MASSIVE Erection Thread 2016 - Lizard has the advantage. Trump is spiraling towards defeat.

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All discussion of the candidates, updates and results should go here

For example- here's a video of Ted Cruz vying for world domination.


Also Hilary Clinton is a crook and nobody should have sex with her.

Discuss

(Note- The title will change as we get nearer the election, previous titles will be archived in the OP)
 
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Xarpho said:
Wait, why do Hillary and Sanders get to split delegates, but Trump and Kasich get nothing?
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Differing rules set for the different parties. All Democratic primaries and caucuses are proportional, whereas there is more variety in the GOP ones, with a lot of winner-take-all primaries near the end.
 
Kissing babies is one of the corniest political cliches ever. Why was that even a thing in the first place? Don't kiss my baby. Go kiss someone else.
 
It's (finally) the end for Donald Trump. And the party as a whole. He just couldn't survive three attacks against women in a row.

A brokered convention is now 100% assured, and the GOP is going to fucking implode after they nominate someone who never even ran.
 
Dudeofteenage said:
They've been claiming that since Iowa
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As far as I can tell, it's at least partly true. Cruz is a slimeball. But I wish him luck on his bullshit lawsuit threats.

Trump has a long history of empty threats like this, and even threatened to sue Bill Maher for demanding his birth certificate to prove he wasn't sired by an orangutan in the Brooklyn Zoo (he still hasn't proved he wasn't). Maher laughed at his threats, and so should Cruz.
 
What may seem inevitable now may not quite be.

Hyperion said:
Donald Trump: We're going to have a big surprise in Wisconsin

Yeah you sure did Donny boy
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STREISAND ALERT! STREISAND ALERT!

Besides, Cruz, even with this new win of his, is still mathematically not possible to just get enough delegates.

Wish I wasnt so busy right now IRL, so i can study shit better.
 
The birth certificate threat has some credibility, since Cruz was born in Canada. It would at the very least make every birther look like a complete hypocrite.

For the Republican nomination, it takes 1,237 delegates to win. Right now, there are 769 left and Cruz has 517. So, Cruz would need 720 of those delegates to win. However, some states (NY, Conn. RI, Oregon, Wash. NM), award delegates proportionally instead of winner-take-all, so he won’t get every delegate there. Cruz may be able to convince Rubio or Kasich to pledge their delegates (171 and 143 respectively) to him, which would go a long way in helping.

Thing is, up until recently, Cruz was the most hated man in the senate. He’s widely considered responsible for shutting down the government a couple of years back, and he has bragged about it, which would certainly be an issue in the general election. He’s only still in the race because a Cruz nomination would be a slightly less bitter pill to swallow than a Trump nomination.
 
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Election Related news

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/glenn-grothman-voter-id-helps-gop#
GOP Rep.: Wisconsin Voter ID Law Will Help Republicans In General Election
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A Republican congressman on Tuesday night acknowledged that the new law requiring a photo ID to vote in Wisconsin could help Republican candidates at the polls in the general election.
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"I think Hillary Clinton is about the weakest candidate the Democrats have ever put up. And now we have photo ID, and I think photo ID is going to make a little bit of a difference as well," Rep. Glenn Grothman (R-WI), a supporter of Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), told Milwaukee television station TMJ4 when asked how either Cruz or Donald Trump could win in November.

The chair of Wisconsin's Democratic party, Martha Laning, quickly bashed Grothman's comment.
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I like how brazen they've become about it.


Also 538 is predicting ted cruz will be the republican nominee

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features...an-would-probably-win-a-contested-convention/
Ted Cruz, Not Paul Ryan, Would Probably Win A Contested Convention
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We know that Cruz is likely to do well among delegates chosen through state and local conventions because we’ve seen that demonstrated quite a few times already. This is most obvious in the three states — Colorado, Wyoming and North Dakota — where there was no presidential preference vote. Cruz won nine of the 12 delegates chosen at county conventions in Wyoming (Trump won one), and Cruz has gotten six of six picked so far at congressional district conventions in Colorado (more Colorado congressional districts will choose their delegates this week). In North Dakota, delegates are technically unbound, but Cruz got a highly favorable slate of delegates approved at the state convention on Sunday; only one or two delegates of the 25 chosen appear favorably disposed to Trump.

