I think there's plenty of evidence that can be used to conclusively tie not just Obama to this, but also Clapper, Bennan, Mueller, McCabe, Rosenstein, etc. I think the real question is not who, if anyone, will end up in cuffs/jail/dead over this, but the consequences either way of that decision. Keep in mind Obama and many of these people are dirty from other scandals, IRS targetting, Fast and Furious, Libya/Benghazi, ISIS. All kinds of shady highly illegal borderline treason shit that definitely 1000% happened without even invoking deeper lore like pedophilia rings.
For people who really care about politics and have followed Obama's constant illegal activity over the eight years he was in office there's a real idea that if he doesn't face real punishment for what is provably treason, and the first interruption of peaceful transfer of power over ~250 years (Assassination/JFK conspiracies aside) that would permanently ruin the legitimacy of the federal government in the eyes of the Republicans/Libertarians/Wignats/Paleocons/else. That's a huge risk for revolution in the near future. Those types overwhelmingly have guns, overwhelmingly already believe the Fed is hopelessly corrupted by traitors and sycophants, overwhelmingly already believe Obama violated the constitution, was potentially not even eligible for office, etc. There were already hints and whiffs three years ago that Obama was personally connected and personally knew, and any such evidence would in essence prove to like a third of the people in America that rule of law was murdered years ago, and only applies to them and not their enemies. If, for example, A D won by a slim margin in 2024 and there was enough bullshit like in Arizona in 2018 that could be enough to trigger serious accusations of rigging/cheating, that could be enough.
On the other side, you have the typical lefty types who completely and full believe whatever the MSM narrative is at the time, and will literally never ever believe Obama did anything wrong, let alone destroy the oldest peaceful transfer of power in history. They don't have as many arms, but they do have some and they're just as willing to use violence if not more so than the right. Even if Trump dumped Terrabytes of docs, including all the rumored shit like Frazzledrip, and had everyone involved on dozens or hundreds of videos it still wouldn't be enough for many. For many such leftists, they are permanently locked in an alternate reality. All such evidence is shooped or deepfakes or propaganda, and that's if they ever watch or read about those videos. That's probably another third of the country accounted for.
The last third are politically disengaged and only care about bread and circuses, and will follow whoever wins generally.
None of this accounts for idpol/racial tensions being possibly at their highest in 30, maybe 60 years with things like Jogger (Which by the way happened 2 months ago and is suddenly only now a big thing when all this declass and movement is happening :bigthunk

and WuFlu.
Trump really does have something of a Caesar moment on his hands. Ultimately, it's his choice on whether to collect everyone according to their crimes and rule of law, take the small fish and let the big ones go, the reverse, or let everyone go. and the consequences of this decision will probably make it the most important single decision of the century, if not the millennia. The question is actually then, "Does Trump poses the necessary Will to Power to use the levers of the state organs at his disposal as his enemy has in turn used them against him, and win a victory that will be remembered for 2000 years much like Caesar, or will he Cuck out, prove himself forever nothing more than Controlled Op/Chosenite Chancellor/Orange Buffoon/Preferred Pejorative and pave the way for someone more extreme to do it."
Hopefully the above summarizes the gravity of moment that this is. America is the world's only Hyperpower in an age of Globalization, one of only two nations with more than 300 nuclear warheads, and arguably the only nation in the world that could affect a Nuclear First Strike with success and without significant losses. It is a wholly unique government and people, the oldest government of it's type in the world, the spiritual successor of both the Roman Republic and Ionic Greece and Europe as a whole more broadly. It sits on probably the single most strategically valuable piece of land in the world, easily defensible and without a notable hole in natural resources, possessing one of the largest and most ideal food growing areas in the world in a time when farmland everywhere is shrinking and food security is becoming a real problem. If the Roman Republic becoming the Roman Empire had massive consequences for history, If the Protestant reformation had massive consequences for history, If The French Revolution and Napoleonic wars had massive consequences for history, If The World Wars had massive consequences for history, then what you are about to witness with your own eyes in the coming few weeks/months/years will dwarf all of the above by an order of magnitude. Trump, A frat boy turned real estate mogul turned reality TV star turned most powerful single man on earth ruling an empire whose power all the worlds conquerors would weep to command, is about to choose to cross the Rubicon or not, and his decision will echo through reality molding it for thousands of years to come, assuming we don't all die to nuclear hellfire/meteor strike/cthulu's displeasure somehow.
As Twatter Checkmarks would say,
Let that sink in. The most learned man from 200 years ago would have you put in an Asylum if you even
tried to convince him that this was reality. A Sentient Toupee saddled on an Orangecream Meat Popsicle is about to (or possibly already did) make the most momentous decision in world history. And you are living in the exact right moment to have a front row seat.
Man effortposting always makes me feel mega autistic. I'm gonna go do some other shit so I don't lose my mind staring into the Eldritch Horror simply known as Reality.