California pulls the plug on rooftop solar - The Public Utilities Commission approved Net Energy Metering 3.0, slashing payments for sending rooftop solar production to the grid. New rooftop solar projects are now considered uneconomical without an attached battery.

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DECEMBER 15, 2022 RYAN KENNEDY

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Image: Wikimedia Commons

The California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) unanimously voted to approve Net Energy Metering 3.0 (NEM), slashing payments for excess solar production sent to the grid by 75%.

CPUC voted cut the average export rate in California from $0.30 per kWh to $0.08 per kWh, making the cuts effective on April 15, 2023. Customers who have new systems installed and approved for grid interconnection before the effective date in April will be grandfathered in to NEM 2.0 rates.

During the vote, the Commission said the balancing of costs and benefits continue to be “quite generous” under the decision.

Currently, average net metering rates range from $0.23 per kWh to $0.35 per kWh, and the new proposed decision cuts those rates to an average of $0.05 per kWh to $0.08 per kWh. This is set to be the largest cut of export rates in U.S. history, in a market that represents roughly 50% of the nation’s residential solar market.

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Image: Save California Solar

Payments were cut as a result of a reported cost shift where non-solar owners cross-subsidize solar owners for maintaining the grid. The utility-backed concept suggests poorer Californians are paying higher utility rates to pay for lost profits that utilities endure in order to pay solar owner for delivering clean energy to the grid.

Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory studied the effect, and found that for the vast majority of states and utilities, the effects of distributed solar on retail electricity prices will likely remain negligible for the foreseeable future.” The study found that distributed solar “likely entails no more than a 0.03 cent/kWh long-run increase in U.S. average retail electricity prices, and far smaller than that for most utilities.”

As exported power loses its value, Californians now have their hand forced to adopt batteries with their solar installations if they want a reasonable return on investment. Return on investment periods are estimated to move from an average of about 4.5 years to 6.5 years to 14.5 years, said Centrica Business Solutions.

“We believe this would represent a potential 70-85% drop in economic value for solar-only systems, which would suggest California would effectively become a 100% solar and storage end market, which ultimately makes solar much less accessible and affordable,” wrote Phil Shen, managing director, ROTH Capital Partners.

The Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA) said the decision is “too abrupt” and will slow rooftop solar deployment in the state. “The failure to adopt a more gradual transition to net billing risks putting solar out of reach for millions of residents across the state,” said SEIA.

In 2016 to 2018, the state of Nevada went through massive oscillations in rooftop solar deployment after a similar net metering value reduction was approved. A $35 solar penalty fee, and a 75% drop in fees led to a nearly 90% drop in rooftop deployment growth in the state.

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Image: Environment California

“California’s residential solar segment could be down 30% year-over-year in the 12 months after this becomes effective,” wrote Shen.

The California Solar and Storage Association (CALSSA) said the state is currently installing roughly 30,000 batteries compared to 200,000 solar systems. High costs, supply chain constraints, inflation and permitting and interconnection delays and challenges means it could take years for storage to catch up to solar, said CALSSA.

Currently roughly 1.5 million consumers in California use net metering, including thousands of churches, farms, and affordable housing units. In total, 13 GW of distributed solar capacity has been installed across the state, the size of six Diablo Canyon nuclear sites.

Rooftop solar is valued for its ability to efficiently deliver clean power, limit the amount of transmission infrastructure needed to support generation, provide backup power and grid services, support small business, and more.

The CPUC found that California must triple the amount of local, distributed solar to reach the clean energy mandate laid out by the state’s Senate Bill 100. The California Solar and Storage Association forecast rooftop solar could save California ratepayers $120 billion by 2050, or $300 per person per year.

(Read: “Coalition received $1.7 million from three California utilities to push NEM 3.0, a rooftop solar ‘killer’“)

Environment California found that, based on a state regulator estimated deployment of 28.5 GW of rooftop solar through 2045, rooftop solar could prevent the development of 148,000 acres of land versus a centralized utility-scale-only model. That is an area about half the size of Los Angeles that could be preserved.

“[The decision] comes as climate-related disasters continue to intensify and the electric grid remains vulnerable to aging infrastructure and volatile global energy markets,” said SEIA. “Distributed solar and storage helps strengthen the grid and boost our resilience to these threats.”

Mark Jacobson, fellow and professor of civil and environmental engineering at Stanford University, said rooftop solar is important in protecting human health and minimizing risks. Replacing overhead wiring, overloaded transformers, and natural gas piping, rooftop solar replaces harmful and dangerous infrastructure from the built environment.

“The argument this proposal will help disadvantages communities is wrong… it will disproportionately kill them,” said Jacobson.

In 2017, electric utility PG&E’s downed transmission wires were found to be the cause of massive wildfires and leaving many Californians without homes. The company was stuck with a $7.5 billion bill as it was found at fault for negligence in maintaining vegetation around its centralized transmission wires. These costs incurred by the utilities are harmful to all Californians, as the financial fallout from these disasters is picked up by ratepayers in the form of a higher bill.

