And why Youngkin won Virginia, a Biden+10 state?
1976
Carter wins the presidency (losing Virginia by 1 point)
1977
Republicans win the Virginia governorship by 12 points (shift of 11)
1980
Reagan win the presidency (winning Virginia by 13 points)
1981
Democrats win the Virginia governorship by 7 points (shift of 20)
1988
Bush Sr win the presidency (winning Virginia by 20 points)
1981
Democrats win the Virginia governorship by 0.3 points (shift of 20)
1992
Clinton win the presidency (losing Virginia by 4 points)
1981
Republicans win the Virginia governorship by 17 points (shift of 13)
2000
Bush Jr win the presidency (winning Virginia by 8 points)
2001
Democrats win the Virginia governorship by 5 points (shift of 13)
2008
Obama win the presidency (winning Virginia by 6 points)
2009
Republicans win the Virginia governorship by 17 points (shift of 23)
2016
Trump win the presidency (losing Virginia by 5 points)
2017
Democrats win the Virginia governorship by 9 points (shift of 4)
2020
Biden win the presidency (winning Virginia by 10 points)
2021
Republicans win the Virginia governorship by 2 points (shift of 13)
You need to go all the way back to 1969 for a first-term president's party to
not lose the Virginia gubernatorial election, over 50 years ago.