UN US Midterm Elections 2018 Megathread - Blue Wave or Red Tsunami? Because you know we need one.

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November 6th, 2018.
You have less than one month to sperg about the midterm elections.

Hot Takes :
Tis the end of Drumpf!
It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

http://archive.is/1rEYe
Could the US midterm elections break Trump's presidency?

President Donald Trump. Source: AAP


Voting in the US midterm elections is now underway.

UpdatedUpdated 27 September
By Rashida Yosufzai, Nick Baker
In this article...
Americans have started to cast their ballots in a vote that could shape the rest of Donald Trump's presidency.

Although the US midterm elections are technically held on 6 November, early voting has already started in a handful of states.

Minnesota was the first state to allow early in-person voting on 21 September, with a handful of key states following, including New Jersey, California and Arizona.


Thirty-five states and the District of Columbia offer some form of early voting, meaning every day until 6 November counts for Democrats and Republicans.

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

80 per cent chance of winning back the chamber.

Republicans have a 1 in 5 chance of keeping control of the House, while Democrats have about a 4 in 5 chance of winning control of the House. https://t.co/lyNh30TEIw pic.twitter.com/O38qtMPpIz

— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 25, 2018
The Senate though is likely to be retained by the Republicans.

According to CNN, the Democrats are defending some two dozen seats, including 10 in states where Mr Trump secured victory in 2016, and five of those where he won resoundingly.

FiveThirtyEight gives the Democrats just a 30 per cent chance of taking the Senate.

Trump's election one year on: What do Americans think of him now?[/paste:font]


The Democrats could also use their numbers to set up House select committees targeting the president.

"They will have an opportunity to set up special panels and committees to essentially smear President Trump," United States Studies Centre research fellow Dougal Robinson told SBS News in April.

Mr Robinson pointed to the Benghazi committee set up by the Republicans against Hillary Clinton in 2014 to further investigate the fatal 2012 terrorist attack on two US government facilities in Libya.

Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

Once seen as cruising to an easy vote - fulfilling Mr Trump's key promise to stack the Supreme Court with conservative justices - a string of sexual assault allegations has turned the Kavanaugh decision into all-out political war.

According to CNN's national political reporter Eric Bradner, the scandal and lukewarm response from some Republicans to Mr Kavanaugh's accusers could "drive suburban women away in midterms".

I have no doubt that, if the attack on Dr. Ford was as bad as she says, charges would have been immediately filed with local Law Enforcement Authorities by either her or her loving parents. I ask that she bring those filings forward so that we can learn date, time, and place!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 21, 2018
Analysts also point to Robert Mueller's investigation as an ongoing potential source of political curveballs.

Mr Mueller has already indicted more than 30 people in connection with his probe into whether members of Mr Trump's campaign colluded with Russia to help get the real estate tycoon elected.

And speculation has swirled in recent days that Mr Trump may fire embattled deputy attorney general Rod Rosenstein - who oversees the Russia collusion probe.

Doubts over how long Mr Rosenstein can keep the job have swirled since shock media reports that he once suggested secretly recording Mr Trump to collect evidence for ousting him under a constitutional amendment for presidents unfit to remain in office.

Mr Rosenstein's firing - and Mr Trump possibly putting someone more pliable in his place - would set off alarm bells over the future independence of a probe, which has the potential to rock both the midterms and the entire Trump presidency.

US wants ‘partnership, not domination’ in Australia and region[/paste:font]


A report co-authored by Mr Robinson predicted after the midterms, Congress would be highly unlikely to support a US re-entry to the Trans-Pacific Partnership - a trade deal between 11 Pacific nations including Australia and New Zealand which Mr Trump pulled the US out of last year.

Another issue that may affect Australia is that if the Democrats retake the House, it is likely to lead to lower defence spending.

Additional reporting: AAP, AFP

This article was originally published in April 2018 and updated in September 2018.

How will Trump keep his voter base energized? "More Winning."
http://archive.fo/VkaHH

TRUMP HAS A TWO WORD RESPONSE WHEN REPORTER ASKS HIM HOW HE WILL KEEP GOP BASE ENERGIZED
5:52 PM 10/10/2018
Benny Johnson | Reporter At Large

President Donald Trump made portions of the White House press corps chuckle with his response on how he intends to keep Republican voters fired up after the ultimately successful confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

“How do you keep your base energized now that you have this Kavanaugh victory?” one reporter asked. Tuesday was the first day that Kavanaugh sat on the court after a contentious battle over his nomination.

