US DOD Adjusts Nuclear Deterrence Strategy as Nuclear Peer Adversaries Escalate - Multiple nuclear peer adversaries challenge the U.S. and its allies' and partners' security, according to the Defense Department.

  • 🏰 The Fediverse is up. If you know, you know.
  • Want to keep track of this thread?
    Accounts can bookmark posts, watch threads for updates, and jump back to where you stopped reading.
    Create account
Multiple nuclear peer adversaries challenge the U.S. and its allies' and partners' security, according to the Defense Department.

1.png

"We are now in a world where we're facing multiple nuclear competitors, multiple states that are growing, diversifying and modernizing their nuclear arsenals and also, unfortunately, prioritizing the role that nuclear weapons play in their national security strategies," said Richard C. Johnson.

As the security environment evolves, adjustments to the 2022 Nuclear Posture Review may be required to sustain the ability to achieve nuclear deterrence, in light of enhanced nuclear capabilities of China and Russia and possible lack of nuclear arms control agreements after February, said Johnson, deputy assistant secretary of defense for nuclear and countering weapons of mass destruction policy, who spoke on a panel at the Center for Strategic and International Studies' Project on Nuclear Issues event, yesterday in Washington, D.C.

The underlying logic of nuclear deterrence remains sound. Also, the U.S. remains committed to a safe, secure and reliable nuclear deterrent, he said.

However, the nuclear modernization program of record, while necessary, may be insufficient moving forward, he added.

2.png

DOD, in partnership with the National Nuclear Security Administration, has already taken steps to field capabilities to enhance nuclear deterrence and flexibility and to reduce risk to the department's nuclear modernization program, Johnson said.

These include the B61-13 gravity bomb, delivered by aircraft, as well as the enhanced readiness of nuclear armed and powered Ohio-class submarines, he said.

The Department of Energy's National Nuclear Security Administration would produce the B61-13, which is a modern variant of the B61.

On Nov. 15, the department submitted the 791 Report to Congress describing the nuclear employment strategy of the U.S. It's called the 491 because it was submitted in accordance with U.S. Code, Title 10, Section 491.

The 491 report describes changes that have been made from previous guidance and accounts for the new deterrence challenges that are posed by the growth, modernization and increasing diversity of potential adversaries' nuclear arsenals, Johnson said.

The report directs that the U.S.:
  • Plans to deter multiple nuclear-armed adversaries simultaneously.
  • Requires the integration of non-nuclear capabilities, where feasible, to support the nuclear deterrence mission.
  • Stresses the importance of escalation management in U.S. planning for responding to limited nuclear attack or high-consequence, non-nuclear strategic attack.
  • Enables deeper consultation, coordination and combined planning with allies and partners in order to strengthen U.S. extended deterrence commitments.
The report also recognizes that deterrence alone will not address strategic dangers. It recognizes that arms control and that risk reduction and nuclear nonproliferation play indispensable roles as well, Johnson said.

3.png

Grant Schneider, vice deputy director for strategic stability at the Joint Staff, who also spoke, said that another part of the report is the significant intellectual and analytical work required to identify the range of scenarios and strategic circumstances that the U.S. might face alongside its allies going into the 2030s.

"To be prepared for the 2030s, we have to modernize our nuclear forces, the nuclear command and control, and the associated infrastructure that will allow us to be flexible and adjust over time as new challenges arise, whether that's new threats or potential changes or delays in our modernization," Schneider said.

Article Link

Archive
 
Last edited:
At every stage, this just gets worse. 2014 and the elected govt. of Ukraine decides to favour Russia over the EU in trade deals. Victoria Nuland arrives with cookies and backs a coup. And Russia annexes Crimea which by treaty they have a naval base at, believing (accurately) that the new govt. is going to renege on the treaty. Oh, and large swathes of Russian Ukraine refuses to recognise the usurpers as their government. Shelling commences. Brilliantly played, Neocons.

The West, seeing that the the people it populated the govt. with are largely wussy pro-West liberal types who are afraid of war with Russia, starts pumping money and "advisors" into building up ultranationalist groups like Azov. Mild embarrassment results from the odd swastika or murder; and Russian speakers are getting beaten up. Civil war is now happening between Western and Eastern Ukraine. Neocons decide got to push harder.

