- Joined
- Sep 23, 2018
A throwaway joke on the main troon thread but after reading the Friedrick Knudsen thread I have a solid bet. So just reply to this thread any count of these categories.
All entries sent past 12h UTC January 1 2024 will be marked as 'gay' on the table
Multiple bets encouraged.
Prices? I don't know. Congratulations on the accuracy of your trooning radar.
Scoring / Awards at the bottom.
Leaderboard
50 points @2Lucille Austero
45 points @2SLGBQTIA+ 2 Furious
45 points @Neil
25 points @Kiislova
19 points @Flaming Dumpster
HRT Recruits
41% deadpool
Out of the cult
Scoring (WIP!)
For each cow on each category, points will be awarded in fixed amounts or depending on the number of people "n" that placed a bet on each cow for each category. This way outlandish but correct bets get greater rewards than safer bets. On the other hand, getting it wrong will deduct more points if the bet was considered 'safer'
If an achievement applies to more than one category, points are awarded up to thrice if you have bets on all categories.
TL;DR: "Out there" bets get big rewards when right and small to no penalties when wrong, "safe" bets are the opposite.
All entries sent past 12h UTC January 1 2024 will be marked as 'gay' on the table
Multiple bets encouraged.
- HRT recruits - Who will declare themselves trans / start hormones in 2024
- 41% Deadpool - Which person of gender will kill themselves in 2024
- Out of the cult - Which person of gender will declare themselves no longer trans during 2024
Prices? I don't know. Congratulations on the accuracy of your trooning radar.
Scoring / Awards at the bottom.
Leaderboard
50 points @2Lucille Austero
- Desmond Is Amazing (+50)
45 points @2SLGBQTIA+ 2 Furious
- F1NNSTER recruit (+25)
- Early bird (+20)
45 points @Neil
- F1NNSTER recruit (+25)
- Early bird (+20)
25 points @Kiislova
- Marcan recruit (+25)
19 points @Flaming Dumpster
- Marcan recruit
(+19)
HRT Recruits
| Cow | Bet |
| Andrew Tate 2 (+25/-1) | @Monolith, |
| @Safir - will become a contrarian trans rights defender, to max out woman-hating (but neither a troon nor a true chaser) | |
| Anisa 6 (+9/-2) | @Asian tech support, @Brain Power, @Izayoi_godtime , @Neil, @TEA 3HF, |
| @Black Hole Vacation - Enby route | |
| Arin Hanson 1 (+50/-1) | @Slideshow Bill , |
| Bella Ramsey 1 (+50/-1) | @2SLGBQTIA+ 2 Furious, |
| Big Yellow 4 (+13/-1) | @Black Hole Vacation, @Rose Lalonde, @UncleTusky, @an_ameri , |
| Billiam 2 (+25/-1) | @Aunt Carol , @Peaches the Wonder Cat , |
| Billy Joe Armstrong 1 (+50/-1) | @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , |
| Boogie2988 1 (+50/-1) | @Mojo Thief, |
| Caden Peck 1 (+50/-1) | @Safir, |
| Cathode Ray Dude 4 (+13/-1) | @Flaming Dumpster , @Q !!Hs1Jq13jV6, @Toolbox, |
| @Pee Cola - he'll announce his transition on his YT channel sometime before the end of 2024, earning plaudits and griftbux on the way. | |
| Chantal 2 (+25/-1) | @1440p Curved Monitor, @TEA 3HF, |
| Chibi 2 (+25/-1) | @AfroMegan, @Senior Frogmin, |
| Cinemasins 1 (+50/-1) | @Slideshow Bill , |
| Cyraxx 2 (+25/-1) | @GamerGateSurvivor, @TEA 3HF, |
| Daniel Howell 3 (+17/-1) | @2SLGBQTIA+ 2 Furious, @Pesadilla , @Soft Boiled Egg , |
| Daniel Larson 3 (+17/-1) | @Black Hole Vacation, @Black Man Underwear, |
| @Kela de Thaym - at the rate his trolls are going, it's only a matter of time before someone tricks him into a long MTF arc by saying that Grace Vanderwaal likes women or some horseshit like that | |
