US Hollywood's big boom has gone bust

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Michael Fortin was at the heart of Hollywood’s golden age of streaming.

The actor and aerial cinematographer turned his hobby of flying drones into a profitable business in 2012 just as the streaming wars were taking off. For a decade, he was flying high above film sets, creating sleek aerial shots for movies and TV shows on Netflix, Amazon and Disney.

Now he’s on the verge of becoming homeless - again. He was evicted from the Huntington Beach home he shared with his wife and two young children and now is being booted from the Las Vegas apartment they moved to because they could no longer afford to live in Southern California.

“We were saving to buy a house, we had money, we had done things the right way,” he says. “Two years ago, I didn't worry about going out to dinner with my wife and kids and spending 200 bucks."

“Now I worry about going out and spending $5 on a value meal at McDonald's.”

For over a decade, business was booming in Hollywood, with studios battling to catch up to new companies like Netflix and Hulu. But the good times ground to a halt in May 2023, when Hollywood’s writers went on strike.

The strikes lasted multiple months and marked the first time since the 1960s that both writers and actors joined forces - effectively shutting down Hollywood production. But rather than roaring back, in the one year since the strikes ended, production has fizzled.

Projects have been cancelled and production was cut across the city as jobs have dried up, with layoffs at many studios - most recently at Paramount. It had a second round of layoffs this week, as the storied movie company moves to cut 15% of its workforce ahead of a merger with the production company Skydance.

Unemployment in film and TV in the United States was at 12.5% in August, but many think those numbers are actually much higher, because many film workers either do not file for unemployment benefits because they’re not eligible or they’ve exhausted those benefits after months of not working.

As a whole, the number of US productions during the second quarter of 2024 was down about 40% compared to the same period in 2022. Globally, there was a 20% decline over that period, according to ProdPro, external, which tracks TV and film productions.

That means less new movies and binge-worthy shows for us.

But experts say the streaming boom wasn’t sustainable. And studios are trying to figure out how to be profitable in a new world when people don’t pay for cable TV funded by commercials.

“The air has come out of the content bubble,” says Matthew Belloni, the founder of Puck News, which covers the entertainment industry. “Crisis is a good word. I try not to be alarmist, but crisis is what people are feeling.”

Part of the boom was fuelled by Wall Street, where tech giants like Netflix saw record growth and studios, like Paramount, saw their share prices soar for adding their own streaming service offers.

“It caused an overheating of the content market. There were 600 scripted live action series airing just a few years ago and then the stock market stopped rewarding that,” Mr Belloni says. “Netflix crashed – all the other companies crashed. Netflix has since recovered – but the others are really struggling to get to profitability.”

And along with the streaming bubble bursting, some productions are also being lured away from California by attractive tax incentives in other states and countries. Los Angeles leaders are so concerned about the slowdown that Mayor Karen Bass created a task force last month to consider new incentives for film production in Hollywood.

“The entertainment industry is critical to the economic vitality of the Los Angeles region,” Bass said announcing the plan, explaining it is a “cornerstone” of the city’s economy and supplies hundreds of thousands of jobs.

Recent data shows the entertainment industry contributes over $115bn (£86bn) annually to the region's economy, with an employment base of over 681,000 people, the mayor said.

The writers' and actors' strikes lasted for months and resulted in union contracts that offer more money and protections against artificial intelligence.

Duncan Crabtree-Ireland, the chief negotiator with the Screen Actors Guild union, told the BBC that some consolidation in Hollywood was inevitable. He says he is optimistic that production will be ramping up soon.

“What makes these companies special, what gives them their unique ability to create value is their relationship with creative talent,” he said while visiting a picket line outside a Disney office in September, where video game voice actors are currently on strike fighting for similar protections.

Hollywood “always thinks it’s in crisis,” he says. “It is a town that constantly faces technological innovation - all kinds of change - which is part of the magic. Part of keeping content fresh is everyone having the idea that things don't always have to be the way they've been.”

