UN US Midterm Elections 2018 Megathread - Blue Wave or Red Tsunami? Because you know we need one.

November 6th, 2018.
You have less than one month to sperg about the midterm elections.

Hot Takes :
Tis the end of Drumpf!

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

http://archive.is/1rEYe

Could the US midterm elections break Trump's presidency?

President Donald Trump. Source: AAP


Voting in the US midterm elections is now underway.

UpdatedUpdated 27 September
By Rashida Yosufzai, Nick Baker
In this article...

• What are the midterms?
• What do the polls predict?
• Why do these elections matter?
• How could recent developments affect things?
• Could Trump be impeached?
• Will the youth vote make a difference?
• What does it mean for Australia?

Americans have started to cast their ballots in a vote that could shape the rest of Donald Trump's presidency.

Although the US midterm elections are technically held on 6 November, early voting has already started in a handful of states.

Minnesota was the first state to allow early in-person voting on 21 September, with a handful of key states following, including New Jersey, California and Arizona.


Thirty-five states and the District of Columbia offer some form of early voting, meaning every day until 6 November counts for Democrats and Republicans.

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

80 per cent chance of winning back the chamber.

Republicans have a 1 in 5 chance of keeping control of the House, while Democrats have about a 4 in 5 chance of winning control of the House. https://t.co/lyNh30TEIw pic.twitter.com/O38qtMPpIz

— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 25, 2018
The Senate though is likely to be retained by the Republicans.

According to CNN, the Democrats are defending some two dozen seats, including 10 in states where Mr Trump secured victory in 2016, and five of those where he won resoundingly.

FiveThirtyEight gives the Democrats just a 30 per cent chance of taking the Senate.

Trump's election one year on: What do Americans think of him now?[/paste:font]


The Democrats could also use their numbers to set up House select committees targeting the president.

"They will have an opportunity to set up special panels and committees to essentially smear President Trump," United States Studies Centre research fellow Dougal Robinson told SBS News in April.

Mr Robinson pointed to the Benghazi committee set up by the Republicans against Hillary Clinton in 2014 to further investigate the fatal 2012 terrorist attack on two US government facilities in Libya.

Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

Once seen as cruising to an easy vote - fulfilling Mr Trump's key promise to stack the Supreme Court with conservative justices - a string of sexual assault allegations has turned the Kavanaugh decision into all-out political war.

According to CNN's national political reporter Eric Bradner, the scandal and lukewarm response from some Republicans to Mr Kavanaugh's accusers could "drive suburban women away in midterms".

I have no doubt that, if the attack on Dr. Ford was as bad as she says, charges would have been immediately filed with local Law Enforcement Authorities by either her or her loving parents. I ask that she bring those filings forward so that we can learn date, time, and place!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 21, 2018
Analysts also point to Robert Mueller's investigation as an ongoing potential source of political curveballs.

Mr Mueller has already indicted more than 30 people in connection with his probe into whether members of Mr Trump's campaign colluded with Russia to help get the real estate tycoon elected.

And speculation has swirled in recent days that Mr Trump may fire embattled deputy attorney general Rod Rosenstein - who oversees the Russia collusion probe.

Doubts over how long Mr Rosenstein can keep the job have swirled since shock media reports that he once suggested secretly recording Mr Trump to collect evidence for ousting him under a constitutional amendment for presidents unfit to remain in office.

Mr Rosenstein's firing - and Mr Trump possibly putting someone more pliable in his place - would set off alarm bells over the future independence of a probe, which has the potential to rock both the midterms and the entire Trump presidency.

US wants ‘partnership, not domination’ in Australia and region[/paste:font]


A report co-authored by Mr Robinson predicted after the midterms, Congress would be highly unlikely to support a US re-entry to the Trans-Pacific Partnership - a trade deal between 11 Pacific nations including Australia and New Zealand which Mr Trump pulled the US out of last year.

Another issue that may affect Australia is that if the Democrats retake the House, it is likely to lead to lower defence spending.

Additional reporting: AAP, AFP

This article was originally published in April 2018 and updated in September 2018.

How will Trump keep his voter base energized? "More Winning."
http://archive.fo/VkaHH

TRUMP HAS A TWO WORD RESPONSE WHEN REPORTER ASKS HIM HOW HE WILL KEEP GOP BASE ENERGIZED
5:52 PM 10/10/2018
Benny Johnson | Reporter At Large

President Donald Trump made portions of the White House press corps chuckle with his response on how he intends to keep Republican voters fired up after the ultimately successful confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

“How do you keep your base energized now that you have this Kavanaugh victory?” one reporter asked. Tuesday was the first day that Kavanaugh sat on the court after a contentious battle over his nomination.

