MASSIVE Erection Thread 2016 - Lizard has the advantage. Trump is spiraling towards defeat.

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All discussion of the candidates, updates and results should go here

For example- here's a video of Ted Cruz vying for world domination.


Also Hilary Clinton is a crook and nobody should have sex with her.

Discuss

(Note- The title will change as we get nearer the election, previous titles will be archived in the OP)
 
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The Green Party convention starts tomorrow, for all you hippies out there.

This mentally-spastic Black supremacist has promised to make a scene because she didn't win, so if we're lucky there may be some parts of the convention worth watching.
 
Hat said:
The Green Party convention starts tomorrow, for all you hippies out there.

This mentally-spastic Black supremacist has promised to make a scene because she didn't win, so if we're lucky there may be some parts of the convention worth watching.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=bCgblko7X3I
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The modern Green party isn't even the one that welcomes the cool hippies. Its a bunch of city councilmen trying to play with the big boys without any grassroots. (Oh the irony)
 
Hat said:
The Green Party convention starts tomorrow, for all you hippies out there.

This mentally-spastic Black supremacist has promised to make a scene because she didn't win, so if we're lucky there may be some parts of the convention worth watching.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=bCgblko7X3I
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That image looks like the middle of an SNL sketch.
 
feedtheoctopus said:
Clint Eastwood also once talked to a chair for ten minutes
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Be careful octopus, that man is a national treasure.

Also, appearently Trump blasted a fire marshall for not letting his rally turn into a fire hazard and openly accused him of being a democrat.
Well guess what? I turns out that his campaign knew in advance the venue was at a limited when they booked it.

In other news Dr.Ben Carson is either (still) proving even a doctor can be dumb as hell, or he is seeing something that isn't there.
 
muina said:
what's wrong with apologizing
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Nothing wrong with apologizing when you fuck up. Problem is that Carson sounds less like a peacemaker and more like he has Stockholm's syndrome. Because of all the people who should know better than to expect remorse from Trump, its Ben Carson.

When asked if he regretted his remarks, Trump told WJLA's Scott Thurman, "I don't regret anything."
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muina said:
what's wrong with apologizing
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Dumb people view it as admitting some kind of weakness ever to admit being wrong about anything, even if it's completely obvious.
 
According to the Primary Model, which predicts the general election winner based on how well they did in the early primaries, Trump has an 87% chance of winning, and any other Republican would have been schlonged if they had gotten the nomination. Their model has predicted every election correctly since they started in 1996, and applied retroactively to every election since 1912, it only predicted incorrectly in 1960.

http://constitution.com/latest-poll...-certainty-trump-winning-election-87-percent/
http://primarymodel.com/

America's going to be made great again!
 
Jon-Kacho said:
According to the Primary Model, which predicts the general election winner based on how well they did in the early primaries, Trump has an 87% chance of winning, and any other Republican would have been schlonged if they had gotten the nomination. Their model has predicted every election correctly since they started in 1996, and applied retroactively to every election since 1912, it only predicted incorrectly in 1960.

http://constitution.com/latest-poll...-certainty-trump-winning-election-87-percent/
http://primarymodel.com/

America's going to be made great again!
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Meanwhile in Reality:

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And all of this...before the debates :story:
 
Jon-Kacho said:
According to the Primary Model, which predicts the general election winner based on how well they did in the early primaries, Trump has an 87% chance of winning, and any other Republican would have been schlonged if they had gotten the nomination. Their model has predicted every election correctly since they started in 1996, and applied retroactively to every election since 1912, it only predicted incorrectly in 1960.

http://constitution.com/latest-poll...-certainty-trump-winning-election-87-percent/
http://primarymodel.com/

America's going to be made great again!
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>no economic factors applied in the calculation
>no reason given to explain values picked for the incumbents who's primaries were unopposed
>predicted a statistical tie between Obama and McCain, Obama edged 7% ahead of McCain in popular vote alone and schlonged him in the electorial votes
>entire model would show exponential decay of correlation between voters and paries as you go back
>doesn't factor glaring differences between the average candidate and current ones.
I could throw a TI-83 down some stairs and get data just as statistically significant as this model. That model doesn't even consider the fact that technology and populations have rapidly changed at an accelerating rate.

Also, helps if Trump would stop pissing off certain groups in battleground states, especially one where he insulted their capital a day after rallying there.

Then again, he doesn't seem to give a shit with things like swing states, why else would he be in a state that Obama won by 15% last time, and hasn't got red since 1988?

He just isn't grasping the concept of PR is he? He doesn't think anyone is going to spin this shit? Maybe he is actually retarded then.
http://www.post-gazette.com/news/po...oice-support-for-Clinton/stories/201608040098
 
Honestly these 80-70% to one sides I think are propaganda from the parties.

I except Crooked Hillary to win (maybe with a bit of cheating) with around 60-40 best. She will win, but not by much I think, unless something huge happens of course. Doom it will be for Europe.
 
Male Idiot said:
Honestly these 80-70% to one sides I think are propaganda from the parties.

I except Crooked Hillary to win (maybe with a bit of cheating) with around 60-40 best. She will win, but not by much I think, unless something huge happens of course. Doom it will be for Europe.
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I think the popular vote will be slight but the electoral count will be a landslide.
 
Male Idiot said:
Honestly these 80-70% to one sides I think are propaganda from the parties.

I except Crooked Hillary to win (maybe with a bit of cheating) with around 60-40 best. She will win, but not by much I think, unless something huge happens of course. Doom it will be for Europe.
Click to expand...

On the other hand see probably won't nuke your country because she won't listen to anyone who tries to tell her it isn't Iran...
 
I'll hedge my bets until it's actually over. 2016, more often than not, has been a year impervious to reality.

That said, Trump's not going to win because he has a better strategy or can outsmart Clinton. His only hope is that he's running against Hillary Clinton.
 
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