and the District of Columbia offer some form of early voting, meaning every day until 6 November counts for Democrats and Republicans.

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

80 per cent chance of winning back the chamber.

Republicans have a 1 in 5 chance of keeping control of the House, while Democrats have about a 4 in 5 chance of winning control of the House. https://t.co/lyNh30TEIw pic.twitter.com/O38qtMPpIz

— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 25, 2018
The Senate though is likely to be retained by the Republicans.

According to CNN, the Democrats are defending some two dozen seats, including 10 in states where Mr Trump secured victory in 2016, and five of those where he won resoundingly.

FiveThirtyEight gives the Democrats just a 30 per cent chance of taking the Senate.

Trump's election one year on: What do Americans think of him now?[/paste:font]


The Democrats could also use their numbers to set up House select committees targeting the president.

"They will have an opportunity to set up special panels and committees to essentially smear President Trump," United States Studies Centre research fellow Dougal Robinson told SBS News in April.

Mr Robinson pointed to the Benghazi committee set up by the Republicans against Hillary Clinton in 2014 to further investigate the fatal 2012 terrorist attack on two US government facilities in Libya.

Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

Once seen as cruising to an easy vote - fulfilling Mr Trump's key promise to stack the Supreme Court with conservative justices - a string of sexual assault allegations has turned the Kavanaugh decision into all-out political war.

According to CNN's national political reporter Eric Bradner, the scandal and lukewarm response from some Republicans to Mr Kavanaugh's accusers could "drive suburban women away in midterms".

I have no doubt that, if the attack on Dr. Ford was as bad as she says, charges would have been immediately filed with local Law Enforcement Authorities by either her or her loving parents. I ask that she bring those filings forward so that we can learn date, time, and place!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 21, 2018
Analysts also point to Robert Mueller's investigation as an ongoing potential source of political curveballs.

Mr Mueller has already indicted more than 30 people in connection with his probe into whether members of Mr Trump's campaign colluded with Russia to help get the real estate tycoon elected.

And speculation has swirled in recent days that Mr Trump may fire embattled deputy attorney general Rod Rosenstein - who oversees the Russia collusion probe.

Doubts over how long Mr Rosenstein can keep the job have swirled since shock media reports that he once suggested secretly recording Mr Trump to collect evidence for ousting him under a constitutional amendment for presidents unfit to remain in office.

Mr Rosenstein's firing - and Mr Trump possibly putting someone more pliable in his place - would set off alarm bells over the future independence of a probe, which has the potential to rock both the midterms and the entire Trump presidency.

US wants ‘partnership, not domination’ in Australia and region[/paste:font]


A report co-authored by Mr Robinson predicted after the midterms, Congress would be highly unlikely to support a US re-entry to the Trans-Pacific Partnership - a trade deal between 11 Pacific nations including Australia and New Zealand which Mr Trump pulled the US out of last year.

Another issue that may affect Australia is that if the Democrats retake the House, it is likely to lead to lower defence spending.

Additional reporting: AAP, AFP

This article was originally published in April 2018 and updated in September 2018.

How will Trump keep his voter base energized? "More Winning."
http://archive.fo/VkaHH

TRUMP HAS A TWO WORD RESPONSE WHEN REPORTER ASKS HIM HOW HE WILL KEEP GOP BASE ENERGIZED
5:52 PM 10/10/2018
Benny Johnson | Reporter At Large

President Donald Trump made portions of the White House press corps chuckle with his response on how he intends to keep Republican voters fired up after the ultimately successful confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

“How do you keep your base energized now that you have this Kavanaugh victory?” one reporter asked. Tuesday was the first day that Kavanaugh sat on the court after a contentious battle over his nomination.

“More winning,” Trump said.

Trump was leaving the White House on his way to a campaign rally Tuesday night when he took questions from reporters in the White House driveway.

The president was also asked about the mobs of paid progressive protesters that took over Capitol Hill during the contentious debate over Kavanaugh’s confirmation. Trump was specifically asked about the intense “energy” of the protesters.

“A lot of those were paid protesters. You saw that they are all unhappy because they haven’t been paid yet,” Trump alleged about the protesters. (RELATED: Trump Has A Theory Why The Anti-Kavanaugh Protesters Are So Mad)


Trump brought up his new trade deal with Canada and Mexico as a major policy win. “Our deal with Mexico and Canada was fantastic,” Trump said. “China wants to make a deal so badly. We will see where it goes. But I don’t think they are ready.”

