Archive
Archive
Last night's results from Wikipedia for easier comparison to April 2025
Archive
- Turnout for the by-election was down 18 points despite reports of advanced poll numbers being comparable.
- Poilievre ended up down about 2.5 points compared to Kurek who stepped down. But 83% vs 80% of the popular vote is dominance & inconsequential
- PPC support somehow collapsed even further, dropping another 500%+ to a miniscule 0.3% from 1.6% in April. The PPC isn't picking up any support from any disaffected Conservatives unsatisfied with April's Carney win/Poilievre's disaster campaign or him moving to Alberta as a carpetbagger. We're not seeing any shift to the PPC either despite ever growing jeet hate & opposition to mass migration. This is the 3rd time this PPC candidate ran (second time in the new riding, 1st time he ran in another district he lived in pre-gerrymandering, ie He didn't move, the lines did). His support has cratered over time since 2021. I believe he is a local mechanic.
- Liberal support fell by 40% with their new candidate. Similar with the NDP dropping by 50%.
- Grant Abraham, some guy who started a new party and previously ran in Bong elections, had a relatively impressive showing with 773 votes, quintupling established PPC support.
- I'm thinking of Daniel Tyrie's words from a recent interview, former PPC Executive Director & current Dominion Society leader. Paraphrased, he spoke that the stink of losing was really tarnishing the PPC brand & reputation, which is very hard to shake.
- The little bit of Green Party support fell off like the PPC, dropping close to 300%.
- Other than Abraham, who may have captured as much 60% of the 2.5 points that Poilievre seems to have bled off as a parachute candidate, the rest seems to have coalesce around astroturfed local female cop independent candidate Bonnie Critchley. Her 5k votes & 10% support are impressive for an independent, but still almost two points below the Liberal challenger from April who finished second at the time.