UN US Midterm Elections 2018 Megathread - Blue Wave or Red Tsunami? Because you know we need one.

November 6th, 2018.
You have less than one month to sperg about the midterm elections.

Hot Takes :
Tis the end of Drumpf!

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

http://archive.is/1rEYe

Could the US midterm elections break Trump's presidency?

President Donald Trump. Source: AAP


Voting in the US midterm elections is now underway.

UpdatedUpdated 27 September
By Rashida Yosufzai, Nick Baker
In this article...

• What are the midterms?
• What do the polls predict?
• Why do these elections matter?
• How could recent developments affect things?
• Could Trump be impeached?
• Will the youth vote make a difference?
• What does it mean for Australia?

Americans have started to cast their ballots in a vote that could shape the rest of Donald Trump's presidency.

Although the US midterm elections are technically held on 6 November, early voting has already started in a handful of states.

Minnesota was the first state to allow early in-person voting on 21 September, with a handful of key states following, including New Jersey, California and Arizona.


Thirty-five states and the District of Columbia offer some form of early voting, meaning every day until 6 November counts for Democrats and Republicans.

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

80 per cent chance of winning back the chamber.

Republicans have a 1 in 5 chance of keeping control of the House, while Democrats have about a 4 in 5 chance of winning control of the House. https://t.co/lyNh30TEIw pic.twitter.com/O38qtMPpIz

— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 25, 2018
The Senate though is likely to be retained by the Republicans.

According to CNN, the Democrats are defending some two dozen seats, including 10 in states where Mr Trump secured victory in 2016, and five of those where he won resoundingly.

FiveThirtyEight gives the Democrats just a 30 per cent chance of taking the Senate.

Trump's election one year on: What do Americans think of him now?[/paste:font]


The Democrats could also use their numbers to set up House select committees targeting the president.

"They will have an opportunity to set up special panels and committees to essentially smear President Trump," United States Studies Centre research fellow Dougal Robinson told SBS News in April.

Mr Robinson pointed to the Benghazi committee set up by the Republicans against Hillary Clinton in 2014 to further investigate the fatal 2012 terrorist attack on two US government facilities in Libya.

Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

Once seen as cruising to an easy vote - fulfilling Mr Trump's key promise to stack the Supreme Court with conservative justices - a string of sexual assault allegations has turned the Kavanaugh decision into all-out political war.

According to CNN's national political reporter Eric Bradner, the scandal and lukewarm response from some Republicans to Mr Kavanaugh's accusers could "drive suburban women away in midterms".

I have no doubt that, if the attack on Dr. Ford was as bad as she says, charges would have been immediately filed with local Law Enforcement Authorities by either her or her loving parents. I ask that she bring those filings forward so that we can learn date, time, and place!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 21, 2018
Analysts also point to Robert Mueller's investigation as an ongoing potential source of political curveballs.

Mr Mueller has already indicted more than 30 people in connection with his probe into whether members of Mr Trump's campaign colluded with Russia to help get the real estate tycoon elected.

And speculation has swirled in recent days that Mr Trump may fire embattled deputy attorney general Rod Rosenstein - who oversees the Russia collusion probe.

Doubts over how long Mr Rosenstein can keep the job have swirled since shock media reports that he once suggested secretly recording Mr Trump to collect evidence for ousting him under a constitutional amendment for presidents unfit to remain in office.

Mr Rosenstein's firing - and Mr Trump possibly putting someone more pliable in his place - would set off alarm bells over the future independence of a probe, which has the potential to rock both the midterms and the entire Trump presidency.

US wants ‘partnership, not domination’ in Australia and region[/paste:font]


A report co-authored by Mr Robinson predicted after the midterms, Congress would be highly unlikely to support a US re-entry to the Trans-Pacific Partnership - a trade deal between 11 Pacific nations including Australia and New Zealand which Mr Trump pulled the US out of last year.

Another issue that may affect Australia is that if the Democrats retake the House, it is likely to lead to lower defence spending.

Additional reporting: AAP, AFP

This article was originally published in April 2018 and updated in September 2018.

How will Trump keep his voter base energized? "More Winning."
http://archive.fo/VkaHH

TRUMP HAS A TWO WORD RESPONSE WHEN REPORTER ASKS HIM HOW HE WILL KEEP GOP BASE ENERGIZED
5:52 PM 10/10/2018
Benny Johnson | Reporter At Large

President Donald Trump made portions of the White House press corps chuckle with his response on how he intends to keep Republican voters fired up after the ultimately successful confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

“How do you keep your base energized now that you have this Kavanaugh victory?” one reporter asked. Tuesday was the first day that Kavanaugh sat on the court after a contentious battle over his nomination.