| David Hogg 1 (+50/-1) | @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , |
| Davit Tennant 1 (+50/-1) | @2SLGBQTIA+ 2 Furious, |
| Desmond Is Amazing 1 (+50/-1) | @Lucille Austero, |
| Donald Trump 1 (+50/-1) | @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , |
| Eddie Izzard 1 (+50/-1) | |
| @Avomacado - will fully change his name to Suzy Izzard, and drop the Eddie | |
| Egoraptor 5 (+10/-1) | @Exister, @Jacinthe, @Maniac Maniac, @Tony Hawk's Pro Skater, @Windows Error 98, |
| Ethan Ralph 2 (+25/-1) | @Bubble Ba'ath, |
| @Cringemaster Supreme - With ransom arc! | |
| Ezra Miller 1 (+50/-1) | @Black Hole Vacation, |
| F1NNSTER 2 (+25/-1) | @2SLGBQTIA+ 2 Furious, @Neil, |
| Fredrick Knudsen 12 (+5/-3) | @AfroMegan, @Bubble Ba'ath, @Chongqing, @DootSkeleton, @Faceless Whore, @Flaming Dumpster , @LordofCringe7206 Vol. 2 , @UncleTusky, @Whitney Houston On Crack, @toilet_rainbow, |
| @AMHOLIO - Becomes a troon, even if 'nonbinary' | |
| @Kiislova - Breakup with furry boyfriend, online meltdown, starts HRT and announces transtion on his main Youtube channel. Becomes exclusively a vtuber. | |
| Giggly Goonclown 2 (+25/-1) | @Flaming_Barghast , |
| @Aero the Alcoholic Bat - gets thrown into the slammer, he actually follows through completely with trooning out. HRT, mutilation, the whole shebang | |
| Gokanaru 1 (+50/-1) | @Exister, |
| Greta Thunberg 5 (+10/-1) | @Haram-Habibi , @moocow, |
| @KittyGremlin - She's going NB | |
| @Safir - will come out as nonbinary (c'mon Greta! do eeeeet!) | |
| @monstrous bubo - Will go NB | |
| Hbomberguy 3 (+17/-1) | @AfroMegan, @Jacinthe, @Urbicide, |
| Hotwheels 1 (+50/-1) | @LordofCringe7206 Vol. 2 , |
| Hunter Avalone 1 (+50/-1) | @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , |
| Idubbbz 20 (+3/-4) | @Asian tech support, @Bahnhader, @Black Hole Vacation, @Brain Power, @Dire Dire Cocks, @DoNotFeedTheSneed, @Exister, @Izayoi_godtime , @Kela de Thaym, @Lieutenant Rasczak, @Neil, @Rabbi Palpenstein, @Sinner's Sandwich, @TEA 3HF, |
| @A.P. Hill - Anus claims to be a supportive "lesbian" and then leaves him, tells the world how he "abused" her even during his soulless husk phase | |
| @Big Boss Nigger - Maybe not troon out but he might become nonbianry. | |
| @KittyGremlin - Probably gonna go the NB route for a few months just so that he can go back to the people rightfully calling him a retard as some sort of proof of his moral superiority. Or something. The mind of a midwit is something else | |
| @Seething Troon Collector - He'll do it for the internet fame, but also because Anisa could have been silently dosing him with estrogen to keep him cucked and pacified. I don't think he'll go full troon, but likely declare him some kind of otherkin enby faggot or something like that. | |
| @WingsOfTarkov - Anisa has been slowly eroding at his masculinity over the years, 2024 will be the point where he comes out as non binary or some shit. Anisa will ensure Ian takes his titty skittles daily | |
| @crinklefry - Anisa comes out as NB too | |
| Iiluminaughtii 1 (+50/-1) | @Jacinthe, |
| Illymations 3 (+17/-1) | @Black Yoshi, @Lieutenant Rasczak, @Urbicide, |
| Isabella Janke 1 (+50/-1) | @Black Hole Vacation, |
| Jack Monroe 1 (+50/-1) | @everybody in Portugal, |
| Jaiden Animations 6 (+9/-2) | @AfroMegan, @Bahnhader, @Exister, @Kari Kamiya, @Maniac Maniac, @Tony Hawk's Pro Skater, |