“More winning,” Trump said.

Trump was leaving the White House on his way to a campaign rally Tuesday night when he took questions from reporters in the White House driveway.

The president was also asked about the mobs of paid progressive protesters that took over Capitol Hill during the contentious debate over Kavanaugh’s confirmation. Trump was specifically asked about the intense “energy” of the protesters.

“A lot of those were paid protesters. You saw that they are all unhappy because they haven’t been paid yet,” Trump alleged about the protesters. (RELATED: Trump Has A Theory Why The Anti-Kavanaugh Protesters Are So Mad)


Trump brought up his new trade deal with Canada and Mexico as a major policy win. “Our deal with Mexico and Canada was fantastic,” Trump said. “China wants to make a deal so badly. We will see where it goes. But I don’t think they are ready.”

Trump Will Lose 60 Seats in the house... Unless... Please Visit My Site
http://archive.fo/zHe4o

MATT DRUDGE WARNS OF MIDTERM BLOODBATH: TRUMP TO LOSE ’60 SEATS IN THE HOUSE LIKE OBAMA DID’
2:41 PM 09/14/2018
Peter Hasson | Reporter

Conservative news giant Matt Drudge on Friday made a somber prediction about Republicans’ chances in the November midterm elections, predicting President Donald Trump will see his party lose 60 seats in the House of Representatives.

Drudge, who runs the influential Drudge Report, compared the upcoming midterms to the electoral bloodbath Democrats suffered in the 2010 midterm elections under former President Barack Obama.

Screenshot/Twitter

“Trump and Obama both have 47% approval at this time of presidency, according to Rasmussen. Trump will also lose 60 seats in the House like Obama did during first midterm!” Drudge wrote on Twitter. (RELATED: Democrats Should Immediately Abolish ICE After Retaking Congress)

He added cryptically: “Unless…”

Democrats have to gain 23 House seats in November in order to flip the lower chamber. Democrats have an 83 percent chance of retaking the House, according to FiveThirty Eight.

Follow Hasson on Twitter @PeterJHasson

Content created by The Daily Caller News Foundation is available without charge to any eligible news publisher that can provide a large audience. For licensing opportunities of our original content, please contact licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.

The Weird :
Mark Taylor "Red Tsunami Prophecy"
http://archive.fo/KJjj2

Mark Taylor (The Trump Prophecies): Most Important Midterm Elections In All Of US History
July 30, 2018 29 3159


Mark Taylor says the upcoming 2018 elections are the most important mid-term elections in all of America’s history. Here’s why…

Mark Taylor interviewed by Greg Hunter on USA Watchdog

Mark Taylor, author of the popular book “The Trump Prophecies,” contends, “If you are part of the army of God, you need to be ready also because there are going to be politicians that are going to resign. We have had the biggest number of resignations probably in history. This midterm election is going to be huge. This is going to be a red tsunami. They keep talking about the blue wave. I think it’s going to be a blue drip, a leaky faucet, and that is all they are going to get. You have had more resignations than we have ever seen. Now is the time to go in and capture this ground and hold it for the Kingdom of God. . . . It’s not a left or right thing. God is moving us towards a place of righteousness. That’s what’s happening right now. So, he’s going to be replacing these people. If you are called to be a judge, senator, congressman or a council person, I don’t care what level local, state or federal, take your place and get ready. If you are in the Army of God and you don’t vote, you need to get off your behind and register to vote. These are going to be the most important midterm elections in America’s history—period.”

In closing, Taylor says, “I don’t think there is going to be another Democrat in the White House for a long time, if ever again. I believe you are seeing the death of the Democrat party right now.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Mark Taylor, co-author of “The Trump Prophecies,” which has been made into a movie that is releasing in early October.

Donations: https://usawatchdog.com/donations/

 

[Spooky]

Man it's gonna be lit tonight. I'm pumped.

Then trying to explain State Supreme Court Justices and why I voted Repub on them but Dem on district judges

Do you mean republican for senators and executives?

How long until these 'progressives' just drop all pretenses and say that they won't be satisfied until the U.S. is abolished?

