I was looking into the numbers of it and it seems like that's 100% correct. For the following numbers I'll be using Black's Medical Dictionary's 42°edition (page 272) statistics on gender dysphoria, which states that around
1/30,000 men and
1/100,000 women suffer from gender dysphoria. If we assume that to be true and run the numbers through the US population (161,000,000 men and 165,000,000 women), we end up with a gender dysphoric population of
around 7000 people (7024). If we include the rest of the 5 eyes countries (UK, CAN, AU, NZ) that number jumps to
around 10,000 people.
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The biggest trans subreddit alones dwarfs that number by around
11 times , and the other ones have multipliers almost as crazy. While it's true that not everyone browsing is from an Anglo country or that every GD patient joins up these subreddits, I feel confident enough in my predictions to say that these numbers are just beyond impossible, even accounting for the overlap between subreddit audiences, unless 90% of the people browsing them are just fake trans.
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As to whether there are legit trans people out there, there probably are, brains are weird and there are probably weirder mental ilnesses out there, but needless to say, they're probably trying to cope with their illness more than putting themselves out there online.