| James Charles 1 (+50/-1) | @Mariposa2.0 LTE, |
| Jase Cresswell 1 (+50/-1) | @Ted Kaczynski, |
| Jirard Khalil 1 (+50/-1) | @Computer Guardian, |
| Jocat 2 (+25/-1) | @Neko GF , @Tony Hawk's Pro Skater, |
| John Wolfe 2 (+25/-1) | @Pesadilla , @Sinner's Sandwich, |
| Jonathan Vanness 1 (+50/-1) | @Black Hole Vacation, |
| Justin Trudeau 1 (+50/-1) | @Haram-Habibi , |
| Karl (Mr. Beast) 1 (+50/-1) | @Bahnhader, |
| Kero The Wolf 4 (+13/-1) | @Bahnhader, @Couldn't find an username, @Neko GF , @TEA 3HF, |
| Kristen Stewart 4 (+13/-1) | @ASeabear8952 , @Mariposa2.0 LTE, @Safir , @Slideshow Bill , |
| Lee Pace 1 (+50/-1) | @Jacinthe, |
| Lewis Buchan 1 (+50/-1) | @Black Hole Vacation, |
| Lil Nas X 1 (+50/-1) | @Avomacado , |
| Linus Tech Tips 2 (+25/-1) | @Geranium, @Sketchy Minecraft Mod, |
| Madonna 1 (+50/-1) | |
| @Pube Dandruff - She will come out as a gay man in one last fame-hungry, packer-slinging bulge of glory before she succumbs to boneitis. The twist is instead of chopping the teats she'll have them enhanced | |
| MamaMax 1 (+50/-1) | @Computer Guardian, |
| Marcan 2 (+25/-1) | @Flaming Dumpster , |
| @Kiislova - Will mention kiwifarms within 24h of trooning out | |
| Matt Gray 1 (+50/-1) | @Aunt Carol, |
| Meghan Markle 1 (+50/-1) | @Haram-Habibi , |
| Michael Kovach 2 (+25/-1) | @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , @RobotGentleman , |
| Miley Cyrus 1 (+50/-1) | @Black Hole Vacation, |
| Moviebob 1 (+50/-1) | @Safir, |
| Nick Rekieta 1 (+50/-1) | @LOWERCASE LETTERS, |
| Nikocado Avocado 1 (+50/-1) | @Sketchy Minecraft Mod, |
| Null 1 (+50/-1) | @doodoocaca, |
| Onision 1 (+50/-1) | @Sketchy Minecraft Mod, |
| PaleoSteno 1 (+50/-1) | @ASeabear8952 , |
| ParagonX9 1 (+50/-1) | @Spob, |
| Patrick Tomlison 1 (+50/-1) | |
| @A.P. Hill - trooning out after Nikki leaves him would be funny in a horrifying way | |
| Philomena Young 1 (+50/-1) | @Safir, |
| Plagued Moth 2 (+25/-1) | @ASeabear8952, @Exister, |
| Prince Harry 1 (+50/-1) | @Haram-Habibi , |
| Quinton Reviews 1 (+50/-1) | @Geoform 187, |
| Respectful Memes 1 (+50/-1) | |
| @Kiislova - expect a combined troonout and face/skirt reveal post on the account itself | |
| Rin Penrose 1 (+50/-1) | @Spob , |
| Rob McElhenny 1 (+50/-1) | @Iron Jaguar , |
| Saberspark 1 (+50/-1) | @Slideshow Bill , |
| Sam Smith 2 (+25/-1) | @Avomacado , @Black Hole Vacation, |
| Sander 1 (+50/-1) | @Flaming Park , |
| Shane Dawson 1 (+50/-1) | @Jacques1194, |
| Short Fat Otaku 1 (+50/-1) | @Radola Gajda, |
| SwiftOnSecurity 1 (+50/-1) | |
| @Safir - will troon out and take the name Jessica | |
| Taylor Lorenz 2 (+25/-1) | |
| @Peaches the Wonder Cat - I don't think she'll put much effort into it, she'll just claim "I'm trans!" one day and get a short haircut. | |
| @Safir - will come out as some sort of "queer" "femme" | |
| Technology Connections 7 (+8/-2) | @1440p Curved Monitor, @Flaming Dumpster , @IsaacShraeder, @Pizza Time, @Seething Troon Collector, @TORtlEMUStRaNSUS , @Whitney Houston On Crack, |
| Thew Adams 1 (+50/-1) | @GilaCutter , |
| Tom King 1 (+50/-1) | @Clyde Cash's Left Teste , |
| Vito 1 (+50/-1) | |
| @Asian tech support - he might just do the non-binary thing fat fucks like Sterling do. | |
| Vivziepop 2 (+25/-1) | @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , |
| @Kiislova - Going they/them she/her enby with zero effort, as to get some cancellation shielding | |
| YMS 1 (+50/-1) | @Chongqing, |
