UN US Midterm Elections 2018 Megathread - Blue Wave or Red Tsunami? Because you know we need one.

November 6th, 2018.
You have less than one month to sperg about the midterm elections.

Hot Takes :
Tis the end of Drumpf!

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

http://archive.is/1rEYe

Could the US midterm elections break Trump's presidency?

President Donald Trump. Source: AAP


Voting in the US midterm elections is now underway.

UpdatedUpdated 27 September
By Rashida Yosufzai, Nick Baker
In this article...

• What are the midterms?
• What do the polls predict?
• Why do these elections matter?
• How could recent developments affect things?
• Could Trump be impeached?
• Will the youth vote make a difference?
• What does it mean for Australia?

Americans have started to cast their ballots in a vote that could shape the rest of Donald Trump's presidency.

Although the US midterm elections are technically held on 6 November, early voting has already started in a handful of states.

Minnesota was the first state to allow early in-person voting on 21 September, with a handful of key states following, including New Jersey, California and Arizona.


Thirty-five states and the District of Columbia offer some form of early voting, meaning every day until 6 November counts for Democrats and Republicans.

It's been an inauspicious beginning to the voting season for Mr Trump and his Republican Party, which continue to struggle under the weight of near-constant self-imposed crises and chaos.

80 per cent chance of winning back the chamber.

Republicans have a 1 in 5 chance of keeping control of the House, while Democrats have about a 4 in 5 chance of winning control of the House. https://t.co/lyNh30TEIw pic.twitter.com/O38qtMPpIz

— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 25, 2018
The Senate though is likely to be retained by the Republicans.

According to CNN, the Democrats are defending some two dozen seats, including 10 in states where Mr Trump secured victory in 2016, and five of those where he won resoundingly.

FiveThirtyEight gives the Democrats just a 30 per cent chance of taking the Senate.

Trump's election one year on: What do Americans think of him now?[/paste:font]


The Democrats could also use their numbers to set up House select committees targeting the president.

"They will have an opportunity to set up special panels and committees to essentially smear President Trump," United States Studies Centre research fellow Dougal Robinson told SBS News in April.

Mr Robinson pointed to the Benghazi committee set up by the Republicans against Hillary Clinton in 2014 to further investigate the fatal 2012 terrorist attack on two US government facilities in Libya.

Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

Once seen as cruising to an easy vote - fulfilling Mr Trump's key promise to stack the Supreme Court with conservative justices - a string of sexual assault allegations has turned the Kavanaugh decision into all-out political war.

According to CNN's national political reporter Eric Bradner, the scandal and lukewarm response from some Republicans to Mr Kavanaugh's accusers could "drive suburban women away in midterms".

I have no doubt that, if the attack on Dr. Ford was as bad as she says, charges would have been immediately filed with local Law Enforcement Authorities by either her or her loving parents. I ask that she bring those filings forward so that we can learn date, time, and place!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 21, 2018
Analysts also point to Robert Mueller's investigation as an ongoing potential source of political curveballs.

Mr Mueller has already indicted more than 30 people in connection with his probe into whether members of Mr Trump's campaign colluded with Russia to help get the real estate tycoon elected.

And speculation has swirled in recent days that Mr Trump may fire embattled deputy attorney general Rod Rosenstein - who oversees the Russia collusion probe.

Doubts over how long Mr Rosenstein can keep the job have swirled since shock media reports that he once suggested secretly recording Mr Trump to collect evidence for ousting him under a constitutional amendment for presidents unfit to remain in office.

Mr Rosenstein's firing - and Mr Trump possibly putting someone more pliable in his place - would set off alarm bells over the future independence of a probe, which has the potential to rock both the midterms and the entire Trump presidency.

US wants ‘partnership, not domination’ in Australia and region[/paste:font]


A report co-authored by Mr Robinson predicted after the midterms, Congress would be highly unlikely to support a US re-entry to the Trans-Pacific Partnership - a trade deal between 11 Pacific nations including Australia and New Zealand which Mr Trump pulled the US out of last year.

Another issue that may affect Australia is that if the Democrats retake the House, it is likely to lead to lower defence spending.

Additional reporting: AAP, AFP

This article was originally published in April 2018 and updated in September 2018.

