Canada is a failed state

[Brutality]

I figured I'd drop my pre election predictions here before the campaign proper starts tomorrow.

-. The outcome will be a Majority (either party)
-. The BQ will rebound due to Carney's French being non-native
-. Regardless of if the NDP Collapses or not, Singh will quit as Leader after the election
-. Elizabeth May will lose her seat to the Conservatives and then totally quit 100% for real this time (not clickbait)
-. Poilievre/Carney will quit post election (either or depending on who wins)
-. Turnout will be above 70%
-. The PPC still doesn't get a seat
-. On April 2nd, Trump will pause the tariffs until after the election

Keeping it general at this point, might make more predictions as it gets further along.

Since we're at the halfway point I figured I'd revisit my earlier predictions. So far only the last prediction has come true (mostly). Here's a few more if anyone cares

-. Jagmeet Singh loses burnaby central
-. Carney stumbles in the English debate but overall doesn't do horrible, but gets absolutely demolished in the French debate with Blanchet and Poilievre double teaming him.
-. As of right now. I think there's a 50/50 split possibility for a either party winning a Majority.
-. BQ rebound because of prediction 2 gives them 40+ seats
-. The NDP manages a slight rebound but still loses at least half of their current seats
-. The greens and ppc win nothing

A big caveat that comes with these is that if Trump decides to rock the boat again, if he were to do that in the last 2 weeks it's pretty much a lock on another liberal term

 

[Ookoo Squad]

-. Jagmeet Singh loses burnaby central

100% a given at this point.

-. Carney stumbles in the English debate but overall doesn't do horrible, but gets absolutely demolished in the French debate with Blanchet and Poilievre double teaming him.

Possible. Though with the amount of hardened TDS, I'm not sure how much it would affect anything, even in Quebec.

-. As of right now. I think there's a 50/50 split possibility for a either party winning a Majority.

Hard disagree. No chance CPC gets a majority. None. Very unlikely that they win at all.

-. BQ rebound because of prediction 2 gives them 40+ seats

Some sort of rebound wouldn't be surprising. But I still think they're in trouble if an Anglo-Irish banker who can't speak French to save his life can manage to pull the numbers he is in Quebec, even without a debate. 40+ seats is major territory.

-. The NDP manages a slight rebound but still loses at least half of their current seats

I agree with this one. NDP probably will over-perform the doomiest polls, but still get slaughtered compared to their previous showings.

-. The greens and ppc win nothing

PPC obvious gets nothing. Greens, not sure.

 

[Jarolleon]

You know those water-saving taps, ubiquitous in Canadian public restrooms, that require you to wiggle your hands beneath the tap until the motion detector finally notices them, and release an insultingly short trickle of water? I think it's an excellent symbol of the consequences of Canadian brain drain. We've become a nation incapable of thinking for ourselves, so we blindly import the stupidity of California and implement it where it makes even less sense.

Whether it be obnoxious water-saving design choices next to the largest freshwater lakes in the world, or cooking up a Summer of Floyd style racial reckoning when the race in question mainly lives in the middle of nowhere.

 

[King Metalia]

The average Canadian enjoys everything that has happened in the past decade. They fucking love to be poor and replaced, they feel so good about it and I believe nothing will ever snap them out of it. The average white Canadian woman's dream is to die by the hands of a minority and they will vote accordingly. I'm working on moving to a country that will value my work and doesn't consist of a suicidal population and I encourage anyone who has any skills whatsoever to get the fuck out of this godforsaken place. Sorry for sperging out but I've never felt such disgust at the nation I used to call home.

We live in a nation were the smart have no power and idiots run everything. It's been that way my entire life and the numerous decades prior.

 

[Betonhaus]

100% a given at this point.

I don't believe it was necessary to quote each line seperately

Possible. Though with the amount of hardened TDS, I'm not sure how much it would affect anything, even in Quebec.

It actually makes it a little harder to read

Hard disagree. No chance CPC gets a majority. None. Very unlikely that they win at all.

And it looks like shit

Some sort of rebound wouldn't be surprising. But I still think they're in trouble if an Anglo-Irish banker who can't speak French to save his life can manage to pull the numbers he is in Quebec, even without a debate. 40+ seats is major territory.

