Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

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Fanatical Pragmatist said:
So now that Iran has played it's hand, what now?
Okay, they closed the strait and the economy is gonna take some damage.

What now?
How do they convert this into any kind of gains or hit-backs on either the tactical, operational or strategic level?

Also even if the regime does survive, what stops the other Gulf states from just finding alternative ports to ship their oil?
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I believe their playbook now that they've played there hand is to tweet 3 more times today that only now does the true fight really start
 
Shovelbird said:
Those little Emirates...

Their entire history was right from the start something sinister and disgusting.

Before Wikipedia was niggerified and historically revised, the entire Gulf kingdoms were described as :"Despite heavy use of slave and slave trading across the world, the locals were highly educated and gender roles were relaxed", e.g. Sodom and Gomorrah. Of course these mentions are nowadays slowly deleted; decadent cowardly little sandmonkeys and sandbitches who latched on the trade routes like leeches.

Gulf was the place where Arabs could satisfy their flesh lust for white Slavic captives torn from Transoxania and beyond. Slavery in Oman and neighboring areas were only shut down for appearances, and today, they are still the same Jabba The Hutt wannabes who for some reason played on easy mode with consoles on as the rest of the world toiled and toiled, and no, no one exploited them as if Baal Hammon was looking out for them. Why didn't the Westerners overrun and colonize there too and put the wealth to civilized hands?

Why couldn't WE, Turks, use Kafala like them? Why did the Jewnited Nations and Jewnited States let them drink the blood and tears of countless hapless souls even though their elimination could have helped the entire planet?

The same demonic well of misery got bombarded by Iran.

Fuck Iran but GOD DAMN IT FEELS GOOD when you read history.
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Aren't you Turkish?
Aren't your people like the very ones running the main white girl slave export economy for the test of the muslim world?

Like no offense, but a Turk hand-wringing over white slavery in the Gulf states comes off like a Dutchman or Portuguese hand-wringing over black slavery in the Americas.

Like I'm sorry but who sold those gulf arabs some Eastern European slave girl flesh Mr Turkish man?
 
Iran appears to have scored a successful hit in the vicinity of Israel's Haifa oil refinery moments ago. nitter
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Footage shows smoke billowing from oil refineries in Haifa following Iran’s latest ballistic missile strike. nitter

 
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These sandniggers can only comprehend one thing at a time. Im sure once the U.S. takes control of the strait we will get some strongly worded message saying "durka durka we will now launch our true attack in the name of Allah" and then they will raise the flag of rape and go into a field and fornicate with some goats and some of there fellow IRGC members.
 
Harambe said:
You're being hyperbolic and cursory searches show you're basically incorrect. Pricewise this is pretty far from the worst energy crisis ever. For the US especially, this crisis may pass with little real effects people are not obviously able to bear. Gas prices have been higher than this and WTI is trading at a high but survivable level. This crisis also has a fairly clear off-ramp compared to the instability in 2011 - 2014. Optimistically, the Islamic Republic may well not survive this intervention. Pessimistically the pressure on Iran will go away in about a month based on statements from the administration. Chaos in Iran will hamper any ability to lash out at the Gulf States, and continuous pressure on the Gulf States will meet with international opprobrium directed at Iran, not the US--after all, it's possible to retaliate effectively against the Islamic Republic and it's not possible to retaliate effectively against America. That being said, this is probably a rather acute crisis. 2011 - 2013 had very high oil prices for a sustained period, inflation adjusted much higher than now.
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They're working well with their drones and missiles and causing untold damage to energy infrastructure that will take years to repair.

In the long term this will harm the US. People keep saying that it'll be A OK because the US has its own oil when the biggest companies in the US are all tech companies.

I would say this is different to previous energy crises because things were already heading in a shitty direction and unemployment was increasing. Now it's going to be worse.

This is going to end up with lots of countries being unstable and it is entirely possible to retaliate effectively against america.
 
neger psykolog said:
They're working well with their drones and missiles and causing untold damage to energy infrastructure that will take years to repair.

