MASSIVE Erection Thread 2016 - Lizard has the advantage. Trump is spiraling towards defeat.

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All discussion of the candidates, updates and results should go here

For example- here's a video of Ted Cruz vying for world domination.


Also Hilary Clinton is a crook and nobody should have sex with her.

Discuss

(Note- The title will change as we get nearer the election, previous titles will be archived in the OP)
 
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What I will say about this election is simple
I do not trust Trump but I don't hate him
I hate Clinton but I trust her to be herself so I know what to expect from her
 
Trump may have some openings soon on his campaign staff.

Corey Lewandowski, Donald Trump's campaign manager, has been charged with battery by the police department of Jupiter, Florida for manhandling Michelle Fields.

And Stephanie Cegielski, a former top strategist, has defected and penned an open letter to Trump supporters where she sounds like Dr. Frankenstein cowering in fear of the monster he's created.

Even Trump's most trusted advisors didn't expect him to fare this well.

Almost a year ago, recruited for my public relations and public policy expertise, I sat in Trump Tower being told that the goal was to get The Donald to poll in double digits and come in second in delegate count. That was it.

The Trump camp would have been satisfied to see him polling at 12% and taking second place to a candidate who might hold 50%. His candidacy was a protest candidacy.

It pains me to say, but he is the presidential equivalent of Sanjaya on American Idol. President Trump would be President Sanjaya in terms of legitimacy and authority.

And I am now taking full responsibility for helping create this monster — and reaching out directly to those voters who, like me, wanted Trump to be the real deal.
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Trump has said he won't support the Republican nominee if it's not him (despite signing a pledge to do so)

This is odd timing because right now the chances of the Republican nominee being somebody other than Trump are pretty low. So this has to be seen as campaigning - Trump is trying to shore up his credentials as a party outsider.
 
Didn't Trump say he would run as an Independent if he didn't get the nomination?
 
Dudeofteenage said:
This is odd timing because right now the chances of the Republican nominee being somebody other than Trump are pretty low. So this has to be seen as campaigning - Trump is trying to shore up his credentials as a party outsider.
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Trump's odds are diminishing at the moment. He's about to get shellacked in Wisconsin and polls show him running into trouble in other states he was thought to be strong in (Pennsylvania, California). The timing of this, his other statements the last few days that the nominee should only need a plurality of delegates, and the "#CruzSexScandal" are all a bit of panic creeping in that he won't get a majority of delegates. The reality is he is completely fucked if this goes to a second ballot since a good deal of delegates bound to him will be closet Cruz supporters and he knows it.
 
Pikimon said:
Didn't Trump say he would run as an Independent if he didn't get the nomination?
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He did, but after people started complaining about this, he signed a pledge saying he would support the eventual nominee if it wasn't him. He reaffirmed this pledge at the beginning of March.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...d9ea7c-5242-11e5-9812-92d5948a40f8_story.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/vi...candidates_pledge_to_support_gop_nominee.html

Trump seems to feel the pledge he signed implicitly only applied if the GOP treats him "fairly", and that they've broken this pledge, so he's no longer bound by it.

He's gone back and forward on this but given that the odds of the Republican nominee being somebody other than him are fairly small, and getting smaller by the day, I think it's going to become a moot point - for Trump, anyway.
 
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SkeletonBias420 said:
Trump's odds are diminishing at the moment. He's about to get shellacked in Wisconsin
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I'm not so sure about that. A poll came out yesterday giving trump a two point lead in Wisconsin. The sample size was very big (7000 people) and it had Cruz in third.

He can still win there, its just not a shoe-in any more.
 
Ass Manager 3000 said:
I'm not so sure about that. A poll came out yesterday giving trump a two point lead in Wisconsin. The sample size was very big (7000 people) and it had Cruz in third.

He can still win there, its just not a shoe-in any more.
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That one looked like a push poll to me. It was from some little Republican consulting firm, had a bizarrely large "sample size," and had Kasich abnormally high in WI and the other state they polled. Marquette put out a poll today showing Cruz leading by 10, plus Trump frequently underperforms his poll numbers in closed primaries. He could win it, but I think its unlikely.
 
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SkeletonBias420 said:
That one looked like a push poll to me. It was from some little Republican consulting firm, had a bizzarely large "sample size," and had Kasich abnormally high in WI and the other state they polled. Marquette put out a poll today showing Cruz leading by 10, plus Trump frequently underperforms his poll numbers in closed primaries. He could win it, but I think its unlikely.
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Yeah I spotted that poll that showed cruz up so much. He's almost a lock to win it.
 
SkeletonBias420 said:
plus Trump frequently underperforms his poll numbers in closed primaries.
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According to wikipedia the WI primary will be open actually, althoug the poll numbers seem to be in favor of Cruz. I see that most other primaries that remain are closed or semi-closed, giving Cruz some advantage. If he stays in the race for the entirety of May I expect him to do pretty good during that month. Five states will hold their primaries on that month and I believe three of them (Indiana, Nebraska and West Virginia) are favorable toward Cruz.
 
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