| Yanderedev 2 (+25/-1) | @Pierre D'Olnique, @jasmi , |
41% deadpool
| Cow | Bet |
| (None) 1 (+50/-1) | |
| @Dagoth AMOGUS - Is that an option in the betting pool? (OP: Yes) | |
| Bella Ramsey 1 (+50/-1) | @2SLGBQTIA+ 2 Furious, |
| BlueFolf 2 (+25/-1) | @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , @Couldn't find an username, |
| Bobposting 1 (+50/-1) | @Maniac Maniac, |
| Chris-Chan 1 (+50/-1) | @AfroMegan, |
| Cyraxx 1 (+50/-1) | @TEA 3HF, |
| Digibro 1 (+50/-1) | @Kari Kamiya, |
| Dylan Mulvaney 3 (+17/-1) | @Slideshow Bill , |
| @Monolith - put me down for 41%, after managing to destroy yet another brand and getting shat on even by other trannies | |
| @Pee Cola - Dylan's star is fading because he's yesterday's hero. An even more obnoxious troon will be astroturfed to the top of the social media heap. Being the attention whore he is, Dylan will struggle with the sudden loss of fame and turn to hard drugs. Either an accidental overdose or an "accidental" overdose, depending on whether he has any information that his handlers don't want him to have. | |
| Ellen Page 25 (+2/-5) | @2SLGBQTIA+ 2 Furious, @AGP, @AfroMegan, @Black Man Underwear, @Faceless Whore, @Flaming Dumpster , @Geoform 187, @Geranium, @Lucille Austero, @Monolith, @Neil, @Pesadilla , @Rabbi Palpenstein, @Sinner's Sandwich, @Slideshow Bill , @Team TERF, @UncleTusky, @everybody in Portugal, @fake farts, @toilet_rainbow, |
| @DootSkeleton - Failed attemp (OP: Very womanly) | |
| @Haram-Habibi - Fent overdose | |
| @KittyGremlin - Will try, botch it, and end in an hospital or something | |
| @Tragi-Chan - I reckon she’ll go enby. | |
| @Urbicide - Will be an "accidental" overdose. | |
| Elliot William Fong 1 (+50/-1) | @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , |
| Elphaba 1 (+50/-1) | @Black Hole Vacation, |
| Erin Reed 2 (+25/-1) | @AMHOLIO, |
| @Geranium - A murder-suicide as the tension builds before their prison-gay wedding. | |
| Ezra Miller 2 (+25/-1) | @2SLGBQTIA+ 2 Furious, |
| @Karl Hungus - In his case I feel like it would be more along the lines of him having a nuclear level chimpout in a public place and meeting the business end of a cop’s gun. | |
| Giggly Goonclown 5 (+10/-1) | @2SLGBQTIA+ 2 Furious, @DoNotFeedTheSneed, |
| @Bahnhader - If arrested | |
| @Black Hole Vacation - either he's gonna realise that his life is permanently ruined or he's going to be prosecuted and kill himself rather than face prison | |
| @Lieutenant Rasczak - I could see killing himself after getting cornered by law enforcement but that's a very optimistic outlook. | |
| Idubbbz 1 (+50/-1) | @Asian tech support, |
| Jack Green 1 (+50/-1) | |
| @Geranium - Flailing around trying to find his calling in life. I don’t think it’ll take much to push him over the edge | |
| Jackie Greene 1 (+50/-1) | @Sinner's Sandwich, |
| Jazz Jennings 21 (+3/-5) | @1440p Curved Monitor, @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , @Big Boss Nigger, @DootSkeleton, @Flaming Dumpster , @GenderCop, @Jacinthe, @Lieutenant Rasczak, @Lucille Austero, @Mojo Thief, @Sinner's Sandwich, @Sketchy Minecraft Mod, @UncleTusky, @Urbicide, @everybody in Portugal, @toilet_rainbow, |
| @Kela de Thaym - TLC, and the media will try to memory hole as swiftly as possible, because it would deal a huge blow to the "trans healthcare for kids is life saving care" ideology. | |
| @No Batty Boys in Jamaica - detrans or NB then 41% | |
