- Joined
- Feb 6, 2021
We are more than half a month in this crap and it allows for some interesting metrics.
So far Amber has 681,000 views on all her vlogmas stuff released. It's really interesting because it allows me to compare data from last year as these videos were released to allow us to look at Amber's true audience size.
If you minus clickbait titles like the lipoedema vids Amber's true audience is at around 35 - 40k. Compared to the previous year at let's say the same date we get this;
As you can see there is a drop off of about 10 - 15k but clickbait is so ingrained in the function of her channel. If we cut it in the middle and suggest 60k was her average we can extrapolate that she has lost nearly 35% of her audience.
Another interesting factor is if you apply videos after November 15th, the suspected pay cut-off is the 15th of each month, her views total up to 553k. Adding this together comes up to about 1.2 million views and about 100,000 after her legacy views.
Revenue wise it's about $5000 a month at a $3 CPM and added about 1.2k for ads etc due to December. $5000 a month is nothing to Amber as she confesses to ordering takeout currently multiple times a day even meaning she is saving none of this.
So if we follow this to the future applying the 2020s numbers we get this
She went from about 90k - 100k views a video to 60k in a year which is 40%. So we get this;
2020 - 2021: A loss of 40% of the audience.
2021 - 2022: A loss of 35% of the audience
I am locking it in that in 2023 we will see a 30% audience meaning her views will go down to 28,000 on average for a video. This would mean her monthly for 15 uploads is about 420,000, at her current CPM is $1260 a month.
At the end of the day, Amber's channel is in full diminishing returns mode. Nothing she can do can counteract this effect. The only way to fight diminishing returns is to address the root cause and this is why all cows cannot fight it. It requires self-awareness and ownership of the fault.
I do think Amber looks at Kiwifarms as does Jade actually because of how they take down channels and Reddit. I predict that after Christmas Jade will go as she produces less content in January, I do think we will get her to just stop losing weight as she knows it brings in money.
So far Amber has 681,000 views on all her vlogmas stuff released. It's really interesting because it allows me to compare data from last year as these videos were released to allow us to look at Amber's true audience size.
If you minus clickbait titles like the lipoedema vids Amber's true audience is at around 35 - 40k. Compared to the previous year at let's say the same date we get this;
As you can see there is a drop off of about 10 - 15k but clickbait is so ingrained in the function of her channel. If we cut it in the middle and suggest 60k was her average we can extrapolate that she has lost nearly 35% of her audience.
Another interesting factor is if you apply videos after November 15th, the suspected pay cut-off is the 15th of each month, her views total up to 553k. Adding this together comes up to about 1.2 million views and about 100,000 after her legacy views.
Revenue wise it's about $5000 a month at a $3 CPM and added about 1.2k for ads etc due to December. $5000 a month is nothing to Amber as she confesses to ordering takeout currently multiple times a day even meaning she is saving none of this.
So if we follow this to the future applying the 2020s numbers we get this
She went from about 90k - 100k views a video to 60k in a year which is 40%. So we get this;
2020 - 2021: A loss of 40% of the audience.
2021 - 2022: A loss of 35% of the audience
I am locking it in that in 2023 we will see a 30% audience meaning her views will go down to 28,000 on average for a video. This would mean her monthly for 15 uploads is about 420,000, at her current CPM is $1260 a month.
At the end of the day, Amber's channel is in full diminishing returns mode. Nothing she can do can counteract this effect. The only way to fight diminishing returns is to address the root cause and this is why all cows cannot fight it. It requires self-awareness and ownership of the fault.
I do think Amber looks at Kiwifarms as does Jade actually because of how they take down channels and Reddit. I predict that after Christmas Jade will go as she produces less content in January, I do think we will get her to just stop losing weight as she knows it brings in money.
? Amber's $3000 wouldn't even cover her own food bill, let alone her psychologist, psychiatrist, precriptions, shopping, rent, utilities, car insurance, car payments, and fuel. And then to put additional money aside for Amber's WLS (which will never happen, but it's still money being put aside that she's can't spend right now). I can't see Jade being so flush with cash that she'd be willing (or able) to pay for all of this and live in the dirt and clutter, just to watch Amber's lipedema waddle around. Maybe I'm underestimating the power of degeneracy, but I don't know.