Let's pretend for one moment that he does die before the election, just for the funsies. What happens then? Will the nomination revert to option number 2, aka Bernie Sanders? Or will his running mate automatically replace him just the way Vice-President is supposted to step in after the Big Man in the White House chokes on a piece of matzo? Does he even have a running mate yet?
US Joe Biden News Megathread - The Other Biden Derangement Syndrome Thread (with a side order of Fauci Derangement Syndrome)
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- Jul 14, 2016
They're ignoring their own oversampling, the fact that they poll in areas that are naturally going to favor their side like college towns, the shy trump voter effect, and any other way you can rig a poll to say whatever you want without just flat out lying, as well as the flat out lies that they're probably telling.
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- Feb 22, 2020
Reality. Hillary lost with a 99% lead in (Pokemon Go to) the polls.
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- Aug 18, 2020
Well, there's the risk of being canceled. Best to be quiet and vote and save the fuckyous for later. That's the hope, anyway. The pollsters fucked up bigly in 2004 and 2016, so they're scarcely spot on. If Biden has indeed disappeared, it is likely to have an effect also, though his media, which is most of them, would hide it if he were stone dead, and if it got out they'd say it was Rooshian disinformation.
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- Jul 8, 2019
You're assuming he didn't already know and actively participate. Ashley Biden said he molested her, and that her sex addiction was caused by it. Hunter Biden is a pedophile and a sex addict, I wonder what made him that way. It is a mystery...
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- Aug 18, 2020
Or he might have the coof, which would be embarrassing. They'd definitely try to cover it up, at least until they were able to cook up a slightly plausible "it's Trump's fault" explanation.
legalkochi
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- Dec 17, 2019
Let's see.
Pollsters are ignoring new registered voters that have registered for the 2020 election, they're still oversampling Democrats by laughable margins, and their distribution sucks ass (rural areas are considerably harder to poll than urban/suburban areas). Plus social desirability bias and that a lot of conservatives are not willing to pick up the phone to answer the polls or they'll lie. I think that a lot of Democrats are also lying about voting for Biden when they're gonna vote for Trump.
(Another key note: A rural Democrat will usually not vote like an urban Democrat. They may as well be Republican voters, as some are only ancestral Democrats but they have long left the party in terms of voting for them; they just don't bother to change their registration).
Oh, and do not forget that they're weighing the polls based off of 2012 and 2008 turnout (they're not weighing it based off of 2016 because they're dishonest and think that election is a fluke. Oh, how wrong they're going to be). 90% of the black voting population will not be turning out for Biden like they did for 0bama.
So, really, we'll have to see what election day produces. But this election won't be won by Joe Biden. The country is shifting to the right nationally.
Oh, and some polling firms are rigged by the liberals running them, think of Marist and Quinnipiac for example, and there you have it.
Polling is bunk. Instead, the real polls come from voter registration trends and which party is currently kicking ass in early voting in key swing states (spoiler alert: It's the Republicans). Oh, and there's also the enthusiasm gap (Trump is way ahead of Biden in terms of enthusiasm), and what merchandise is being bought.
A lot of cookie polls taken at some bakeries are also showing insurmountable leads for Trump. Cookie polls can predict which candidate has the most enthusiasm (that's Trump) and one cookie poll (conducted by the Busken Bakery in Cincinnati) has accurately predicted the presidential winner since 1984.
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- Jul 25, 2019
I know a man who voted Trump and is STILL posting Biden propaganda on Facebook. He's a weirdo, but generally pretty damn left wing. The shy Trump vote is real.
Yeah the polls weirds the fuck out of me, I know one black guy who absolutely abhors Trump and supports BLM, but he said in no way is he willing to vote Biden when I assumed if he was going to vote Biden. Like even for people who hate Trump they are reluctant for Biden. Hell, in the All Gas No Brake video on the Portland Protests there was a segment where event the protesters didn't care much for Biden. Like where the hell are these people who are secretly supporting Biden.
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- May 25, 2018
In regards to his daughter's diary ... I don't think the Trump campaign should touch it right now. The media would spin it as Trump "getting in the middle of a family's strife." Also, it would distract people from Hunter's computer ... Which is by far the bigger scandal in the political scope of things right now.
What I'm saying is that it could absolutely be bait for the Trump campaign. The risk poses greater possible losses than possible gains at this point in time. I say it should get hammered hard after the election.
