UN US Midterm Elections 2018 Megathread - Blue Wave or Red Tsunami? Because you know we need one.

November 6th, 2018.
You have less than one month to sperg about the midterm elections.

Hot Takes :
Tis the end of Drumpf!

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

http://archive.is/1rEYe

Could the US midterm elections break Trump's presidency?

President Donald Trump. Source: AAP


Voting in the US midterm elections is now underway.

UpdatedUpdated 27 September
By Rashida Yosufzai, Nick Baker
In this article...

• What are the midterms?
• What do the polls predict?
• Why do these elections matter?
• How could recent developments affect things?
• Could Trump be impeached?
• Will the youth vote make a difference?
• What does it mean for Australia?

Americans have started to cast their ballots in a vote that could shape the rest of Donald Trump's presidency.

Although the US midterm elections are technically held on 6 November, early voting has already started in a handful of states.

Minnesota was the first state to allow early in-person voting on 21 September, with a handful of key states following, including New Jersey, California and Arizona.


Thirty-five states and the District of Columbia offer some form of early voting, meaning every day until 6 November counts for Democrats and Republicans.

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

80 per cent chance of winning back the chamber.

Republicans have a 1 in 5 chance of keeping control of the House, while Democrats have about a 4 in 5 chance of winning control of the House. https://t.co/lyNh30TEIw pic.twitter.com/O38qtMPpIz

— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 25, 2018
The Senate though is likely to be retained by the Republicans.

According to CNN, the Democrats are defending some two dozen seats, including 10 in states where Mr Trump secured victory in 2016, and five of those where he won resoundingly.

FiveThirtyEight gives the Democrats just a 30 per cent chance of taking the Senate.

Trump's election one year on: What do Americans think of him now?[/paste:font]


The Democrats could also use their numbers to set up House select committees targeting the president.

"They will have an opportunity to set up special panels and committees to essentially smear President Trump," United States Studies Centre research fellow Dougal Robinson told SBS News in April.

Mr Robinson pointed to the Benghazi committee set up by the Republicans against Hillary Clinton in 2014 to further investigate the fatal 2012 terrorist attack on two US government facilities in Libya.

Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

Once seen as cruising to an easy vote - fulfilling Mr Trump's key promise to stack the Supreme Court with conservative justices - a string of sexual assault allegations has turned the Kavanaugh decision into all-out political war.

According to CNN's national political reporter Eric Bradner, the scandal and lukewarm response from some Republicans to Mr Kavanaugh's accusers could "drive suburban women away in midterms".

I have no doubt that, if the attack on Dr. Ford was as bad as she says, charges would have been immediately filed with local Law Enforcement Authorities by either her or her loving parents. I ask that she bring those filings forward so that we can learn date, time, and place!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 21, 2018
Analysts also point to Robert Mueller's investigation as an ongoing potential source of political curveballs.

Mr Mueller has already indicted more than 30 people in connection with his probe into whether members of Mr Trump's campaign colluded with Russia to help get the real estate tycoon elected.

And speculation has swirled in recent days that Mr Trump may fire embattled deputy attorney general Rod Rosenstein - who oversees the Russia collusion probe.

Doubts over how long Mr Rosenstein can keep the job have swirled since shock media reports that he once suggested secretly recording Mr Trump to collect evidence for ousting him under a constitutional amendment for presidents unfit to remain in office.

Mr Rosenstein's firing - and Mr Trump possibly putting someone more pliable in his place - would set off alarm bells over the future independence of a probe, which has the potential to rock both the midterms and the entire Trump presidency.

US wants ‘partnership, not domination’ in Australia and region[/paste:font]


A report co-authored by Mr Robinson predicted after the midterms, Congress would be highly unlikely to support a US re-entry to the Trans-Pacific Partnership - a trade deal between 11 Pacific nations including Australia and New Zealand which Mr Trump pulled the US out of last year.

Another issue that may affect Australia is that if the Democrats retake the House, it is likely to lead to lower defence spending.

Additional reporting: AAP, AFP

This article was originally published in April 2018 and updated in September 2018.

How will Trump keep his voter base energized? "More Winning."
http://archive.fo/VkaHH

TRUMP HAS A TWO WORD RESPONSE WHEN REPORTER ASKS HIM HOW HE WILL KEEP GOP BASE ENERGIZED
5:52 PM 10/10/2018
Benny Johnson | Reporter At Large

President Donald Trump made portions of the White House press corps chuckle with his response on how he intends to keep Republican voters fired up after the ultimately successful confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

“How do you keep your base energized now that you have this Kavanaugh victory?” one reporter asked. Tuesday was the first day that Kavanaugh sat on the court after a contentious battle over his nomination.