“More winning,” Trump said.

Trump was leaving the White House on his way to a campaign rally Tuesday night when he took questions from reporters in the White House driveway.

The president was also asked about the mobs of paid progressive protesters that took over Capitol Hill during the contentious debate over Kavanaugh’s confirmation. Trump was specifically asked about the intense “energy” of the protesters.

“A lot of those were paid protesters. You saw that they are all unhappy because they haven’t been paid yet,” Trump alleged about the protesters. (RELATED: Trump Has A Theory Why The Anti-Kavanaugh Protesters Are So Mad)


Trump brought up his new trade deal with Canada and Mexico as a major policy win. “Our deal with Mexico and Canada was fantastic,” Trump said. “China wants to make a deal so badly. We will see where it goes. But I don’t think they are ready.”

Trump Will Lose 60 Seats in the house... Unless... Please Visit My Site
http://archive.fo/zHe4o

MATT DRUDGE WARNS OF MIDTERM BLOODBATH: TRUMP TO LOSE ’60 SEATS IN THE HOUSE LIKE OBAMA DID’
2:41 PM 09/14/2018
Peter Hasson | Reporter

Conservative news giant Matt Drudge on Friday made a somber prediction about Republicans’ chances in the November midterm elections, predicting President Donald Trump will see his party lose 60 seats in the House of Representatives.

Drudge, who runs the influential Drudge Report, compared the upcoming midterms to the electoral bloodbath Democrats suffered in the 2010 midterm elections under former President Barack Obama.

Screenshot/Twitter

“Trump and Obama both have 47% approval at this time of presidency, according to Rasmussen. Trump will also lose 60 seats in the House like Obama did during first midterm!” Drudge wrote on Twitter. (RELATED: Democrats Should Immediately Abolish ICE After Retaking Congress)

He added cryptically: “Unless…”

Democrats have to gain 23 House seats in November in order to flip the lower chamber. Democrats have an 83 percent chance of retaking the House, according to FiveThirty Eight.

Follow Hasson on Twitter @PeterJHasson

Content created by The Daily Caller News Foundation is available without charge to any eligible news publisher that can provide a large audience. For licensing opportunities of our original content, please contact licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.

The Weird :
Mark Taylor "Red Tsunami Prophecy"
http://archive.fo/KJjj2

Mark Taylor (The Trump Prophecies): Most Important Midterm Elections In All Of US History
July 30, 2018 29 3159


Mark Taylor says the upcoming 2018 elections are the most important mid-term elections in all of America’s history. Here’s why…

Mark Taylor interviewed by Greg Hunter on USA Watchdog

Mark Taylor, author of the popular book “The Trump Prophecies,” contends, “If you are part of the army of God, you need to be ready also because there are going to be politicians that are going to resign. We have had the biggest number of resignations probably in history. This midterm election is going to be huge. This is going to be a red tsunami. They keep talking about the blue wave. I think it’s going to be a blue drip, a leaky faucet, and that is all they are going to get. You have had more resignations than we have ever seen. Now is the time to go in and capture this ground and hold it for the Kingdom of God. . . . It’s not a left or right thing. God is moving us towards a place of righteousness. That’s what’s happening right now. So, he’s going to be replacing these people. If you are called to be a judge, senator, congressman or a council person, I don’t care what level local, state or federal, take your place and get ready. If you are in the Army of God and you don’t vote, you need to get off your behind and register to vote. These are going to be the most important midterm elections in America’s history—period.”

In closing, Taylor says, “I don’t think there is going to be another Democrat in the White House for a long time, if ever again. I believe you are seeing the death of the Democrat party right now.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Mark Taylor, co-author of “The Trump Prophecies,” which has been made into a movie that is releasing in early October.

Donations: https://usawatchdog.com/donations/

 

[mindlessobserver]

I'm imagining a monkey's paw situation where even if people got their wish and Pelosi was ousted from the House minority leadership, she'd be replaced by someone like Maxine Waters.

This timeline is literally a monkeys paw wish. Clinton and her media surrogates desperately pushed behind the scenes to try and get Trump picked as the Republcan nominee. You even had democratic party voters in safe hilldawg states choose to vote in Republican primaries for Trump.