Trump Will Lose 60 Seats in the house... Unless... Please Visit My Site
http://archive.fo/zHe4o

MATT DRUDGE WARNS OF MIDTERM BLOODBATH: TRUMP TO LOSE ’60 SEATS IN THE HOUSE LIKE OBAMA DID’
2:41 PM 09/14/2018
Peter Hasson | Reporter

Conservative news giant Matt Drudge on Friday made a somber prediction about Republicans’ chances in the November midterm elections, predicting President Donald Trump will see his party lose 60 seats in the House of Representatives.

Drudge, who runs the influential Drudge Report, compared the upcoming midterms to the electoral bloodbath Democrats suffered in the 2010 midterm elections under former President Barack Obama.

Screenshot/Twitter

“Trump and Obama both have 47% approval at this time of presidency, according to Rasmussen. Trump will also lose 60 seats in the House like Obama did during first midterm!” Drudge wrote on Twitter. (RELATED: Democrats Should Immediately Abolish ICE After Retaking Congress)

He added cryptically: “Unless…”

Democrats have to gain 23 House seats in November in order to flip the lower chamber. Democrats have an 83 percent chance of retaking the House, according to FiveThirty Eight.

Follow Hasson on Twitter @PeterJHasson

Content created by The Daily Caller News Foundation is available without charge to any eligible news publisher that can provide a large audience. For licensing opportunities of our original content, please contact licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.

The Weird :
Mark Taylor "Red Tsunami Prophecy"
http://archive.fo/KJjj2

Mark Taylor (The Trump Prophecies): Most Important Midterm Elections In All Of US History
July 30, 2018 29 3159


Mark Taylor says the upcoming 2018 elections are the most important mid-term elections in all of America’s history. Here’s why…

Mark Taylor interviewed by Greg Hunter on USA Watchdog

Mark Taylor, author of the popular book “The Trump Prophecies,” contends, “If you are part of the army of God, you need to be ready also because there are going to be politicians that are going to resign. We have had the biggest number of resignations probably in history. This midterm election is going to be huge. This is going to be a red tsunami. They keep talking about the blue wave. I think it’s going to be a blue drip, a leaky faucet, and that is all they are going to get. You have had more resignations than we have ever seen. Now is the time to go in and capture this ground and hold it for the Kingdom of God. . . . It’s not a left or right thing. God is moving us towards a place of righteousness. That’s what’s happening right now. So, he’s going to be replacing these people. If you are called to be a judge, senator, congressman or a council person, I don’t care what level local, state or federal, take your place and get ready. If you are in the Army of God and you don’t vote, you need to get off your behind and register to vote. These are going to be the most important midterm elections in America’s history—period.”

In closing, Taylor says, “I don’t think there is going to be another Democrat in the White House for a long time, if ever again. I believe you are seeing the death of the Democrat party right now.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Mark Taylor, co-author of “The Trump Prophecies,” which has been made into a movie that is releasing in early October.

Donations: https://usawatchdog.com/donations/

 

[uncleShitHeel]

People are not inherently good and without something keeping a semblance of law and order things will get violent fast.

How sheltered and straight up retarded do you have to be to completely misjudge human nature and assume people are good.

 

[FierceBrosnan]

How sheltered and straight up exceptional do you have to be to completely misjudge human nature and assume people are good.

Some peoples hearts are in such a beautiful place their heads will never reach it. I find it to be incredibly endearing and hopelessly frustrating.

 

[MembersSchoolPizza]

(Never actually read the Emberverse but I liked Island in the Sea of Time and chortled and sniggered at Draka enough.)

Emberverse: Where a tween girl who knows Quenya forms an elite military unit called the "Rangers", a pagan filk musician based off a real life musician forms a new Pagan Empire, and the whole thing is ultimately because the entire human collective hive mind of everyone who has ever or will ever live unanimously decided it's better for people to live that way.

...

You know, thinking about it now, it is very much Dangerhair: The Post Apocalyptic Tales at times.