“More winning,” Trump said.

Trump was leaving the White House on his way to a campaign rally Tuesday night when he took questions from reporters in the White House driveway.

The president was also asked about the mobs of paid progressive protesters that took over Capitol Hill during the contentious debate over Kavanaugh’s confirmation. Trump was specifically asked about the intense “energy” of the protesters.

“A lot of those were paid protesters. You saw that they are all unhappy because they haven’t been paid yet,” Trump alleged about the protesters. (RELATED: Trump Has A Theory Why The Anti-Kavanaugh Protesters Are So Mad)


Trump brought up his new trade deal with Canada and Mexico as a major policy win. “Our deal with Mexico and Canada was fantastic,” Trump said. “China wants to make a deal so badly. We will see where it goes. But I don’t think they are ready.”

Trump Will Lose 60 Seats in the house... Unless... Please Visit My Site
http://archive.fo/zHe4o

MATT DRUDGE WARNS OF MIDTERM BLOODBATH: TRUMP TO LOSE ’60 SEATS IN THE HOUSE LIKE OBAMA DID’
2:41 PM 09/14/2018
Peter Hasson | Reporter

Conservative news giant Matt Drudge on Friday made a somber prediction about Republicans’ chances in the November midterm elections, predicting President Donald Trump will see his party lose 60 seats in the House of Representatives.

Drudge, who runs the influential Drudge Report, compared the upcoming midterms to the electoral bloodbath Democrats suffered in the 2010 midterm elections under former President Barack Obama.

Matt-Drudge-Tweet-620x298.jpg

Screenshot/Twitter

“Trump and Obama both have 47% approval at this time of presidency, according to Rasmussen. Trump will also lose 60 seats in the House like Obama did during first midterm!” Drudge wrote on Twitter. (RELATED: Democrats Should Immediately Abolish ICE After Retaking Congress)

He added cryptically: “Unless…”

Democrats have to gain 23 House seats in November in order to flip the lower chamber. Democrats have an 83 percent chance of retaking the House, according to FiveThirty Eight.

Follow Hasson on Twitter @PeterJHasson

Content created by The Daily Caller News Foundation is available without charge to any eligible news publisher that can provide a large audience. For licensing opportunities of our original content, please contact licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.


The Weird :
Mark Taylor "Red Tsunami Prophecy"
http://archive.fo/KJjj2

Mark Taylor (The Trump Prophecies): Most Important Midterm Elections In All Of US History
July 30, 2018 29 3159


Mark Taylor says the upcoming 2018 elections are the most important mid-term elections in all of America’s history. Here’s why…

Mark Taylor interviewed by Greg Hunter on USA Watchdog

Mark Taylor, author of the popular book “The Trump Prophecies,” contends, “If you are part of the army of God, you need to be ready also because there are going to be politicians that are going to resign. We have had the biggest number of resignations probably in history. This midterm election is going to be huge. This is going to be a red tsunami. They keep talking about the blue wave. I think it’s going to be a blue drip, a leaky faucet, and that is all they are going to get. You have had more resignations than we have ever seen. Now is the time to go in and capture this ground and hold it for the Kingdom of God. . . . It’s not a left or right thing. God is moving us towards a place of righteousness. That’s what’s happening right now. So, he’s going to be replacing these people. If you are called to be a judge, senator, congressman or a council person, I don’t care what level local, state or federal, take your place and get ready. If you are in the Army of God and you don’t vote, you need to get off your behind and register to vote. These are going to be the most important midterm elections in America’s history—period.”

In closing, Taylor says, “I don’t think there is going to be another Democrat in the White House for a long time, if ever again. I believe you are seeing the death of the Democrat party right now.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Mark Taylor, co-author of “The Trump Prophecies,” which has been made into a movie that is releasing in early October.

Donations: https://usawatchdog.com/donations/
 
Early voting was pretty busy here so despite my office being next to a polling place I will go after work.