Donetsk and Luhansk citizens finally declare independence from Kiev. Russia rolls in. Neocons jubilant. Mass execution of the Ukranian population begins by throwing them at the Russian lines. Billions upon billions fed into American arms manufacturers. Angela Merkle confesses the Minsk 2 agreements with Russia were just a stalling tactic that the West never intended to honour. War heats up, huge numbers of Russian and Ukranian people dying, European energy costs through the roof and somewhere in there, Washington backs the destruction of major gas pipeline just in case Europe is tempted to negotiate with Russia.

Trump is elected with explicit statements of seeking peaceful resolution with Russia. Kiev panics and does the only thing it can do to win the war which is to bring things to the point where the West gets boots on the ground and goes into a hot war with Russia. So missiles go flying into Russia. Russia fires a kinetic only IRBM into a factory. At night. When it's empty. Using kinetic only warheads. And they tell Washington in advance that they're going to do it. You could not get MORE of a clear signal that it's a warning. What does Kiev do in response? Sends dozens of drones during working hours into Russian towns. Because again, Kiev's only hope of winning this is to get Western direct boots on the ground. And they can't control Washington so their strategy is to push Russia to escalate to the point that Washington gets the justification to do so.

The situation gets worse and worse with every action and yet somehow all you hear is that Russia "pussies out" and doesn't do anything when you cross its red lines.

They're fucking lunatics. We're all going to die for Blackrock.
 
- I despise the cross-dressing, fatigues-LARPing, Ukrainian welfare queen.
- I sympathize with the Ukrainians being fed into the meatgrinder (and the Russians for that matter).
- No Russian ever called me a Huwite Supremist.

Not one more Western dollar or weapon should go to this pointless, fake & gay proxy war.
 
And they tell Washington in advance that they're going to do it.
They were required to do that by treaty, as is the US.
Sends dozens of drones during working hours into Russian towns.
Russia used to launch a lot more drones and missiles in daytime but they're biased more towards night attacks now, presumably to reduce the number lost to enemy fire. According to Twitter there were a few Shaheds/Gerans over northeastern Ukraine this lunchtime.
all you hear is that Russia "pussies out" and doesn't do anything when you cross its red lines.
Russia's red lines turned out to be largely illusory. They've been rattling the nuclear sabre since about day 3 of the war. Some expected Russia to start throwing nukes if their territory was invaded, then the Kursk incursion happened and the Russian response was "Nothing to see here."

We're all going to die for Blackrock.
Not if Blackrock die first.
 
The US needs to stop doing this proxy cold war shit. We send trillions of dollars to these shithole countries over the course of decades and accomplish nothing except enriching arms dealers. If you're going to go to war, either turn the enemy to glass or leave them alone, don't keep doing it half assed.
 
The situation gets worse and worse with every action and yet somehow all you hear is that Russia "pussies out" and doesn't do anything when you cross its red lines.
I've been enjoying the hubris. The "Russia won't invade because they are pussies" crowd transitioning to "Russia won't use nuclear weapons because they are pussies" is a biblical sort of irony, where we are punished in a grand and cosmic sense for not taking these retards and hanging them.
 
Russia's red lines turned out to be largely illusory. They've been rattling the nuclear sabre since about day 3 of the war. Some expected Russia to start throwing nukes if their territory was invaded, then the Kursk incursion happened and the Russian response was "Nothing to see here."
You guys are going to be saying this right up until the world burns. Death to all warhawks, American dollars for Americans.
 