| @Peaches the Wonder Cat - You can see it in his eyes. Somehow No-Dong Jones will blame it on KF. | |
| @Slideshow Bill - does it count if health related issues get him first? (yes) | |
| @monstrous bubo - His mother will blame everyone but herself | |
| Jessica Yaniv 1 (+50/-1) | @Haram-Habibi , |
| Jim Sterling 4 (+13/-1) | @Pierre D'Olnique, @UncleTusky, |
| @Izayoi_godtime - Heart attack | |
| @KittyGremlin - Failed suicide attempt | |
Keffals 38 (+2/- | @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , @AfroMegan, @Bahnhader, @Chongqing, @Exister, @Faceless Whore, @Flaming Dumpster , @Izayoi_godtime , @Jacinthe, @KittyGremlin, @Lieutenant Rasczak, @LordofCringe7206 Vol. 2 , @Mariposa2.0 LTE, @Rabbi Palpenstein, @Seething Troon Collector, @TEA 3HF, @The Mass Shooter Ron Soye, @Tony Hawk's Pro Skater, @UncleTusky, @Urbicide, @crinklefry, @fake farts, @jasmi , @moocow, |
| @Black Hole Vacation - Accidental OD | |
| @Brain Power - Blaming it all on le heckin' ebil KF of course. | |
| @Bubble Ba'ath - will either detransition in the quest for attention or kill xhirself in a quest for attention. | |
| @Dire Dire Cocks - After having some other racist controversy | |
| @DootSkeleton - Accidental | |
| @GamerGateSurvivor - He'll likely OD and it'll get blamed on us. | |
| @GenderCop - and he will leave some crybaby note blaming the farms | |
| @IsaacShraeder - perhaps not "intentionally", but through an accidental overdose or something else degenerate druggie troon related. In any case it will be portrayed as a lynching by a KKKF death squad | |
| @LikeAStone 2.0 - Will OD in 2024 | |
| @Neil - constantly chasing the same fame high he felt during DropKF until he overdoses and dies as a footnote on KF's Wikipedia page, the final sum of his life being that he was used as a pawn in Elliot Fong Jones in his eternal war to slander and defame KF in the hopes of giving himself the power to destroy parts of the internet he dislikes. | |
| @Neko GF - Overdoses during a mental health break | |
| @Sketchy Minecraft Mod - Drug overdose or 'depression' | |
| @Tragi-Chan - probably by accident while off his moobs on drugs. | |
| @TyrasGuard - $75 donation on MATI and an IRL Tyras Guard cosplay for my PFP | |
| Kevin Gibes 1 (+50/-1) | @Sinner's Sandwich, |
| Kim Petras 1 (+50/-1) | @Sinner's Sandwich, |
| Liz Fong Jones 8 (+7/-2) | @Bahnhader, @Sketchy Minecraft Mod, @TEA 3HF, |
| @A.P. Hill - Loses court battle, has to pay Null, offs self | |
| @Brain Power - Blaming it all on le heckin' ebil KF of course. | |
| @Computer Guardian - his attempts to adopt a child fails after honeycomb goes under, or as his "Final Solution" by trying to smear KF as much as he can in the suicide note [...] in order to reignite the drive to kill the site and also avoid the consequences of his consent accident ethier way | |
| @Faceless Whore - Forced to sue Jersh, faced with scrutiny, offs himself | |
| @Mojo Thief - LFJ will commit die (or just as likely fake it like byuu) and publicly blame it on the Farms. | |
| Marcan 1 (+50/-1) | @Flaming Dumpster , |
| Micah Martin 1 (+50/-1) | |
| @A.P. Hill - Heart attack | |
| Narcissa Wright 5 (+10/-1) | @KittyGremlin, @Tony Hawk's Pro Skater, @moocow, @toilet_rainbow, |
| @AMHOLIO - Troons die when ignored | |
| Penny 1 (+50/-1) | @Flaming Park , |
| Pixyteri 4 (+13/-1) | @Sketchy Minecraft Mod, @toilet_rainbow, |
| @Safir - Death from preventable causes | |