Like youre a crazy person that's trying to pad a bad argument with nitpicking

I agree with this one. NDP probably will over-perform the doomiest polls, but still get slaughtered compared to their previous showings.

it would've worked perfectly fine to quote everything at once and reply to it in a single paragraph

PPC obvious gets nothing. Greens, not sure.

this space intentionally left blank

 

[Lobster Cult High Priest]

The average Canadian over 40 or 50. I've noticed even young white women despise jeets whenever they have to interact with them, even if a couple will virtue signal on social media about immigration.

Look at any Canadian subreddit and you will see countless posts complaining how they can no longer take uber.

Meanwhile the only time that I (the most racist Canadian) ever take an Uber is when my company does a booze social event. I just vibe with the Arabs and African Blacks and talk to them about the Jews.

This is basically how the Uber rides go down.

 

[EscapeVorkuta]

We live in a nation were the smart have no power and idiots run everything. It's been that way my entire life and the numerous decades prior.

Normie Canadians hate people that can think for themselves... it explains why many of them absolutely detested the truckers.

teachers are NDP by their very nature. Comes with the brainwashing.

I don't know how people can maintain their political allegiances after seeing all the waste and stupidity from the inside. Just last summer a beloved Toronto principal committed suicide because he was bullied by an external social justice consultant that has managed to steal hundreds of thousands of dollars from a few major Ontario school boards. This nigger and her husband complain about racism but post pictures of their vacations to Aruba and Dubai all over their social media, vacations only made possible by the generous donations of Ontario tax payers. I honestly fucking hate this country and its complacent citizens.

 

[Brutality]

Hard disagree. No chance CPC gets a majority. None. Very unlikely that they win at all

I maintain that historical precedent is still on Poilievre's side and if Trump stays silent for long enough the Liberals best attack against him vanishes, they lose literally every other argument. Cost of living? Immigration? Crime? Infrastructure? They've had a decade and they've all gotten worse, It is still very possible. Carney has the same astroturfing that kamala harris had and then some, and we all know how that turned out.

This might just be a giant cope and I'll gladly eat my words if/when I'm proven wrong, but it isn't over yet, the debates haven't even happened, and this time people are going to be watching closely.

 

[EscapeVorkuta]

I maintain that historical precedent is still on Poilievre's side and if Trump stays silent for long enough the Liberals best attack against him vanishes, they lose literally every other argument. Cost of living? Immigration? Crime? Infrastructure? They've had a decade and they've all gotten worse, It is still very possible. Carney has the same astroturfing that kamala harris had and then some, and we all know how that turned out.

This might just be a giant cope and I'll gladly eat my words if/when I'm proven wrong, but it isn't over yet, the debates haven't even happened, and this time people are going to be watching closely.

I don't think it is a giant cope. I don't share the same blackpill that many people on here do. I see some hope with PP considering the sheer amount of people turning up at his rallies. Never seen such enthusiasm for a Conservative candidate before.

 

[Lobster Cult High Priest]

This nigger and her husband complain about racism but post pictures of their vacations to Aruba and Dubai all over their social media, vacations only made possible by the generous donations of Ontario tax payers. I honestly fucking hate this country and its complacent citizens.

Dubai you say. That Sheboon literally got shit on by Arab (Likely actually Kike) Sheikhs.

I don't think it is a giant cope. I don't share the same blackpill that many people on here do. I see some hope with PP considering the sheer amount of people turning up at his rallies. Never seen such enthusiasm for a Conservative candidate before.

Those Conservatives will be the first ones to go back to sleep as soon as Pierre is elected and walks back on all his promises. Also what promises I haven't heard anything good policy wise from Pierre's campaign. They won't be holding Pierre's feet to the fire.

Axe the Tax --> Is just going to be cutting the Rebates and prices will stay the same with corpos pocketing the increase.

Build the Homes --> With what labour force? The Jeets won't be working construction and if any do, you don't want to live in those Townhouse Pods (Jeets will literally Shit in your walls. That's even before the fact that you can't build houses fast enough even when you cut Jeet immigration to 250K/year.

Keep in mind I do agree with you that Pierre will likely win.

 

[Betonhaus]

Those Conservatives will be the first ones to go back to sleep as soon as Pierre is elected and walks back on all his promises. Also what promises I haven't heard anything good policy wise from Pierre's campaign. They won't be holding Pierre's feet to the fire

Just complying with Trump's demands will improve things on Canada, Carney would just continue to fight until our economy is in ruins.

