MASSIVE Erection Thread 2016 - Lizard has the advantage. Trump is spiraling towards defeat.

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All discussion of the candidates, updates and results should go here

For example- here's a video of Ted Cruz vying for world domination.


Also Hilary Clinton is a crook and nobody should have sex with her.

Discuss

(Note- The title will change as we get nearer the election, previous titles will be archived in the OP)
 
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The point is it's in portland, everyone is going to vote for Hillary anyway but no one is enthusiastic enough to bother advertising.
 
Gloria Allred is hosting a press conference for one of Trump's accusers. This could result in a discovery process which reveals several Apprentice tapes, the elephant in the room being the possibility that the much-ballyhooed "N-word Tape" finally leaks.
 
The date is December 2015. You're a high-level Clinton staffer whose job is to do oppo research on Trump. You discover numerous groping allegations coupled with damning interview excerpts and news clippings. You track down a couple of women involved who confirm the stories to you. Do you:
A) Publish the story immediately, torpedoing his candidacy and setting up a GE opponent more popular than him and without a damaging scandal?
B) Publish in spring or mid summer when nobody is paying attention and the race has lots of time to shift?
C) Publish in October, when it's too late to switch candidates or lose the story in the news shuffle, but early enough to impact early voters?

Politics ain't beanbag.
 
KatsuKitty said:
Gloria Allred is hosting a press conference for one of Trump's accusers. This could result in a discovery process which reveals several Apprentice tapes, the elephant in the room being the possibility that the much-ballyhooed "N-word Tape" finally leaks.
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If they release a video of Trump calling someone a nigger the "I told you sos" are going to be off the charts.
 
The Great Goatse said:
The date is December 2015. You're a high-level Clinton staffer whose job is to do oppo research on Trump. You discover numerous groping allegations coupled with damning interview excerpts and news clippings. You track down a couple of women involved who confirm the stories to you. Do you:
A) Publish the story immediately, torpedoing his candidacy and setting up a GE opponent more popular than him and without a damaging scandal?
B) Publish in spring or mid summer when nobody is paying attention and the race has lots of time to shift?
C) Publish in October, when it's too late to switch candidates or lose the story in the news shuffle, but early enough to impact early voters?

Politics ain't beanbag.
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My question is, what the fuck were Republican opposition researchers doing in the primaries? Jeb spent 120 million for nothing when apparently there was a goldmine of lewdness and other despicabilities I shan't mention, but really it's just a flying shame. The only explanation is widespread incompetence. It's a good thing Trump has made most of these people worthless now, good luck to anyone involved in the stuttering catastrophe that was Jeb! 2016.

Actually that's not entirely true, because I do hear that Jeb wants to run in 2020. One last ride. God help us all.
 
Tranhuviya said:
This seems planned, but not faked.
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yeah Im getting a sense that the accusations are legitimate but they're been organised and dropped to give maximum impact.

I should feel bad for trump as he's about to get mulched by Clinton's mad media skills but he's right fucking arrogant shit and he's had it coming. Why would trump run for president when he has this many radioactive skeletons in the closet?
 
Ass Manager 3000 said:
yeah Im getting a sense that the accusations are legitimate but they're been organised and dropped to give maximum impact.

I should feel bad for trump as he's about to get mulched by Clinton's mad media skills but he's right fucking arrogant shit and he's had it coming. Why would trump run for president when he has this many radioactive skeletons in the closet?
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The Clinton campaign's totally milking it, but I don't think this is planned. I think what happened is the Trump bus tape dropped and then the media followed up on it. In the process they stumbled upon all these women. There's also a Cosby effect happening. One person comes out, then another does, then another, then another...
 
feedtheoctopus said:
The Clinton campaign's totally milking it, but I don't think this is planned. I think what happened is the Trump bus tape dropped and then the media followed up on it. In the process they stumbled upon all these women. There's also a Cosby effect happening. One person comes out, then another does, then another, then another...
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He's still probably going to win.
 
TrippinKahlua said:
Why are they doing it now instead of a whole year before like with Herman Cain? That's what I would like to know...
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Because they got paid to do it now, lol. I'm even not sure that half of Bill Syphilis Clinton's escapades were just "any publicity is better than non" type of stuff and he is like real life Quagmire.
 
Trump cannot win the election at this point, if you're going by polls. Weak turnout may result in a "Brexit effect" but this is unlikely.

However, I still believe Trump will be given the presidency without winning the election. How does this happen? Nobody gets the required majority of electorates.

Trump has one realistic path to the presidency at this point: Throwing the election to the House. If Evan McMullin spoils Utah (and it's really looking like he will at this point), the election gets thrown to the House. The only outcome in the GOP-majority House that seemingly respects voter choice, is picking Trump.

This election goes to the House, and Trump "wins". This is indisputable.

If they pick McMullin (a registered Republican), they will catch insane constituent blowback for not respecting voter choice. This is the outcome I'm currently predicting. Trump will lose the election, but will be handed the presidency by the House. This is going to be a very unpopular move that will highly mobilise Democrats in the next midterm election.
 
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The Great Goatse said:
The date is December 2015. You're a high-level Clinton staffer whose job is to do oppo research on Trump. You discover numerous groping allegations coupled with damning interview excerpts and news clippings. You track down a couple of women involved who confirm the stories to you. Do you:
A) Publish the story immediately, torpedoing his candidacy and setting up a GE opponent more popular than him and without a damaging scandal?
B) Publish in spring or mid summer when nobody is paying attention and the race has lots of time to shift?
C) Publish in October, when it's too late to switch candidates or lose the story in the news shuffle, but early enough to impact early voters?

Politics ain't beanbag.
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Aside from Hanlon's razor, the only flaw there is that everyone was certain trump would never get the nomination, even more certain than sanders. And while I can see the dems deciding that they have nothing to lose - either he doesn't get the nomination and the info is unnecessary, or he does and you can hold on to it for October - if he didn't get the nomination this time he would have 4 more years to campaign for 2020, during which time people on both sides would be digging up everything they could find and they would have a lot less control over when it was released. If this shit was discovered by someone else in 2017 it would have dick all impact on 2020, while his support would only increase. Considering how insistent everyone was that he wouldn't get the nomination, it seems like a pretty big gamble.
 
KatsuKitty said:
Trump cannot win the election at this point, if you're going by polls. Weak turnout may result in a "Brexit effect" but this is unlikely.

However, I still believe Trump will be given the presidency without winning the election. How does this happen? Nobody gets the required majority of electorates.

Trump has one realistic path to the presidency at this point: Throwing the election to the House. If Evan McMullin spoils Utah (and it's really looking like he will at this point), the election gets thrown to the House. The only outcome in the GOP-majority House that seemingly respects voter choice, is picking Trump.

This election goes to the House, and Trump "wins". This is indisputable.

If they pick McMullin (a registered Republican), they will catch insane constituent blowback for not respecting voter choice. This is the outcome I'm currently predicting. Trump will lose the election, but will be handed the presidency by the House. This is going to be a very unpopular move that will highly mobilise Democrats in the next midterm election.
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What kind of an ass-backward system is that? I thought America was a democracy.
 
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