It actually pains me that in the very local races I will be voting democrat, but in fairness they are non-partisan positions and I know and work with the people running very well. It just bugs me that half of the people I will be voting for- and the ones I am most affected by or work with- are part of a party that at the national level is against most things I (and most of them) believe in.

That said, this is a relatively red county, but those are pretty safe races anyway due to lack of competition.
Anyone who votes Democrat this election is a traitor to America. You deserve AIDS for voting for them.
 
I already voted absentee. I figure if I can make the leap of faith that the voting process is real then leaping the extra two feet to believe that mailing my vote works isn't much of a stretch.

I think I voted, but I may have just been confused while pushing buttons on the touch screen, because I"m pretty sure the last time I didn't get a Italian sub with extra cheese and no mayo when I hit the final button.
WaWa Hoagiefest happening at the same time is clearly a voter suppression plot
 
Voted almost two weeks ago, so I don't have to worry about getting myself out today (which is nice, because the weather is nasty this morning).

These midterms are pretty unpredictable. I am confident that a Blue Wave will not be happening, and I don't think we're in for a Red Wave. I think one of the parties will narrowly win the House, while the GOP holds onto the Senate comfortably.

Who knows what will happen, though? We shall see what unfolds. I'm obviously hoping for a repeat of the 2016 meltdowns ('cause hilarity will ensue), but I'm not getting my hopes up.
 
I plan on having some boose, seeing who is streaming, maybe hang out in the chat here for the first time, and no matter what have a good time. The only thing that's gonna upset me is Beto winning, but that seems like a pretty long shot.

I'd like the house to stay Red, I don't think the right will be as salty if they lose, while I think the meltdown might even surpass 2016. However, I'm kinda in the same position as with Trump, I really wanted Hillary to lose, but didn't believe the few confident people. That's how I feel about the House, I want it to stay Red, but it doesn't seem real, so I'm not invested in it.
 
Voted Absentee and got my sibling to do the same; My best friend just texted me saying he is taking his family to the polls so I think I’ve done my part to get some salt

Now comes the waiting game until like 6pm or so; Might play some video games to pass the time since the media will probably try to spend the time doing last ditch demoralization efforts
 
I couldn't vote because I'm not registered in the state I live in. My district is clear-cut as fuck in both senate and the house anyways though.
 
I suspect if it looks at all close in either race, we're not going to know for sure for quite a while. Unless there's a significant margin, they're going to delay calling as long as they can, and probably contest.
 
I am calling it 2 to 3 seats in the house either for or against the dems. Powerball winner will be 1 seat for or against with the vote tallies in the district in the double digits, causing all the national media to descend on some rando district for the recount palooza.
 
From my outsider perspective, supporters of both sides seem to be equally delusional about the level of support their parties actually have. That'll make the resulting chimpout funnier anyway.

I believe the Dems will likely retake the House by a minimal margin. I'd also like to see GOP performing worse than anticipated, because I'd like to see some right-wing salt for a change. US liberal tears are getting stale and repetetive.
Still, whatever happens, the public reaction will be delicious.
 
Just finished voting and I wrote in Trump for everything. After I finished casting my ballot I started chanting "TRUMP! TRUMP! TRUMP!" as loud as I could. They told me to leave and instead of leaving I started accosting everyone that was about to turn in a ballot and demanded to know if they voted for Trump before I would let them put their ballot in the machine.

They called the cops but I ran away.
 
For people reporting on the status of their poling place, are you in areas that are typically red, typically blue, or abnormally purple?
 
As many people if not more than in 2016 at my polling place. Everyone was remarking that it looked like a heated presidential election rather than midterm. Could be good or bad as my area is pretty divided nowadays thanks to southron hordes from Boston and CT invading. Looked like a pretty good mix. At least 75% over 60, but there are a lot of old New England liberals who still vote Democrat despite them being more lolbergs than anything and at odds with the current Democratic party. Officials had said it's been like that all morning and they're predicting final counts won't be done until tomorrow morning based on the turnout.
 
Are you serious or just goofing? I hadn't heard this part.

It's why it's taking so long. They need to develop a direct cause and effect to reach premeditated capital murder. Defense is going to argue that heyer died as a result of medical complications or someone else in the crowd knocking her over. They got him pretty dead to rights on the murder part barring some brilliant legal shenanigans, but they want to execute him and that's a much harder kettle of fish to boil.
 
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