This past month I have been thinking about the Monty Hall Paradox. I first came across it years ago but it came to mind again because I saw this cartoon.
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It has always been weird to me. I even went so far as to write a short Python program to simulate it over thousands of iterations and my computer was clearly in on the conspiracy against me to pretend this made sense as it agreed with the maths. I will have to try again with dice and pen and paper to confirm this directly with Reality. But ten-thousand iterations for statistical validity may take me some time...
Anyone else find this throws them for a loop? If so, why? If not, also why? The maths is trivial. I have no problem following it. But the implications are bizarre. It's a kind of mental illusion where you appear to have the same event described differently by two contradictory mathematical models, implying that maths is aware of past events. But the awareness is on the part of the person not the maths, that's the illusion.
I still find it crazy. It feels like God's joke.