"No Trump, no wall, no USA at all!"
Yeah that's already happened as @Hux mentioned

 

[The Great Citracett]

They've been saying this for quite some time already. Where do you think the "No Borders, No Wall, No USA At All" chant comes from


It's more to do with the fact that because they have the blue checkmark, they see that as a mark of distinction from the rest of the riffraff and thus fuels their sense of unwarranted self-importance. It reminds me of this children's psychology experiment where they had about 10 or so kids in a play pen with access to whatever toys they wanted. Everything went fine for a while until 3 or 4 random kids were given their own hats, resulting in them seeing themselves as special and important, instantly causing them to start lording over the hatless kids

The same concept applies to the blue checkmark crowd so elloquently because even in their 20s and 30s, they're still the same big self-absorbed babies when they're really just as insignificant and unimportant as everyone else

We've gone from the blue checkmark meaning "this is the official Twitter of celebrity/politician/etc and not an impersonator" to "this random nobody doxed themselves to us and holds beliefs and views endorsed and supported by Twitter."

 

[misterduckford]

Anarchists are so fucking hilarious. Most of them aren't actually anarchists, they're just larping. They seem to think that if the government was abolished everyone would all hold hands and sing kumbaya. No they fucking wouldn't. They'd go feral within days.

Most of these "anarchists" would be the first limp dicks to be killed when the strong cannibalize the weak. It takes no true strength to spout rhetoric, hold up a sign, virtue signal or vote and they wouldn't survive the endgame of the policies they're trying to push through.

 

[NG 070]

Meh, part of me would like to see at least *some* balance of power, as one dominant party is just as bad for the country IMHO. Not that anything would get done, but at the very least, we’d have people to reign in Trump’s insanity instead of quietly shuffling their feet and towing the line.

Granted, I think the Dems are just as fucked up as the GOP. But having the Dems in control of at least one branch is IMHO the lesser of two evils at this point.

 

[Plissken]

What's with the moon from majora's mask on my screen? Is that a joke about the midterm? Since it's the final day, so to speak?

Meh, part of me would like to see at least *some* balance of power, as one dominant party is just as bad for the country IMHO. Not that anything would get done, but at the very least, we’d have people to reign in Trump’s insanity instead of quietly shuffling their feet and towing the line.

Granted, I think the Dems are just as fucked up as the GOP. But having the Dems in control of at least one branch is IMHO the lesser of two evils at this point.

I think you've been buying into the anti trump hype just a little too much. Granted, he most definitely isn't the best president, not by a longshot, but I'd take him over Clinton or any current democrat (Except Jim Webb) any day of the week. Mind you, I don't like either side at all, but the democrats are completely off the chain and are absolutely insane. I'd rather cast my vote towards the side that has a good chance of winning against them, than the side that has great ideas but doesnt get anywhere close to enough votes to win.

 

[Kari Kamiya]

Anarchists are so fucking hilarious. Most of them aren't actually anarchists, they're just larping. They seem to think that if the government was abolished everyone would all hold hands and sing kumbaya. No they fucking wouldn't. They'd go feral within days.

I'm already being reminded of the Whitest Kids U' Know parody:

 

[FierceBrosnan]

Anarchists are so fucking hilarious. Most of them aren't actually anarchists, they're just larping. They seem to think that if the government was abolished everyone would all hold hands and sing kumbaya. No they fucking wouldn't. They'd go feral within days.

Actually had a small argument with a friend about that, long story short they thought police should be abolished and I said only if you want the country to go full Purge. People are not inherently good and without something keeping a semblance of law and order things will get violent fast. I don't think our current legal and political system is as good as it could be but it's kept us from killing and eating each other... for the most part.

 

[redlenses2112]

Barry sounds like he has a condom stuck in his throat in this video.

 

[Ponderous Pillock]

Anarchists are so fucking hilarious. Most of them aren't actually anarchists, they're just larping. They seem to think that if the government was abolished everyone would all hold hands and sing kumbaya. No they fucking wouldn't. They'd go feral within days.

Not necessarily. You'd get a ton of people larping as either Negan from The Walking Dead or Norman Arminger from the Emberverse series. A lot of them would fall in line very fucking quickly when it transpires theyre barely even good for fieldwork.

Mind it would be fun to see them very quickly realise the new slavery has no race or colour and just about now much work can be got out of you before you die.

 

[MembersSchoolPizza]

I've tried to explain the purpose of the senate in relation to the Midwest more times than I can count.

There's a very simple, convince, and hilarious infuriating answer that I find always works whenever anyone complains about the senate in that respect:

"It's like that specifically to prevent what you want."

 

[Spooky]

Meh, part of me would like to see at least *some* balance of power, as one dominant party is just as bad for the country IMHO. Not that anything would get done, but at the very least, we’d have people to reign in Trump’s insanity instead of quietly shuffling their feet and towing the line.

Granted, I think the Dems are just as fucked up as the GOP. But having the Dems in control of at least one branch is IMHO the lesser of two evils at this point.