Cruz has also gotten good results at state and local conventions in states that do hold a presidential preference vote. In fact, considering thatrelatively few states have completed their convention process, it’s remarkable how many examples you can find of Cruz cleaning Trump’s clock: for example, in Arizona, Georgia, Louisiana, South Carolina andSouth Dakota. It’s possible that Trump will improve his delegate-selection efforts in subsequent states, and with his chance of winning the GOP nomination down to 49 percent at prediction markets, he’s become a tempting buy-low opportunity. But in terms of delegate selection, Trump has nowhere to go but up, making it more essential for him to win 1,237 delegates by California or come very close to it.
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(there's more in the link)
 
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AnOminous said:
As far as I can tell, it's at least partly true. Cruz is a slimeball.
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Yeah, it is. That mailer that targeted Ben Carson voters was a low blow. Cruz has a really efficient ground game, but a lot of its efficiency is down to morally dubious stuff. However, let's not pretend Trump has the high ground. The only reason the Trump campaign doesn't do this kind of thing is that they're not organised enough.

I understand people who are turned off by Cruz's campaigning, but I hope nobody's voting for Trump as an antidote to it.
 
Ass Manager 3000 said:
Also 538 is predicting ted cruz will be the republican nominee

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features...an-would-probably-win-a-contested-convention/
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I take their predictions very seriously when they're based on a limited set of data that are directly connected to the results, like specific outcomes of specific elections where we already know the rules. Less so when it involves opinions about a variety of unpredictable contingencies.

I still agree with this, though, at least in principle. Shit can change suddenly and alliances can form and dissolve with odd results, and the GOP could unpredictably change its rules to rig the process.
 
In about two weeks from now New York will have its primary, which according to a recent poll is expected to be won by its native son Donald Trump. Should this poll reflect reality, Cruz will come in third place with Kasich coming in second. Cruz has not given up on NY and has even visited it recently to meet with religious leaders and defend his remarks about "New York Values".

Legatus Lanius said:
How long before Trump and his Trumpsters claim that Cruz cheated?
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Enjoy:

Donald Trump said:
Donald J. Trump withstood the onslaught of the establishment yet again. Lyin' Ted Cruz had the Governor of Wisconsin, many conservative talk radio show hosts, and the entire party apparatus behind him. Not only was he propelled by the anti-Trump Super PAC's spending countless millions of dollars on false advertising against Mr. Trump, but he was coordinating with his own Super PAC's (which is illegal) who totally control him. Ted Cruz is worse than a puppet--- he is a Trojan horse, being used by the party bosses attempting to steal the nomination from Mr. Trump. We have total confidence that Mr. Trump will go on to win in New York, where he holds a substantial lead in all the polls, and beyond. Mr. Trump is the only candidate who can secure the delegates needed to win the Republican nomination and ultimately defeat Hillary Clinton, or whomever is the Democratic nominee, in order to Make America Great Again.
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Only Trump can make a snake such as Cruz look good by comparison.
 
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I still believe in Daddy Donald. Of course any campaign has high points and low points, and this is one of the low points, but Trump is by no means down for the count. The wall will be built, Muslims will be kept out, and America will be made great again, we just have to have a little faith in him.
 
When Trump said there will be a "Surprise" in Wisconsin, it was just another piece of his big plan for the Streisand Effect. All along, he knew Wisconsin was a Long Shot, and I got no idea where this distracting stupidity regarding Paul Ryan came from, but its over now and on to New York, where Cruz already had fucked up for for months now.

Mathematically, Cruz just isnt gonna get enough delegates, Meaning its either Trump or a brokered convention. Do any modern people really know about Brokered Conventions anyway? The last one was in 1948, and while all and their mother thought Dewey would win the election, he didnt.

Just as they were forced to with Ronald Reagan, the RNC might just have to swallow their stupid pride, and let Trump be their leader.

Frankly, i am just never gonna stop being a Trump supporter because its our fucking time.
 
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