I've been enjoying the hubris. The "Russia won't invade because they are pussies" crowd transitioning to "Russia won't use nuclear weapons because they are pussies" is a biblical sort of irony, where we are punished in a grand and cosmic sense for not taking these retards and hanging them.
I think the difference between Putin choosing to invade and Putin choosing to use nukes comes down to the reliability of information coming up the chain to him. He pulled the trigger on Ukraine because he (rightfully) believed the Biden admin wouldn't do shit while also (wrongly) believing the reports of the states of readiness of both his troops and the Ukrainian troops. Every link along the chain was selling so many rainbows and butterflies because it was what their superiors wanted to hear. Meanwhile the troops in Belarus meant to take Kiev were selling diesel for vodka and fucking each other in the ass instead of getting ready for an invasion. Putin was so confident in what he was hearing that they sent a fucking marching band in the column that died on the highway to hell for god's sake. And the Ukranians were not in fact ready to roll over and take it.

With nukes the chain of information going up to Putin is much more reliable about his own nuclear forces' readiness and that of the US and NATO. The result is "We are capable of wrecking Europe out of spite and damaging the US but Moscow and St. Petersburg would be so much radioactive ash." The calculus does not work out in their favor and oligarchs like being alive and in luxury. I think the nukes only actually come out if it is unlikely the oligarchs are going to continue to be alive and in luxury and we are nowhere near that point.

Also, this DoD report was probably written even before Putin fired an IRBM at Ukraine.
 
I think the difference between Putin choosing to invade and Putin choosing to use nukes comes down to the reliability of information coming up the chain to him. He pulled the trigger on Ukraine because he (rightfully) believed the Biden admin wouldn't do shit while also (wrongly) believing the reports of the states of readiness of both his troops and the Ukrainian troops. Every link along the chain was selling so many rainbows and butterflies because it was what their superiors wanted to hear. Meanwhile the troops in Belarus meant to take Kiev were selling diesel for vodka and fucking each other in the ass instead of getting ready for an invasion. Putin was so confident in what he was hearing that they sent a fucking marching band in the column that died on the highway to hell for god's sake. And the Ukranians were not in fact ready to roll over and take it.

With nukes the chain of information going up to Putin is much more reliable about his own nuclear forces' readiness and that of the US and NATO. The result is "We are capable of wrecking Europe out of spite and damaging the US but Moscow and St. Petersburg would be so much radioactive ash." The calculus does not work out in their favor and oligarchs like being alive and in luxury. I think the nukes only actually come out if it is unlikely the oligarchs are going to continue to be alive and in luxury and we are nowhere near that point.

Also, this DoD report was probably written even before Putin fired an IRBM at Ukraine.
I don't disagree with any of this. What I question is how much hubris the United States has. There are plenty of government reptiles who imbibe more kool-aid than anybody; between the hopelessly egomaniacal establishment politicians who "know we would win" and decrepit, expiring baby boomers who hold every position of power and would love nothing more than to end the world before anyone can possibly live a more comfortable existence than they did, I'm not confident in nuclear deterrence. That whole system seems like a gentleman's agreement, and those all died out alongside the last WWII veterans.
 
I can't wait for Putin to claim the USA evaluating its own nuclear readiness in response to his threats of a nuclear strike is an escalation that might warrant a nuclear response.
 
Democrats: omg how did we lose? All we did was proffer easily the worst presidential candidate in American history.
Also Democrats: hey, why don't we actively work to escalate a war between two countries-one of which has nukes-and dump it into Trump's lap on our way out for lulz? That's for voting the wrong way, chuds!
 
The US should be the one swinging its nuclear dick but apparently our zisters insist otherwise and want to suck it whole. Gosh I wished Mac Arthur had gotten his way and blasted his way to win the Korean War.
 
Im amused that the development of nukes is under the department of energy rather than the dod. But I guess it makes sense since they run the reactors for it?
 
Im amused that the development of nukes is under the department of energy rather than the dod. But I guess it makes sense since they run the reactors for it?
Contrary to its innocent-sounding name, the DoE explicitly exists to supervise everything radioactive in the USA, from nuclear warheads to power plants to even medical radioisotopes.
 
Democrats: omg how did we lose? All we did was proffer easily the worst presidential candidate in American history.
Also Democrats: hey, why don't we actively work to escalate a war between two countries-one of which has nukes-and dump it into Trump's lap on our way out for lulz? That's for voting the wrong way, chuds!
It will be truly poetic if we go into WWIII because of Biden.
 
Back
Top Bottom