US Democratic Caucus Megathread - From each candidates ability, to each candidates need.

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I made this thread so that on A&H so that there would be room so other topics wouldn't be slided from the 1st page.
A reminder:
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first story

Source: https://www.businessinsider.com.au/what-is-a-recanvass-recount-iowa-caucuses-2020-2/?r=US&IR=T
Archive: http://archive.li/S2N51

The Democratic National Committee just demanded a recanvass of the Iowa caucus results. Here's what that means.
SONAM SHETH, GRACE PANETTA
FEB 7, 2020, 7:47 AM

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P Photo/Andrew HarnikDNC chair Tom Perez.

  • The Democratic National Committee demanded a recanvass on Thursday of the election results in the Iowa caucuses.
  • The development came after a series of breakdowns in the reporting process, unexplained inconsistencies, and errors in the results.
  • A recanvass is different than a recount. It consists of local election officials recalculating election results to determine if there’s a difference in the number of votes that each candidate received.
  • A recount takes place through the court system and is paid for by the campaign that requests it. In a recount, the circuit court would be responsible for double-checking the ballots, and all election machines and other infrastructure would be turned over to the court.
The Democratic National Committee demanded a recanvass on Thursday of the results in the Iowa caucuses.

DNC chairman Tom Perez made the announcement after The New York Times published a detailed and troubling analysis showing that “more than 100 precincts reported results that were internally inconsistent, that were missing data or that were not possible under the complex rules of the Iowa caucuses.”

“Enough is enough,” Perez tweeted. “In light of the problems that have emerged in the implementation of the delegate selection plan and in order to assure public confidence in the results, I am calling on the Iowa Democratic Party to immediately begin a recanvass.”

Shortly after Perez’s tweet, the Iowa Democratic Party released a statement saying it has “taken unprecedented steps to gather redundant reports to ensure accuracy of all underlying data,” adding that it would not conduct a recanvass of the results unless a candidate formally requests one through the proper channels.

A reconvass consists of local election officials recalculating election results to determine if there’s a difference in the number of votes that each candidate received.

In this case, Iowa election authorities would audit all caucus worksheets and reporting forms by hand to double-check that they were correctly tallied up and reported.
A recount, on the other hand, takes place through the court system and is paid for by the campaign that requests it. In a recount, the circuit court would be responsible for double-checking the ballots, and all election machines and other infrastructure would be turned over to the court.
In this specific case, a recount is not an option because the Iowa caucuses don’t use paper ballots and instead rely on preference cards.
The Iowa caucuses have been a mess since they began on Monday.
Almost four days after they took place, the Iowa Democratic Party still has not declared a winner with 97% of the precincts reporting as of 2 p.m. CT because of a series of breakdowns in the reporting process, unexplained inconsistencies, and errors in the results.

A number of factors – including the catastrophic failure of a mobile app designed to submit precinct results, inconsistent calculations of final results, and jammed phone lines causing hours-long holds – barred precinct captains from initially sending the proper data to the Iowa Democratic Party headquarters.
The breakdown delayed a final release of the results.

Caucuses consist of two rounds of preference expression, or alignments, to determine which candidates are viable to receive delegates.
If a caucusgoer’s first-choice candidate doesn’t break the delegate threshold on the first alignment, they can either switch their preference to a candidate who is viable after the first round, try to combine forces with other caucusgoers to make their original first-choice candidate viable on the second alignment, or categorise themselves as an uncommitted caucusgoer.
In the end, the Iowa Democratic Party reported three sets of results: the initial votes from the first alignment for all the precincts, the results from the second alignment, and the estimated state delegate equivalents (SDEs) calculated from the results of the second alignment.
The results from the Iowa Democratic caucuses from 97% of precincts showed Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and former Mayor Pete Buttigieg neck and neck in the total vote count from the second alignment and statistically tied in SDEs.

Currently, Sanders leads the statewide popular vote by 5,954 votes on the first alignment and 2,518 votes from the second alignment over Buttigieg, who holds 550 SDEs compared to 547 for Sanders.
But shortly after Perez demanded a recanvassing of the vote on Thursday, Sanders declared “a very strong victory” in the Iowa caucuses.
In a New Hampshire press conference, Sanders argued that even though results from 3% of precincts are still missing, he is the rightful winner in Iowa because he leads Buttigieg in the popular vote on both the first and second alignments.
 
Good to see the democrats proving to proud pure white Americans that they are rats after all, to the based blacks that they still the party of the plantation and to all their imported brown pets, they still own them due to gibs and anti western attitudes.
 
Good to see the democrats proving to proud pure white Americans that they are rats after all, to the based blacks that they still the party of the plantation and to all their imported brown pets, they still own them due to gibs and anti western attitudes.
lmao is this a bit or do you unironically believe this shit? How do people jump from "lol Democrats are a corrupt disorganized mess who can't even rig a primary convincingly" to "Look at these Democrats proving their lack of virtue to HuWhite Americans!"
 
lmao is this a bit or do you unironically believe this shit? How do people jump from "lol Democrats are a corrupt disorganized mess who can't even rig a primary convincingly" to "Look at these Democrats proving their lack of virtue to HuWhite Americans!"
Yes it is all a bit. Democrats can't appeal for shit to your average rural Billy Bob at this stage. Can't stop trying to rig it which they succeeded in doing in 2016.
 
I'm really tired so I misread the title as Democratic Circus Megathread but then I realized I'd still be pretty much correct
 
Alright, start placing bets on how many votes will be "late-votes"
Warehouses and car trunks.

Just a big ol' kenworth trailer filled with absentee caucus voting...

(Yes, I know that's not how it works!)
 
What sort of kills me is that this early, a megathread like this might actually be useful. I know some here are all about them dems being political lolcows recently (and they aren't wrong in that assessment currently), but I actually hope they get their shit together. Unlike party zealots, I never have wanted a one party state, or a two party state where one can't ever assume enough political power to be an effective challenger.

In any sort of democratic framework, you have to have some sort of competition, otherwise the whole thing collapses, and then you have to hash out some new system, or form more parties.

This sort of incompetence should trouble even hardline far right republicans. If you have no enemy, the enemy will become yourselves.
 
I actually hope they get their shit together. Unlike party zealots, I never have wanted a one party state, or a two party state where one can't ever assume enough political power to be an effective challenger.
I wouldn't worry about it just yet. They probably expect to lose in November, so they can feel free to be as batshit as they want for now.

Start worrying if they don't do some serious house cleaning in the run up to 2024.
 
Oh, I'm not really all that worried. It's just that amplification of fuckups has more of a consequence than it did even 10 years ago, and they are being less than careful.
 
I wouldn't worry about it just yet. They probably expect to lose in November, so they can feel free to be as batshit as they want for now.

Start worrying if they don't do some serious house cleaning in the run up to 2024.
I'm expecting more of a split than a house cleaning.
 
I'm expecting more of a split than a house cleaning.
A house cleaning is manifestly more likely. First and foremost, because both sides understand splitting instead of a party replacement means Republican super-majorities for the next couple of elections, so long as we have the same voting system. As much as the neolibs and socialists hate each other, they hate that outcome more. Even retiring the Democrat party and replacing it with the SuccDem party or the DSA or whatever is unlikely, since there isn't the single issue splitting the party beyond reconciliation, like how the issue of slavery ultimately killed the Whigs. And we aren't going to see the modern equivalent of a Southern Whig (neoliberal, establishment Democrats) jumping ship to the conservative party, because at least 1/4 of the major figures fighting the succdem wing of the Democrat party are establishment Republicans who defected to Democrats or went Independent post-2016.
 
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