This recent AI thing both scares and fascinates me. How long before the first deepfake AI Youtube influencer passes the Turing test?
the problem is that its like the mechanical turk; the cost to do it is 1000000000x more than it would be to fake it, i remember last year the best deepfake i saw (A Taylor Swift deepfake from a clips4sale) the guy admitted that he paid for a custom vid from a woman who's face and body was close enough and then requested an exact hairstyle,clothing, and even make up to make it even closer to the starlet. If a stylist from sephora or any woman with an above average knowledge of styling can do the work of some deepfake program run on $10k worth of hardware in a microfraction of the time, then its not really there.
even the best one from the first half of the year (the olsen vid) they basically cut everything out besides the womans face, and the expression changes are so minuscule that of course its much easier to fake. hell lizbeth olsen herself has done more blatant pornographic things than that deepfake (a close up of a woman supposedly riding a cock),
Sure we may get to the point where you could replace actors and actresses, the problem is it will be way too costly compared to literally just hiring someone with even some acting ability . Beyond that, its not the 80s anymore, there is no enlightened billionaire willing to sink their net worth into a simple project for a decade on the off chance theyll make money on it later on. Billionaires invested in facebook because everyone knew it would be a hit, Steve jobs invested in Pixar because he wanted to see the tech improve, same with Lucas and LucasArts.
No perv in silicon valley is going to invest the millions needed to improve the tech (especially on the software side) so deepfakes are going to be a 2030s-era problem on the rare shot it happened. for fucks sake the first 'digital actress' was created 20 years ago and that studio went bankrupt soon after, and she really doesn't look much better than the average chick in a SFM vid.
to put it in perspective, think about how much money it would cost to make a post-uncanny valley actor and get him to emote on par with oscar nominees, now realize Jonah Hill was paid the equivalent of $30/hr for the film he got an oscar nomination for, and most others in his field had similarly hilariously low pays, for their "best" performances.
TL;DR deepfake tech and AI tech aren't worth the research dollars and there aren't as many billionaires willing to bankroll pipe dreams anymore.
And that doesn't get into the fact that between the supply chain shortages and china's bullshit hardware improvements might be slowing down and coding ability is getting shittier and shittier every year.
Honestly you'll never have to worry about any AI beating the turing test as long as you don't consider any tranny as a human being (Let's face it any AI to come out of silicon valley will be forced to identify as a tranny, they'd rather retard their progression than let another Tay through)