How will Trump keep his voter base energized? "More Winning."
http://archive.fo/VkaHH

TRUMP HAS A TWO WORD RESPONSE WHEN REPORTER ASKS HIM HOW HE WILL KEEP GOP BASE ENERGIZED
5:52 PM 10/10/2018
Benny Johnson | Reporter At Large

President Donald Trump made portions of the White House press corps chuckle with his response on how he intends to keep Republican voters fired up after the ultimately successful confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

“How do you keep your base energized now that you have this Kavanaugh victory?” one reporter asked. Tuesday was the first day that Kavanaugh sat on the court after a contentious battle over his nomination.

“More winning,” Trump said.

Trump was leaving the White House on his way to a campaign rally Tuesday night when he took questions from reporters in the White House driveway.

The president was also asked about the mobs of paid progressive protesters that took over Capitol Hill during the contentious debate over Kavanaugh’s confirmation. Trump was specifically asked about the intense “energy” of the protesters.

“A lot of those were paid protesters. You saw that they are all unhappy because they haven’t been paid yet,” Trump alleged about the protesters. (RELATED: Trump Has A Theory Why The Anti-Kavanaugh Protesters Are So Mad)


Trump brought up his new trade deal with Canada and Mexico as a major policy win. “Our deal with Mexico and Canada was fantastic,” Trump said. “China wants to make a deal so badly. We will see where it goes. But I don’t think they are ready.”

Trump Will Lose 60 Seats in the house... Unless... Please Visit My Site
http://archive.fo/zHe4o

MATT DRUDGE WARNS OF MIDTERM BLOODBATH: TRUMP TO LOSE ’60 SEATS IN THE HOUSE LIKE OBAMA DID’
2:41 PM 09/14/2018
Peter Hasson | Reporter

Conservative news giant Matt Drudge on Friday made a somber prediction about Republicans’ chances in the November midterm elections, predicting President Donald Trump will see his party lose 60 seats in the House of Representatives.

Drudge, who runs the influential Drudge Report, compared the upcoming midterms to the electoral bloodbath Democrats suffered in the 2010 midterm elections under former President Barack Obama.

Screenshot/Twitter

“Trump and Obama both have 47% approval at this time of presidency, according to Rasmussen. Trump will also lose 60 seats in the House like Obama did during first midterm!” Drudge wrote on Twitter. (RELATED: Democrats Should Immediately Abolish ICE After Retaking Congress)

He added cryptically: “Unless…”

Democrats have to gain 23 House seats in November in order to flip the lower chamber. Democrats have an 83 percent chance of retaking the House, according to FiveThirty Eight.

Follow Hasson on Twitter @PeterJHasson

Content created by The Daily Caller News Foundation is available without charge to any eligible news publisher that can provide a large audience. For licensing opportunities of our original content, please contact licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.

The Weird :
Mark Taylor "Red Tsunami Prophecy"
http://archive.fo/KJjj2

Mark Taylor (The Trump Prophecies): Most Important Midterm Elections In All Of US History
July 30, 2018 29 3159


Mark Taylor says the upcoming 2018 elections are the most important mid-term elections in all of America’s history. Here’s why…

Mark Taylor interviewed by Greg Hunter on USA Watchdog

Mark Taylor, author of the popular book “The Trump Prophecies,” contends, “If you are part of the army of God, you need to be ready also because there are going to be politicians that are going to resign. We have had the biggest number of resignations probably in history. This midterm election is going to be huge. This is going to be a red tsunami. They keep talking about the blue wave. I think it’s going to be a blue drip, a leaky faucet, and that is all they are going to get. You have had more resignations than we have ever seen. Now is the time to go in and capture this ground and hold it for the Kingdom of God. . . . It’s not a left or right thing. God is moving us towards a place of righteousness. That’s what’s happening right now. So, he’s going to be replacing these people. If you are called to be a judge, senator, congressman or a council person, I don’t care what level local, state or federal, take your place and get ready. If you are in the Army of God and you don’t vote, you need to get off your behind and register to vote. These are going to be the most important midterm elections in America’s history—period.”