The immediate concern is a functioning government, which we will only get if we remove the Liberals from power. After that we can begin the discussion on if Canada in its entirety can last or if it's time to dissolve.

The Conservatives will probably be spending a year or two figuring out how much money the Liberals squandered and trying to recover the losses

 

[Legalize Asbestos]

Just last summer a beloved Toronto principal committed suicide because he was bullied by an external social justice consultant that has managed to steal hundreds of thousands of dollars from a few major Ontario school boards.

It was partly that he was bullied, and partly that he was a life long believer in Social Justice and helped tonnes of black and brown kids - only for a coloured to repay him by ruining his career and everyone dogpiling to call him a racist bigot anyway. The cognitive dissonance was so strong that his brain resonated into mush. Although to be fair, some of the people he helped spoke up for him, it's just that they were children and so powerless.

Even though he was a bleeding heart for biomass, I felt terribly sorry for him - because I imagine he looked back on his life's work and saw only a career of folly, then decided to rope. That suggests he had a conscience and was just trying to be a good man. What a terrible way to die.

 

[Hokuriku]

Hard disagree. No chance CPC gets a majority. None. Very unlikely that they win at all.

I feel like if the internal polling was that pessimistic everyone would be acting a bit differently. I do find it a bit annoying that PP keeps using the same buzzwords over and over, but the fact he isn't mixing it up or changing tack suggests to me that something internally is demonstrating that it's resonating. I think maybe the only exception is the whole 'biological clock' thing? Haven't paid super close attention but I think he dropped that line a while back.

In general Pierre just seems like he's really at ease and having a great time, and he's sticking to the script. Carney generally seems dour and uncomfortable, and while that might just be because he's that way naturally he (and the media) are constantly having to target the Conservatives from different angles because they can't find something that sticks. His campaign is in complete chaotic disarray and nobody can agree on strategy, then it was rehashing an Indian donation issue from years ago, then it was 'biological clock', then it was his rallies being too big are somehow a bad thing. If the LPC was genuinely in an astronomical lead they'd be treating the CPC like the NDP - that is to say, forget they even exist and just make everything about themselves.

I dunno, Pierre could just be a great actor or whatever and I can only make uncertified speculations, but it legitimately reminds me of (a much more toned down version of) 2024 with Trump fucking around at McDonald's for laughs while Kamala swings wildly from cackling on talk shows to pounding on a lectern frothing at the mouth screaming NEVER AGAIN NEVER AGAIN NEVER AGAIN.

 

[Uncle Tom's Condo]

lmao wtf, NB?

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/chronic-absence-from-school-1.7501118

"Whether anxiety came first or the absenteeism came first … I think they contribute to each other and it gets to be a really big mountain," said Jason Jones of Atlantic Wellness, a clinic offering free mental health services to young people 12 to 21 years old, with funding from by private and public donors.

Around 30 per cent of students across New Brunswick are considered chronically absent, according to Education Minister Claire Johnson.


That's defined as missing more than two days a month, four weeks over the school year, or 10 per cent of instruction time.

Muh anxiety.... How the hell are 30% of kids missing 4 weeks of school each year?

Some students have been out of school since the pandemic, Jones said, and they find it increasingly difficult to return

Tough shit. All you gotta do is show up and praise trannies and chugs to get a B.

The chronic absence rate in Anglophone East is about 39 per cent, down from 43 per cent a few years ago, but still much higher than the pre-pandemic rate of 26 per cent.

JFC. This is embarrassing.

What a waste of time, money and resources.

 

[Scale Smerch]

I feel like if the internal polling was that pessimistic everyone would be acting a bit differently. I do find it a bit annoying that PP keeps using the same buzzwords over and over, but the fact he isn't mixing it up or changing tack suggests to me that something internally is demonstrating that it's resonating. I think maybe the only exception is the whole 'biological clock' thing? Haven't paid super close attention but I think he dropped that line a while back.

There are some media articles on local door knocking to corroborate this as well, though still arguably biased stories to give the impression of optimism. The latest smug reporting on that Ipsos poll about Libs being the favourites for resource/energy management (lol, lmao) is also indicative enough of some serious mainstream poll massaging and astroturfing happening behind the scenes.

Undeniably noticeable the Libs haven't found something to stick to Poilievre however; usually abortion or firearms does the trick (as was attempted with the biological clock comment), but there's been no traction on either. It would be nonstop Orange Man Bad messaging if the Libs thought it was enough.