| @crinklefry - would not be surprised if she killed herself this year, purposefully or accidentally | |
| Riley Dennis 1 (+50/-1) | @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , |
| SonicFox 1 (+50/-1) | @TEA 3HF, |
| Zach Raasch 2 (+25/-1) | @AMHOLIO, |
| @Geranium - A murder-suicide as the tension builds before their prison-gay wedding. | |
| Zinnia Jones 1 (+50/-1) | @Geoform 187, |
| Zoe Quinn 1 (+50/-1) | @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , |
Out of the cult
| Cow | Bet |
| Becky Gerber 1 (+50/-1) | |
| @unexpected onions - She'll quietly stop pretending to be trans and focuses on being a munchie momma instead | |
| Bella Ramsey 1 (+50/-1) | @2SLGBQTIA+ 2 Furious, |
| Blaire White 3 (+17/-1) | @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , @Slideshow Bill , @Team TERF, |
| Bruce Jenner 6 (+9/-2) | @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , @Lucille Austero, @Pesadilla , @Sketchy Minecraft Mod, @Team TERF, @Tony Hawk's Pro Skater, |
| Chris-Chan 2 (+25/-1) | @Jacinthe, @UncleTusky, |
| Contrapoints 2 (+25/-1) | @KittyGremlin, |
| @AMHOLIO - I think he might not detransition, but instead just say some anti-trans talking points and stay in limbo | |
| Dave Muscatto 1 (+50/-1) | @Sapphixys Shitty Panties , |
| Demi Lovato 2 (+25/-1) | @DootSkeleton, @Team TERF, |
| Dylan Mulvaney 19 (+3/-4) | @Black Man Underwear, @DoNotFeedTheSneed, @Flaming Dumpster , @Geoform 187, @Geranium, @Lieutenant Rasczak, @Sketchy Minecraft Mod, @UncleTusky, @everybody in Portugal, |
| @Black Hole Vacation - Put me down for Dylan Mulvaney, but I'd honestly expect him to be 2025 as he might be called upon to grift for the Dems again | |
| @Couldn't find an username - Will start identifying as he/they | |
| @Haram-Habibi - Goes NB, Writes a book. | |
| @Jacques1194 - Will go Enby and no TRA would dare question him otherwise "transphobia" | |
| @Kela de Thaym - Dylan will drop the whole "Days of Girlhood" act and turn to grifting to the detransition movement by claiming the whole thing was an Andy Kaufmann-esque performance art joke. | |
| @Maniac Maniac - He will go the NB route | |
| @Mojo Thief - Dylan Mulvaney will revert back to being a run-of-the-mill faggot and run off with the millions he grifted to the Caribbean or something. | |
| @Peaches the Wonder Cat - he'll start grifting from faggots and the detransition movement next. | |
| @Seething Troon Collector - Once he's back, he'll be ready to work the other side of the hustle and attempt to placate the detrans crowd for even more grift dollars. Either that or he just absconds with all the money and we never hear from him again. | |
| @Tragi-Chan - I reckon he’ll quietly start calling himself a drag queen. | |
| Ellen Page 5 (+10/-1) | @Brain Power, @GamerGateSurvivor, @Kari Kamiya, @Neko GF , @moocow, |
| Jazz Jennings 7 (+8/-2) | @AMHOLIO, @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , @Bahnhader, @GenderCop, @Geranium, @Monolith, @No Batty Boys in Jamaica , |
| Jessica Alves 1 (+50/-1) | |
| @Haram-Habibi - Will probably ID as a space alien | |
| Jim Sterling 2 (+25/-1) | @LordofCringe7206 Vol. 2 , @Pierre D'Olnique, |
| Keffals 7 (+8/-2) | @Geranium, @Lieutenant Rasczak, @TEA 3HF, |
| @Bubble Ba'ath - will either detransition in the quest for attention or kill xhirself in a quest for attention | |