 

[Kiwi Lime Pie]

I voted earlier this afternoon - number #613 in my precinct. Excluding absentee voters, this translates to a 29% (2 in 7) turnout so far. Barring an absolute deluge of people coming in to vote tonight after their 9-5 jobs/activities, I doubt the precinct will hit the 50% turnout mark.

 

[uncleShitHeel]

Some peoples hearts are in such a beautiful place their heads will never reach it. I find it to be incredibly endearing and hopelessly frustrating.

I enjoy finding new and creative ways to shatter that notion.

 

[Sissy Galvez]

Two years of “fuck wypipo”, “fuck blue collar middle America”, “yaaaasss slay queen”, and “listen and support only black women” followed by “why didn’t whites vote for us and instead voted for the orange bad man???”.

That’s why the current dems should keep losing.

 

[Ginger Piglet]

slay queen

I'm sure that's a Dark Eldar unit in 40K?

 

[FromaCorvairSix]

Most people that call themselves anarchists are basically authoritarian communists that hide behind "anarchist" because it's a vacuous concept and communism is still considered politically problematic (for good fucking reason) to most Americans, including wide swaths of the left and right. If you don't believe me, spend a few minutes browsing through their social media hangouts like tumblr, r/anarchism and r/socialism and you'll see lots of outright Stalin apologia and denial of other communist atrocities like the holodomor.
Twitter accounts of dangerhair DSA members with the rose emoji in their name are great for finding this kind of exceptional shit too.

 

[Plissken]

Some social programs that are actually beneficial to society would be nice. I'd prefer healthcare reforms be more along the lines of reductions in co-payments and regulations on the prices of medication ( because 500 bucks for insulin should mean getting flayed alive for scum like Shkreli ) instead of dumb shit like titty skittles for everybody.

That and allowing medicine to be imported would also cut costs quite a bit (I could be mistaken, but aren't most meds not allowed to be imported from across the pond?)

 

[Ponderous Pillock]

How in hell would Anarchy even work? You can't have society on any sort of scale without SOME form of a governing body. Even the small villages in the Middle Ages had people who ruled them.

These people are fucking exceptional. I'd love to see how long they would last if Anarchy ever happened on a large scale (God forbid)

Your best check on that? Disaster zones where the government doesn't step in in a timely manner. It's surprising how quickly something akin to an informal system appears. Now what would happen after the period becomes more permenant is rather open to debate but the end result is humans share resources even if it were more logical to keep them for themselves.

That's what a lot of anarchists naively assume would become a new norm, widespread villages and communes operating without a formal government.

Of course the reality is the cities will collapse within days or watch as a megacorp eats them alive.

You read S&M Stirling as well?

...W-what are you doing tonight?

(Never actually read the Emberverse but I liked Island in the Sea of Time and chortled and sniggered at Draka enough.)

I've read the Venus colonization books, Peshewar Lancers and Emberverse as far as the High King of Montival. Tbh after the first three books the series loses it's way as nobody uses their more advanced knowledge or book collections to push to keep the interesting world Stirling poses and rapidly declines into fantasy territory where people larping as factions and nations of various stripes like Vikings, tribals etc.

Cornwallis is the most interesting faction being mostly modern dressed Americans who keep the clothing style and a lot of modern trappings but Stirling seems to write about them begrudgingly.

 

[FierceBrosnan]

Two years of “fuck wypipo”, “fuck blue collar middle America”, “yaaaasss slay queen”, and “listen and support only black women” followed by “why didn’t whites vote for us and instead voted for the orange bad man???”.

That’s why the current dems should keep losing.

What do you mean you can't alienate and shame potential voters into voting for you? On top of that the majority of their campaign strategy has been nothing but blatant pandering. Like when Hillary did that whole "I'm your abuela" thing to try and lock in the Latino vote and all it did was make tons of them nope right the fuck away.

 

[White bubblegum]

Poll worker here, my political opinions regarding red vs blue would be redundant in this thread but since this thread is technically about the midterms:
Holy shit, voters, don't make me stop what I'm doing because your illiterate ass can't follow simple directions on the touchscreen voting booth and you need help.

 

[Ginger Piglet]

Poll worker here, my political opinions regarding red vs blue would be redundant in this thread but since this thread is technically about the midterms:
Holy shit, voters, don't make me stop what I'm doing because your illiterate ass can't follow simple directions on the touchscreen voting booth and you need help.