I mean which one of Trump's scary policies wouldn't have gotten fukl throated support from dems just 20 years ago. We need a lot of his stuff to get done to continue operating as a soverign republic

 

[Plissken]

Not necessarily. You'd get a ton of people larping as either Negan from The Walking Dead or Norman Arminger from the Emberverse series. A lot of them would fall in line very fucking quickly when it transpires theyre barely even good for fieldwork.

Mind it would be fun to see them very quickly realise the new slavery has no race or colour and just about now much work can be got out of you before you die.

How in hell would Anarchy even work? You can't have society on any sort of scale without SOME form of a governing body. Even the small villages in the Middle Ages had people who ruled them.

These people are fucking retarded. I'd love to see how long they would last if Anarchy ever happened on a large scale (God forbid)

 

[FierceBrosnan]

Meh, part of me would like to see at least *some* balance of power, as one dominant party is just as bad for the country IMHO. Not that anything would get done, but at the very least, we’d have people to reign in Trump’s insanity instead of quietly shuffling their feet and towing the line.

Granted, I think the Dems are just as fucked up as the GOP. But having the Dems in control of at least one branch is IMHO the lesser of two evils at this point.

I'm with you on the balance of power but I'm not too hot on the modern Dems. They need stronger party leadership and need to stop focusing on "woke" bullshit.

 

[Someone in a Tree]

What's with the moon from majora's mask on my screen? Is that a joke about the midterm? Since it's the final day, so to speak?

If memory serves, the moon was also on the site for Election Day 2016, eventually obscuring the entire front page when it became obvious how things were going.

 

[ColtWalker1847]

Meh, part of me would like to see at least *some* balance of power, as one dominant party is just as bad for the country IMHO. Not that anything would get done, but at the very least, we’d have people to reign in Trump’s insanity instead of quietly shuffling their feet and towing the line.

Granted, I think the Dems are just as fucked up as the GOP. But having the Dems in control of at least one branch is IMHO the lesser of two evils at this point.

Eh. I do love me some legislative gridlock but the dems earned themselves a couple more years in the penalty box for the stupid stunts they are pulling. The leadership needs to make some moves to reconnect the party with the public and not just kiss-assing their base. As long as the GOP doesn't pull any heavy-handed Patriot Act bs in the meantime, I'm ok with it.

It's like the tea party loons from 8 years ago but in reverse.

 

[Plissken]

I'm with you on the balance of power but I'm not too hot on the modern Dems. They need stronger party leadership and need to stop focusing on "woke" bullshit.

If Democrats went old school, getting rid of the woke bullshit, and promoted capitalism centered around protecting the consumer (NOT the corporations. Meaning Facebook and Twitter could be punished for censorship, for example) from corporate fuckery, while also promoting job growth by offering tax incentives to corporations with US based jobs? I could easily see myself voting Democrat.

 

[Ptolemy]

NOT the corporations. Meaning Facebook and Twitter could be punished for censorship, for example

That is the biggest hypocrisy of the democratic party. It goes against everything they preach. Even their supporters are "anti-corporation" until right wing voices get silenced/de-platformed, and then they cheer. I don't want to get too off topic, but at the same time, why would they be anti-corporation when all the big tech companies are helping them out politically as of late? It really is doublethink.

 

[whatever I feel like]

@Plissken

So if they were Trump? That's not the direction the party is going.

 

[Ginger Piglet]

Emberverse

You read S&M Stirling as well?

...W-what are you doing tonight?

(Never actually read the Emberverse but I liked Island in the Sea of Time and chortled and sniggered at Draka enough.)

But seriously, this is one of those times where whoever wins, we lol. If the Blue Wave doesn't manifest, there'll be literal shaking and cryin rn and probably howls about how we weren't woke enough. If it does manifest, all the /pol/troons will be reeeeeeeing and demanding tendies and shitting up the internets with conspiratarding par excellence.

Speaking of cryin rn, get this bloke who was actually moved to tears by first time voting. Oh boy. In a way, the innocence is actually a little bit endearing. Give it twenty years and he'll hopefully realise that the woker they are, the less they actually give a shit about you other than as the next step on their way to the top.

 

[FierceBrosnan]

If Democrats went old school, getting rid of the woke bullshit, and promoted capitalism centered around protecting the consumer (NOT the corporations. Meaning Facebook and Twitter could be punished for censorship, for example) from corporate fuckery, while also promoting job growth by offering tax incentives to corporations with US based jobs? I could easily see myself voting Democrat.

Some social programs that are actually beneficial to society would be nice. I'd prefer healthcare reforms be more along the lines of reductions in co-payments and regulations on the prices of medication ( because 500 bucks for insulin should mean getting flayed alive for scum like Shkreli ) instead of dumb shit like titty skittles for everybody.