They got what they wished for. Trump became the republican nominee.

 

[millais]

As of today, the NPC meme's efficacy is at an all time high. The disgust over how the Democrats handled the Kavanaugh confirmation is still influencing the moderate/independent voting bloc. The messaging, the economy, the constant winning and the continued idiocy of Hollywood have all helped the Republicans. Trump's approval is 51%, which is incredibly high given that 97% of all media coverage is negative.

Beto or Beta or Francis, whatever, in Texas has raised a record amount of money and yet now trails by an average of 8 points in every poll. The DNC just moved $38 million into an unwinnable state at the expense of defending Heitkamp, Tester, Manchin and McCaskill. Meanwhile, Nevada's Dean Heller, once thought a complete blue wipeout, is up 2 points as the most vulnerable GOP Senator.

I think we are in for a shocking midterms result. The amount of silent majority voters is going to flush the loud, angry Socialist Progressive mob of fringe Twitter faggotry right down the drain and the Republicans will probably pick up 6-7 seats in the Senate and maybe a handful in the House.

And the media coverage is going to be even more bananas, more obscene and so much fun to watch.

how does the DNC even have $38 million at this point. I thought they wiped out their organization's national-level coffers in 2016, and by 2017 they were actually in the red due to the loss of some of the big corporate sponsors who weren't going to buy influence in a party that had lost its hold over all three branches of government.

I know most of all of the local races are being funded exclusively by state or local level Democrat fundraising, but I thought for sure their national war chest is empty.

 

[PantsFreeZone]

how does the DNC even have $38 million at this point. I thought they wiped out their organization's national-level coffers in 2016, and by 2017 they were actually in the red due to the loss of some of the big corporate sponsors who weren't going to buy influence in a party that had lost its hold over all three branches of government.

I know most of all of the local races are being funded exclusively by state or local level Democrat fundraising, but I thought for sure their national war chest is empty.

Tom Steyer, Michael Bloomberg and George Soros.

Three billionaires funneling money through illegal donation schemes and Super PACs is my guess. But I would bet that I'm correct.

 

[millais]

Tom Steyer, Michael Bloomberg and George Soros.

Three billionaires funneling money through illegal donation schemes and Super PACs is my guess. But I would bet that I'm correct.

For sure those pro-Democrat PACs and big time donators are throwing around their weight for all its worth in the various races, but I hope the DNC organization itself is still fucked in the finances. The national level funding is supposed to be what they use to tip the balance on close contests.

 

[dopy]

That's it. I've fucking had it. I've voted Republican EVERY election, regional or national, since 1982. Yeah, you read that right - Nineteen fucking eighty-two. I can't fucking stand what the modern Republican party has done to our great nation, how it has divided it so much, and elected a total demagogue and moron into the highest official position in the nation. I can't stand how the modern GOP has bent over for this absolute manchild of a human and just let him go to town on their bright, embarrassed, virgin red ass. I voted GOP in 2016, but I regret that vote 100 fucking per-cent, without a doubt. I would take it back in a heartbeat, after everything this complete and total idiot has done to this country. I'm #PaintingTheBallotBlue this November because I have no other choice. I just hate what that orange idiot has done to this country so much. My hands are literally shaking as I type this, I am so frustrated with the Republican Party and their sociopath "Dear Leader" whom they let get away with appointing a literal rapist to the SCOTUS. Every single one of my children is crying at night and asking, "Daddy, is Trump the next Caesar?" And I have to look into their little innocent, teary eyes and tell them that everything will be okay, and that daddy will fix it. And you know why? Because I'm #PaintingTheBallotBlue this November. #TimesUp

 

[RodgerDodger]

This timeline is literally a monkeys paw wish. Clinton and her media surrogates desperately pushed behind the scenes to try and get Trump picked as the Republcan nominee. You even had democratic party voters in safe hilldawg states choose to vote in Republican primaries for Trump.

They got what they wished for. Trump became the republican nominee.

And yet Trump is sorta kinda their worst nightmare. On the scale of things for all his bluster bombast and lack of tact, Trump actually lines up more often than not with the Moderates. He’s a Social Progressive. He’s the first President, heck the first candidate to be openly gay friendly and pro gay marriage (they brand him a Homophobe). He’s Fiscally Squishy, but leaning Libertarian. He is low tax, low regulation, but he is not beyond social spending. He is Free Market Preferred, but will use Tariffs and Trade Deals to not simply promote but actively enforce US National Interests. He’s a bit of an Anti Corporatist, but pro Business. He is not a warmonger and tends to be more of a Rand Paul Issolationist. His primary goal in any International Conflict or Foreign Relationship is “what’s in it for us? What is the real National Interest here?” He wants a strong military, but wishes to minimize its actual use abroad. Historically he really lines up quite well with Teddy Roosevelt.

