Severe Weather outbreaks

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Huntsville possibly going to be hit by a second tornado.
 
A_Skellington said:
Jesus, that's not good at all.
They haven't said anything about it being a mass casualty event have they?
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No, it became stronger as it exited town. As far as I'm aware there aren't any injuries or at least major ones.
EDIT: Holy fuck this night never ends.
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EDIT 2: Another tornado emergency...
 
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Male Idiot said:
Is this seasonal, or this tornado boogaloo unusual? Just asking for science.
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It's the right time of year, we're just having a particularly strong season. If conditions had been just right yesterday or last week we could've easily had another 2011 but it didn't quite line up
 
Male Idiot said:
Is this seasonal, or this tornado boogaloo unusual? Just asking for science.
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Seasonal, but stronger than usual due to a specific pattern in the ENSO phase (El Nino/La Nina) along with other broader scale patterns (and just pure luck, I guess).
Also, some new damage pics are coming out of Barnsdall (or just southwest of it). It's bad.
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So I ended up going to sleep once the cap ended things here, how is everything East of Tennessee and Mississippi doing?
I know that Huntsville was at it's third tornado warning.
 
#FF0000 said:
Wind shear is very low in most areas.
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Right, you need all of the other pieces that go into a severe thunderstorm acting in concert to produce a supercell or significant tornado.

You can get some extraordinarily high CAPE readings (well above 8,000J/kg) in Iowa and other states on clear, dry, hot days when corn and other crops are growing due to plant transpiration and evaporation of irrigation water. However the same conditions that produce these readings also preclude formation of severe thunderstorms.
 
A mass email at my job advising people they MUST shelter in place received publicly viewable replies threatening to beat up anyone who tried to enforce it, some of which would be tiptoe-on-the-line fedposting here. Nobody was disciplined (!!!) and a revised email was sent out the same afternoon.

I'm legitimately stunned at it all.
 
Cpt. Stud Beefpile said:
A mass email at my job advising people they MUST shelter in place received publicly viewable replies threatening to beat up anyone who tried to enforce it, some of which would be tiptoe-on-the-line fedposting here. Nobody was disciplined (!!!) and a revised email was sent out the same afternoon.

I'm legitimately stunned at it all.
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What was the context of this? Did they tell them to shelter in a safe place at their job because of severe weather or something else? I'm a bit confused, I don't know how that would prompt such an extreme reaction unless they were forcing workers to stay at work despite it being unsafe.
 
FieldPiece said:
Since this seems to be the place for tornado autists. What is the number one thing people tend to need after a tornado has struck that doesn't get donated enough? I'm gonna be in the area and feel like being charitable. Socks? Water?
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I'm from a hurricane zone, so my experience isn't the same as a tornado one, but the #1 thing I would suggest is something for comfort. Like these people probably have their basics covered, but it's the little things that you really miss.

See if you can donate some pizzas. Everyone likes pizzas.
 
#FF0000 said:
What was the context of this? Did they tell them to shelter in a safe place at their job because of severe weather or something else? I'm a bit confused, I don't know how that would prompt such an extreme reaction unless they were forcing workers to stay at work despite it being unsafe.
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Probably people being told they must shelter in place when they just wanted to go home and be with their families.
 
The weather's doing its thing again!
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Today, numerous severe storms, which will likely congeal into a derecho, will be possible of producing wind gusts from 75 to 100mph in portions of Kansas and northern Oklahoma, in the red MDT risk and the orange ENH risk. There's also a chance for giant hail and a few tornadoes.

A slight risk is also in place for tomorrow for some wind and hail in Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa, Missouri and Illinois, although it's not a very significant threat.

Tuesday, however, appears to be very significant.
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A very broad ENH risk has been introduced for portions of east Kansas, north-central Missouri, Iowa, west-central Illinois, far south-eastern Minnesota and south-west Wisconsin.
The SPC mentions that the main threat is damaging wind gusts and large hail, as well as a few tornadoes, however models are suggesting a much, much larger threat, particularly for tornadoes.
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The CSU-MLP forecast model, which has been pretty decent so far this season, shows a very large area of 10%+ tornado probabilities, with another very large area of 15%+ tornado probabilities and a small area of 30%+ tornado probabilities, which is what would be considered a High Risk for tornadoes. If these models continue to show these signs, it could certainly be a very big day.
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Wednesday and Thursday also appear to have a threat for severe weather, but it doesn't appear as significant and the details aren't too clear at the moment.
 
Apologies for the double post but I feel like this warrants its own second post.

One model, the HRW-FV3 model, has been consistently showing a very strong supercell in north Oklahoma, so strong that it appears to be producing its own low pressure system, with a locally enhanced environment extremely conducive for tornadoes. I have never seen a model do this and I have no idea what to make of it.
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Model trend GIFs for 8pm (left) and 9pm (right) CST.
 
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Likely derecho ongoing in parts of Kansas. If you are in the path, take cover now and treat these severe t-storm warnings as a tornado warning.
 
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STRONG TORNADO ABOUT TO ENTER DOWNTOWN OKLAHOMA CITY.
 
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