I am very bullish on Tube crashing out early/mid 2026 ... Breadtube declared terrorists after Kirk murder

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Hello, croupier, I'll put £50 on red.
The US was already cracking down on issuing visas to identified leftists based on social media vetting, which I imagine will amp up now. There is a significant chance that Ollie may find his next US visa is denied, prompting much angst about Trump crushing his Hollywood starlet dreams (especially because Dracula's Ex-Girlfriend was a SAG-AFTRA production so he now qualifies for membership) and being trapped on TERF Island.
This likely will not be received sympathetically by the majority of his audience, on the basis that there are people experiencing significantly worse situations as a result of their visas being revoked/denied plus whatever else is going on in America by that point. Ollie's surprisingly good at making sure he doesn't put a toe out of leftist line, but his recent fumble with Native Americans shows that's starting to slip. If he's got his eye off the ball spiralling over his hopes and dreams being dashed, he could really come a cropper.
He was born into the upper classes so he'll be able to shamble along no matter how hard he fails at anything, unlike Tony Reed who will begin to quietly run out the clock in a crack house (hydromorphone house?) any day now.
Frankly he'll shamble along as a YouTuber for quite a while yet. He's raking in five figures per month on Patreon and it'll take a long time to drop to a level that can't sustain a very comfortable lifestyle, along with tips thrown at him, whatever YouTube ad revenue he gets etc. He's also positioned himself quite well to get some cushy talking head gigs or recurring opinion article option (although not a regular column) - even with the pendulum swing and his own off-puttingness, he managed to schmooze his way onto the celebrity Christmas University Challenge and clearly has connections. Sort of the tier below people like Shappi Khorsandi or Helen Czerski, that type of Brit celeb where you go "oh it's that one off the telly, that makes sense they're doing an episode of this show where a famous person goes on a walk" but they don't have a meal ticket for Auntie.
Partly on that note...do we believe that he writes his own scripts at this point? I just find it so performative. He presents these long lists of books for every video he makes, about subjects he clearly gives half a shit about. While what he clearly actually cares about is being in front of the camera. If it's all him then good for him I guess, but I don't know if I buy it.
Yes. He's clearly above hiring a script consultant, or else we'd have never gotten Dracula's Ex Girlfriend. I can imagine despite his protestations around AI he gets ChatGPT to drum up sources and then skim-reads them. Don't forget, he pads his bibliography by citing multiple chapters from the same book.
"Abi looking like pre-op Pete Burns combined with post-op Pete Burns in a horrifying gestalt ala The Fly."
Young Pete Burns was handsome, but I do see what you mean