So by pushing Trump, the Dems effectively undercut or drove from power the Neo Cons, the deep ideological conservatives, and the fundies, the Christian Right has fallen in behind him, because he’s given them pretty much everything the textbook Conservatives never could or would.

What’s the old saying “be careful what you wish for” ?

 

[OWLS!]

#PaintingTheBallotBlue this November. #TimesUp

Source, please, for the love of god.

 

[millais]

Source, please, for the love of god.

probably somewhere on r/politics lol

 

[Pickle Dick]

Bredesen would probably be the only Democrat to even gain a seat from the Republicans

 

[dopy]

Source, please, for the love of god.

my f*cked up imagination

 

[Takayuki Yagami]

That's it. I've fucking had it. I've voted Republican EVERY election, regional or national, since 1982. Yeah, you read that right - Nineteen fucking eighty-two. I can't fucking stand what the modern Republican party has done to our great nation, how it has divided it so much, and elected a total demagogue and moron into the highest official position in the nation. I can't stand how the modern GOP has bent over for this absolute manchild of a human and just let him go to town on their bright, embarrassed, virgin red ass. I voted GOP in 2016, but I regret that vote 100 fucking per-cent, without a doubt. I would take it back in a heartbeat, after everything this complete and total idiot has done to this country. I'm #PaintingTheBallotBlue this November because I have no other choice. I just hate what that orange idiot has done to this country so much. My hands are literally shaking as I type this, I am so frustrated with the Republican Party and their sociopath "Dear Leader" whom they let get away with appointing a literal rapist to the SCOTUS. Every single one of my children is crying at night and asking, "Daddy, is Trump the next Caesar?" And I have to look into their little innocent, teary eyes and tell them that everything will be okay, and that daddy will fix it. And you know why? Because I'm #PaintingTheBallotBlue this November. #TimesUp

Where do people get this idea that Caesar was a tyranical despot? Shakespeare? The Roman Republic was a rotting hole by the time he entered the scene, and he was assassinated by corrupt oligarchs due to him having incredible public support.

 

[scathefire]

Where do people get this idea that Caesar was a tyranical despot? Shakespeare? The Roman Republic was a rotting hole by the time he entered the scene, and he was assassinated by corrupt oligarchs due to him having incredible public support.

Well, that probably would be an apt comparison to Trump, now that you mention it.

 

[Takayuki Yagami]

Well, that probably would be an apt comparison to Trump, now that you mention it.

That’s the joke.

 

[Alec Benson Leary]

I wanna vote R, but have been blue my whole life. It's really hard to give up on blue despite the insane exceptional individual think tank giving them the worst decisions ever for the past 8 years.

Try to think of it this way: no politician is ever your hero, no matter what side they're on or you're on. They aren't your friends. They're angry dogs. You don't vote for dogs. You just have to vote for the leash you think is right.

 

[AF 802]

Donnelly lost his Senate seat to Braun, by flip-flopping on his vote for Kavanaugh.

I really hope he has. We sure have been getting a lot of Donnelly ads on local TV, and I really don't want another Schumer/Pelosi idiot in the Senate.

 

[PantsFreeZone]

Mmmmm. That is some good messaging.

 

[heathercho]

This is great. Please people, campaign more like this.

Do you want a Hero or a Hero?

 

[Wallace]

This is just like eight years ago, when the Republicans ran on a platform of "we're not Obama!" and "Half of the country are garbage people!", and they rode that wave to a landslide victory in 2012. Oh wait...

 

[Ponderous Pillock]

Mmmmm. That is some good messaging.

View attachment 566701

Quite the meme you got there.

 

[mindlessobserver]

This is just like eight years ago, when the Republicans ran on a platform of "we're not Obama!" and "Half of the country are garbage people!", and they rode that wave to a landslide victory in 2012. Oh wait...

And unlike Obama the Republicans actually have a message, and results to go back to the voters with. So they are in an even better spot right now then Obama was. The democrats are counting on the shrill shrieking about racism, misogyny and chaos coming from the press to carry the day for them. Problem for them is that in the districts they need to win most people have already been conditioned to be distrustful of the press.