US US Politics General 2: Hope Edition - Discussion of President Trump and other politicians

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Should be a wild four years.

Helpful links for those who need them:

Current members of the House of Representatives
https://www.house.gov/representatives

Current members of the Senate
https://www.senate.gov/senators/

Current members of the US Supreme Court
https://www.supremecourt.gov/about/biographies.aspx

Members of the Trump Administration
https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/
 
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Catch The Rainbow said:
Dan Bilzerian's attempt to attack Randy Fine has misfired after he accidentally revealed that he has 3 citizenships to Fine's 1:


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Randy Fine has attacked Dan over his Armenian citizenship:


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MTG chimes in, not realizing that Armenia being Christian doesn't mean it's not its own country:


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Fine ignores this to tell an illegal immigrant to go home.


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Randy Fine is my favorite congress critter at this point.
 
WelperHelper99 said:
0.8% vote in
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You guys understand that polls of ~1,000 randomly chosen US citizens are accurate to +-3/4%, for NATIONAL elections, right? And you now have something like 1% of the entire state, with 85-15 margins, right?

Math is not magic even if it can seem like it at times.
 
Sammich said:
My beef is more with how a lot of jews play this card, but always have the Israeli citizenship in their back pocket.
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It's harder than you think tbh, a good amount of people attempt to immigrate to israel but can't hack living in a socialist state with a lower quality of life, higher taxes, and full of rude assholes. There's a great article about leaving Israel called Descending:


The whole truth is that I couldn’t stomach Israelis anymore...


I explained once to a friend that when you first land in Israel, you are immediately greeted with a fresh sheet of 220-grit sandpaper to your face. At first it’s refreshing. Exfoliating, even. Ah, people here are real, you tell yourself. Direct. Straightforward. Honest. These are positive attributes, yes. After a while, when you’d really like for the sandpaper to stop rubbing your skin raw, well, no dice, achi. Israelis and olim alike delude themselves with all kinds of hypotheticals to obfuscate the truth that Israelis are, in actuality, extremely rude and ill-mannered. They will paper over this with proclamations like: Israelis are first to offer help in an emergency! Israelis will invite you over for Shabbat dinner five minutes after meeting you! Israelis are like cactus pears; prickly outside, soft, sweet inside! All of these stereotypes are, for the most part, accurate. But Israelis are, on average, also extremely short-tempered, chronically irritable, congenitally disagreeable, and narcissistic. Hell, one of the world’s foremost experts on narcissism, a rare self-diagnosed narcissist, is also Israeli.
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I remember the first time I read this article I laughed at the quote "But Israelis are, on average, also extremely short-tempered, chronically irritable, congenitally disagreeable, and narcissistic" because it described all my negative character traits perfectly.

mango_reseller said:
You guys understand that polls of ~1,000 randomly chosen US citizens are accurate to +-3/4%, for NATIONAL elections, right? And you now have something like 1% of the entire state, with 85-15 margins, right?

Math is not magic even if it can seem like it at times.
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people are going to vote for the man they saw on the TV and that's vivek
 
mango_reseller said:
You guys understand that polls of ~1,000 randomly chosen US citizens are accurate to +-3/4%, for NATIONAL elections, right? And you now have something like 1% of the entire state, with 85-15 margins, right?

Math is not magic even if it can seem like it at times.
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Nigga shut up, I said your brownoid is gonna win and destroy the state, be happy
 
mango_reseller said:
You guys understand that polls of ~1,000 randomly chosen US citizens are accurate to +-3/4%, for NATIONAL elections, right? And you now have something like 1% of the entire state, with 85-15 margins, right?

Math is not magic even if it can seem like it at times.
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I like how you specified National here and then forgot the governor of Ohio isn't a national election. Or you're just so dumb you don't even know what election is being looked at.

I'm not saying either side is right or wrong here, because I think it's a terrible race no matter what thanks to the streetshitter and the democrat being the only real options... but to say that national polls correlate to local electoral polls is retarded, and also the national polls have routinely been just completely off. Remember the pollsters reporting that Clinton was going to destroy Trump, and then constantly putting Kamala at the top of polling once she was the nominee? No, you're Mangosteen_Shiller, you don't remember anything.