“More winning,” Trump said.

Trump was leaving the White House on his way to a campaign rally Tuesday night when he took questions from reporters in the White House driveway.

The president was also asked about the mobs of paid progressive protesters that took over Capitol Hill during the contentious debate over Kavanaugh’s confirmation. Trump was specifically asked about the intense “energy” of the protesters.

“A lot of those were paid protesters. You saw that they are all unhappy because they haven’t been paid yet,” Trump alleged about the protesters. (RELATED: Trump Has A Theory Why The Anti-Kavanaugh Protesters Are So Mad)


Trump brought up his new trade deal with Canada and Mexico as a major policy win. “Our deal with Mexico and Canada was fantastic,” Trump said. “China wants to make a deal so badly. We will see where it goes. But I don’t think they are ready.”

Trump Will Lose 60 Seats in the house... Unless... Please Visit My Site
http://archive.fo/zHe4o

MATT DRUDGE WARNS OF MIDTERM BLOODBATH: TRUMP TO LOSE ’60 SEATS IN THE HOUSE LIKE OBAMA DID’
2:41 PM 09/14/2018
Peter Hasson | Reporter

Conservative news giant Matt Drudge on Friday made a somber prediction about Republicans’ chances in the November midterm elections, predicting President Donald Trump will see his party lose 60 seats in the House of Representatives.

Drudge, who runs the influential Drudge Report, compared the upcoming midterms to the electoral bloodbath Democrats suffered in the 2010 midterm elections under former President Barack Obama.

Screenshot/Twitter

“Trump and Obama both have 47% approval at this time of presidency, according to Rasmussen. Trump will also lose 60 seats in the House like Obama did during first midterm!” Drudge wrote on Twitter. (RELATED: Democrats Should Immediately Abolish ICE After Retaking Congress)

He added cryptically: “Unless…”

Democrats have to gain 23 House seats in November in order to flip the lower chamber. Democrats have an 83 percent chance of retaking the House, according to FiveThirty Eight.

Follow Hasson on Twitter @PeterJHasson

Content created by The Daily Caller News Foundation is available without charge to any eligible news publisher that can provide a large audience. For licensing opportunities of our original content, please contact licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.

The Weird :
Mark Taylor "Red Tsunami Prophecy"
http://archive.fo/KJjj2

Mark Taylor (The Trump Prophecies): Most Important Midterm Elections In All Of US History
July 30, 2018 29 3159


Mark Taylor says the upcoming 2018 elections are the most important mid-term elections in all of America’s history. Here’s why…

Mark Taylor interviewed by Greg Hunter on USA Watchdog

Mark Taylor, author of the popular book “The Trump Prophecies,” contends, “If you are part of the army of God, you need to be ready also because there are going to be politicians that are going to resign. We have had the biggest number of resignations probably in history. This midterm election is going to be huge. This is going to be a red tsunami. They keep talking about the blue wave. I think it’s going to be a blue drip, a leaky faucet, and that is all they are going to get. You have had more resignations than we have ever seen. Now is the time to go in and capture this ground and hold it for the Kingdom of God. . . . It’s not a left or right thing. God is moving us towards a place of righteousness. That’s what’s happening right now. So, he’s going to be replacing these people. If you are called to be a judge, senator, congressman or a council person, I don’t care what level local, state or federal, take your place and get ready. If you are in the Army of God and you don’t vote, you need to get off your behind and register to vote. These are going to be the most important midterm elections in America’s history—period.”

In closing, Taylor says, “I don’t think there is going to be another Democrat in the White House for a long time, if ever again. I believe you are seeing the death of the Democrat party right now.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Mark Taylor, co-author of “The Trump Prophecies,” which has been made into a movie that is releasing in early October.

Donations: https://usawatchdog.com/donations/

 

[BR55]

Montana maybe makes up for it dumping Tester. There was clearly some split ticket voting going on in MT. Right now, the solitary house candidate is up 10%, but the senate one is only up 2%.

Rick Scott has won in Florida but some media outlets are holding on calling it despite Bill Nelson conceding. Combined with Missouri, North Dakota, and Indiana that makes GOP 4+ in the Senate.
Losing Heller cuts it to 3+ but if Montana gets rid of Tester its up to 4+ again. That would only leave Arizona where it looks like McSally is going to scrape by Sinema by about a point.
So most likely the GOP is 4+ in the Senate when all is said and done.