Mr Fortin’s drone company was operating nearly every day before the strikes. Now he’s flown the drones just 22 days in the year since the strikes ended. And as an actor - he often plays tough guys - he has worked just 10 days. He used to work as a background actor to get by, but the pay barely covers the gas money to get to Los Angeles from Las Vegas.

“It was a great wave, and it crashed,” Mr Fortin said after a day flying his drones on the AppleTV+ show Platonic - his first gig with drones since April.

“Things are coming in little by little,” he says in his van before driving back to Las Vegas for a court hearing to fight his eviction order.

“Hollywood gave me everything,” he says. “But it feels like the industry has turned its back on lots of people, not just me.”

BBC News
Archive [September 29 2024]
 
“We were saving to buy a house, we had money, we had done things the right way,” he says. “Two years ago, I didn't worry about going out to dinner with my wife and kids and spending 200 bucks."
This is the exact sort of retard that inspired the “help me budget my family is dying” joke
 
As it has been posted before in several threads: HOLLYWOOD CAN'T KEEP IT UP FOREVER.

There's only so much laundering they can do.
 
That means less new movies and binge-worthy shows for us.
- "Fewer". Looks like journo unemployment has a ways to go yet.
- Good.

(Why is "binging" good? One thing I love about my waifu's show is how unbingeable by design it is, watching more than one 20-minute episode per day just feels unfun and retarded.)
 
That means less new movies and binge-worthy shows for us.
I don't think these two should be conflated. Movies are actually doing okay, I think. Not great, but it seems the death of theaters has been greatly exaggerated. Haven't personally been to a theater in years, but that's me.

Streaming, OTOH, just doesn't seem to have a path to profitability. Back when NetFlix had virtually everything except Game of Thrones a subscription could be justified. Now with so much content spread so thinly across so many platforms, it just doesn't make sense. Easier to just pirate the occasional show you want to see here and there.

Funny how that old Jew Rupert Murdoch sold Fox Studios to Disney for some crazy amount of money, got a seat on Disney's board then started or bought (can't remember) Tubi, which nobody watches but is so low cost it is actually profitable. Free but with commercials. He's seemingly run rings around the "smart money" in Hollywood that the fools in management at Apple and Amazon thought would get them profitable streaming services.
 
He was evicted from the Huntington Beach home he shared with his wife and two young children
"Flying drones won't pay for my multimillion dollar beachfront home with a view of Catalina Island because nobody wants to watch DiversiSlop in 4k" is quite the sympathetic tale...

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Movies are actually doing okay, I think. Not great, but it seems the death of theaters has been greatly exaggerated. Haven't personally been to a theater in years, but that's me.
Theaters near me have diversified away from Hollywood. They’re showing a lot of anime and other foreign films as well as old movies. They’ve also added restaurants and bars with seat-side service.

Hollywood just isn’t making enough good movies to keep the theaters in business.
 
Something has to be established to have a "Golden Age"

Train and ocean liner travel had a Golden Age

Television had a Golden Age

Live Theatre did too..

But streaming?

An eight-year fad buoyed by speculator investment that then ingloriously collapses doesn't count.


Streaming, OTOH, just doesn't seem to have a path to profitability.
As soon as they started, everyone who wasn't running one said the streaming model wouldn't work and there'd be no winner in the streaming wars. Because it's just cable with extra steps.

Now, instead of having to overpay for a package of channels, you have to overpay for each individual one..... and they all strictly embargoed each other's content.

And, like everyone predicted, as the money ran out? They all flopped.
 
None of these big tech driven things are ever profitable because their entire business model is growth at all costs without considering how to monetise it. Uber has had exactly one profitable year (but I don't see it continuing), YouTube only survives because it's run at a loss by alphabet. Amazon prime video has started running ads presumably because the losses are cutting into bezos's astronaut fund too deeply. Lyft and doordash make yearly losses.

Hollywood movie budgets have grown beyond all reason and they're spending a good portion of them on shitty CGI that everyone hates and big name cameos that make the films samey and tiresome. Look it's the rock and Chris Pratt but they're in space! Look it's Adam Sandler and jack black but they're quipping about poker in a casino! Look it's the 3rd film in the 6th reboot series of alien! Hollywood has only itself to blame
 
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