In closing, Taylor says, “I don’t think there is going to be another Democrat in the White House for a long time, if ever again. I believe you are seeing the death of the Democrat party right now.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Mark Taylor, co-author of “The Trump Prophecies,” which has been made into a movie that is releasing in early October.

Donations: https://usawatchdog.com/donations/

 

[Zap Rowsdower]

That's why I said it the way I did. I'll raise you one more, the DEMs can still lose the house and make a gain of 1 seat and the press will be printing "The Resistance is Here" everywhere tomorrow morning. Such is politics today.

"How Dumbledore's Army is Growing Right Under Trump's Nose (And How You Can Join the Fight)"

 

[Johnny Bravo]

I only plan to vote on props. Let fate decide the rest.

 

[Your Weird Fetish]

Sure, if you read the article (which I imagine doesn't have an interview now) -you- might not see any bias, but you think there's no bias there?

You think there's no bias with a woman who can't even leave a voicemail for a candidate without sighing, lacing expletives around his name whenever she mentions it in private, and openly saying she hopes another candidate wins and there's no issue with bias in a journalistic organization?

I wonder how she and her fellow "journalists" talk about politics in the office when they swear at the names of the people they're trying to interview to make money off of them.

It's impossible to be nonbiased in your personal life. The only way they could do that would be by hiring people that cared so little about politics they wouldn't be able to ask any good questions in an interview because they'd have no idea what's going on. You just have to make a conscious effort to keep it separate from your writing.

 

[Collections Agent]

I predict a massive upset, but I don't think the "Red Tsunami" is gonna happen.

I predict this mainly because if all your news sources are saying "we r good they r bad we r gonna win look at polls bad guys r gonna lose" then most lazy NEETs figure they can just stay home and not vote and they will win anyways

 

[Kari Kamiya]

You say "Today is enough", but it was two years ago that the people said, "Enough is enough". Remember? Is the Alzheimer's finally kicking in, Hillary?

 

[MeatRokket08]

My predictions:

There's not gonna be a red wave. Repubs will not gain many seats, however they will keep enough to stay majority. I think they're gonna have more of an iron wall than a tsunami

Demos will likely lose seats, may gain a few but not enough to hold ground either way it swings. Outcome for the blue wave is unlikely

 

[Russian Collusion]

Vladimir Putin picked me up and drove me to my polling place. Such a nice guy.

 

[Iceland Heavy]

Got to my polling place around 10, there was a bit of a wait but not a particularly long one. I'm in about as blue an area as you can get so it's pretty much a forgone conclusion there, the state propositions were what really mattered. Nationally I'm banking on not much of a shift either way.

 

[DangerousGas]

My money is on a purple shart.

 

[Ponderous Pillock]

So I threw my cup of chicken bones and read how they fell.

Here is my prediction.

Conventional wisdom does not apply in the age of Trump and the media has been relying on said wisdom. Local news has hammered every democrat they have covered as the local news Streisand effected the vids released by project veritas.

So the bones tell me thus, turnout is high but the Dems are in for a shocking night. Districts are going to vote stack support meaning some blue areas will remain blue, perhaps just enough to take the house but doubtful. Hung or challenge areas the Dems MUST capture are going to stay red.

The Senate though? Blood bath. Not one seat will be theirs in places they needed to hold or gain that isn't on a coast where the drones and fake voters can swarm.

Why? Because the uncanny paralells between the uks Labour party under Corbyn and how things are for them. Fact is support for them has generally collapsed among swing and Target seats they need to get.

They went up against a tired, knackered party with broadcast media and social media behind them against a party in government for 7 years who had blown a 20% lead and the great result was stacking votes in places that barely mattered. In the swing seats the Tories are now dug in hard and enjoying vote majorities of nearly 20,000 votes or more. Which is considered by most conventional wisdom as nearly unassailable safe seat territory.

 

[Karellen]

I’m going with the repeats of Brexit and 2016. Liberals will tee hee hee about how they’re on the right side of history and destined to win, blue check marks on Twitter will prematurely declare victory. But none of them will go vote. They will then screech all night and tomorrow about how racist amerikkkka is and the salt will be glorious.

