💪 Tough Guys Patrick Sean Tomlinson / @stealthygeek / "Torque Wheeler" / @RealAutomanic / Kempesh / Padawan v2.5 - "Conservative" sci-fi author with TDS, armed "drunk with anger management issues" and terminated parental rights, actual tough guy, obese, paid Quasi, paid thousands to be repeatedly unbanned from Twitter

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NaggotFigger said:
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Nice take, stupid.
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The right wing candidate lost by only 800k votes, 50 vs 49%, this after their first round of elections being anulled in december, and the chief of french intelligence trying to bully Durov, who was kidnapped for a few days in france last year until he gave french intelligence access to telegram, ordering him yesterday to ban all right wing romanian telegram channels.
This election is beyond false, its funny Fatrick would scream and cry and rage if back in 2020, the DHS or FBI ordered twitter to delete pro biden stuff, or Trump anulled the 2020 elections citing chinese interference.
 
Markorian said:
Would it hold up in a court of law? Of course not, but as far as I'm concerned, this is THE smoking gun for him SWATTing [sic] himself.
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It would if it were true! Assume he has been swatted (fatly) 50 times in the 5 past five years (he claims the first instance was in May 2020). That means he's swatted roughly once in every 37 days! If he only has bookings 5% of the time, that's 90 bookings in the same time.
Assuming the swattings and bookings aren't coordinated, the probability that none of those bookings occurred the same day as a swatting is (36/37)^90, about 8%.
With a still modest 20% booking rate this drops to 0.005%.
(Feel free to correct my math!)
 
ascension failure said:
It would if it were true! Assume he has been swatted (fatly) 50 times in the 5 past five years (he claims the first instance was in May 2020). That means he's swatted roughly once in every 37 days! If he only has bookings 5% of the time, that's 90 bookings in the same time.
Assuming the swattings and bookings aren't coordinated, the probability that none of those bookings occurred the same day as a swatting is (36/37)^90, about 8%.
With a still modest 20% booking rate this drops to 0.005%.
(Feel free to correct my math!)
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I did a bit of napkin math way earlier in the thread, looking only at the time frame of when we absolutely knew the airbnb was active and also significantly trimming the number of SWATs to account for days when there were supposedly multiple in a day, rounding either up or down with every variable to whatever was most favorable to patrick, I think I might have used 15% as my booking estimate just based on the sheer number of reviews and how many days those reviews mentioned staying. I got, with all factors as reasonably in favor of patrick's story as I could make them, a 1% chance that purely random SWAT calls would just "happen" to miss the days he's booked. Lower if you don't give patrick the benefit of the doubt on some of the less known variables.

Granted, this methodology can't account for every single factor, for example, since they're not coming in guns a blazing every time like patrick wants people to believe, many people wouldn't leave in a review that the police knocked on the other side of the hovel and left a business card, or given many of them were during the day, people at an airbnb are generally at the unit at night while out and about during the day.
 
Uncle Buck said:
Most "swaTTed" man in America - except on all the dates his AirBNB has guests scheduled.
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I mean, no one has confirmed that Rick hasn't been swatted on those dates. He likely has. It just doesn't entail anything more than a couple officers knocking on the door and asking if everything's ok. Unless the Pigman himself decides to make a scene, that's simply where it ends. If any guests are at home, they might not even notice or give it any thought.

It's convenient for Rick to pretend all the swattings are breaching the hovel's door and trRAUMaTiZInG his wIFe with tactilol assault rifles, but that's not reality.
 
Something Awful said:
It just doesn't entail anything more than a couple officers knocking on the door and asking if everything's ok. Unless the Pigman himself decides to make a scene, that's simply where it ends. If any guests are at home, they might not even notice or give it any thought.
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Sure, so those are the two alternatives: the pigman is swatting himself, or no one is and the cops are just leaving a business card without even knocking, as Patrick himself (fat, btw) revealed (also stupid).
 
NaggotFigger said:
Though, still, for a person as fat as Fatty; he's still a cowardly fat faggot with bitch tits who would give ten fucks about evil orange man more than actually taking accountability on his fuckshittery. Rick is still huffing his farts a lot even after claiming that nature is healing, and all of those were just picking up cheap attention; knowing Rick's long history of fat dishonesty.
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What if he's simply huffing his farts because as he reclines on the fart couch, he's so fat now that he couldn't hope to move quickly enough to escape them (and his diet likely makes him incredibly gassy)?
TouchFluffyTail said:
100% - if the end of Pat's lolcow journey is that he becomes, literally, a prison enjoyer then that would be proof of all proofs that God truly has a sense of humour
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I submit that Pat's mere existence is proof that God has a sense of humor.

Switching to second, blacker Jackie: what makes me think she's a transracial coon is her lack of that "blaccent." You know the one I'm talking about. Not all black people talk like that but I've noticed that the most vocal, annoying, race-focused niggers have that accent. Even the ones that grew up in Roxbury (MA) still somehow have that accent. How in the fuck do so many of them talk like that even though they have huge differences in geographical areas?

Oh yeah, that Patrick guy is really fat, too.
 
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Dean Pentel said:
How in the fuck do so many of them talk like that even though they have huge differences in geographical areas?
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It's an affected accent that is specifically used to mark yourself as part of "the in-group" similar to how the British have a specific upper class accent across England, Wales, Scotland and even Ireland, only more hoodish. Basically it only exists to mark themselves apart. Occasionally you'll get a politician talking in it to try and seem like "one of them" - AOC, Hillary Clinton and Kamala Harris are very blatant with it, with AOC also often using a affected sassy latina accent that is blatantly fake.

The second, better blacker Jackie doesn't have it because she never learned it since she's a octaroon at best and doesn't have accent coaching from professionals like politicians do.
 
Slobber Knobber said:
It's an affected accent that is specifically used to mark yourself as part of "the in-group" similar to how the British have a specific upper class accent across England, Wales, Scotland and even Ireland, only more hoodish. Basically it only exists to mark themselves apart. Occasionally you'll get a politician talking in it to try and seem like "one of them" - AOC, Hillary Clinton and Kamala Harris are very blatant with it, with AOC also often using a affected sassy latina accent that is blatantly fake.

The second, better blacker Jackie doesn't have it because she never learned it since she's a octaroon at best and doesn't have accent coaching from professionals like politicians do.
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Like fags?
 
Rick once got contact high when someone at a concert smoked some weed in his general vicinity, so of course he's now an expert in detecting "Bolivian marching powder" over the Internet.

Screenshot 2025-05-20 at 11.07.06.webp
 
There's a tiny but non-zero chance that he just randomly loses it and starts calling Jackie the dumbest most gullible nigger in America. He's got to be severely stressed out and losing it. I hope Nikki has gone to hide out at Mom's house.
 
Markorian said:
Would it hold up in a court of law? Of course not, but as far as I'm concerned, this is THE smoking gun for him SWATTing [sic] himself.
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How many times has he been swatted in total and how many days has his airbnb been booked for over the same period. You could then calculate if both things occur randomly what the chance of no swattings ever being on a booked airbnb day are. This obviously doesn't factor in things like people booking airbnb more often on weekends or around specific holidays etc but it would be fun to see how crazy the probability is. If the number is below 0.03% for example then you can pretty confidently say he's the man behind the swats.
 
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