I even agree that Vivek will beat Casey, and have consistently said that Putsch was fucked, but come on dude, really? Pollsters are your source, you might as well kill yourself now.
 
What are some valid reasons for mail-in voting for the general populace? I can think of:
Not being able to vote in-person because of work.
Physically disabled.

What about negative ways they can be abused? I've got:
Cash for votes.
Signing up and voting for senile people.
Signing up and voting for actual retards.
Signing up and voting for the mentally ill.
Circumvention of ID requirement in some fashion?
 
mango_reseller said:
You guys understand that polls of ~1,000 randomly chosen US citizens are accurate to +-3/4%, for NATIONAL elections, right? And you now have something like 1% of the entire state, with 85-15 margins, right?

Math is not magic even if it can seem like it at times.
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It’s a best guess estimate, with more accuracy depending on more data points. So much math works on that anyway.
 
mango_reseller said:
You guys understand that polls of ~1,000 randomly chosen US citizens are accurate to +-3/4%, for NATIONAL elections, right? And you now have something like 1% of the entire state, with 85-15 margins, right?

Math is not magic even if it can seem like it at times.
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Pollsters can very easily choose their pool to get the results they want, and we all know that, you disingenuous fuck.
 
MetokurGroomedMe said:
I like how you specified National here and then forgot the governor of Ohio isn't a national election. Or you're just so dumb you don't even know what election is being looked at.
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National is much harder to gauge because 1) it's not a popularity contest, there's the EC involved, 2) there's way more people in the US than Ohio. I capitalized NATIONAL because NATIONAL is harder and yet you can get a pretty good guess with 1,000 people (again, within a margin of error of 3-4%) and 1% of Ohio is something like 10,000 votes, making any guess EXTREMELY accurate, albeit a bit biased towards more rural areas (but an 85-15 split is not going to go the other way in cities, let's be real)

Edit: And it didn't, Cincinatti/Cleveland/Columbus are something like 90-10.

Just in general, always bet that the person people know is the person that's more likely to win, regardless of how nuclear their reputation is.
 
what did Ohio do to deserve the fate of being run by either a streetshitter or a liberal jew? Isn't having Cleveland in your borders punishment enough?
 
mango_reseller said:
You guys understand that polls of ~1,000 randomly chosen US citizens are accurate to +-3/4%, for NATIONAL elections, right? And you now have something like 1% of the entire state, with 85-15 margins, right?

Math is not magic even if it can seem like it at times.
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And polls are famously very accurate
Also elections don't report evenly across an entire state. Counties take time to turn everything in.
 
Libtardism Is Over said:
i edited it to include the landslide losses for Putsch going on right now

also it was obvious he was going to lose to Vivek by a massive landslide for months now
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you added an image to give your claim credibility when you could have waited 30 minutes for most of the counties to report in and have an even stronger argument. you edited the image after being called out. very brown behavior. shameful
 
Looks like every Indiana Senate incumbent who went against redistricting is going to lose, except one, who apparently made a third candidate run to split the vote to survive.
 
smallground said:
And polls are famously very accurate
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Depends on the methodology, people involved, bias of pollster etc. Again, considering a 3-4% margin of error it's basically impossible to guess i.e. national election winner (because it's always within 1-2% or even less)

But if you get 0.8% of results and they're really not close at all (in this case +70% margin), that's a very, very difficult to overcome "exit poll"
 
Moral plague said:
What are some valid reasons for mail-in voting for the general populace? I can think of:
Not being able to vote in-person because of work.
Physically disabled.

What about negative ways they can be abused? I've got:
Cash for votes.
Signing up and voting for senile people.
Signing up and voting for actual retards.
Signing up and voting for the mentally ill.
Circumvention of ID requirement in some fashion?
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I liked it a lot when I worked overnights, and I like being able to go "wait what was this bill about* and then spend an hour sperging into who's funding it and stuff
 
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