CALSSA called the new decision a “loser” for California. “For the solar industry, it will result in business closures and the loss of green jobs. For middle class and working class neighborhoods where solar is growing fastest, it puts clean energy further out of reach. For our grid reliability needs, it fails to promise robust growth in battery storage. And for California’s race to clean energy, it puts us behind our goals and out of step with the national pro-solar agenda,” said Bernadette Del Chiaro, executive director, CALSSA.

Source (Archive)
 
Net-metering is a scam that is an enormous subsidy for rooftop solar paid by the utilities and their customers. Solar produces a surplus of power at midday which the utility is forced to buy at full retail rates even when the market rate is far below that and they are forced to give power back to the solar panel owners at night, when power is more expensive and the solar panels aren't generating anything. The new scheme isn't eliminating net-metering; the utility will only pay the wholesale price for electricity and panel owners will still pay retail prices when they need power from the grid. It's not perfect since it is a flat rate instead of a spot price, but it's still way better than the old system.

Sucks for the people in debt who expected to be able to pay off their panels in a short period of time, but California is actually taking a step in the right direction for once.
 
The scam's over boys. No new suckers for you. Make due with the ones you already got.

Can't wait to see youtubers who shilled this shit like Tech Nigger and Linus Soy Tips defend their stance.
 
The new scheme isn't eliminating net-metering; the utility will only pay the wholesale price for electricity and panel owners will still pay retail prices when they need power from the grid. It's not perfect since it is a flat rate instead of a spot price, but it's still way better than the old system.
Funny, Florida did the same thing this year and I was told DeSantis was trying to steal from Floridians.
 
Isn't there a new law in California that every new house must have solar panels installed? Panels were already not paying for themselves until a decade or so after installation, just in time to need new panels. Can you break even with the new rates?
 
Isn't there a new law in California that every new house must have solar panels installed? Panels were already not paying for themselves until a decade or so after installation, just in time to need new panels. Can you break even with the new rates?
Right at this moment? Probably, with energy prices being pretty high. Long term? Depends on whether California keeps kneecapping its energy industry.

This is the right move as mentioned prior, distorted incentives benefit nobody in the long run. But being the right move just proves that buying them as a net financial positive is stupid. If you want some power grid independence then by all means, but expect to be paying for it. I'd bet that premium will look more and more worthwhile as the local grids become more and more unstable.
 
Isn't there a new law in California that every new house must have solar panels installed? Panels were already not paying for themselves until a decade or so after installation, just in time to need new panels. Can you break even with the new rates?
Pay for themselves? That's not the end-goal. These things are just the next tax scheme for the golden state. You jack up the price, make it so the dirty poors can't afford it, get to feel great cause saving the world or whatever, and "create jobs" by requiring these things everywhere. California stays at it always has, everything gets more expensive, more things become rich-exclusive, and California rolls out revolutionary new affordable apartment housing, complete with solar panels!
 
Right at this moment? Probably, with energy prices being pretty high. Long term? Depends on whether California keeps kneecapping its energy industry.

This is the right move as mentioned prior, distorted incentives benefit nobody in the long run. But being the right move just proves that buying them as a net financial positive is stupid. If you want some power grid independence then by all means, but expect to be paying for it. I'd bet that premium will look more and more worthwhile as the local grids become more and more unstable.
I'd agree that they are a good idea for independence, but most solar in California is installed in such a way that it only sends electricity to the grid. Most solar in California is leased panels installed by Sunrun or SolarCity. These panels don't actually supply electricity directly to the home, just back to PG&E or whatever electric company. Of course, they never directly tell you this unless you directly ask. I had a relative who wanted to buy panels that directly fed their home and they had a bit of a hard time finding someone who could (this could have been due to where they live). And then it was almost a year wait.
 
I'd agree that they are a good idea for independence, but most solar in California is installed in such a way that it only sends electricity to the grid. Most solar in California is leased panels installed by Sunrun or SolarCity. These panels don't actually supply electricity directly to the home, just back to PG&E or whatever electric company. Of course, they never directly tell you this unless you directly ask. I had a relative who wanted to buy panels that directly fed their home and they had a bit of a hard time finding someone who could (this could have been due to where they live). And then it was almost a year wait.
This is the major problem with all of these schemes, they don't actually fix anything or provide long-term benefits for people. I guarantee you that the grid would not be as taxed as it is if homes were using less electricity regardless of how that happens, but since batteries are almost never included in these installs the best savings might not be there. I do think that every house in the United States should be self-sufficient as possible simply on grounds of practicality, but also to cut strings to the state and feds that may get yanked whenever they feel like it.
 
I know it'll never happen, but they really should do a major check into these places that give 30 year loans for solar. You're almost giving up your house to them if you do that. The stories of people that get screwed from it are all over the place.
 
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