Severe Weather outbreaks

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Hanamarle Bougainvillea said:
I am not confident enough to give/write this a thread of it's own, so I am directing it here.
California has recently been given the gift of an aggressive wildfire (as of 24/7/24) that has since spread >250 miles across open areas just north of 2018's "Camp Fire". As of this writing, it is essentially uncontained and continues to spread, heeded by southward winds towards the town of Paradise.
Attached below is a radar loop and camera timelapse of a persistent pyrocumulonimbus + potential fire-induced tornado.
sRbEWUHR13vn0DdC.mp4
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I started a thread in A&N but I don't think non-Jeffersonians are getting how hard this one is going.

239,000 acres in 48 hours, 0% containment, and gusty wind conditions.

And assholes trying to tell everyone how this is all because California is DOING IT WRONG.

 
KiwiFuzz2 said:
And assholes trying to tell everyone how this is all because California is DOING IT WRONG.
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There are methods of mitigating bushfires, but many people don't know that once a bushfire gets to a certain size, it creates its own weather and sends out "seeds" of itself kilometres ahead of the forefront. At that point, it becomes a matter of trying to save what you can and waiting until the front has eaten all that's available and begins to die of starvation.

You can mitigate bushfires to an extent, but the only way to stop them occurring completely is to concrete over the bush. Fires are like any other natural disaster: there are things that we can do to blunt the impacts, but if shit wants to burn, shit is going to burn. Build in a flood plain, your house will go under. Live next to a tsunami wall, at some point that wall will get breached etc.
 
KiwiFuzz2 said:
I started a thread in A&N but I don't think non-Jeffersonians are getting how hard this one is going.

239,000 acres in 48 hours, 0% containment, and gusty wind conditions.

And assholes trying to tell everyone how this is all because California is DOING IT WRONG.

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>Outlaw logging, brush management, and embezzle the federal funds for preventing wild fires by doing the former two into other programs.

They aren't wrong.
 
Preferred Penne said:
We just had a bit of tornado action today. Downed trees and powerlines all over the place.
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MCS formed in northeast Ohio and brought with it swaths of wind damage, the worst focused within Geauga and Lake counties where gusts >80 MPH were observed. Additionally, tropical cyclone Debby is meandering over the Carolinas and causing great amounts of flooding.
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Another big damn storm is hitting the twin cities area.
Last one on Monday nocked the power out for about two days.
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Honka Honka Burning Love said:
God Trying to Smite Nick.

GO GOD GO.
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I'm imagining the closing scene of Twister when Bill Paxton and Helen Hunt are seeking refuge in that barn, except instead of seeing all of the scythes and whatnot and noping the hell out of there, they end up at Nick's and are surrounded by Balldos, sex crosses and a feral Kayla rocking back and forth in the corner.
 
Local Fed said:
I'm imagining the closing scene of Twister when Bill Paxton and Helen Hunt are seeking refuge in that barn, except instead of seeing all of the scythes and whatnot and noping the hell out of there, they end up at Nick's and are surrounded by Balldos, sex crosses and a feral Kayla rocking back and forth in the corner.
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Don't forget the empty whiskey bottles and cans of Spagettios.
 
Anyone near the Florida panhandle, get your asses ready.
Hurricane models are going absolutely ballistic, showing surface winds well over 160mph (up to 180mph) and pressure below 900mb.
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Official forecast cone from the NHC:
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I pray that it doesn't go for Tampa, because if it does I think we could have a disaster on the level of Katrina, because storm surge is gonna be a major problem.

Edit: State of Emergency declared for many Florida counties.
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#FF0000 said:
I pray that it doesn't go for Tampa, because if it does I think we could have a disaster on the level of Katrina, because storm surge is gonna be a major problem.
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It's next to impossible for a hurricane to hit Tampa because the currents and winds practically never align. It's the same reason why Hawaii so rarely gets hit. Barely any landfalls in the Tampa area in recorded history.
 
It's raining on the rock.

IG @izzalmn 1 rain uluru NT 23SEP24.jpg
IG Janet Swain @janetswainsongs 1 rain uluru NT 23SEP24.jpg 2957065.jpg


Waterfalls on Uluru as outback storms soak central Australia​

Ben Domensino
Today, 2:45 PM AEST

Rain and thunderstorms have drenched parts of central Australia in the last couple of days, causing waterfalls to cascade down the sides of Uluru following the monolith’s best September rain on record.

A surge of tropical moisture interacting with an upper-level trough is causing widespread rain and storms over Australia this week.

On Monday, lightning started flashing above central Australia as moisture from the Indian Ocean fuelled a flurry of thunderstorms in the Red Centre.

A weather station at Yulara Airport, near Uluru, received 31.6 mm of rain in the 24 hours to 9am on Tuesday. This was the site’s heaviest September rain in records dating back to the 1980s.

Another weather station at Curtain Springs picked up 33.4 mm in the 24 hours to 9am on Tuesday. This was also a new September daily record, with data at this site going back to 1953.

The unseasonably heavy rain caused waterfalls to flow down the sides of Uluru, a spectacle that only happens a handful of times in any given year.

Similar scenes occurred on Uluru during heavy rain in June and January last year.

Showers and thunderstorms will continue over central Australia on Tuesday and Wednesday before drier conditions return from Thursday. However, there might be another round of Red Centre thunderstorms on the weekend as a low pressure trough drifts over central Australia.
 

Attachments

  • IG Rachel Crowley @rachelcrowley_ rain uluru NT 23SEP24 - no sound.mp4
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Helene is now classified as a Category 1 Hurricane with 80 mph winds, and a central pressure of 979 mb.
The NHC is forecasting it to intensify to a Category 3 Major Hurricane with winds of up to 125 mph, but it's possible, if not likely, that it can be stronger than that.
Here's an evacuation chart that may be helpful to anyone reading this who's from Florida.
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Storm surge will also be a threat alongside the winds, and will likely be the biggest threat due to the sheer size of Helene.
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EDIT: Forgot to mention that rain will also be a major issue outside of storm surge.
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Hurricane Helene is likely going to undergo rapid intensification very soon.
Storm surge estimates have increased, with storm surge of up to twenty feet. This is extremely high end, even worse than Hurricane Ian's storm surge.
Maximum windspeeds at landfall are now estimated at 130 mph, which puts it at Category 4. I'd say it could be higher than that.
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EDIT:
"Unsurvivable storm surge". Terminology reminiscent of the advisory issued for Katrina right before landfall.
This is really, really fucking bad.
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Anonitolia said:
Tropical Storm warnings are extending all the way up to fucking Virginia now. Flood warnings up to Washington and Philadelphia. Stay safe, kiwis.

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Crossposting to ask: has anyone ever seen this before? I've not once in my life seen tropical storm warnings in Virginia. Granted, i'm new to tracking severe weather, but it's not like I've never watched it before then.
 
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