 

[harbringer883]

any of you guys think the PPC can get some seats this election? There is no conservative candidate in my riding, so they pretty much are my only option.

I feel like if the internal polling was that pessimistic everyone would be acting a bit differently. I do find it a bit annoying that PP keeps using the same buzzwords over and over, but the fact he isn't mixing it up or changing tack suggests to me that something internally is demonstrating that it's resonating. I think maybe the only exception is the whole 'biological clock' thing? Haven't paid super close attention but I think he dropped that line a while back.

In general Pierre just seems like he's really at ease and having a great time, and he's sticking to the script. Carney generally seems dour and uncomfortable, and while that might just be because he's that way naturally he (and the media) are constantly having to target the Conservatives from different angles because they can't find something that sticks. His campaign is in complete chaotic disarray and nobody can agree on strategy, then it was rehashing an Indian donation issue from years ago, then it was 'biological clock', then it was his rallies being too big are somehow a bad thing. If the LPC was genuinely in an astronomical lead they'd be treating the CPC like the NDP - that is to say, forget they even exist and just make everything about themselves.

I dunno, Pierre could just be a great actor or whatever and I can only make uncertified speculations, but it legitimately reminds me of (a much more toned down version of) 2024 with Trump fucking around at McDonald's for laughs while Kamala swings wildly from cackling on talk shows to pounding on a lectern frothing at the mouth screaming NEVER AGAIN NEVER AGAIN NEVER AGAIN.

I agree. I think the CPC will still win but it wont be the crushing victory we where expecting if Trudeau was still running. I think this will be Kamala situation where the establishment is pushing for Carney and astroturfing his campaign, but in the end it wont amount to much. Only boomers, goyed out inner city toronto/montreal leftoids, redditors and american leftists actual like or support Carney in the end. No matter how much the shills say that Carney will win, remember thats thats exactly what they said about kamala.

 

[Brutality]

any of you guys think the PPC can get some seats this election? There is no conservative candidate in my riding, so they pretty much are my only option.

Enjoy having a liberal MP

Only boomers, goyed out inner city toronto/montreal leftoids, redditors and american leftists actual like or support Carney

Unfortunately that's a big chunk of the Atlantic Provinces, Toronto and Vancouver, which is why I maintain that it's basically even now. Never underestimate the retardation of a Canadian boomer

 

[Ser Prize]

I don't doubt that PP has a good chance of winning. I just doubt he'll do sweet fuck all. Cutting taxes and building homes yadda yadda. That isn't the fucking problem, and he knows that. Everyone knows that. But nobody will address the problem.

We went from a nation of 35 million to pushing 45+ million almost entirely via low skilled immigration. Some fucking boomer tax cuts doesn't matter when have ten millions foreigners shitting up every sector of your country, often times quite literally.

And now we have dedicated indian areas with dedicated indian politicians. Areas that PP courts and politicians that he endorses. We are fucking conquered and unless we undo that it'll just be a prolonged slide into the toilet bowl of New India.

So no, tax cuts and maybe sorta almost cutting down immigration from 1 million a year to half a million a year doesn't thrill me.

 

[harbringer883]

I don't doubt that PP has a good chance of winning. I just doubt he'll do sweet fuck all. Cutting taxes and building homes yadda yadda. That isn't the fucking problem, and he knows that. Everyone knows that. But nobody will address the problem.

We went from a nation of 35 million to pushing 45+ million almost entirely via low skilled immigration. Some fucking boomer tax cuts doesn't matter when have ten millions foreigners shitting up every sector of your country, often times quite literally.

And now we have dedicated indian areas with dedicated indian politicians. Areas that PP courts and politicians that he endorses. We are fucking conquered and unless we undo that it'll just be a prolonged slide into the toilet bowl of New India.

So no, tax cuts and maybe sorta almost cutting down immigration from 1 million a year to half a million a year doesn't thrill me.

sadly PPC is the only party with any hope of fixing mass immigration, but they will never get into power.

 

[Lobster Cult High Priest]

sadly PPC is the only party with any hope of fixing mass immigration, but they will never get into power.

Even the PPC is now running Jeet Candidates as seen from their feuds with the Diagolon Guys.

Is Mark Friessen still running as the PPC candidate for Saskatoon? Like he was back in 2019 and 2021.