What I'm saying is that it could absolutely be bait for the Trump campaign. The risk poses greater possible losses than possible gains at this point in time. I say it should get hammered hard after the election.
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- Jul 20, 2020
I thought it was funny that Sleepy Joe's "You ain't black" gaffe happened right before Fenty Floyd was martyred, and then that whole incident was memory-holed.
Florida and Pennsylvania both have trended much more Republican in voter registrations since 2016. That's not a guarantee Trump will win them, but these pollsters getting Biden comfortably ahead in those states doesn't jibe with these trends. These states are becoming redder.
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- Sep 29, 2018
Anytime there's numbers involved, I fall back onto what my statistics professor told me our first day of class. "Statistics is about lying to people and getting away with it." She taught the math stuff, but put great emphasis on how to skew things. Combine that with my Sam Hyde feelings about modern day journalists, and that's how I feel about polls; unless they're going to release a white paper with everything attached... and even then, they're still probably lying.
queue-anon
kiwifarms.net
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- Jan 13, 2019
It wouldn't surprise me if solid blue states look a little more purple this year, but I also think Biden will get enough swing states to win. The ultimate chaotic result will be Biden wins the electoral college but loses the popular vote. It would also be hilarious to see Dems hoist by that petard with how much reeing they do when their electoral strategies inevitably shit the bed.
Regardless of who wins, going forward, I don't have a lot of hope for the country at large. Neither side has any real leaders, especially any who are younger than retirement age. At least on the Democrats' side, I think some of it is due to the lack of competitiveness in Democratic strongholds. Cory Booker and Kamala were supposed to be the next generation but they're both uncharismatic weirdos.
Regardless of who wins, going forward, I don't have a lot of hope for the country at large. Neither side has any real leaders, especially any who are younger than retirement age. At least on the Democrats' side, I think some of it is due to the lack of competitiveness in Democratic strongholds. Cory Booker and Kamala were supposed to be the next generation but they're both uncharismatic weirdos.
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- Mar 19, 2018
Hunter and Joe are both corrupt and sex pests. I doubt the apple falls far from the tree. What I was trying to say is that even if Joe never was a perv -which he probably is considering all the images of him being a creep- and even if he didn’t know about Hunter -I highly doubt he was ignorant - it’d be difficult to process Hunter’s actions. To have all of that aired to the public would be hard to process, doubly so if he’s guilty. Joe may never be prosecuted but he knows what he’s done is wrong. He knows he’s failed his country and his family.
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- Joined
- Jul 20, 2020
A Democrat losing the popular vote but winning the electoral college is next to impossible, due to Democratic support being largely in urban areas. That's why Trump can lose the popular vote by 2-3 points and the electoral college would likely still be in toss-up territory.
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- Jul 8, 2019
He doesn't, he can't, and he never will. People like him are not capable of those sorts of thoughts.
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- Jan 18, 2017
Social or financial reasons can be a helluva motivator to put a forward face different than what you believe.
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- Sep 27, 2018
I remember someone saying it was funny that the Central Park Karen episode suddenly blew up right after Biden demelanated all blacks that weren't voting for him and then St. Floyd couldn't breef and suddenly both went right into the memory hole.
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- Feb 6, 2018
Definitely not. The dude was kinda around, but after Obama made a serious effort to look like he was doing something about Hurricane Sandy, the writing was on the wall. Joe on the other hand, is actually mentally unwell and it's kinda miraculous he's even alive at this point.
Super OT= I remember voting for Romney in that election because my dad at the time was an avid listener of Dick Morris and genuinely believed that Sandy would fuck up Dem voter turnout in NJ and allow Romney to swing the state.
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My personal theory is that this was supposed to be Kamala's turn, and then Tulsi's beatdown and Kamala's lack of charisma and likeability fucked all of that up.
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- Dec 24, 2019
They'll never say it this year, but maybe in 20 years, if there's any integrity in political history circles, they'll reflect on the Biden campaign, taken altogether but most acutely in its final 6 months, and declare it the single most pathetic campaign in the history of campaigns.
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- Sep 29, 2018
Now that I think about it, they could've fielded Joe for a clandestine reason (aside killing him off to make way for Kamala). If they put him up front, with his deteriorating mental state, then all this trash comes out; if they were to try and prosecute him (and associates), they could get evaluate his mental state and get him written off as incompetent and therefore unable to testify or whatever. Random thought, probably not even a good one, but eh.
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