Okay. Slight non sequitur, but I've always wanted to ask you this:

Why do you burgers have voting machines with touchscreens or those punch card levers which result in the whole autism about hanging chads and pregnant chads? What's wrong with a pencil and a bit of string on an actual ballot paper?

 

[ConfederateIrishman]

About everyone arguing about the Republicans being the sole dominating party, looking at American history I'm pretty confident that what would happen is the Republicans would eventually split into two parties, creating another new two party system.

 

[That Chris Guy]

Meh, part of me would like to see at least *some* balance of power, as one dominant party is just as bad for the country IMHO. Not that anything would get done, but at the very least, we’d have people to reign in Trump’s insanity instead of quietly shuffling their feet and towing the line.

Granted, I think the Dems are just as fucked up as the GOP. But having the Dems in control of at least one branch is IMHO the lesser of two evils at this point.

I wanted a balance a few years back. However, given that in recent times Democrats wanted to abolish due process and presumption of innocence for feels, whilst happily housing every welfare-leeching, dangerhaired crackpot hell-bent on preaching their own unique brand of racism, I don't really want them to have any semblance of power until they revert back to moderate.

My ideology has been largely Democratic-leaning from the start, but modern Democrats are hardly Democratic at all; just escaped inmates wearing some poor sod's skin to blend in.

 

[Jaimas]

So I voted tonight and noticed something very interesting on the way home.

Political signs. Like a lot of them.

If you're not familiar, in my area, political signs have always been a touchy subject. By all accounts, you should be allowed to put them up all you want. Unofficially, the town is loaded with complete crazy people who will either attempt to steal your signs, deface them, or try to call the town on you and claim you're violating an obscure ordinance in an attempt to make you take it down. Normally, the area I'm in is pretty strongly blue, but with splashes of red here and there. Around 2014, the progressives got much more angry and aggressive and started outright stealing signs much more often, and by 2016, political signs were an endangered minority; nobody wanted to voice support for a candidate in that unstable political climate, and I was expecting a repeat in 2018.

But that's not what happened. There was a lot of Red signs, and in areas that had never had them before.
Especially ones calling out Suozzi for his shit. Some of these people are neighbors, people I've known for years, and almost all were Democrats.

It's kind of surreal seeing so many Dems openly telling the party to fuck off.

 

[Alex Krycek]

Voted straight Republican.

 

[Quijibo69]

Okay. Slight non sequitur, but I've always wanted to ask you this:

Why do you burgers have voting machines with touchscreens or those punch card levers which result in the whole autism about hanging chads and pregnant chads? What's wrong with a pencil and a bit of string on an actual ballot paper?

Or better yet have a website that is government run. You can do taxes online so why not voting?

Like I care anyways because I don't vote.

 

[Plissken]

So I voted tonight and noticed something very interesting on the way home.

Political signs. Like a lot of them.

If you're not familiar, in my area, political signs have always been a touchy subject. By all accounts, you should be allowed to put them up all you want. Unofficially, the town is loaded with complete crazy people who will either attempt to steal your signs, deface them, or try to call the town on you and claim you're violating an obscure ordinance in an attempt to make you take it down. Normally, the area I'm in is pretty strongly blue, but with splashes of red here and there. Around 2014, the progressives got much more angry and aggressive and started outright stealing signs much more often, and by 2016, political signs were an endangered minority; nobody wanted to voice support for a candidate in that unstable political climate, and I was expecting a repeat in 2018.

But that's not what happened. There was a lot of Red signs, and in areas that had never had them before.
Especially ones calling out Suozzi for his shit. Some of these people are neighbors, people I've known for years, and almost all were Democrats.

It's kind of surreal seeing so many Dems openly telling the party to fuck off.

I'm in the same boat as you, and I'm seeing the same thing. It is absolutely surreal, but also really relieving to see that people are telling these corrupt assholes to fuck right off.

 

[Kari Kamiya]

Briefly checked Tumblr. Don't know what tag I should really look under, but under "midterms", got some folks taking selfies of themselves wearing their voting stickers and shit.

Spoiler

Wonder how many of these people's smiles'll get wiped from their faces at the end of the night.