 

[Takayuki Yagami]

Am currently unable to watch results, can some give me a quick rundown?
Did the democrats get cucked, are the republicans reeing, who were the stars of this election?



Nice Freudian slip there, @Secret Asshole .

The GOP has a comfortable majority in the Senate from what I understand, and the Dems got a tiny majority in the House.

 

[Maxliam]

Am currently unable to watch results, can some give me a quick rundown?
Did the democrats get cucked, are the republicans reeing, who were the stars of this election?

Republicans have the Senate and dems have a slim margin in the house. Like at best right now they will have 19 more seats than Republicans. The blue wave didn't happen. At best, they can be a pain in the ass for a couple years for Trump. But they will be dumb and put Nancy Pelosi as speaker. Basically giving Trump a punching bag to rally his people around.

 

[bippu_as_fuck_ls400]

https://mobile.twitter.com/thehill/status/1060015751929696257

Openly gay
Ex-MMA fighter
Native American
Woman

I'm surprised they listed her as ex-MMA above her other two victim categories.

 

[Black4STA]

Republicans have the Senate and dems have a slim margin in the house. Like at best right now they will have 19 more seats than Republicans. The blue wave didn't happen. At best, they can be a pain in the ass for a couple years for Trump. But they will be dumb and put Nancy Pelosi as speaker. Basically giving Trump a punching bag to rally his people around.

Winning the popular vote by 7% and gaining 32-36 House Seats is not a "Blue Wave?" Among so many other state legislatures, which will have future effects against the GOP.

If you're focusing too much on the Senate, please note that this was the most favorable map of all time to any party, for the GOP. The only State that should be a swing state that the GOP won was FL. And Texas... Blue Texas was very close today, closer than it has ever been. Two percentage points away. The GOP cannot ever lose Texas if they ever want to win a national election ever again. And they almost did today.
Arizona is essentially a blue state as well now. "What?" The Green Party candidate bled 2.2% away from the Democrat. Without them running, Democrats would have won by more than 1%.

 

[Tranhuviya]

We edge ever closer to the cyberpunk future.

 

[frozenrunner]

We edge ever closer to the cyberpunk future.

Someone plz hack the Gibson

 

[Maxliam]

Winning the popular vote by 7% and gaining 32-36 House Seats is not a "Blue Wave?" Among so many other state legislatures, which will have future effects against the GOP.

If you're focusing too much on the Senate, please note that this was the most favorable map of all time to any party, for the GOP. The only State that should be a swing state that the GOP won was FL. And Texas... Blue Texas was very close today, closer than it has ever been. Two percentage points away. The GOP cannot ever lose Texas if they ever want to win a national election ever again. And they almost did today.
Arizona is essentially a blue state as well now. "What?" The Green Party candidate bled 2.2% away from the Democrat. Without them running, Democrats would have won by more than 1%.

Texas was surprising how close it was, I'll give them that. I'm not denying they won but not as much as they were expecting. They were talking about taking both chambers.

Compared to all the talk about how they were going to basically be super majorities in House and Senate, this is a far cry from that. They also didn't do so well for governor races. They made some gains but they also lost quite a bit of ground. Trump is going to have at least one more SC nom given to him. RBG is really really close to knocking on death's door.

Someone plz hack the Gibson

Holy shit I just got done watching the RLM video review of Hackers. Culkin was actually funny in that.

 

[DarkSydePundit]

View attachment 586380
https://mobile.twitter.com/thehill/status/1060015751929696257

Openly gay
Ex-MMA fighter
Native American
Woman

I'm surprised they listed her as ex-MMA above her other two victim categories.

If SJW judge people by their gender and heritage, doesn‘t THAT make them racist and sexist?

By promoting one gender and race, you‘re degrading the other.

Let‘s judge people by their accomplishments.

yeah I know, I know...

 

[Maxliam]

Now I find THAT hard to believe. His appearance on Joe Rogan was nothing but cringe. Especially that part where he talked about getting a colonoscopy and trying to joke, "I was hoping they'd put the tube through my mouth and then my butt," and Joe just stares at him and goes, "What??? Why???"
Culkin: I was just kidding.... *awkward silence*

Funny you mention that because the comments section mentions that too. He actually was funny in the video. Not like gut busting funny but he does better at making comments about how dumb Hackers was.

 

[yeahweknow]

There was one small good thing that happened in California at least.