| @Kela de Thaym - she'll detransition and go the way of former SJW grifters and embrace being a far-right shitlord grifter who makes the heroin money grifting from that | |
| @Pee Cola - Keffals will announce his detransition. Whether or not he goes through with it is another story. Even if he doesn't uninstall his moobs, he'll be pushed into a purgatory where he's neither one thing or another, so he'll be as good as detransitioned. Frontrunner for 41% in 2025. | |
| @Rabbi Palpenstein - I think he'll reach a point where he realizes "fuck, Null is right, it's actually just a fetish and i've ruined my fucking life for the sake of getting my dick hard" | |
| Liz Fong Jones 1 (+50/-1) | @Jacinthe, |
| Lou Gagliardi 1 (+50/-1) | |
| @Kela de Thaym - If public opinions finally go full sour on the trans movement in 2024, he'll attempt to grift money from the detrans movement | |
| Mallory Ortberg 2 (+25/-1) | @UncleTusky, |
| @Pube Dandruff - will divorce, detransition, become creatively reinvigorated, reconscile with her [blood] family and ascend to TERF royalty | |
| Melissa Hadjicostas 1 (+50/-1) | @A.P. Hill, |
| Milo Stewart 3 (+17/-1) | @KittyGremlin, @crinklefry, @toilet_rainbow, |
| Morgane Oger 1 (+50/-1) | @Haram-Habibi , |
| Narcissa Wright 2 (+25/-1) | @KittyGremlin, @jasmi , |
| Patty Locke 1 (+50/-1) | @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , |
| Penny 1 (+50/-1) | |
| @Asian tech support - He'll kick Shiteater Jen and Kevin to the street and we'll never hear from him again | |
| Philosophy Tube 1 (+50/-1) | |
| @The Skeksis Emperor - He's already bored of it and doing less work for his womanface. He'll probably first go non-binary though. | |
| Plagued Moth 1 (+50/-1) | @AMHOLIO, |
| Riley Dennis 1 (+50/-1) | @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , |
| Sam Smith 2 (+25/-1) | @2SLGBQTIA+ 2 Furious, @DootSkeleton, |
| Transethics 1 (+50/-1) | |
| @Chongqing - he'll blame transphobia as the reason | |
| Zoe Quinn 1 (+50/-1) | @Aero the Alcoholic Bat , |
| Zoe Zephir 1 (+50/-1) | @Flaming Park , |
Scoring (WIP!)
For each cow on each category, points will be awarded in fixed amounts or depending on the number of people "n" that placed a bet on each cow for each category. This way outlandish but correct bets get greater rewards than safer bets. On the other hand, getting it wrong will deduct more points if the bet was considered 'safer'
If an achievement applies to more than one category, points are awarded up to thrice if you have bets on all categories.
| Award | What | Score |
| Bingo! | Placing a bet and getting it RIGHT! (round up!) | 50/n |
| Almost! | Half points if a suicide attempt or a coma | 50/2n |
| Late and gay | Previous 2 entries gets this penalty if bet placed after January 1st; Rounded up. | -75% |
| Fail... | Placing a bet and getting it WRONG! (round towards 0) | -n/5 |
| Educated guess | Extra details on your bet more or less match the result | 5 |
| Nostradamus | Nailed the details | 10 |
| Hat trick | Won at least one bet on every category | 10 |
| Dissident | Won a bet on 41%/OOTC against at least 5:1 opposition | 10 |
| Crowd stupidity | placed the most popular bet, and lost | -5 |
| Speedrun | A cow completes all three stages within the year | 20 |
| ??? | (Suggest more gay shit please...) | ? |
TL;DR: "Out there" bets get big rewards when right and small to no penalties when wrong, "safe" bets are the opposite.
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