Tarl has been in a downward spiral for years.
He has severe social anxiety and self-medicates with alcohol. He is a control freak who doesn't let his women have any kind of life of their own. He has a sordid history of emotionally and physically abusing women and now, finally, it looks like he is going to be punished. Judging from his recent videos though, it is obvious that he hasn't learned a thing. He shows absolutely no remorse, and still believes he is completely beyond reproach.
What he really needs is to hit rock bottom. Unfortunately, this latest event hasn't done it. He'll get an attorney and will likely plea-out with time served, or at most 30 days in jail, depending on the severity of the battery he inflicted. He WILL get worse from here. He will drink more. He'll get more women. He will not return to Liz and his daughter - and that's a very good thing for them.
In many ways, he is a victim of his own online success. With his severe social anxiety, he never would have been able to attract women if it were not for his ability to *appear* like a normal human in a room by himself talking into a mic and staring into his camera. They fall for him, for his fame and his creepy allure. They realize at some point later just what a broken man-child he is and they wish they had never opened their hearts and their legs to him. Then the trouble really starts.
I'll give him at most another year before he gets arrested again. Next time will be much worse.