View attachment 586341
This fucktard lost. I can't stand Feinstein but this guy's an even bigger moron and would have fucked things over more.

listen to this fucking goof describing something he knows nothing about

not as if feinstein was any better, but still

 

[Cromagnon]

Britbong here - Could somebody explain to me why the Dems are so incredibly jubilant about this great triumph; their margin of victory in the house doesn't seem particularly significant, and they incurred losses in the senate....All this despite the fact that Trump is supposedly the most egregiously bad president ever, and the changing demographics.

 

[Maxliam]

Britbong here - Could somebody explain to me why the Dems are so incredibly jubilant about this great triumph; their margin of victory in the house doesn't seem particularly significant, and they incurred losses in the senate....All this despite the fact that Trump is supposedly the most egregiously bad president ever, and the changing demographics.

They are talking about forcing Trump to release his tax returns. They don't seem to realize that 1.) Most americans don't give a shit about his tax returns. 2.) They're starting a pandora's box of shit again that will invariably bite them in the ass. Just like the Biden rule that bit them in the ass during the Kavanaugh confirmation.

They think they're going to remove Trump from office. They can start an impeachment but the Senate is the one that acts upon an article of impeachment process. They lost that ability really badly since Republicans are set to get 55 seats.

 

[Puppet Pal Clem]

Britbong here - Could somebody explain to me why the Dems are so incredibly jubilant about this great triumph; their margin of victory in the house doesn't seem particularly significant, and they incurred losses in the senate....All this despite the fact that Trump is supposedly the most egregiously bad president ever, and the changing demographics.

They have some control of something now.

 

[RomanesEuntDomus]

Britbong here - Could somebody explain to me why the Dems are so incredibly jubilant about this great triumph; their margin of victory in the house doesn't seem particularly significant, and they incurred losses in the senate....All this despite the fact that Trump is supposedly the most egregiously bad president ever, and the changing demographics.

Well, it's a bigger success than the last vote, no?

 

[frozenrunner]

Britbong here - Could somebody explain to me why the Dems are so incredibly jubilant about this great triumph; their margin of victory in the house doesn't seem particularly significant, and they incurred losses in the senate....All this despite the fact that Trump is supposedly the most egregiously bad president ever, and the changing demographics.

Most of them have no idea what happened or what it means and are looking to media talking heads to tell them how to feel. And the media is telling them it was a massive success.

 

[yeahweknow]

Most of them have no idea what happened or what it means and are looking to media talking heads to tell them how to feel. And the media is telling them it was a massive success.

they were screeching about the electoral college not too long ago and now they're crying about the senate, they have no fucking concept on how any part of this country operates.

 

[Meaty Spaghetti]

So i basically woke up to a purple nothing?

 

[heathercho]

Britbong here - Could somebody explain to me why the Dems are so incredibly jubilant about this great triumph; their margin of victory in the house doesn't seem particularly significant, and they incurred losses in the senate....All this despite the fact that Trump is supposedly the most egregiously bad president ever, and the changing demographics.

Most of them have no idea what happened or what it means and are looking to media talking heads to tell them how to feel. And the media is telling them it was a massive success.

Yeah, you know that's what it is. The media is saying "LOOK HERE... NOT THERE!".
There's a US based reporter that works for a major news network in Australia, who said tonight that the dems scraping by in the house was the American people fighting back against Trump and telling him he's done a bad job.
He then went on to say that the Senate may have been "won" technically by the Republicans, but that it wasn't a fair fight, mostly because of fake news and voter suppression.

The media will talk out of whatever side of their face they want you to look at, at that specific second in time. People's intrinsic confirmation bias will listen to the MSM because it's a "trusted source" and create a false perspective that this was something like the above. When it isn't.
In fact, aside from record voting numbers and Ted Cruz/Beta Beto in Texas, this was a very usual midterm. I suspect the Ted Cruz issue is that he's a neocon and a lot of red voters thought Texas was safe red, but they forget there's lots of new "placements" living in Texas and a lot of blue big city transplants. Get someone more hardline and/or Trumplike and you'll see Texas go back to favorably red.
If anything, this is probably saying the day of the safe neocon is well and truly over.

 

[bippu_as_fuck_ls400]

Most of them have no idea what happened or what it means and are looking to media talking heads to tell them how to feel. And the media is telling them it was a massive success.

Exhibit A:

That's rich, who is changing the narrative? There was going to be a Blue Tsunami according to everyone in the media and anyone who leans left on social media. The only person I saw who was realistic about that was Bernie.

Exhibit A that I showed above is a perfect example of the current Dem situation in America. They project whatever they are guilty of onto their opponents.