 

[The Giver]

My greatest hope is for a Ted Cruz loss. Can you imagine going from arguable frontrunner for the presidency to cucked out of your senate seat by a democrat in fucking Texas in the space of like 2 years?

 

[Collections Agent]

My greatest hope is for a Ted Cruz loss. Can you imagine going from arguable frontrunner for the presidency to cucked out of your senate seat by a democrat in fucking Texas in the space of like 2 years?

I don't think Ted will lose, he's gotten really likeable ever since he stopped giving a shit

 

[RodgerDodger]

My predictions:

There's not gonna be a red wave. Repubs will not gain many seats, however they will keep enough to stay majority. I think they're gonna have more of an iron wall than a tsunami

Demos will likely lose seats, may gain a few but not enough to hold ground either way it swings. Outcome for the blue wave is unlikely

I still think GOP gains in the Senate. 3-5. Dem's gain maybe 6 House seats. Not enough to flip. I think most of the hotly contested Governors break Republican. Abrams flops and Gillum comes up short.

 

[Jet Fuel Johnny]

My greatest hope is for a Ted Cruz loss. Can you imagine going from arguable frontrunner for the presidency to cucked out of your senate seat by a democrat in fucking Texas in the space of like 2 years?

Gotta be careful about badmouthing Ted "Zodiac Killer" Cruz. A man who's figured out how to time travel to get his serial killer vibe on isn't someone you take lightly.

 

[The Great Chandler]

Voting was easy street for me, but there was more people earlier before I came there. Also, a nice lady picked me up.

 

[sperginity]

I'm so fucking excited for a break from campaign ads and junk mail. Also looking forward to whatever salt results, it will be funny either way.

 

[Kirito]

It'll be a tie, no majority party.

Please look up how many seats are in the house.

I'm so fucking excited for a break from campaign ads and junk mail. Also looking forward to whatever salt results, it will be funny either way.

I've gotten so many emails over the last month. I donated to the Trump campaign and also bought a hat in 2016 and they've been pestering me since, but it's gotten really fucking bad over the last week. I think I've gotten 5 emails today.

 

[RodgerDodger]

So I threw my cup of chicken bones and read how they fell.

Here is my prediction.

Conventional wisdom does not apply in the age of Trump and the media has been relying on said wisdom. Local news has hammered every democrat they have covered as the local news Streisand effected the vids released by project veritas.

So the bones tell me thus, turnout is high but the Dems are in for a shocking night. Districts are going to vote stack support meaning some blue areas will remain blue, perhaps just enough to take the house but doubtful. Hung or challenge areas the Dems MUST capture are going to stay red.

The Senate though? Blood bath. Not one seat will be theirs in places they needed to hold or gain that isn't on a coast where the drones and fake voters can swarm.

Why? Because the uncanny paralells between the uks Labour party under Corbyn and how things are for them. Fact is support for them has generally collapsed among swing and Target seats they need to get.

They went up against a tired, knackered party with broadcast media and social media behind them against a party in government for 7 years who had blown a 20% lead and the great result was stacking votes in places that barely mattered. In the swing seats the Tories are now dug in hard and enjoying vote majorities of nearly 20,000 votes or more. Which is considered by most conventional wisdom as nearly unassailable safe seat territory.

That is remarkably similar to what we see here. The Dem strongholds are the major cities NY, LA, Chicago, SF, DC and within 60 miles of the Pacific Coast, and the Atlantic coast north of DC. I think the most shocking thing to the brighter members of the Left (small numbers granted) was that in 2016 it was possible to walk from the Pacific to the Atlantic and never touch a Dem controlled piece of land. Whereas the same did not hold in reverse.

 

[Ponderous Pillock]

That is remarkably similar to what we see here. The Dem strongholds are the major cities NY, LA, Chicago, SF, DC and within 60 miles of the Pacific Coast, and the Atlantic coast north of DC. I think the most shocking thing to the brighter members of the Left (small numbers granted) was that in 2016 it was possible to walk from the Pacific to the Atlantic and never touch a Dem controlled piece of land. Whereas the same did not hold in reverse.

Which is good to clear out the Deadwood but it will take time, mostly because they will bunker down and screech more to try and shore up that vote until saner heads prevail. Basically enjoy the next six to ohhh twelve yesrs?