In the long term this will harm the US. People keep saying that it'll be A OK because the US has its own oil when the biggest companies in the US are all tech companies.

I would say this is different to previous energy crises because things were already heading in a shitty direction and unemployment was increasing. Now it's going to be worse.

This is going to end up with lots of countries being unstable and it is entirely possible to retaliate effectively against america.
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Solarchads keep on winning
 
Level of Iranian cope rn: coming up with the concept of strategic martyrdom


The killing of Ali Larijani, like that of Ali Khamenei before him, is best understood as an instance of strategic martyrdom, a dynamic that exposes the fundamental irrationality of Israel’s and the US’ continued reliance on decapitation strategies, especially given their repeated historical failure. The decapitation-attrition-invasion playbook that the US and Israel keep drawing from reveals systems locked into a familiar repertoire of counterproductive violence that have consistently failed to adapt to reality. This failure is so glaring that even Trump acknowledged it, when he recently admitted that the US attacked Iran "out of habit."

The underlying premise is that by removing senior leaders, the system they sustain will weaken and/or fragment. Yet this assumption reflects a narrow instrumentalist rationality in which leadership survival is treated as the paramount strategic objective and the threat of death is presumed to function as an effective form of coercion. But Iran operates from a value-strategic rationality whereby martyrdom itself can perform important political work and generate strategic effects that not merely resist but reverse the intended consequences of assassination.

That Larijani attended the mass rally and made statements openly embracing the possibility of martyrdom before his death only underscores how consciously this logic is adopted by those who bear its consequences, a logic articulated most clearly by Khamenei himself, who declared that “either we are martyred on this path, whose honour is eternal, or we achieve victory; both are victories for us.”

By transforming assassinated figures into sacred symbols of justice and resistance, in the tradition of Imam Hussein at Karbala, martyrdom converts the intended effects of decapitation into a strategy that successfully mobilises collective resolve, legitimises the political order, and regenerates both the system's continuity and its societal resilience.

In short, strategic martyrdom ultimately contributes to deterrence by regeneration, whereby repeated attempts at decapitation are subject to a law of diminishing returns as adversaries discover that killing leaders neither fractures the system nor compels submission but instead contributes to its consolidation.
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neger psykolog said:
You're delusional if you think the world's economies failing won't have a huge impact on the US.
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Gas prices will go up for a brief duration and then come back down, Americans will make money on oil futures on their funny little phone apps and europeans will weep at the pumps when it costs 9 euro to fill up with 83. Non domestic goods in the US may increase in cost if this drags on another month or so, otherwise nothingburger.
 
neger psykolog said:
They're working well with their drones and missiles and causing untold damage to energy infrastructure that will take years to repair.

In the long term this will harm the US. People keep saying that it'll be A OK because the US has its own oil when the biggest companies in the US are all tech companies.

I would say this is different to previous energy crises because things were already heading in a shitty direction and unemployment was increasing. Now it's going to be worse.

This is going to end up with lots of countries being unstable and it is entirely possible to retaliate effectively against america.
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You keep saying this? Who controls the most crude oil on the planet right now? Who has the biggest military force on the planet? Who has the most advanced weaponry on the planet? Im not even trying to be patriotic here. In the long run maybe this has an effect but how long are we talking? Years, decades even?
 
1773936921402.png

they went back into the major graphs and edited them to remove the $120 spike so this under 100$ nonsense looks less bltatant, all those "peaks" are high 90s and the "lows" are like 96 95, the y axis is ALL fucked up

lmao, it changes with luck, look same 1 month chart but this one hasent been edited quite as hard
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look how smooth that stupid movement is and where is the giant $120 spike from the start of the conflict? This is BLATANT market manipulation.
 
capeshit said:
The Iranians struck Yanbu. Red Sea strikes are now in play.


Here's a guess. When the Houthis are involved, gas will cost 7 dollars a gallon.
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Here's a guess - when crude goes high enough, you have the opposite happen at some point - demand destruction. This happened in 2022 (a much worse crude problem as global supply was low then). People start driving only for work, basically. They don't just do the same thing but pay 7 dollars forever.
 
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